Rating 7.52 (99th pct) · G+A 14 + 10 (26% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 1
Momentum
– LiverpoolATM –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Liverpool | at home | Stat | league | away | Atlético de Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.0 #56 | – | Ball possession | 49.8 | – | 55.0 #24 |
| 14.0 #26 | – | Shots total | 12.6 | – | 9.0 #54 |
| 5.0 #30 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.0 #50 |
| 7.0 #8 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 5.0 #31 |
| 11.0 #53 | – | Fouls | 11.9 | – | 10.0 #60 |
| 3.0 #13 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 5.0 #3 |
| 14.0 #30 | – | Tackles | 15.0 | – | 22.0 #6 |
| 114.0 #22 | – | Attacks | 100.6 | – | 86.0 #59 |
| 54.0 #42 | – | Dangerous attacks | 54.7 | – | 44.0 #58 |
| 421.0 #33 | – | Passes | 429.0 | – | 516.0 #14 |
| 1.0 #64 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 1.0 #64 |
| 2.0 #12 | – | Assists | 1.4 | – | 1.0 #30 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 63.9 | – | – #1 |
| – #32 | – | Cleansheet | 17.7 | – | – #32 |
| – #32 | – | Draw | 17.7 | – | – #32 |
| 1.5 #24 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.6 #44 |
| 0.5 #27 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | 0.4 #32 |
| – #37 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #37 |
| 2.0 #18 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 #49 |
| 1.0 #55 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 #20 |
| 9.0 #15 | – | Interceptions | 7.7 | – | 8.0 #22 |
| – #61 | – | Lost | 43.8 | – | – #1 |
| 6.9 #19 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.8 #25 |
| 4.0 #21 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 1.0 #68 |
| 12.0 #12 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 4.0 #42 |
| 5.0 #34 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 4.0 #53 |
| 2.0 #41 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 5.0 #27 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 38.5 | – | – #52 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 81.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 108 of 234
- Goals / match
- 3.08 (home 1.92 · away 1.17)
- Home / draw / away
- 54% · 20% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 58%
- Cards / match
- 4.31 (reds 0.18)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Liverpool · Last 365 days
Rating 7.09 (93th pct) · G+A 7 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.09 (88th pct) · G+A 7 + 8 (16% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Team 1.56 ppg with (39) · 1.53 without (15)
Atlético de Madrid · Last 365 days
Rating 7.32 (93th pct) · G+A 17 + 8 (24% of team goals) · 59% of minutes
Team 1.76 ppg with (34) · 1.86 without (22)
Rating 6.93 (86th pct) · G+A 3 + 6 (9% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Team 1.76 ppg with (38) · 1.89 without (18)
Rating 6.94 (79th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (4% of team goals) · 67% of minutes
Team 1.84 ppg with (38) · 1.72 without (18)
Absences
Liverpool
- injury Vitezslav Jaros goalkeeper · Knee Injury · 18 missed · until 2026-10-01
- suspension Wataru Endo #20 key player midfielder · No Eligibility · 2 missed · until 2027-01-28
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- League Stage
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Anfield, Liverpool
- Capacity
- 61,276
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 60,216
Teams
- Coaches
- Andoni Iraola · D. Simeone
- Position
- 28 · 21
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2
Referee
Davide Massa
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 10.5° (feels 9.9°)
- Wind
- 2.6
- Humidity
- 86%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  FC Barcelona |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Manchester United |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Manchester City |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  Real Betis |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Lens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Aston Villa |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Real Madrid |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Liverpool |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Arsenal |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  AEK Athens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Roma |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Shakhtar Donetsk |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  PSV |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Villarreal |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Slavia Praha |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Club Brugge |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  LOSC Lille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Atlético de Madrid |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  Inter |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  LASK |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Napoli |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  Galatasaray |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  Viking |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Porto |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Feyenoord |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Sabah |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  Bodø / Glimt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 3 | FC Barcelona |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Manchester United |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Sporting CP |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Liverpool |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10 | Real Madrid |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 | AEK Athens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 | Fenerbahçe |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 13 | PSV |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 14 | Arsenal |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15 | Aston Villa |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16 | Atlético de Madrid |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17 | Bodø / Glimt |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18 | Feyenoord |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | Galatasaray |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20 | Inter |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | LASK |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | Lens |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Manchester City |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24 | RB Leipzig |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25 | Real Betis |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | Roma |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27 | Sabah |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Viking |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Villarreal |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Club Brugge |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 33 | LOSC Lille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Slavia Praha |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Napoli |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Porto |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Aston Villa |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Lens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Real Betis |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Arsenal |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Roma |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 7 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 8 | AEK Athens |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 9 | Borussia Dortmund |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 10 | Club Brugge |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 11 | Como |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12 | FC Barcelona |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 13 | FC Bayern München |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 14 | Fenerbahçe |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 15 | LOSC Lille |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 16 | Liverpool |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 17 | Manchester United |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Napoli |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | PSV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 20 | Paris Saint Germain |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 21 | Porto |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | Real Madrid |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Slavia Praha |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24 | Sporting CP |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | VfB Stuttgart |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | Villarreal |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 | Atlético de Madrid |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 | Inter |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 | LASK |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Galatasaray |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Viking |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 | Feyenoord |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Sabah |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Bodø / Glimt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Liverpool
LDDDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 10.14–8.09 · xPts 7.71
- W
A
Ipswich Town
2–0
xG 0.71–1.03
UK PL - D
H
Nottingham Forest
2–2
xG 1.87–2.41
UK PL - D
A
Newcastle United
2–2
xG 3.64–1.27
UK PL - D
H
Brentford
1–1
xG 2.81–1.38
UK PL - L
A
Aston Villa
2–4
xG 1.12–1.99
UK PL
LDDDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 10.14–8.09 · xPts 7.71
- W
A
Ipswich Town
2–0
xG 0.71–1.03
UK PL
- D
H
Nottingham Forest
2–2
xG 1.87–2.41
UK PL
- D
A
Newcastle United
2–2
xG 3.64–1.27
UK PL
- D
H
Brentford
1–1
xG 2.81–1.38
UK PL
- L
A
Aston Villa
2–4
xG 1.12–1.99
UK PL
Atlético de Madrid
LWDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 11 · xG 5.28–8.65 · xPts 5.26
- L
A
Athletic Club
0–3
xG 0.97–1.21
ESP PL - W
A
Sevilla
3–1
xG 1.2–1.46
ESP PL - D
H
Villarreal
2–2
xG 1.14–3.16
ESP PL
- W
H
Málaga
2–0
xG 0.97–0.35
ESP PL - L
A
Villarreal
1–5
xG 1.01–2.47
ESP PL
WWLWDWL 4W 1D 2L · 13 pts (1.86 ppg) · GF 11 GA 12 · xG 9.24–13.16 · xPts 7.73
- L
A
Athletic Club
0–3
xG 0.97–1.21
ESP PL
- W
A
Sevilla
3–1
xG 1.2–1.46
ESP PL
- D
H
Villarreal
2–2
xG 1.14–3.16
ESP PL
- W
H
Málaga
2–0
xG 0.97–0.35
ESP PL
- L
A
Villarreal
1–5
xG 1.01–2.47
ESP PL
- W
H
Girona
1–0
xG 2.49–2.34
ESP PL - W
A
Osasuna
2–1
xG 1.47–2.18
ESP PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
63.8%Liverpool P 54%19.0%Draw P 25%17.2%Atlético de Madrid P 21%
Over / under 2.5
68.0%Over 2.5 P 62%32.0%Under 2.5 P 38%
Both teams to score
62.2%Yes37.8%No
Expected
- Liverpool goals
- 2.35 (1–4)
- Atlético de Madrid goals
- 1.16 (0–3)
- Corners
- 9.09 (5–14)
- Cards
- 4.06 (1–7)
Earlier: day before — 63.8% / 19.0% / 17.2%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
47.9%Liverpool23.1%Draw29.0%Atlético de Madrid
Over / under 2.5
59.3%Over 2.540.7%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
57.8%Yes42.2%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.45 | 0.197 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.385 | 0.204 |
| btts | yes | 0.475 | 0.286 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 10 matches since 2008
Goals 16–13 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 16–13 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 12–8 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Liverpool 2–1 Atlético de Madrid UEFA CL · League Stage
- W Liverpool 3–2 Atlético de Madrid UEFA CL · League Stage
- W Liverpool 2–0 Atlético de Madrid UEFA CL · Group Stage
- W Atlético de Madrid 2–3 Liverpool neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
- L Liverpool 2–3 Atlético de Madrid aet UEFA CL · Round of 16 · leg 2/2
- L Atlético de Madrid 1–0 Liverpool neutral UEFA CL · Round of 16 · leg 1/2
- W Liverpool 2–1 Atlético de Madrid aet UEFA EL · Semi-finals · leg 2/2
- L Atlético de Madrid 1–0 Liverpool UEFA EL · Semi-finals · leg 1/2
- D Liverpool 1–1 Atlético de Madrid UEFA CL · Group Stage
- D Atlético de Madrid 1–1 Liverpool neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
| Metric | Liverpool all · 1 | Liverpool at home · 1 | Atlético de Madrid all · 1 | Atlético de Madrid away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Liverpool · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when behind +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.115
Early press (0-15, level)-0.325
Late push (76+, level)+0.113
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202
Game state
When ahead-0.172
When level-0.075
When behind+0.573
10 min after conceding+0.453
10 min after scoring+0.474
Situations
At home-0.043
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.174
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.043
As favourite+0.115
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.215
Conceded when ahead-0.072
Conceded late (76+)-0.405
Congested vs rested -0.30 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level +0.64
Atlético de Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+1.242
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.403
Game state
When ahead+0.436
When level+0.357
When behind+0.363
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+0.576
Situations
At home+0.573
Away+0.234
4+ days rest+0.226
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.614
As favourite+0.415
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.237
Conceded when ahead-0.266
Conceded late (76+)-0.486
Congested vs rested +1.46 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.01
Liverpool
Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 100% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.46 | 0.6 |
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 1 100% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.46 |
| Metric | Liverpool all · 10 | Liverpool at home · 10 | Atlético de Madrid all · 10 | Atlético de Madrid away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.70 | 1.90 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 2 | 4 / 5 / 1 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 4 / 0 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 0.90 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | 80% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.56 | 1.92 | 1.56 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.47 | 1.09 | 1.54 | 1.68 |
| xG difference | 0.09 | 0.83 | 0.01 | -0.55 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.14 | -0.32 | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| xPts / match | 1.43 | 1.80 | 1.37 | 1.05 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.03 | -0.10 | 0.53 | 0.15 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 80% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.38 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 67% | 25% | 0% |
| Leads held | 60% | 57% | 75% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 36% | 39% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 54% | 44% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 10% | 17% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 35 | 37 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 53 | 56 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 65% | 50% | 58% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 67% | 64% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 56% | 54% | 50% |
| Shots | 14.8 | 17.0 | 14.1 | 11.1 |
| On target | 5.0 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 9% | 14% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 68% | 62% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 19% | 25% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 0% | 11% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 13.9 | 14.4 | 13.9 | 10.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.3 | 58.7 | 53.6 | 43.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 84% | 86% | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.3 | 10.9 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.20 | 2.20 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Liverpool
0–15'33
16–30'02
31–45'32
46–60'72
61–75'04
76–90'42
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'20
16–30'41
31–45'24
46–60'24
61–75'32
76–90'63
Liverpool
Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.56 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.6 | 1.27 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.14 | 3.22 |
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 5 50% | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.72 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.4 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 0.35 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.39 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.46 |
| Metric | Liverpool all · 54 | Liverpool at home · 27 | Atlético de Madrid all · 56 | Atlético de Madrid away · 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 54 | 27 | 56 | 28 |
| Points per game | 1.56 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.29 |
| W / D / L | 24 / 12 / 18 | 14 / 8 / 5 | 31 / 8 / 17 | 10 / 6 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 1.72 | 1.93 | 1.88 | 1.39 |
| Goals against / match | 1.31 | 1.04 | 1.30 | 1.57 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 33% | 30% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 15% | 14% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 59% | 57% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 56% | 62% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.86 | 2.14 | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| xG against / match | 1.20 | 1.07 | 1.41 | 1.65 |
| xG difference | 0.66 | 1.08 | 0.21 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.22 | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.73 | 1.94 | 1.49 | 1.09 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.17 | -0.09 | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 63% | 71% | 64% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.52 | 2.35 | 2.25 | 1.78 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 28% | 44% | 29% | 8% |
| Leads held | 77% | 74% | 72% | 53% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 40% | 34% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 48% | 50% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 12% | 15% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 36 | 32 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 48 | 42 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 50% | 55% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 61% | 71% | 58% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.41 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 58% | 52% | 50% |
| Shots | 16.3 | 18.9 | 13.8 | 11.1 |
| On target | 5.4 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 14% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 68% | 68% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 21% | 26% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 8% | 18% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 20.4 | 21.9 | 16.5 | 11.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.8 | 62.2 | 52.5 | 42.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 85% | 85% | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.8 | 11.0 | 11.8 |
| Cards | 1.50 | 1.11 | 2.07 | 2.43 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Liverpool
0–15'811
16–30'87
31–45'2010
46–60'2112
61–75'1413
76–90'2218
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'195
16–30'1211
31–45'1615
46–60'1514
61–75'1712
76–90'2616
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Liverpool · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.45) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.71
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4554
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1654
Late push (76+, level)+0.1022
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5519
Game state
When ahead+0.3931
When level+0.4754
When behind+0.4825
10 min after conceding+0.1038
10 min after scoring+0.7144
Situations
Against ten men+1.112
At home+0.4227
Away+0.4827
3 days rest or fewer+0.5620
4+ days rest+0.3934
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.2332
v mid-tier opponents+0.6314
As favourite+0.6041
Evenly matched-0.058
As underdog+0.065
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1654
Conceded when ahead-0.1831
Conceded late (76+)-0.2348
Congested vs rested +0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level +0.01
Atlético de Madrid · 56 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.31) · stands out: against ten men -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3156
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2856
Late push (76+, level)+0.1617
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1717
Game state
When ahead+0.3343
When level+0.3556
When behind+0.1424
10 min after conceding-0.0838
10 min after scoring+0.6048
Situations
With ten men-0.116
Against ten men-0.624
At home+0.4628
Away+0.1728
3 days rest or fewer+0.3423
4+ days rest+0.2933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0512
v mid-tier opponents+0.4224
v bottom-tier opponents+0.296
As favourite+0.4735
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog-0.108
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0756
Conceded when ahead-0.0743
Conceded late (76+)-0.2350
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.21
Liverpool
Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 44 82% | 1.64 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.14 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 4 7% | 0.75 | 1.75 | 2.5 | 1.37 | 2.05 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 3 6% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.67 | 2.18 | 1.04 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.48 | 0.43 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.14 | 1.21 |
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 38 68% | 1.76 | 2.05 | 1.34 | 1.69 | 1.39 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.01 | 1.12 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 7% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.78 | 2.16 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.67 | 2.47 | 1.06 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.18 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.5 pts at 3.5d
1.78Home 54% · -0.4 ptsopened 1.733.95Draw 25% · +0.9 ptsopened 4.014.62Away 21% · -0.5 ptsopened 4.42
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.78 · -0.4 | 3.95 · +0.9 | 4.62 · -0.5 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.72 · -0.3 | 4.0 · +0.2 | 4.5 · +0.1 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.75 · -0.5 | 3.9 ▲ +1.1 | 4.6 · -0.5 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.73 · -0.1 | 4.1 · -0.2 | 4.33 · +0.3 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.73 · +0.5 | 4.0 · -0.1 | 4.4 · -0.4 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.73 · +0.3 | 3.9 · -0.2 | 4.33 · -0.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.73 ▼ -1.1 | 3.95 · +0.2 | 4.5 · +0.9 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.73 · -0.5 | 3.75 · +0.7 | 4.33 · -0.2 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 3.5d
1.53Yes 61% ▲ +4.9 ptsopened 1.662.37No 39% ▼ -4.9 ptsopened 2.1
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.53 ▲ +4.9 | 2.37 ▼ -4.9 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▲ +6.9 | 2.63 ▼ -6.9 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.5 ▲ +2.6 | 2.4 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.52 ▲ +4.9 | 2.48 ▼ -4.9 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.55 ▲ +4.4 | 2.45 ▼ -4.4 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.6 pts at 13.0h
1.56Over 62% ▲ +2.9 ptsopened 1.612.54Under 38% ▼ -2.9 ptsopened 2.32
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.56 ▲ +2.9 | 2.54 ▼ -2.9 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.57 ▲ +1.3 | 2.37 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.53 ▲ +4.1 | 2.5 ▼ -4.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.52 ▲ +2.6 | 2.31 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.52 ▲ +4.7 | 2.5 ▼ -4.7 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.72Home 55% P 54%4.0Draw 24% P 25%4.5Away 21% P 21%
Double Chance
1.18Liverpool or Draw 39%1.22Liverpool or Atletico Madrid 38%2.05Draw or Atletico Madrid 23%
Draw No Bet
1.31 72%3.42 28%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.57Over 60% P 62%2.37Under 40% P 38%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 52%1.83Under 50% P 48%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 54% | 54% | 56% | +2.6 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 27% | +1.4 |
| Away | 21% | 21% | 17% | -4.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 61% | 63% | +1.5 |
Davide Massa
- Career
- 316 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.86 (4.64 yellow · 0.13 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.0 · 4.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.31
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Champions League (5-year window · 30 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.73 | 4.4 | -0.81 | 19 |
| Fouls / match | 21.6 | 22.7 | -0.57 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.0 | 5.2 | +0.54 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.37 | 0.32 | +0.23 | 61 |
| Time added | 6.0 | 6.5 | -0.47 | 32 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 21% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | – | – | 19 | – | – | 9 |
| 2026-08-19 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 76' | 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 10' | 5 |
| 2026-05-17 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 22' | 10 |
| 2026-05-07 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 6' | 7 |
| 2026-04-25 | 7 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 12' | 6 |
| 2026-04-16 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 35' | 12 |
| 2026-04-12 | 10 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 24' | 6 |
| 2026-04-06 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 15' | 6 |
| 2026-03-19 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 25' | 6 |