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Europa League · Play-offs Lech Poznań went through · After Full Time

Momentum

ThunLech Poznań
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Capacity
10,398
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
5,223

Teams

Coaches
Gian Privitelli · Niels Frederiksen
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Halil Umut Meler

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
23.1° (feels 23.4°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 8

  • Poland sport.tvp.pl · TVP 2 · TVP Sport · TVP Sport App
  • Puerto Rico ViX
  • Switzerland RTS Sport · SRF Play
  • United States ViX

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Thun

DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 14 · xG 5.61–8.49 · xPts 5.22

  • L A Lech Poznań 0–7 xG 0.5–2.1 UEFA EL
  • L A Víkingur Reykjavík 2–3 xG 0.94–1.66 UEFA EL
  • W H Víkingur Reykjavík 3–0 xG 2.14–0.87 UEFA EL
  • L A Dinamo Zagreb 2–3 aet xG 0.97–2.69 UEFA CL
  • D H Dinamo Zagreb 1–1 xG 1.06–1.19 UEFA CL

Lech Poznań

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 18 GA 5 · xG 5.98–3.77 · xPts 5.6

  • W H Thun 7–0 xG 2.1–0.5 UEFA EL
  • W A 5–0 UEFA EL
  • W H 1–0 UEFA EL
  • L H AGF 1–4 lost on pens None–None xG 2.51–2.34 UEFA CL
  • W A AGF 4–1 xG 1.37–0.94 UEFA CL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Thun 01 draws1 Lech Poznań

Goals 2–9 · 5.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Thun 01 draws1 Lech Poznań

Goals 2–9 · 5.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Thun 01 draws1 Lech Poznań

Goals 2–9 · 5.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • D Thun 2–2 Lech Poznań UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • L Lech Poznań 7–0 Thun UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricThun all · 4Thun at home · 2Lech Poznań all · 5Lech Poznań away · 3
Results
Matches5
Points per game2.00
W / D / L3 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match3.00
Goals against / match1.20
Clean sheets60%
Failed to score20%
Both teams scored20%
Over 2.580%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.66
xG against / match1.15
xG difference0.51
Finishing vs xG1.34
xPts / match1.74
Points vs xPts-0.40
Game state
Scored first80%
PPG when scoring first2.50
PPG when conceding first0.00
Came back from behind50%
Leads held75%
Minutes leading36%
Minutes level40%
Minutes trailing23%
First goal (min)32
First goal conceded (min)16
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half17%
Late goals for (76'+)0.80
Late goals against0.20
Style
Possession57%
Shots17.8
On target7.4
Shot conversion17%
Shots inside box69%
Big chances created3.0
Corners5.4
xG from set plays13%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index13.6
Dominant minutes59.0
Pass accuracy86%
Fouls9.4
Cards2.20

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lech Poznań

0–15'11
16–30'42
31–45'22
46–60'20
61–75'20
76–90'41

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Thun · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.056
Early press (0-15, level)-0.026
Late push (76+, level)-0.383

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level-0.136
When behind-0.323
10 min after conceding-0.335
10 min after scoring+0.265

Situations

At home+0.043
Away-0.173
4+ days rest-0.056

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.102
As underdog-0.233

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.126
Conceded when ahead+0.055
Conceded late (76+)+0.255

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.20

Lech Poznań · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.26) · stands out: at home +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.267
Early press (0-15, level)+0.007
Late push (76+, level)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level+0.317
When behind+0.283
10 min after conceding-0.094
10 min after scoring+0.395

Situations

At home+0.443
Away+0.124
4+ days rest+0.267

Opposition

As favourite+0.244
Evenly matched+0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.287
Conceded when ahead-0.515
Conceded late (76+)-0.432

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.03

Thun

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 100%1.01.753.01.111.53

Lech Poznań

Current: winless 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 100%2.03.01.21.661.15

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.4d before kick-off · 106 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away -5.7 pts at 4.4d

2.56Home 37% ▲ +7.4 ptsopened 3.094.12Draw 23% · -0.5 ptsopened 3.912.43Away 39% ▼ -6.9 ptsopened 2.0
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.56 ▲ +7.44.12 · -0.52.43 ▼ -6.91.0h
bet3652.6 · +0.04.1 · -0.72.15 · +0.71.0h
Betfair2.5 ▲ +1.83.9 · +0.62.38 ▼ -2.31.0h
BetVictor2.6 ▲ +6.43.7 · +0.52.4 ▼ -6.91.0h
Coral2.87 ▼ -2.03.7 ▲ +2.02.3 · +0.11.0h
Ladbrokes2.62 · +0.63.7 ▲ +1.62.4 ▼ -2.21.0h
Unibet2.75 ▲ +1.33.75 · +0.42.28 ▼ -1.71.0h
WilliamHill2.5 ▲ +5.13.6 · -0.62.3 ▼ -4.51.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.6Home 35% P 37%4.1Draw 22% P 23%2.15Away 43% P 39%

Double Chance

1.57FC Thun or Draw 30%1.22FC Thun or Lech Poznan 39%1.53Draw or Lech Poznan 31%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 61% P 63%2.37Under 39% P 37%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 37.5–40% · 153 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home37%36%35%-1.3
Draw23%26%30%+4.3
Away39%38%35%-3.0

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Halil Umut Meler

Career
51 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.59 (4.49 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.33
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 14 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.72-0.8619
Fouls / match23.924.1-0.09
Fouls per card6.05.1+0.79 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.33-0.6423
Time added6.86.6+0.1157
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-11 70 191 2'12
2026-02-19 20 100 35'17
2026-01-22 30 250 30'4
2025-12-11 60 260 17'6
2025-10-23 70 311 30'7
2025-10-02 40 330 68'5