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Europa League · Play-offs Leg 1/2

Momentum

Lech PoznańThun
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Enea stadion, Poznań
Capacity
42,837
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,241

Teams

Coaches
Niels Frederiksen · Gian Privitelli
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Sebastian Gishamer

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
19.0° (feels 18.7°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 8

  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Poland sport.tvp.pl · TVP Sport · TVP Sport App
  • Switzerland Blue Sport · RTS Sport · SRF Zwei HD · Sunrise TV

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Lech Poznań

WLWW 3W 0D 1L · 9 pts (2.25 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 3.88–3.27 · xPts 3.18

  • W A 5–0 UEFA EL
  • W H 1–0 UEFA EL
  • L H AGF 1–4 lost on pens None–None xG 2.51–2.34 UEFA CL
  • W A AGF 4–1 xG 1.37–0.94 UEFA CL

Thun

DLWL 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 5.11–6.4 · xPts 4.82

  • L A Víkingur Reykjavík 2–3 xG 0.94–1.66 UEFA EL
  • W H Víkingur Reykjavík 3–0 xG 2.14–0.87 UEFA EL
  • L A Dinamo Zagreb 2–3 aet xG 0.97–2.69 UEFA CL
  • D H Dinamo Zagreb 1–1 xG 1.06–1.19 UEFA CL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Lech Poznań 11 draws0 Thun

Goals 9–2 · 5.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Lech Poznań 11 draws0 Thun

Goals 9–2 · 5.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Lech Poznań 11 draws0 Thun

Goals 9–2 · 5.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • D Thun 2–2 Lech Poznań UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • W Lech Poznań 7–0 Thun UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricLech Poznań all · 5Lech Poznań at home · 2Thun all · 4Thun away · 2
Results
Matches5
Points per game2.00
W / D / L3 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match3.00
Goals against / match1.20
Clean sheets60%
Failed to score20%
Both teams scored20%
Over 2.580%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.66
xG against / match1.15
xG difference0.51
Finishing vs xG1.34
xPts / match1.74
Points vs xPts-0.40
Game state
Scored first80%
PPG when scoring first2.50
PPG when conceding first0.00
Came back from behind50%
Leads held75%
Minutes leading36%
Minutes level40%
Minutes trailing23%
First goal (min)32
First goal conceded (min)16
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half17%
Late goals for (76'+)0.80
Late goals against0.20
Style
Possession57%
Shots17.8
On target7.4
Shot conversion17%
Shots inside box69%
Big chances created3.0
Corners5.4
xG from set plays13%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index13.6
Dominant minutes59.0
Pass accuracy86%
Fouls9.4
Cards2.20

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lech Poznań

0–15'11
16–30'42
31–45'22
46–60'20
61–75'20
76–90'41

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lech Poznań · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.26) · stands out: at home +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.267
Early press (0-15, level)+0.007
Late push (76+, level)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level+0.317
When behind+0.283
10 min after conceding-0.094
10 min after scoring+0.395

Situations

At home+0.443
Away+0.124
4+ days rest+0.267

Opposition

As favourite+0.244
Evenly matched+0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.287
Conceded when ahead-0.515
Conceded late (76+)-0.432

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.03

Thun · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.056
Early press (0-15, level)-0.026
Late push (76+, level)-0.383

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level-0.136
When behind-0.323
10 min after conceding-0.335
10 min after scoring+0.265

Situations

At home+0.043
Away-0.173
4+ days rest-0.056

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.102
As underdog-0.233

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.126
Conceded when ahead+0.055
Conceded late (76+)+0.255

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.20

Lech Poznań

Current: winless 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 100%2.03.01.21.661.15

Thun

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 100%1.01.753.01.111.53

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 3.2h before kick-off · 4 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.5 pts at 2.0h

1.4Home 67% ▲ +2.1 ptsopened 1.455.29Draw 18% ▼ -1.0 ptsopened 5.036.4Away 15% ▼ -1.0 ptsopened 6.0
1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%70%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.4 ▲ +2.15.29 ▼ -1.06.4 ▼ -1.01.0h
bet3651.42 · +0.14.5 · -0.85.75 · +0.71.0h
Betfair1.4 ▲ +1.84.75 · -0.66.5 ▼ -1.21.0h
BetVictor1.4 · +0.84.8 · +0.07.0 · -0.91.0h
Coral1.44 ▲ +2.85.0 ▼ -1.66.5 ▼ -1.21.0h
Ladbrokes1.44 ▲ +3.04.8 ▼ -1.26.5 ▼ -1.81.0h
Unibet1.47 · +0.04.4 · +0.05.5 · +0.01.0h
WilliamHill1.4 ▲ +1.24.5 · -1.05.5 · -0.21.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.42Home 64% P 67%4.5Draw 20% P 18%5.75Away 16% P 15%

Double Chance

1.1Lech Poznan or Draw 42%1.16Lech Poznan or FC Thun 39%2.4Draw or FC Thun 19%

Draw No Bet

1.161 80%4.52 20%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 62% P 66%2.5Under 38% P 34%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home67%66%69%+3.3
Draw18%20%20%-0.7
Away15%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.566%66%69%+3.2

Sebastian Gishamer

Career
31 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.42 (4.16 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
39%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 13 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.314.72-0.5430
Fouls / match23.924.1-0.07
Fouls per card5.55.1+0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.33-1.0311
Time added5.86.6-0.9615
First card
44' on average
Card timing
7% in first 30' · 46% in last 15'
Cards to home side
37% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-13 40 300 34'6
2026-03-12 40 260 48'6
2026-02-19 40 341 21'8
2026-01-29 20 241 76'5
2025-11-27 40 200 39'5
2025-11-05 50 281 44'8
2025-10-02 20 200 77'6
2025-08-28 10 140 57'4