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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

PSGSLV
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Parc des Princes, Paris
Capacity
48,583
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,511

Teams

Coaches
Luis Enrique · Gnégnéri Yaya Touré
Position
10 · 17
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Nikolai Balakin

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
15.7° (feels 15.0°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
64%

Where to watch · 371

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 1100 615 3 W
2 FC Bayern München 1100 505 3 W
3 FC Barcelona 1100 514 3 W
4 Manchester United 1100 404 3 W
5 Como 1100 413 3 W
6 Sporting CP 1100 312 3 W
7 VfB Stuttgart 1100 312 3 W
8 Manchester City 1100 202 3 W
9 Real Betis 1100 321 3 W
10 Lens 1100 321 3 W
11 Aston Villa 1100 321 3 W
12 Borussia Dortmund 1100 321 3 W
13 Real Madrid 1100 211 3 W
14 Liverpool 1100 211 3 W
15 Arsenal 1100 101 3 W
16 AEK Athens 1100 101 3 W
17 Roma 1010 110 1 D
18 Shakhtar Donetsk 1010 110 1 D
19 Fenerbahçe 1010 110 1 D
20 PSV 1010 110 1 D
21 Villarreal 1001 23-1 0 L
22 Slavia Praha 1001 23-1 0 L
23 Club Brugge 1001 23-1 0 L
24 LOSC Lille 1001 23-1 0 L
25 Atlético de Madrid 1001 12-1 0 L
26 Inter 1001 12-1 0 L
27 LASK 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Napoli 1001 01-1 0 L
29 Galatasaray 1001 13-2 0 L
30 Viking 1001 13-2 0 L
31 Porto 1001 02-2 0 L
32 RB Leipzig 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Feyenoord 1001 15-4 0 L
34 Sabah 1001 04-4 0 L
35 Slovan Bratislava 1001 16-5 0 L
36 Bodø / Glimt 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Paris Saint Germain

DWDDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 7.26–2.87 · xPts 8.41

  • L H Monaco 1–2 xG 2.14–0.5 FRA L1
  • D A LOSC Lille 2–2 xG 1.41–0.99 FRA L1
  • D A Rennes 2–2 xG 1.55–0.95 FRA L1
  • W H Aston Villa 2–1 UEFA S Cup
  • D H Arsenal 1–1 won on pens None–None xG 2.17–0.43 UEFA CL

Slovan Bratislava

DWWDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 2.73–4.06 · xPts 2.57

  • W A Celje 2–1 aet xG 1.12–3.64 UEFA CL
  • D H Celje 1–1 xG 1.61–0.42 UEFA CL
  • W H Mjällby 2–0 UEFA CL
  • W A Mjällby 2–1 UEFA CL
  • D H FC Iberia 1999 1–1 UEFA CL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

76.5%Paris Saint Germain P 93%14.6%Draw P 5%8.8%Slovan Bratislava P 2%

Over / under 2.5

67.8%Over 2.5 P 72%32.2%Under 2.5 P 28%

Both teams to score

52.2%Yes47.8%No

Expected

Paris Saint Germain goals
2.68 (1–5)
Slovan Bratislava goals
0.82 (0–2)
Corners
9.78 (5–15)
Cards
3.93 (1–7)

Earlier: day before — 76.5% / 14.6% / 8.8%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

60.8%Paris Saint Germain20.3%Draw18.9%Slovan Bratislava

Over / under 2.5

56.3%Over 2.543.7%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

48.8%Yes51.2%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home0.2670.084
ou_2_5over0.3890.207
bttsyes0.650.457

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 3 matches since 2011

Paris Saint Germain 21 draws0 Slovan Bratislava

Goals 7–1 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Paris Saint Germain 21 draws0 Slovan Bratislava

Goals 7–1 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Paris Saint Germain 21 draws0 Slovan Bratislava

Goals 7–1 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • W Paris Saint Germain 6–1 Slovan Bratislava UEFA CL · League Stage
  • W Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Slovan Bratislava neutral UEFA EL · Group Stage
  • D Slovan Bratislava 0–0 Paris Saint Germain UEFA EL · Group Stage
MetricParis Saint Germain all · 1Paris Saint Germain at home · 1Slovan Bratislava all · 7Slovan Bratislava away · 4
Results
Matches7
Points per game2.00
W / D / L4 / 2 / 1
Goals for / match1.57
Goals against / match1.43
Clean sheets29%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored71%
Over 2.543%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.17
xG against / match2.68
xG difference-1.51
Finishing vs xG0.16
xPts / match0.91
Points vs xPts0.42
Game state
Scored first71%
PPG when scoring first2.20
PPG when conceding first1.50
Came back from behind50%
Leads held67%
Minutes leading27%
Minutes level60%
Minutes trailing14%
First goal (min)41
First goal conceded (min)41
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.57
Late goals against0.14
Style
Possession43%
Shots11.4
On target4.4
Shot conversion14%
Shots inside box62%
Big chances created2.0
Corners3.1
xG from set plays18%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index9.5
Dominant minutes46.7
Pass accuracy79%
Fouls12.7
Cards1.86

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Slovan Bratislava

0–15'10
16–30'22
31–45'23
46–60'23
61–75'01
76–90'31

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Slovan Bratislava · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when ahead -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.107
Early press (0-15, level)-0.077
Late push (76+, level)+0.204

Game state

When ahead-0.316
When level+0.017
When behind-0.252
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.026

Situations

At home-0.053
Away-0.144
4+ days rest-0.107

Opposition

As favourite-0.124
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.037
Conceded when ahead+0.196
Conceded late (76+)-0.426

Ahead vs level -0.32 · Behind vs level -0.26

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-31 100%3.06.01.03.980.79

Slovan Bratislava

Current: winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 43%1.671.331.01.610.42
4-1-4-12 29%1.51.53.00.793.98
3-5-21 14%3.02.00.0
4-2-3-11 14%3.02.01.01.123.64

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.1 pts at 3.2d

1.03Home 93% · +1.0 ptsopened 1.0421.0Draw 5% · +0.0 ptsopened 21.0148.5Away 2% ▼ -1.0 ptsopened 32.17
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.03 · +1.021.0 · +0.048.5 ▼ -1.010m
bet3651.04 · +0.415.0 · +0.034.0 · -0.510m
Betfair1.05 ▲ +1.521.0 ▼ -1.346.0 · -0.210m
BetVictor1.03 ▲ +3.115.0 ▼ -1.567.0 ▼ -1.610m
Coral1.06 ▲ +1.219.0 ▼ -1.326.0 · +0.110m
Ladbrokes1.06 · +0.717.0 · -0.726.0 · +0.010m
Unibet1.04 ▲ +1.820.0 ▼ -1.541.0 · -0.310m
WilliamHill1.04 ▲ +1.319.0 · -0.646.0 · -0.710m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.04Home 91% P 93%15.0Draw 6% P 5%34.0Away 3% P 2%

Double Chance

1.02PSG or Slovan Bratislava15.0Draw or Slovan Bratislava

Draw No Bet

34.02

Both Teams To Score

2.37Yes 39%1.53No 61%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.14Over 83% P 72%5.5Under 17% P 28%

Total Corners

17.0Under 6 5%4.336 - 8 20%2.759 - 11 32%3.412 - 14 26%5.0Over 14 17%

Number of Cards

2.51.9Over 49% P 49%1.8Under 51% P 51%
3.52.25Over 41% P 32%1.57Under 59% P 68%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 90–95% · away 0–5% · 123 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home93%92%97%+5.1
Draw5%6%3%-2.6
Away2%3%0%-2.5

In those fixtures: 4.3 goals a game · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 82%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.572%71%70%-1.4

Nikolai Balakin

No career statistics.

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 1 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 1.0 cards, 14.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-20 10 190 58'3
2026-03-19 30 240 31'6
2026-02-26 50 210 25'11
2026-01-22 40 261 40'6
2025-12-11 30 180 48'8