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Europa League · Play-offs Aggregate 0–6 · Anderlecht went through · After Full Time

Momentum

KairatAnderlecht
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Hisor Central Stadium, Hisor
Capacity
23,804
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
17,563

Teams

Coaches
Rafael Urazbakhtin · Vítor Bruno Clara Santos Mota Fernandes
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-4-1-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Chris Kavanagh

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
21.4° (feels 20.4°)
Wind
1.1
Humidity
30%

Where to watch · 14

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Kairat

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3 · xG 1.34–0.78 · xPts 1.78

  • L H Levski Sofia 0–1 xG 1.34–0.78 UEFA CL
  • W H Omonia Nicosia 1–0 won on pens None–None UEFA CL
  • L A Omonia Nicosia 0–1 UEFA CL
  • W A Sutjeska 2–0 UEFA CL
  • W H Sutjeska 2–1 UEFA CL

Anderlecht

DWWW 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 2.69–4.14 · xPts 1.89

  • W H PAOK 3–2 xG 1.95–2.09 UEFA EL
  • W A PAOK 1–0 xG 0.74–2.05 UEFA EL
  • W H Hammarby 3–1 UEFA EL
  • D A Hammarby 1–1 UEFA EL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Kairat 00 draws2 Anderlecht

Goals 0–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Kairat 00 draws2 Anderlecht

Goals 0–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Kairat 00 draws2 Anderlecht

Goals 0–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Anderlecht 3–0 Kairat UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • L Kairat 0–3 Anderlecht UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricKairat all · 2Kairat at home · 1Anderlecht all · 7Anderlecht away · 3
Results
Matches7
Points per game2.29
W / D / L5 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match2.14
Goals against / match0.86
Clean sheets43%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored57%
Over 2.571%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.64
xG against / match1.72
xG difference-0.08
Finishing vs xG0.36
xPts / match1.32
Points vs xPts0.93
Game state
Scored first71%
PPG when scoring first2.60
PPG when conceding first1.50
Came back from behind50%
Leads held83%
Minutes leading59%
Minutes level21%
Minutes trailing20%
First goal (min)26
First goal conceded (min)34
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half33%
Late goals for (76'+)0.29
Late goals against0.29
Style
Possession46%
Shots11.6
On target5.4
Shot conversion18%
Shots inside box79%
Big chances created3.5
Corners5.1
xG from set plays36%
Goals from headers29%
Pressure index13.3
Dominant minutes53.1
Pass accuracy84%
Fouls14.1
Cards2.57

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Anderlecht

0–15'32
16–30'21
31–45'21
46–60'40
61–75'20
76–90'22

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Kairat · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: at home +0.30

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level+0.187
When behind+0.214
10 min after conceding+0.075
10 min after scoring-0.113

Situations

Against ten men+0.093
At home+0.304
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.157

Opposition

As favourite+0.142
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.143

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.167
Conceded when ahead-0.333
Conceded late (76+)-0.405

Ahead vs level -0.23 · Behind vs level +0.04

Anderlecht · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.057
Early press (0-15, level)+0.547
Late push (76+, level)+0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.266
When level+0.657
When behind+0.222
10 min after conceding-0.084
10 min after scoring+0.107

Situations

Against ten men-0.872
At home+0.284
Away-0.283
4+ days rest+0.057

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.164
As underdog-0.362

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.055

Ahead vs level -0.91 · Behind vs level -0.43

Kairat

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
5-3-21 50%0.00.03.01.062.52
4-4-1-11 50%0.00.03.0

Anderlecht

Current: winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 57%3.02.50.51.741.73
4-4-23 43%1.331.671.331.351.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 1.2h before kick-off · 2 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.2 pts at 1.0h

3.31Home 29% · +0.8 ptsopened 3.413.25Draw 29% · +0.3 ptsopened 3.292.27Away 42% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 2.21
1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle3.31 · +0.83.25 · +0.32.27 ▼ -1.21.0h
bet3653.25 · +0.03.1 · +0.02.15 · +0.01.0h
Betfair3.3 · +0.03.1 · +0.92.2 · -1.01.0h
BetVictor3.3 · +0.03.25 · +0.02.2 · +0.01.0h
Coral3.4 · +0.03.25 · +0.02.2 · +0.01.0h
Ladbrokes3.3 · +0.03.2 · +0.02.2 · +0.01.0h
Unibet3.5 · -0.13.25 · +0.32.0 · -0.21.0h
WilliamHill3.2 · +0.03.1 · +0.02.05 · +0.01.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.25Home 28% P 29%3.1Draw 29% P 29%2.15Away 42% P 42%

Double Chance

1.66Kairat Almaty or Draw 29%1.36Kairat Almaty or Anderlecht 35%1.3Draw or Anderlecht 37%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46%1.72No 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.25Over 42% P 42%1.61Under 58% P 58%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 40–42.5% · 469 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home29%29%31%+2.1
Draw29%30%25%-4.9
Away42%41%44%+2.7

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Chris Kavanagh

Career
340 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.95 (3.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.084.72+1.2987
Fouls / match26.824.1+1.26
Fouls per card4.45.1-0.84 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.250.33-0.4036
Time added6.36.6-0.4226
First card
32' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-24 101 270 42'12
2026-05-15 40 210 39'11
2026-05-10 70 260 34'9
2026-05-02 60 220 22'9
2026-04-27 60 150 6'7
2026-04-19 20 200 22'13
2026-04-12 40 250 12'9
2026-03-21 41 151 37'6
2026-03-15 21 48'9
2026-03-12 20 250 74'9