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Europa League · Play-offs Aggregate 2–1 · Ararat-Armenia went through · After Full Time

Momentum

ARAR2UCR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan
Capacity
14,403
Surface
grass
Attendance
9,280

Teams

Coaches
Manuel da Silva Cruz · Filipe Amaral Rino Coelho
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-3

Referee

Donatas Rumšas

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
26.1° (feels 26.1°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
36%

Where to watch · 4

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Ararat-Armenia

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8

  • D A Universitatea Craiova 1–1 UEFA EL
  • L A Celje 0–2 UEFA CL
  • L A Shamrock Rovers 1–2 UEFA CL
  • W H Shamrock Rovers 2–0 UEFA CL
  • L A Riga 2–3 UEFA CL

Universitatea Craiova

LDDWD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6

  • D H Ararat-Armenia 1–1 UEFA EL
  • W H KuPS 2–1 UEFA EL
  • D A KuPS 1–1 UEFA EL
  • D H Levski Sofia 2–2 UEFA CL
  • L A Levski Sofia 0–1 UEFA CL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Ararat-Armenia 11 draws0 Universitatea Craiova

Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Ararat-Armenia 11 draws0 Universitatea Craiova

Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Ararat-Armenia 11 draws0 Universitatea Craiova

Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W Ararat-Armenia 1–0 Universitatea Craiova UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • D Universitatea Craiova 1–1 Ararat-Armenia UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricArarat-Armenia all · 3Ararat-Armenia at home · 2Universitatea Craiova all · 4Universitatea Craiova away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ararat-Armenia · 8 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.34) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.348
Early press (0-15, level)-0.358
Late push (76+, level)-0.454
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.473

Game state

When ahead-0.264
When level-0.358
When behind-0.384
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring-0.207

Situations

At home-0.394
Away-0.304
4+ days rest-0.348

Opposition

As underdog-0.336

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.328
Conceded when ahead-0.224
Conceded late (76+)+0.177

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.03

Universitatea Craiova · 8 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when behind +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.208
Early press (0-15, level)+0.258
Late push (76+, level)-0.045
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.172

Game state

When ahead-0.264
When level+0.228
When behind+0.535
10 min after conceding-0.047
10 min after scoring+0.096

Situations

At home+0.144
Away+0.244
4+ days rest+0.208

Opposition

As favourite+0.226
Evenly matched+0.132

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.258
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.318

Ahead vs level -0.48 · Behind vs level +0.31

Ararat-Armenia

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 100%1.331.01.671.331.98

Universitatea Craiova

Current: winless 2 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-34 100%1.251.01.01.491.23

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.9d before kick-off · 117 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away +5.6 pts at 4.0h

4.23Home 22% ▲ +1.7 ptsopened 4.53.37Draw 28% ▲ +2.1 ptsopened 3.581.93Away 49% ▼ -3.8 ptsopened 1.76
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle4.23 ▲ +1.73.37 ▲ +2.11.93 ▼ -3.81.0h
bet3653.6 ▲ +1.33.4 · +0.71.9 ▼ -2.01.0h
Betfair4.0 ▼ -1.53.3 ▲ +2.01.9 · -0.61.0h
BetVictor4.0 ▲ +1.53.4 · +0.41.9 ▼ -1.91.0h
Coral3.9 ▲ +1.43.25 ▲ +1.62.0 ▼ -3.01.0h
Ladbrokes3.9 · -0.43.25 ▲ +2.32.0 ▼ -1.81.0h
Unibet4.0 ▼ -5.13.25 · -0.61.91 ▲ +5.71.0h
WilliamHill3.75 · -0.33.1 ▲ +1.81.91 ▼ -1.51.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.6Home 25% P 22%3.4Draw 27% P 28%1.9Away 48% P 49%

Double Chance

1.8Ararat Armenia or Draw 26%1.3Ararat Armenia or CS U Craiova 37%1.28Draw or CS U Craiova 37%

Draw No Bet

3.01 31%1.362 69%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46%1.72No 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.7Under 55% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–25% · away 45–50% · 672 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home22%24%21%-2.5
Draw28%28%29%+0.4
Away49%48%50%+2.2

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Donatas Rumšas

Career
49 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.51 (4.18 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 11 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.454.72-0.3940
Fouls / match22.624.1-0.71
Fouls per card5.15.1-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.33+0.9481
Time added7.46.6+0.7583
First card
42' on average
Card timing
4% in first 30' · 45% in last 15'
Cards to home side
33% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.4

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-30 90 290 11'13
2026-04-09 30 271 21'8
2026-03-12 60 270 45'10
2026-02-26 61 370 29'17
2026-01-20 20 210 80'4
2025-11-25 50 430 15'8
2025-10-22 10 170 90'3
2025-09-16 40 330 7'9