Rating 7.71 (97th pct) · G+A 42 + 8 (42% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Team 2.1 ppg with (41) · 2.31 without (13)
Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 1
Momentum
– Real MadridInter –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Real Madrid | at home | Stat | league | away | Inter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.0 #73 | – | Ball possession | 49.8 | – | 64.0 #7 |
| 16.0 #20 | – | Shots total | 12.6 | – | 21.0 #7 |
| 8.0 #8 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 7.0 #12 |
| 4.0 #49 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 11.0 #1 |
| 10.0 #60 | – | Fouls | 11.9 | – | 7.0 #76 |
| 2.0 #28 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 4.0 #5 |
| 14.0 #30 | – | Tackles | 15.0 | – | 10.0 #45 |
| 72.0 #77 | – | Attacks | 100.6 | – | 102.0 #34 |
| 39.0 #68 | – | Dangerous attacks | 54.7 | – | 94.0 #3 |
| 353.0 #40 | – | Passes | 429.0 | – | 621.0 #8 |
| 1.0 #64 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 3.0 #9 |
| 1.0 #30 | – | Assists | 1.4 | – | 1.0 #30 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 63.9 | – | – #1 |
| – #32 | – | Cleansheet | 17.7 | – | – #32 |
| – #32 | – | Draw | 17.7 | – | – #32 |
| 3.8 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 2.0 #12 |
| -1.8 #54 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | -1.0 #52 |
| – #37 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #37 |
| 2.0 #18 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 #49 |
| 1.0 #55 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 #20 |
| 6.0 #35 | – | Interceptions | 7.7 | – | 7.0 #27 |
| – #61 | – | Lost | 43.8 | – | – #1 |
| 7.0 #13 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 7.0 #11 |
| 3.0 #36 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 5.0 #14 |
| 14.0 #6 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 15.0 #2 |
| 5.0 #34 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 9.0 #9 |
| 2.0 #41 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 6.0 #14 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 38.5 | – | – #52 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 81.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 108 of 234
- Goals / match
- 3.08 (home 1.92 · away 1.17)
- Home / draw / away
- 54% · 20% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 58%
- Cards / match
- 4.31 (reds 0.18)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Real Madrid · Last 365 days
Rating 7.29 (96th pct) · G+A 20 + 12 (27% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Team 2.16 ppg with (49) · 2.0 without (5)
Rating 7.31 (97th pct) · G+A 9 + 12 (18% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 2.19 ppg with (47) · 1.86 without (7)
Inter · Last 365 days
Rating 7.57 (100th pct) · G+A 8 + 17 (23% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 2.18 ppg with (38) · 2.27 without (11)
Rating 7.34 (98th pct) · G+A 22 + 6 (26% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 2.25 ppg with (36) · 2.08 without (13)
Rating 7.19 (86th pct) · G+A 4 + 8 (11% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.05 ppg with (39) · 2.8 without (10)
Absences
Real Madrid
- injury Rodrygo #12 key player attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 26 missed · until 2026-09-30
- suspension Arda Güler #4 key player midfielder · Red Card Suspension · 2 missed · until 2026-09-09
- suspension Bernardo Silva #23 key player midfielder · Red Card Suspension · 2 missed · until 2026-09-09
- suspension Eduardo Camavinga #14 key player midfielder · Red Card Suspension · 2 missed · until 2026-09-09
Inter
- injury Djed Spence defender · Calf Injury · 4 missed · until 2026-09-09
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- League Stage
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
- Capacity
- 84,744
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 74,858
Teams
- Coaches
- José Mourinho · Cristian Chivu
- Position
- 14 · 25
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 3-5-2
Referee
Michael Oliver
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 26.3° (feels 26.3°)
- Wind
- 5.7
- Humidity
- 32%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  FC Barcelona |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Manchester United |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Manchester City |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  Real Betis |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Lens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Aston Villa |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Real Madrid |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Liverpool |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Arsenal |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  AEK Athens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Roma |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Shakhtar Donetsk |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  PSV |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Villarreal |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Slavia Praha |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Club Brugge |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  LOSC Lille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Atlético de Madrid |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  Inter |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  LASK |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Napoli |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  Galatasaray |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  Viking |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Porto |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Feyenoord |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Sabah |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  Bodø / Glimt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 3 | FC Barcelona |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Manchester United |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Sporting CP |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Liverpool |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10 | Real Madrid |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 | AEK Athens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 | Fenerbahçe |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 13 | PSV |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 14 | Arsenal |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15 | Aston Villa |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16 | Atlético de Madrid |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17 | Bodø / Glimt |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18 | Feyenoord |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | Galatasaray |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20 | Inter |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | LASK |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | Lens |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Manchester City |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24 | RB Leipzig |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25 | Real Betis |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | Roma |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27 | Sabah |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Viking |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Villarreal |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Club Brugge |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 33 | LOSC Lille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Slavia Praha |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Napoli |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Porto |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Aston Villa |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Lens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Real Betis |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Arsenal |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Roma |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 7 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 8 | AEK Athens |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 9 | Borussia Dortmund |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 10 | Club Brugge |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 11 | Como |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12 | FC Barcelona |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 13 | FC Bayern München |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 14 | Fenerbahçe |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 15 | LOSC Lille |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 16 | Liverpool |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 17 | Manchester United |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Napoli |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | PSV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 20 | Paris Saint Germain |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 21 | Porto |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | Real Madrid |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Slavia Praha |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24 | Sporting CP |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | VfB Stuttgart |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | Villarreal |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 | Atlético de Madrid |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 | Inter |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 | LASK |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Galatasaray |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Viking |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 | Feyenoord |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Sabah |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Bodø / Glimt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Real Madrid
WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 14 GA 5 · xG 12.12–4.18 · xPts 11.5
- L
A
Real Betis
0–1
xG 2.91–0.77
ESP PL
- W
H
Málaga
4–0
xG 2.79–0.86
ESP PL - W
H
Real Sociedad
4–1
xG 2.55–0.63
ESP PL - W
A
Espanyol
2–1
xG 2.37–0.93
ESP PL - W
H
Athletic Club
4–2
xG 1.5–1.0
ESP PL
WWWWWWL 6W 0D 1L · 18 pts (2.57 ppg) · GF 17 GA 5 · xG 15.19–6.23 · xPts 14.96
- L
A
Real Betis
0–1
xG 2.91–0.77
ESP PL
- W
H
Málaga
4–0
xG 2.79–0.86
ESP PL
- W
H
Real Sociedad
4–1
xG 2.55–0.63
ESP PL
- W
A
Espanyol
2–1
xG 2.37–0.93
ESP PL
- W
H
Athletic Club
4–2
xG 1.5–1.0
ESP PL
- W
A
Sevilla
1–0
xG 1.37–1.06
ESP PL - W
H
Real Oviedo
2–0
xG 1.7–0.99
ESP PL
Inter
DDWWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 12.83–6.03 · xPts 10.29
- W
H
Napoli
3–2
xG 4.19–2.0
ITA SA
- W
A
Cagliari
1–0
xG 3.59–0.57
ITA SA - W
H
Monza
4–1
xG 1.3–1.05
ITA SA - D
A
Bologna
3–3
xG 1.49–1.49
ITA SA - D
H
Hellas Verona
1–1
xG 2.28–0.91
ITA SA
DDWWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 12.83–6.03 · xPts 10.29
- W
H
Napoli
3–2
xG 4.19–2.0
ITA SA
- W
A
Cagliari
1–0
xG 3.59–0.57
ITA SA
- W
H
Monza
4–1
xG 1.3–1.05
ITA SA
- D
A
Bologna
3–3
xG 1.49–1.49
ITA SA
- D
H
Hellas Verona
1–1
xG 2.28–0.91
ITA SA
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 5 matches since 2020
Goals 10–3 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 10 · 5 matches
Goals 10–3 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 10–3 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Real Madrid 2–1 Inter UEFA CL · League Stage
- W Real Madrid 2–0 Inter UEFA CL · Group Stage
- W Inter 0–1 Real Madrid neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
- W Inter 0–2 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Group Stage
- W Real Madrid 3–2 Inter UEFA CL · Group Stage
| Metric | Real Madrid all · 1 | Real Madrid at home · 1 | Inter all · 1 | Inter away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Real Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.477
Early press (0-15, level)+0.317
Late push (76+, level)+0.733
Game state
When ahead+0.346
When level+0.677
10 min after conceding-0.016
10 min after scoring+1.026
Situations
At home+0.244
Away+0.703
4+ days rest+0.456
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.693
v bottom-tier opponents+0.702
As favourite+0.477
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.056
Conceded late (76+)-0.496
Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -1.19
Inter · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202
Game state
When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425
Situations
At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414
Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 1 100% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.77 | 2.03 |
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 1 100% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.03 | 3.77 |
| Metric | Real Madrid all · 10 | Real Madrid at home · 10 | Inter all · 10 | Inter away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 0 / 1 | 8 / 1 / 1 | 6 / 3 / 1 | 4 / 3 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 2.60 | 2.70 | 2.50 | 1.80 |
| Goals against / match | 0.90 | 1.10 | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 80% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.47 | 2.40 | 2.26 | 1.79 |
| xG against / match | 1.10 | 1.29 | 1.40 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | 1.37 | 1.12 | 0.86 | 0.23 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.30 | 0.24 | 0.01 |
| xPts / match | 2.16 | 2.03 | 1.87 | 1.53 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.54 | 0.47 | 0.23 | -0.03 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 90% | 80% | 70% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 50% | 75% | 40% |
| Leads held | 100% | 89% | 67% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 59% | 53% | 46% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 39% | 35% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 1% | 8% | 20% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 21 | 35 | 32 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 57 | 55 | 41 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | 52% | 64% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | 64% | 50% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 56% | 64% | 59% |
| Shots | 18.4 | 19.4 | 18.9 | 16.0 |
| On target | 7.4 | 8.9 | 6.5 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 66% | 74% | 77% |
| Big chances created | 4.3 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 19% | 24% | 22% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 4% | 0% | 13% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 18.4 | 18.0 | 21.0 | 17.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.8 | 58.9 | 65.5 | 57.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 90% | 91% | 88% |
| Fouls | 8.8 | 8.5 | 8.1 | 9.7 |
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Madrid
0–15'50
16–30'61
31–45'52
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'74
Inter
0–15'32
16–30'34
31–45'31
46–60'53
61–75'41
76–90'73
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 2.5 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 0.99 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.99 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.57 | 1.55 |
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 10 100% | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.26 | 1.4 |
| Metric | Real Madrid all · 54 | Real Madrid at home · 27 | Inter all · 49 | Inter away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 54 | 27 | 49 | 24 |
| Points per game | 2.15 | 2.48 | 2.20 | 2.13 |
| W / D / L | 37 / 5 / 12 | 22 / 1 / 4 | 34 / 6 / 9 | 16 / 3 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.20 | 2.59 | 2.22 | 1.92 |
| Goals against / match | 1.09 | 0.89 | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 30% | 43% | 54% |
| Failed to score | 11% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 63% | 51% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 70% | 59% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.08 | 2.34 | 2.10 | 1.87 |
| xG against / match | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.15 |
| xG difference | 0.78 | 1.09 | 1.11 | 0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.25 | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| xPts / match | 1.83 | 2.00 | 2.01 | 1.81 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.32 | 0.48 | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 72% | 82% | 74% | 75% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 2.77 | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.79 | 1.20 | 0.92 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 33% | 36% | 29% |
| Leads held | 86% | 92% | 85% | 84% |
| Minutes leading | 43% | 52% | 46% | 46% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 40% | 42% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 12% | 8% | 13% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 30 | 33 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 52 | 47 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 51% | 60% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 58% | 57% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.19 | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 57% | 60% | 60% |
| Shots | 17.5 | 19.3 | 18.0 | 16.8 |
| On target | 6.8 | 7.7 | 6.1 | 5.5 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 66% | 73% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 3.6 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 32% | 27% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 7% | 17% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 20.2 | 20.7 | 22.7 | 21.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.9 | 61.6 | 65.3 | 62.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 90% | 88% | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 10.0 | 11.9 | 11.8 |
| Cards | 2.24 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 1.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Madrid
0–15'115
16–30'284
31–45'1716
46–60'229
61–75'149
76–90'2716
Inter
0–15'145
16–30'128
31–45'188
46–60'207
61–75'177
76–90'2814
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Real Madrid · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.78
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4854
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2354
Late push (76+, level)+0.5216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1511
Game state
When ahead+0.4843
When level+0.4954
When behind+0.4717
10 min after conceding+0.4236
10 min after scoring+0.7847
Situations
With ten men+0.375
Against ten men+0.137
At home+0.3827
Away+0.5827
3 days rest or fewer+0.3416
4+ days rest+0.5438
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0915
v mid-tier opponents+0.5519
v bottom-tier opponents+0.598
As favourite+0.5844
Evenly matched+0.205
As underdog-0.065
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1854
Conceded when ahead-0.1743
Conceded late (76+)-0.3244
Congested vs rested -0.20 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.02
Inter · 49 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.58) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.96
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5849
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5149
Late push (76+, level)+0.1713
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3411
Game state
When ahead+0.4639
When level+0.7049
When behind+0.5914
10 min after conceding+0.1527
10 min after scoring+0.6545
Situations
Against ten men+0.104
At home+0.5425
Away+0.6224
3 days rest or fewer+0.9613
4+ days rest+0.4536
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4419
v mid-tier opponents+0.3612
v bottom-tier opponents+0.785
As favourite+0.6044
Evenly matched+0.304
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2349
Conceded when ahead-0.2739
Conceded late (76+)-0.2142
Congested vs rested +0.51 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level -0.11
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 25 46% | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 2.0 | 2.29 | 1.29 | 2.15 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 18% | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.49 | 1.28 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.88 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.62 | 1.15 |
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 49 100% | 2.2 | 2.22 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.2 pts at 3.1d
1.59Home 61% · +1.0 ptsopened 1.584.54Draw 21% · -0.4 ptsopened 4.355.42Away 18% · -0.5 ptsopened 5.15
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.59 · +1.0 | 4.54 · -0.4 | 5.42 · -0.5 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.6 · -0.3 | 4.5 ▼ -1.7 | 5.0 ▲ +2.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.57 · +0.5 | 4.5 · -0.6 | 5.0 · +0.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.55 ▲ +1.6 | 4.6 · -1.0 | 5.25 · -0.6 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.57 ▲ +3.0 | 4.6 ▼ -1.9 | 5.0 ▼ -1.1 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.55 ▲ +2.3 | 4.5 ▼ -1.5 | 5.0 · -0.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.57 ▼ -1.0 | 4.5 · -0.1 | 5.25 ▲ +1.1 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.57 ▲ +1.1 | 4.2 ▼ -1.1 | 5.0 · -0.0 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 2.2d
1.5Yes 62% ▲ +3.6 ptsopened 1.572.5No 38% ▼ -3.6 ptsopened 2.25
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.5 ▲ +3.6 | 2.5 ▼ -3.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▲ +7.5 | 2.63 ▼ -7.5 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.44 ▲ +3.9 | 2.55 ▼ -3.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.49 ▲ +5.3 | 2.55 ▼ -5.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.5 ▲ +3.5 | 2.5 ▼ -3.5 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -2.6 pts at 38.0h
1.42Over 67% ▲ +5.2 ptsopened 1.532.93Under 33% ▼ -5.2 ptsopened 2.51
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.42 ▲ +5.2 | 2.93 ▼ -5.2 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.4 ▲ +6.1 | 3.0 ▼ -6.1 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▲ +4.5 | 2.8 ▼ -4.5 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.4 ▲ +4.6 | 2.66 ▼ -4.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.41 ▲ +6.0 | 2.9 ▼ -6.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.6Home 60% P 61%4.5Draw 21% P 21%5.0Away 19% P 18%
Double Chance
1.16Real Madrid or Draw 40%1.18Real Madrid or Inter Milan 40%2.3Draw or Inter Milan 20%
Draw No Bet
1.221 77%4.02 23%
Both Teams To Score
1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.4Over 68% P 67%3.0Under 32% P 33%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54% P 54%2.0Under 46% P 46%
4.52.1Over 44% P 36%1.66Under 56% P 64%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 17.5–20% · 138 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 61% | 61% | 65% | +4.3 |
| Draw | 21% | 21% | 18% | -2.8 |
| Away | 18% | 18% | 17% | -1.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 70%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 66% | 69% | +3.2 |
Michael Oliver
- Career
- 622 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.53 (3.38 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Champions League (5-year window · 36 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.72 | 4.4 | +0.70 | 74 |
| Fouls / match | 23.2 | 22.7 | +0.49 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.9 | 5.2 | -0.64 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.32 | -0.94 | 13 |
| Time added | 5.6 | 6.5 | -0.96 | 16 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 45% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.21
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 39' | 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 55' | 7 |
| 2026-08-25 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 3' | 6 |
| 2026-08-22 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 34' | 19 |
| 2026-08-11 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 43' | 4 |
| 2026-05-24 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 13' | 13 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 90' | 10 |
| 2026-05-04 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 45' | 8 |
| 2026-04-25 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 46' | 5 |
| 2026-04-18 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 25' | 9 |