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Europa Conference League · Play-offs Aggregate 4–3 · Panathinaikos went through · After Extra Time

Momentum

PAOHRK
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis, Athens
Capacity
69,618
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Jacob Neestrup Hansen · David Horejs
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-4-2 · 3-4-3

Referee

Jérôme Brisard

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
28.6° (feels 28.6°)
Wind
4.5
Humidity
45%

Where to watch · 2

  • Cyprus SKAI
  • Greece SKAI

No table for this competition stage.

Panathinaikos

WDW 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 5.45–2.72 · xPts 5.99

  • W A CSKA 1948 Sofia 2–1 aet xG 1.8–0.86 UEFA ECL
  • D H Paksi SE 2–2 xG 1.57–0.6 UEFA ECL
  • W A Paksi SE 2–1 xG 2.08–1.25 UEFA ECL

Hradec Králové

WWLL 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 1.89–4.8 · xPts 1.13

  • L A Beşiktaş 0–1 xG 0.85–2.31 UEFA EL
  • L H Beşiktaş 0–1 xG 1.04–2.5 UEFA EL
  • W H Tromsø 3–1 UEFA EL
  • W A Tromsø 1–0 UEFA EL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Panathinaikos 11 draws0 Hradec Králové

Goals 4–3 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Panathinaikos 11 draws0 Hradec Králové

Goals 4–3 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Panathinaikos 11 draws0 Hradec Králové

Goals 4–3 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Hradec Králové 1–2 Panathinaikos aet UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • D Panathinaikos 2–2 Hradec Králové UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricPanathinaikos all · 5Panathinaikos at home · 2Hradec Králové all · 2Hradec Králové away · 1
Results
Matches5
Points per game2.20
W / D / L3 / 2 / 0
Goals for / match2.00
Goals against / match1.40
Clean sheets0%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored100%
Over 2.5100%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.87
xG against / match1.34
xG difference0.53
Finishing vs xG0.13
xPts / match1.76
Points vs xPts0.74
Game state
Scored first80%
PPG when scoring first2.50
PPG when conceding first1.00
Came back from behind100%
Leads held75%
Minutes leading31%
Minutes level62%
Minutes trailing7%
First goal (min)54
First goal conceded (min)74
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half75%
Goals conceded in 2nd half86%
Late goals for (76'+)0.60
Late goals against0.80
Style
Possession48%
Shots17.0
On target7.8
Shot conversion12%
Shots inside box64%
Big chances created3.8
Corners6.4
xG from set plays33%
Goals from headers12%
Pressure index15.6
Dominant minutes66.4
Pass accuracy82%
Fouls11.4
Cards2.60

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Panathinaikos

0–15'00
16–30'00
31–45'21
46–60'31
61–75'21
76–90'14

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Panathinaikos · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.405
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late push (76+, level)+0.303

Game state

When ahead+0.204
When level+0.525
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.765

Situations

At home+0.212
Away+0.553
4+ days rest+0.405

Opposition

As favourite+0.405

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.345

Ahead vs level -0.31 · Behind vs level -0.23

Hradec Králové · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.27) · stands out: at home -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.276
Early press (0-15, level)-0.296
Late push (76+, level)-0.363
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.004

Game state

When ahead-0.552
When level-0.246
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.255
10 min after scoring-0.193

Situations

At home-0.413
Away-0.133
4+ days rest-0.305

Opposition

As underdog-0.245

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.186
Conceded when ahead+0.102
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Ahead vs level -0.31 · Behind vs level +0.02

Panathinaikos

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-22 40%2.02.01.52.032.65
4-3-31 20%1.02.02.01.570.6
3-4-2-11 20%3.02.01.01.80.86
4-1-4-11 20%3.02.01.02.081.25

Hradec Králové

Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-31 50%1.02.02.0
3-4-2-11 50%0.01.02.02.652.03

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.7h before kick-off · 6 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off

1.46Home 64% · -0.4 ptsopened 1.454.18Draw 22% · +0.1 ptsopened 4.27.11Away 13% · +0.2 ptsopened 7.22
1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.46 · -0.44.18 · +0.17.11 · +0.230m
bet3651.45 ▲ +1.64.0 · -0.26.25 ▼ -1.430m
Betfair1.4 · +0.44.0 · -0.47.0 · +0.130m
BetVictor1.44 · +0.24.1 · -0.17.0 · -0.130m
Coral1.48 · +0.04.2 · +0.07.0 · +0.030m
Ladbrokes1.48 · +0.04.2 · +0.07.0 · +0.030m
Unibet1.48 · -0.34.3 · -0.06.5 · +0.330m
WilliamHill1.44 · +0.03.8 · +0.06.5 · +0.030m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.45Home 63% P 64%4.0Draw 23% P 22%6.25Away 15% P 13%

Double Chance

1.12Panathinaikos or Draw 42%1.22Panathinaikos or Hradec Kralove 39%2.5Draw or Hradec Kralove 19%

Draw No Bet

1.161 80%4.52 20%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42%1.61No 58%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home64%64%63%-0.9
Draw22%22%24%+2.1
Away13%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Jérôme Brisard

Career
207 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.73 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 7 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.71 cards, 19.3 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-10 17 13
2026-04-19 60 181 13'10
2026-04-05 31 240 38'7
2026-03-15 70 230 16'15
2026-03-01 50 240 30'16
2026-02-15 61 230 2'12
2026-01-16 10 200 62'6
2026-01-03 51 260 7'13
2025-12-05 20 200 26'9
2025-11-27 21 240 27'6