Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Larne | at home | Stat | league | away | Lincoln Red Imps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.5 #148 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 65.5 #5 |
| 5.0 #109 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 2.5 #140 |
| 4.0 #53 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 5.5 #23 |
| 8.5 #6 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 5.5 #49 |
| 14.0 #51 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 10.5 #113 |
| 1.5 #67 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | – |
| 105.5 #81 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 119.5 #43 |
| 74.0 #32 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 81.5 #19 |
| 3.5 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 2.5 #40 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.4 | – | 0.5 #2 |
| 1.0 #47 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.0 #47 |
| – #127 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #127 |
| – #11 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #11 |
| – #91 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #91 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #18 |
| 1.0 #80 | 0.0 | Goals | 1.3 | 3.0 | 1.5 #49 |
| 1.5 #59 | 3.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 #110 |
| 1.0 #2 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 1.0 #2 |
| – #27 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #27 |
| 6.4 #88 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 6.4 #85 |
| 3.0 #47 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 0.5 #134 |
| – #65 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | – #65 |
| 3.5 #92 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 4.0 #78 |
| – #65 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | – #65 |
| – #19 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #19 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Larne · Last 365 days
Lincoln Red Imps · Last 365 days
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Play-offs
- Leg
- 2/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Inver Park, Larne
- Capacity
- 6,000
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Gary Haveron · Juan Pavón Domínguez
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 3-5-2
Referee
Radoslav Gidzhenov
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 17.0° (feels 17.2°)
- Wind
- 3.0
- Humidity
- 93%
Where to watch · 1
Northern Ireland
NIFL TV
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Larne
WLLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12
- W
A
Lincoln Red Imps
2–0
UEFA ECL - L
A
FC Iberia 1999
1–2 aet
UEFA EL - L
A
Crvena Zvezda
0–5
UEFA CL - L
H
Crvena Zvezda
0–4
UEFA CL - W
H
Tre Fiori
2–1
UEFA CL
WWLLLW 3W 0D 3L · 9 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12
- W
A
Lincoln Red Imps
2–0
UEFA ECL - L
A
FC Iberia 1999
1–2 aet
UEFA EL - L
A
Crvena Zvezda
0–5
UEFA CL - L
H
Crvena Zvezda
0–4
UEFA CL - W
H
Tre Fiori
2–1
UEFA CL - W
A
Tre Fiori
1–0
UEFA CL
Lincoln Red Imps
LDDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 1 GA 7
- L
H
Larne
0–2
UEFA ECL - L
A
Omonia Nicosia
0–1
UEFA EL - D
H
Omonia Nicosia
1–1
UEFA EL - D
H
Mjällby
0–0
UEFA CL - L
A
Mjällby
0–3
UEFA CL
WDLDDLL 1W 3D 3L · 6 pts (0.86 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9
- L
H
Larne
0–2
UEFA ECL - L
A
Omonia Nicosia
0–1
UEFA EL - D
H
Omonia Nicosia
1–1
UEFA EL - D
H
Mjällby
0–0
UEFA CL - L
A
Mjällby
0–3
UEFA CL - D
A
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1–1
UEFA CL - W
H
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3–1
UEFA CL
All meetings · 4 matches since 2024
Goals 6–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%
Last 10 · 4 matches
Goals 6–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%
Last 5 · 4 matches
Goals 6–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%
Recent meetings
- L Larne 0–3 Lincoln Red Imps aet UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
- W Lincoln Red Imps 0–2 Larne neutral UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
- W Larne 3–1 Lincoln Red Imps UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
- L Lincoln Red Imps 2–1 Larne UEFA ECL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
| Metric | Larne all · 2 | Larne at home · 1 | Lincoln Red Imps all · 2 | Lincoln Red Imps away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Larne · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.40
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34
Lincoln Red Imps · 8 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.23) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level -0.13
Larne
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 100% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | – | – |
Lincoln Red Imps
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 2 100% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Larne all · 10 | Larne at home · 10 | Lincoln Red Imps all · 10 | Lincoln Red Imps away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 5 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 0.70 | 0.80 | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.80 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 50% | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 70% | 50% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | 0.57 | 0.41 | 0.57 |
| xG against / match | – | 1.57 | 3.04 | 2.84 |
| xG difference | – | -1.00 | -2.64 | -2.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | – | 0.43 | 1.09 | 0.09 |
| xPts / match | – | 0.66 | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| Points vs xPts | – | 0.34 | 1.29 | -0.34 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 29% | 20% | 0% |
| Leads held | 100% | 75% | 60% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 7% | 12% | 18% | 7% |
| Minutes level | 59% | 57% | 58% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 31% | 24% | 48% |
| First goal (min) | 57 | 36 | 56 | 72 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 28 | 46 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 71% | 50% | 70% | 100% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 41% | 50% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | 39% | 45% | 44% |
| Shots | 6.0 | 6.4 | 7.2 | 5.3 |
| On target | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 16% | 17% | 17% |
| Shots inside box | – | 69% | 38% | 54% |
| Big chances created | – | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | – | 15% | 8% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | – | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 11.7 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 28.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.0 | 35.1 | 36.9 | 27.2 |
| Pass accuracy | – | 67% | 73% | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 10.4 | 15.7 | 11.6 |
| Cards | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Larne
Lincoln Red Imps
Larne
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 0.88 | 0.75 | 2.38 | – | – |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Lincoln Red Imps
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 0.67 | – | – |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.41 | 3.04 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Larne all · 7 | Larne at home · 3 | Lincoln Red Imps all · 14 | Lincoln Red Imps away · 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 14 | 7 |
| Points per game | 1.29 | – | 1.14 | 0.57 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 0 / 4 | – | 4 / 4 / 6 | 1 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 0.86 | – | 1.07 | 0.86 |
| Goals against / match | 2.14 | – | 1.71 | 2.43 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | – | 14% | 14% |
| Failed to score | 43% | – | 36% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 29% | – | 57% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 57% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 0.96 | 0.57 |
| xG against / match | – | – | 2.46 | 2.84 |
| xG difference | – | – | -1.50 | -2.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| xPts / match | – | – | 0.69 | 0.34 |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | 0.47 | -0.34 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | – | 43% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 1.83 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | – | 0.57 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | – | 25% | 0% |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 57% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 10% | – | 17% | 10% |
| Minutes level | 57% | – | 55% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | – | 28% | 46% |
| First goal (min) | 58 | – | 57 | 72 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | – | 47 | 36 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | – | 71% | 100% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 69% | – | 54% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.43 | – | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| Late goals against | 0.86 | – | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | – | 44% | 46% |
| Shots | 6.3 | – | 8.2 | 5.8 |
| On target | 2.6 | – | 3.5 | 2.9 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | – | 14% | 17% |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 56% | 54% |
| Big chances created | – | – | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Corners | 4.3 | – | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 47% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 33% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 9.4 | – | 5.8 | 4.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.9 | – | 33.2 | 29.7 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 74% | 75% |
| Fouls | 11.3 | – | 14.6 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 2.29 | – | 2.93 | 2.71 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Larne
Lincoln Red Imps
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Larne · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.40
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34
Lincoln Red Imps · 14 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.26) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.56
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level -0.22
Larne
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 86% | 1.0 | 0.83 | 2.5 | – | – |
| 3-5-2 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Lincoln Red Imps
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 5 36% | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 0.96 | 2.55 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 21% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 0.96 | 2.04 |
| 3-5-2 | 3 21% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 0.67 | – | – |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 14% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-3 | 1 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 4.2d before kick-off · 101 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.6 pts at 4.2d
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.0 ▼ -4.7 | 3.4 ▲ +1.8 | 3.53 ▲ +2.9 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.95 ▼ -1.3 | 3.5 ▲ +1.4 | 3.4 · -0.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.91 · -0.5 | 3.3 ▲ +2.2 | 3.5 ▼ -1.7 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 2.0 · -0.3 | 3.4 · +0.5 | 3.6 · -0.2 | 1.0h |
| Coral | 2.05 ▼ -2.5 | 3.4 ▲ +1.5 | 3.6 · +1.0 | 1.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.05 ▼ -2.3 | 3.4 ▲ +1.6 | 3.6 · +0.7 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 2.02 ▼ -2.3 | 3.4 · +0.7 | 3.55 ▲ +1.6 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.95 ▼ -1.2 | 3.3 · -0.1 | 3.5 ▲ +1.3 | 1.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 2.4d before kick-off · 58 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: no +2.4 pts at 42.0h
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.9 ▼ -5.1 | 1.8 ▲ +5.1 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.83 ▼ -2.5 | 1.91 ▲ +2.5 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.75 ▼ -2.4 | 1.95 ▲ +2.4 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.7 · +0.0 | 1.98 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 ▼ -2.0 | 1.95 ▲ +2.0 | 1.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 42.0h before kick-off · 42 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: under +4.6 pts at 2.0h
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.03 ▼ -4.8 | 1.76 ▲ +4.8 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 2.05 ▼ -6.6 | 1.75 ▲ +6.6 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.91 ▼ -1.9 | 1.8 ▲ +1.9 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.9 ▼ -2.6 | 1.78 ▲ +2.6 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.84 · -0.3 | 1.84 · +0.3 | 1.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 46% | 46% | 44% | -1.8 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 30% | +1.8 |
| Away | 26% | 26% | 26% | -0.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Radoslav Gidzhenov
- Career
- 12 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.42 (4.92 yellow · 0.25 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.1 · 4.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.08
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.6 | 4.92 | +0.64 | 78 |
| Fouls / match | 21.9 | 23.8 | -0.70 | |
| Fouls per card | 3.9 | 4.8 | -1.03 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.2 | 0.29 | -0.67 | 26 |
| Time added | 5.8 | 6.5 | -0.97 | 16 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 40% (league 47%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 21' | 7 |
| 2025-11-27 | 7 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 3' | 4 |
| 2025-10-02 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 0 | 29' | 9 |
