Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Lincoln Red Imps | at home | Stat | league | away | Larne |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65.5 #5 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 34.5 #148 |
| 2.5 #140 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 5.0 #109 |
| 5.5 #23 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 4.0 #53 |
| 5.5 #49 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 8.5 #6 |
| 10.5 #113 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 14.0 #51 |
| – | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.5 #67 |
| 119.5 #43 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 105.5 #81 |
| 81.5 #19 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 74.0 #32 |
| 2.5 #40 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 3.5 #16 |
| 0.5 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.4 | – | – |
| 1.0 #47 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.0 #47 |
| – #127 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #127 |
| – #11 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #11 |
| – #91 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #91 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #18 |
| 1.5 #49 | 0.0 | Goals | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 #80 |
| 1.0 #110 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 #59 |
| 1.0 #2 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 1.0 #2 |
| – #27 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #27 |
| 6.4 #85 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 6.4 #88 |
| 0.5 #134 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 3.0 #47 |
| – #65 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | – #65 |
| 4.0 #78 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 3.5 #92 |
| – #65 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | – #65 |
| – #19 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #19 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
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Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Lincoln Red Imps · Last 365 days
Larne · Last 365 days
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Play-offs
- Leg
- 1/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Europa Point Stadium, Freiburg · neutral
- Capacity
- 5,000
- Surface
- artificial turf
Teams
- Coaches
- Juan Pavón Domínguez · Gary Haveron
- Position
- 2 · 1
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 4-3-3
Referee
Kristo Tohver
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 26.6° (feels 26.6°)
- Wind
- 8.2
- Humidity
- 57%
Where to watch
No broadcast listings.
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Lincoln Red Imps
DLDDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 6
- L
A
Omonia Nicosia
0–1
UEFA EL - D
H
Omonia Nicosia
1–1
UEFA EL - D
H
Mjällby
0–0
UEFA CL - L
A
Mjällby
0–3
UEFA CL - D
A
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1–1
UEFA CL
WDLDDL 1W 3D 2L · 6 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7
- L
A
Omonia Nicosia
0–1
UEFA EL - D
H
Omonia Nicosia
1–1
UEFA EL - D
H
Mjällby
0–0
UEFA CL - L
A
Mjällby
0–3
UEFA CL - D
A
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1–1
UEFA CL - W
H
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3–1
UEFA CL
Larne
WWLLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 12
- L
A
FC Iberia 1999
1–2 aet
UEFA EL - L
A
Crvena Zvezda
0–5
UEFA CL - L
H
Crvena Zvezda
0–4
UEFA CL - W
H
Tre Fiori
2–1
UEFA CL - W
A
Tre Fiori
1–0
UEFA CL
WWLLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 12
- L
A
FC Iberia 1999
1–2 aet
UEFA EL - L
A
Crvena Zvezda
0–5
UEFA CL - L
H
Crvena Zvezda
0–4
UEFA CL - W
H
Tre Fiori
2–1
UEFA CL - W
A
Tre Fiori
1–0
UEFA CL
All meetings · 4 matches since 2024
Goals 6–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%
Last 10 · 4 matches
Goals 6–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%
Last 5 · 4 matches
Goals 6–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%
Recent meetings
- W Larne 0–3 Lincoln Red Imps aet UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
- L Lincoln Red Imps 0–2 Larne neutral UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
- L Larne 3–1 Lincoln Red Imps UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
- W Lincoln Red Imps 2–1 Larne UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
| Metric | Lincoln Red Imps all · 2 | Lincoln Red Imps at home · 1 | Larne all · 2 | Larne away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lincoln Red Imps · 8 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.23) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level -0.13
Larne · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.40
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34
Lincoln Red Imps
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 2 100% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | – | – |
Larne
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 100% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | – | – |
| Metric | Lincoln Red Imps all · 10 | Lincoln Red Imps at home · 10 | Larne all · 10 | Larne away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.30 | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 4 / 3 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 2 / 3 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.90 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 30% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.41 | 1.35 | – | 0.30 |
| xG against / match | 3.04 | 2.09 | – | 1.82 |
| xG difference | -2.64 | -0.73 | – | -1.52 |
| Finishing vs xG | 1.09 | 0.31 | – | -0.30 |
| xPts / match | 0.20 | 1.05 | – | 0.38 |
| Points vs xPts | 1.29 | 1.29 | – | -0.38 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.33 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 0.83 | 0.57 | 0.29 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 50% | 29% | 29% |
| Leads held | 60% | 75% | 100% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 17% | 7% | 5% |
| Minutes level | 58% | 59% | 59% | 67% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 23% | 34% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 56 | 44 | 57 | 62 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 47 | 33 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 70% | 50% | 71% | 86% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 46% | 53% | 73% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 44% | 41% | 41% |
| Shots | 7.2 | 8.5 | 6.0 | 6.6 |
| On target | 3.7 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 38% | 58% | – | 44% |
| Big chances created | 0.5 | 1.7 | – | 0.7 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| xG from set plays | 8% | 53% | – | 36% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 50% | – | – |
| Pressure index | 6.6 | 7.2 | 11.7 | 10.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 36.9 | 37.9 | 41.0 | 31.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | 72% | – | 70% |
| Fouls | 15.7 | 16.4 | 10.9 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 2.80 | 2.70 | 2.40 | 3.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lincoln Red Imps
Larne
Lincoln Red Imps
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 0.67 | – | – |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.41 | 3.04 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
Larne
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 0.88 | 0.75 | 2.38 | – | – |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Lincoln Red Imps all · 14 | Lincoln Red Imps at home · 7 | Larne all · 7 | Larne away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 14 | 7 | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.14 | 1.71 | 1.29 | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 4 / 6 | 3 / 3 / 1 | 3 / 0 / 4 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.07 | 1.29 | 0.86 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.71 | 1.00 | 2.14 | – |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 14% | 29% | – |
| Failed to score | 36% | 29% | 43% | – |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 71% | 29% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 43% | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.96 | 1.35 | – | – |
| xG against / match | 2.46 | 2.09 | – | – |
| xG difference | -1.50 | -0.73 | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.20 | 0.31 | – | – |
| xPts / match | 0.69 | 1.05 | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.47 | 1.29 | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | 43% | 29% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.83 | 2.33 | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.57 | 1.33 | 0.60 | – |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 67% | 20% | – |
| Leads held | 57% | 75% | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 17% | 25% | 10% | – |
| Minutes level | 55% | 66% | 57% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 9% | 32% | – |
| First goal (min) | 57 | 44 | 58 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | 58 | 39 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 71% | 56% | 67% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 57% | 69% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.43 | 0.29 | 0.43 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.86 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 43% | 41% | – |
| Shots | 8.2 | 10.3 | 6.3 | – |
| On target | 3.5 | 4.1 | 2.6 | – |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 12% | 16% | – |
| Shots inside box | 56% | 58% | – | – |
| Big chances created | 1.3 | 1.7 | – | – |
| Corners | 3.8 | 3.9 | 4.3 | – |
| xG from set plays | 47% | 53% | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 50% | – | – |
| Pressure index | 5.8 | 7.0 | 9.4 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 33.2 | 36.7 | 46.9 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 72% | – | – |
| Fouls | 14.6 | 17.6 | 11.3 | – |
| Cards | 2.93 | 3.14 | 2.29 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lincoln Red Imps
Larne
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lincoln Red Imps · 14 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.26) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.56
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level -0.22
Larne · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.40
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34
Lincoln Red Imps
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 5 36% | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 0.96 | 2.55 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 21% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 0.96 | 2.04 |
| 3-5-2 | 3 21% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 0.67 | – | – |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 14% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-3 | 1 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
Larne
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 86% | 1.0 | 0.83 | 2.5 | – | – |
| 3-5-2 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 2.2h before kick-off · 3 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.92 · -0.1 | 3.31 · +0.1 | 3.95 · +0.1 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.85 ▲ +1.3 | 3.4 · +0.0 | 3.8 ▼ -1.3 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.87 · +0.8 | 3.2 · -0.1 | 3.9 · -0.7 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.9 · +0.4 | 3.4 · -0.2 | 3.9 · -0.2 | 1.0h |
| Coral | 2.0 · +0.6 | 3.3 · +0.4 | 4.0 · -0.9 | 1.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 1.95 ▲ +1.2 | 3.3 · +0.0 | 4.0 ▼ -1.2 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 2.04 · -0.4 | 3.25 · +0.4 | 3.45 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.95 · +0.0 | 3.2 · +0.0 | 3.75 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 2.2h before kick-off · 3 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.8 · +0.4 | 1.91 · -0.4 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.83 · -0.3 | 1.85 · +0.3 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.73 ▼ -1.6 | 1.95 ▲ +1.6 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 · +0.0 | 1.95 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 2.2h before kick-off · 3 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.03 · -0.3 | 1.79 · +0.3 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 1.75 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 2.0 · +0.0 | 1.73 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.98 · -0.5 | 1.7 · +0.5 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.9 ▼ -1.4 | 1.77 ▲ +1.4 | 1.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 809 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 48% | 49% | 47% | -1.9 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 29% | +1.6 |
| Away | 24% | 24% | 24% | +0.2 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Kristo Tohver
- Career
- 57 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.19 (4.96 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.0 · 3.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 7 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.57 cards, 18.6 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 | 7 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 27' | 4 |
| 2025-09-25 | 7 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 40' | 6 |
| 2025-08-28 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 23' | 7 |
