Rating 7.16 (84th pct) · G+A 14 + 3 (25% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.71 ppg with (38) · 1.6 without (10)
Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 1
Momentum
– NapoliArsenal –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Napoli | at home | Stat | league | away | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.0 #63 | – | Ball possession | 49.8 | – | 58.0 #15 |
| 5.0 #76 | – | Shots total | 12.6 | – | 26.0 #2 |
| 3.0 #59 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 8.0 #8 |
| – | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 6.0 #18 |
| 12.0 #36 | – | Fouls | 11.9 | – | 11.0 #53 |
| 1.0 #47 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 1.0 #47 |
| 15.0 #28 | – | Tackles | 15.0 | – | 9.0 #46 |
| 68.0 #79 | – | Attacks | 100.6 | – | 133.0 #9 |
| 20.0 #79 | – | Dangerous attacks | 54.7 | – | 110.0 #1 |
| 445.0 #27 | – | Passes | 429.0 | – | 608.0 #10 |
| 2.0 #31 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 1.0 #64 |
| – | – | Assists | 1.4 | – | 1.0 #30 |
| – #71 | – | Btts | 63.9 | – | – #71 |
| – #32 | – | Cleansheet | 17.7 | – | – #1 |
| – #32 | – | Draw | 17.7 | – | – #32 |
| 0.3 #52 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 3.6 #3 |
| -0.3 #45 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | -2.6 #55 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #37 |
| 0.0 #79 | 0.0 | Goals | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 #49 |
| 1.0 #55 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 #77 |
| 4.0 #49 | – | Interceptions | 7.7 | – | 6.0 #35 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 43.8 | – | – #61 |
| 6.8 #30 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 7.1 #5 |
| 2.0 #50 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 7.0 #3 |
| 2.0 #53 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 15.0 #2 |
| 0.0 #81 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 11.0 #3 |
| 3.0 #36 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 11.0 #4 |
| – #52 | – | Win | 38.5 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 81.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 108 of 234
- Goals / match
- 3.08 (home 1.92 · away 1.17)
- Home / draw / away
- 54% · 20% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 58%
- Cards / match
- 4.31 (reds 0.18)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Napoli · Last 365 days
Rating 6.82 (48th pct) · G+A 16 + 5 (31% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Team 1.67 ppg with (43) · 1.8 without (5)
Rating 7.27 (91th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (13% of team goals) · 32% of minutes
Team 1.53 ppg with (15) · 1.76 without (33)
Arsenal · Last 365 days
Rating 7.36 (98th pct) · G+A 5 + 8 (12% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 2.28 ppg with (47) · 2.7 without (10)
Rating 7.21 (93th pct) · G+A 12 + 8 (18% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 2.51 ppg with (37) · 2.05 without (20)
Rating 7.13 (95th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (8% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Team 2.26 ppg with (43) · 2.64 without (14)
Absences
Napoli
- injury Giovane #21 key player attacker · Inguinal Hernia · 2 missed · until 2026-10-08
Arsenal
- injury Jurriën Timber #10 key player defender · Groin Injury · 8 missed
- injury William Saliba #12 key player defender · Back Injury · 8 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- League Stage
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
- Capacity
- 54,726
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 44,083
Teams
- Coaches
- Massimiliano Allegri · Mikel Arteta
- Position
- 26 · 12
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Glenn Nyberg
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 26.4° (feels 26.4°)
- Wind
- 0.5
- Humidity
- 78%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  FC Barcelona |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Manchester United |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Manchester City |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  Real Betis |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Lens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Aston Villa |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Real Madrid |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Liverpool |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Arsenal |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  AEK Athens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Roma |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Shakhtar Donetsk |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  PSV |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Villarreal |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Slavia Praha |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Club Brugge |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  LOSC Lille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Atlético de Madrid |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  Inter |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  LASK |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Napoli |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  Galatasaray |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  Viking |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Porto |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Feyenoord |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Sabah |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  Bodø / Glimt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 3 | FC Barcelona |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Manchester United |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Sporting CP |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Liverpool |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10 | Real Madrid |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 | AEK Athens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 | Fenerbahçe |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 13 | PSV |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 14 | Arsenal |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15 | Aston Villa |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16 | Atlético de Madrid |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17 | Bodø / Glimt |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18 | Feyenoord |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | Galatasaray |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20 | Inter |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | LASK |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | Lens |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Manchester City |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24 | RB Leipzig |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25 | Real Betis |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | Roma |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27 | Sabah |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Viking |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Villarreal |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Club Brugge |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 33 | LOSC Lille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Slavia Praha |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Napoli |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Porto |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Aston Villa |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Lens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Real Betis |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Arsenal |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Roma |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 7 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 8 | AEK Athens |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 9 | Borussia Dortmund |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 10 | Club Brugge |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 11 | Como |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12 | FC Barcelona |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 13 | FC Bayern München |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 14 | Fenerbahçe |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 15 | LOSC Lille |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 16 | Liverpool |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 17 | Manchester United |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Napoli |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | PSV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 20 | Paris Saint Germain |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 21 | Porto |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | Real Madrid |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Slavia Praha |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24 | Sporting CP |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | VfB Stuttgart |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | Villarreal |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 | Atlético de Madrid |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 | Inter |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 | LASK |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Galatasaray |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Viking |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 | Feyenoord |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Sabah |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Bodø / Glimt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Napoli
WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 7.75–7.23 · xPts 7.87
- L
A
Inter
2–3
xG 2.0–4.19
ITA SA
- L
H
Como
1–2
xG 1.88–1.15
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–0
xG 0.91–0.62
ITA SA - W
H
Udinese
1–0
xG 1.85–0.57
ITA SA - W
A
Pisa
3–0
xG 1.11–0.71
ITA SA
WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 7.75–7.23 · xPts 7.87
- L
A
Inter
2–3
xG 2.0–4.19
ITA SA
- L
H
Como
1–2
xG 1.88–1.15
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–0
xG 0.91–0.62
ITA SA
- W
H
Udinese
1–0
xG 1.85–0.57
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
3–0
xG 1.11–0.71
ITA SA
Arsenal
WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 8.43–4.18 · xPts 9.77
- W
H
Chelsea
2–1
xG 2.26–0.47
UK PL - W
A
Aston Villa
1–0
xG 1.25–0.43
UK PL
- W
H
Coventry City
3–0
xG 2.08–0.19
UK PL - D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1–1 lost on pens None–None
xG 0.43–2.17
UEFA CL
- W
A
Crystal Palace
2–1
xG 2.42–0.93
UK PL
WWDWWW 5W 1D 0L · 16 pts (2.67 ppg) · GF 10 GA 3 · xG 9.84–4.57 · xPts 11.92
- W
H
Chelsea
2–1
xG 2.26–0.47
UK PL
- W
A
Aston Villa
1–0
xG 1.25–0.43
UK PL
- W
H
Coventry City
3–0
xG 2.08–0.19
UK PL
- D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1–1 lost on pens None–None
xG 0.43–2.17
UEFA CL
- W
A
Crystal Palace
2–1
xG 2.42–0.93
UK PL
- W
H
Burnley
1–0
xG 1.4–0.39
UK PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
22.2%Napoli P 15%25.4%Draw P 24%52.4%Arsenal P 61%
Over / under 2.5
47.5%Over 2.5 P 49%52.5%Under 2.5 P 51%
Both teams to score
49.6%Yes50.4%No
Expected
- Napoli goals
- 0.96 (0–2)
- Arsenal goals
- 1.61 (0–3)
- Corners
- 8.23 (4–13)
- Cards
- 3.33 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 22.2% / 25.4% / 52.4%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
30.8%Napoli23.5%Draw45.7%Arsenal
Over / under 2.5
53.1%Over 2.546.9%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
52.3%Yes47.7%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 0.646 | 0.34 |
| btts | no | 0.686 | 0.493 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 0.644 | 0.451 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 5 matches since 2013
Goals 2–6 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 5 matches
Goals 2–6 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 2–6 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- L Napoli 0–1 Arsenal UEFA CL · League Stage
- L Napoli 0–1 Arsenal UEFA EL · Quarter-finals · leg 2/2
- L Arsenal 2–0 Napoli UEFA EL · Quarter-finals · leg 1/2
- W Napoli 2–0 Arsenal UEFA CL · Group Stage
- L Arsenal 2–0 Napoli neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
| Metric | Napoli all · 1 | Napoli at home · 1 | Arsenal all · 1 | Arsenal away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Napoli · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433
Game state
When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824
Situations
At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115
Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20
Arsenal · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: v top-tier opponents +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.565
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Game state
When ahead+0.275
When level+0.625
10 min after scoring+0.555
Situations
At home+0.622
Away+0.543
3 days rest or fewer+0.632
4+ days rest+0.513
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.683
v mid-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.565
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.355
Conceded when ahead-0.355
Conceded late (76+)-0.354
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +1.76
Napoli
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 1 100% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.31 | 3.6 |
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 100% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 0.31 |
| Metric | Napoli all · 10 | Napoli at home · 10 | Arsenal all · 10 | Arsenal away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 4 | 6 / 0 / 4 | 9 / 1 / 0 | 6 / 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 40% | 70% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 40% | 30% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 30% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.45 | 1.40 | 1.84 | 1.74 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.19 | 0.85 | 1.23 |
| xG difference | 0.05 | 0.21 | 0.98 | 0.52 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.15 | 0.00 | -0.34 | -0.54 |
| xPts / match | 1.53 | 1.62 | 1.98 | 1.67 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.07 | 0.18 | 0.82 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 50% | 90% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.78 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.60 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 20% | 100% | 0% |
| Leads held | 83% | 100% | 90% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 33% | 44% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 40% | 54% | 71% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 28% | 2% | 7% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 38 | 44 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 33 | 52 | 52 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 50% | 53% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 40% | 67% | 71% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 57% | 56% | 53% |
| Shots | 13.3 | 13.4 | 14.5 | 13.4 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 64% | 65% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 19% | 24% | 22% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 6% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 15.2 | 17.4 | 15.7 | 14.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.0 | 61.5 | 60.2 | 55.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 89% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 8.7 | 9.4 | 10.9 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 1.00 | 0.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Napoli
0–15'11
16–30'41
31–45'32
46–60'41
61–75'11
76–90'33
Arsenal
0–15'21
16–30'20
31–45'30
46–60'50
61–75'11
76–90'21
Napoli
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.28 | 2.39 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.97 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.48 | 0.64 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.92 | 0.27 |
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.78 | 1.56 | 0.33 | 1.89 | 0.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.39 |
| Metric | Napoli all · 48 | Napoli at home · 25 | Arsenal all · 57 | Arsenal away · 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 48 | 25 | 57 | 30 |
| Points per game | 1.69 | 2.00 | 2.35 | 2.17 |
| W / D / L | 24 / 9 / 15 | 15 / 5 / 5 | 41 / 11 / 5 | 19 / 8 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.93 | 1.77 |
| Goals against / match | 1.17 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 36% | 51% | 43% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 20% | 5% | 3% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 56% | 49% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 53% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.40 | 1.48 | 1.96 | 1.84 |
| xG against / match | 1.25 | 1.22 | 0.93 | 1.12 |
| xG difference | 0.15 | 0.26 | 1.03 | 0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.00 | 0.12 | -0.03 | -0.07 |
| xPts / match | 1.49 | 1.58 | 2.00 | 1.82 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.19 | 0.42 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 52% | 52% | 74% | 67% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.56 | 3.00 | 2.74 | 2.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.68 | 0.89 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 44% | 62% | 67% |
| Leads held | 83% | 94% | 87% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 35% | 43% | 37% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 47% | 50% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 22% | 18% | 8% | 8% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 35 | 39 | 43 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 39 | 41 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 52% | 56% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.25 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 13.2 | 15.1 | 13.7 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 66% | 72% | 75% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 5.3 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 26% | 33% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 15% | 22% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 19.0 | 19.6 | 22.8 | 19.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 59.3 | 60.9 | 66.2 | 61.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 11.6 | 10.5 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 1.44 | 1.04 | 1.42 | 1.73 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Napoli
0–15'98
16–30'96
31–45'167
46–60'1112
61–75'911
76–90'1312
Arsenal
0–15'155
16–30'143
31–45'208
46–60'216
61–75'206
76–90'2010
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Napoli · 48 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.36) · stands out: against ten men +0.78
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3648
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1848
Late push (76+, level)+0.5919
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1918
Game state
When ahead+0.4429
When level+0.2748
When behind+0.4322
10 min after conceding-0.0331
10 min after scoring+0.7136
Situations
With ten men-0.144
Against ten men+0.784
At home+0.3125
Away+0.4123
3 days rest or fewer+0.5312
4+ days rest+0.3136
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0117
v mid-tier opponents+0.479
v bottom-tier opponents+0.295
As favourite+0.5929
Evenly matched+0.1410
As underdog-0.149
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1448
Conceded when ahead-0.1629
Conceded late (76+)-0.2947
Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level +0.17 · Behind vs level +0.16
Arsenal · 57 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.86
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5957
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4557
Late push (76+, level)+0.1419
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.867
Game state
When ahead+0.6047
When level+0.5557
When behind+0.7713
10 min after conceding+0.4327
10 min after scoring+0.8354
Situations
Against ten men+0.093
At home+0.7027
Away+0.4930
3 days rest or fewer+0.7224
4+ days rest+0.5033
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4833
v mid-tier opponents+0.7812
v bottom-tier opponents+0.263
As favourite+0.6351
Evenly matched+0.355
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2557
Conceded when ahead-0.3047
Conceded late (76+)-0.4048
Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.23
Napoli
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 25 52% | 1.72 | 1.48 | 1.16 | 1.44 | 1.11 |
| 4-3-3 | 8 17% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 1.68 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 7 15% | 1.71 | 1.57 | 1.43 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| 3-4-3 | 6 12% | 2.5 | 1.67 | 0.5 | 1.41 | 0.74 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.97 |
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 29 51% | 2.34 | 1.9 | 0.66 | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 47% | 2.33 | 1.96 | 0.67 | 1.9 | 0.82 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.22 | 2.32 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.9 pts at 22.0h
6.45Home 15% ▼ -6.8 ptsopened 4.364.03Draw 24% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 3.671.58Away 61% ▲ +8.7 ptsopened 1.81
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 6.45 ▼ -6.8 | 4.03 ▼ -1.9 | 1.58 ▲ +8.7 | 10m |
| bet365 | 5.75 ▼ -6.7 | 3.9 · -0.7 | 1.6 ▲ +7.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 6.5 ▼ -7.2 | 3.9 ▼ -1.8 | 1.57 ▲ +9.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 6.0 ▼ -6.4 | 4.1 ▼ -2.8 | 1.55 ▲ +9.3 | 10m |
| Coral | 5.0 ▼ -3.5 | 3.75 · -0.9 | 1.7 ▲ +4.3 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 5.0 ▼ -3.6 | 3.75 ▼ -1.1 | 1.67 ▲ +4.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 6.5 ▼ -6.8 | 4.0 ▼ -2.4 | 1.58 ▲ +9.2 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 5.8 ▼ -6.1 | 3.8 ▼ -1.4 | 1.57 ▲ +7.5 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no +2.0 pts at 4.0h
1.95Yes 48% ▼ -4.0 ptsopened 1.81.8No 52% ▲ +4.0 ptsopened 1.95
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.95 ▼ -4.0 | 1.8 ▲ +4.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.91 ▼ -5.0 | 1.83 ▲ +5.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.93 ▼ -4.7 | 1.78 ▲ +4.7 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.94 ▼ -4.5 | 1.83 ▲ +4.5 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.91 ▼ -4.1 | 1.85 ▲ +4.1 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over -2.5 pts at 4.0d
1.98Over 49% · -0.9 ptsopened 1.911.93Under 51% · +0.9 ptsopened 1.93
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98 · -0.9 | 1.93 · +0.9 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.91 · +0.0 | 1.91 · +0.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.85 · -0.3 | 1.82 · +0.3 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.88 · +0.8 | 1.91 · -0.8 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
5.75Home 16% P 15%3.9Draw 24% P 24%1.6Away 59% P 61%
Double Chance
2.3Napoli or Draw 20%1.25Napoli or Arsenal 38%1.12Draw or Arsenal 42%
Draw No Bet
4.51 21%1.182 79%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 33%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%
Number of Cards
3.52.2Over 42% P 39%1.61Under 58% P 61%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 10–15% · away 60–65% · 334 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 15% | 14% | 14% | +0.1 |
| Draw | 24% | 23% | 22% | -0.9 |
| Away | 61% | 63% | 64% | +0.8 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 51%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Glenn Nyberg
- Career
- 53 matches · 11 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.79 (3.66 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Champions League (5-year window · 22 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.91 | 4.4 | -2.06 | 0 |
| Fouls / match | 21.6 | 22.7 | -0.58 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.8 | 5.2 | +2.53 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.27 | 0.32 | -0.53 | 32 |
| Time added | 7.2 | 6.5 | +1.01 | 84 |
- First card
- 40' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.2
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | – | – | 25 | – | – | 3 |
| 2026-08-11 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 22' | 9 |
| 2026-05-07 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 18' | 8 |
| 2026-04-09 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 90' | 5 |
| 2026-03-18 | 6 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 59' | 6 |
| 2026-02-18 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 22' | 13 |
| 2026-01-20 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 26' | 8 |
| 2025-10-21 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 31' | 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 64' | 6 |
| 2025-09-18 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 28' | 11 |