Rating 7.33 · G+A 2 + 0 (29% of team goals) · 67% of minutes
Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 1
Momentum
– FenerbahçeRoma –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Fenerbahçe | at home | Stat | league | away | Roma |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.4 #23 | – | Ball possession | 49.8 | – | 58.0 #15 |
| 13.7 #33 | – | Shots total | 12.6 | – | 8.0 #58 |
| 5.9 #22 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 3.0 #59 |
| 5.3 #27 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 3.0 #63 |
| 13.6 #18 | – | Fouls | 11.9 | – | 19.0 #3 |
| 1.7 #36 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | – |
| 20.9 #8 | – | Tackles | 15.0 | – | 12.0 #40 |
| 94.7 #48 | – | Attacks | 100.6 | – | 145.0 #3 |
| 48.4 #51 | – | Dangerous attacks | 54.7 | – | 76.0 #9 |
| 483.7 #18 | – | Passes | 429.0 | – | 614.0 #9 |
| 2.4 #29 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.0 #31 |
| 0.7 #59 | – | Assists | 1.4 | – | 1.0 #30 |
| – #41 | – | Btts | 63.9 | – | – #1 |
| – #16 | – | Cleansheet | 17.7 | – | – #32 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 17.7 | – | – #1 |
| 1.8 #17 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.4 #49 |
| -0.5 #49 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | 0.6 #25 |
| – #37 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #37 |
| 1.3 #46 | 1.2 | Goals | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 #49 |
| 0.6 #75 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 #55 |
| 0.1 #29 | – | Injury time goals | 0.6 | – | – |
| 11.4 #8 | – | Interceptions | 7.7 | – | 14.0 #3 |
| – #61 | – | Lost | 43.8 | – | – #61 |
| 0.3 #14 | – | Penalties scored | 0.4 | – | – |
| 7.0 #11 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.8 #25 |
| 3.3 #34 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 2.0 #50 |
| 9.1 #23 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 6.0 #37 |
| 4.6 #47 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 3.0 #69 |
| 4.6 #29 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 2.0 #41 |
| – #20 | – | Win | 38.5 | – | – #52 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 81.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 108 of 234
- Goals / match
- 3.08 (home 1.92 · away 1.17)
- Home / draw / away
- 54% · 20% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 58%
- Cards / match
- 4.31 (reds 0.18)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Fenerbahçe · 2026/2027 · Champions League
Rating 7.06 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.18 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Roma · Last 365 days
Rating 7.23 (95th pct) · G+A 21 + 4 (29% of team goals) · 45% of minutes
Team 1.92 ppg with (25) · 1.96 without (25)
Rating 7.05 (84th pct) · G+A 8 + 8 (18% of team goals) · 60% of minutes
Team 1.94 ppg with (36) · 1.93 without (14)
Rating 7.44 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 12 (17% of team goals) · 41% of minutes
Team 2.1 ppg with (21) · 1.83 without (29)
Absences
Fenerbahçe
- injury Amara Diouf attacker · Fitness
- injury Marco Asensio #17 key player midfielder · Hamstring Strain · 3 missed
- injury Mert Hakan Yandaş midfielder · Fitness · 73 missed
- suspension Abdou Aziz Fall midfielder · No Eligibility · 1 missed · until 2027-01-28
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- League Stage
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, İstanbul
- Capacity
- 50,530
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 40,577
Teams
- Coaches
- İsmail Kartal · Gian Gasperini
- Position
- 18 · 14
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Jesús Gil Manzano
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 23.5° (feels 24.4°)
- Wind
- 6.2
- Humidity
- 93%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  FC Barcelona |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Manchester United |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Manchester City |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  Real Betis |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Lens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Aston Villa |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Real Madrid |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Liverpool |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Arsenal |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  AEK Athens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Roma |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Shakhtar Donetsk |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  PSV |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Villarreal |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Slavia Praha |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Club Brugge |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  LOSC Lille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Atlético de Madrid |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  Inter |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  LASK |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Napoli |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  Galatasaray |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  Viking |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Porto |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Feyenoord |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Sabah |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  Bodø / Glimt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 3 | FC Barcelona |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Manchester United |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Sporting CP |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Liverpool |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10 | Real Madrid |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 | AEK Athens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 | Fenerbahçe |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 13 | PSV |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 14 | Arsenal |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15 | Aston Villa |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16 | Atlético de Madrid |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17 | Bodø / Glimt |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18 | Feyenoord |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | Galatasaray |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20 | Inter |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | LASK |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | Lens |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Manchester City |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24 | RB Leipzig |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25 | Real Betis |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | Roma |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27 | Sabah |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Viking |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Villarreal |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Club Brugge |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 33 | LOSC Lille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Slavia Praha |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Napoli |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Porto |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Aston Villa |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Lens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Real Betis |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Arsenal |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Roma |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 7 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 8 | AEK Athens |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 9 | Borussia Dortmund |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 10 | Club Brugge |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 11 | Como |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12 | FC Barcelona |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 13 | FC Bayern München |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 14 | Fenerbahçe |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 15 | LOSC Lille |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 16 | Liverpool |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 17 | Manchester United |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Napoli |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | PSV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 20 | Paris Saint Germain |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 21 | Porto |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | Real Madrid |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Slavia Praha |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24 | Sporting CP |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | VfB Stuttgart |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | Villarreal |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 | Atlético de Madrid |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 | Inter |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 | LASK |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Galatasaray |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Viking |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 | Feyenoord |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Sabah |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Bodø / Glimt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Fenerbahçe
WDWDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 9.56–4.37 · xPts 10.03
- W
A
Olympique Lyonnais
2–1
xG 2.52–1.51
UEFA CL - D
H
Olympique Lyonnais
1–1
xG 0.65–0.93
UEFA CL
- W
A
Sturm Graz
1–0
xG 1.95–1.2
UEFA CL - D
A
Górnik Zabrze
1–1
xG 2.8–0.65
UEFA CL - W
H
Górnik Zabrze
1–0
xG 1.63–0.09
UEFA CL
WDWDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 9.56–4.37 · xPts 10.03
- W
A
Olympique Lyonnais
2–1
xG 2.52–1.51
UEFA CL
- D
H
Olympique Lyonnais
1–1
xG 0.65–0.93
UEFA CL
- W
A
Sturm Graz
1–0
xG 1.95–1.2
UEFA CL
- D
A
Górnik Zabrze
1–1
xG 2.8–0.65
UEFA CL
- W
H
Górnik Zabrze
1–0
xG 1.63–0.09
UEFA CL
Roma
WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 1 · xG 13.47–3.02 · xPts 12.63
- W
H
Atalanta
2–1
xG 3.31–0.88
ITA SA - W
A
Lecce
4–0
xG 2.72–0.77
ITA SA - W
H
Fiorentina
4–0
xG 3.1–0.32
ITA SA - W
A
Hellas Verona
2–0
xG 2.78–0.44
ITA SA - W
H
Lazio
2–0
xG 1.57–0.6
ITA SA
WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 1 · xG 13.47–3.02 · xPts 12.63
- W
H
Atalanta
2–1
xG 3.31–0.88
ITA SA
- W
A
Lecce
4–0
xG 2.72–0.77
ITA SA
- W
H
Fiorentina
4–0
xG 3.1–0.32
ITA SA
- W
A
Hellas Verona
2–0
xG 2.78–0.44
ITA SA
- W
H
Lazio
2–0
xG 1.57–0.6
ITA SA
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
35.0%Fenerbahçe P 26%26.6%Draw P 26%38.5%Roma P 47%
Over / under 2.5
49.4%Over 2.5 P 60%50.6%Under 2.5 P 40%
Both teams to score
54.1%Yes45.9%No
Expected
- Fenerbahçe goals
- 1.29 (0–3)
- Roma goals
- 1.36 (0–3)
- Corners
- 9.02 (5–14)
- Cards
- 4.65 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 35.0% / 26.6% / 38.5%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
49.8%Fenerbahçe23.8%Draw26.5%Roma
Over / under 2.5
54.3%Over 2.545.7%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
52.9%Yes47.1%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | draw | 1.326 | 0.809 |
| btts | yes | 0.614 | 0.421 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 0.682 | 0.489 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 1–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 1–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 1–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- D Fenerbahçe 1–1 Roma UEFA CL · League Stage
| Metric | Fenerbahçe all · 6 | Fenerbahçe at home · 3 | Roma all · 1 | Roma away · 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | – | – |
| Points per game | 2.00 | – | – | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 0 | – | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.17 | – | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.67 | – | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | – | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 67% | – | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 17% | – | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.79 | – | – | – |
| xG against / match | 0.80 | – | – | – |
| xG difference | 0.99 | – | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.62 | – | – | – |
| xPts / match | 2.00 | – | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.00 | – | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 67% | – | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | – | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | – | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 100% | – | – | – |
| Leads held | 75% | – | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 33% | – | – | – |
| Minutes level | 64% | – | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 3% | – | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 39 | – | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | – | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 43% | – | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 25% | – | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | – | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | – | – | – |
| Shots | 13.2 | – | – | – |
| On target | 5.2 | – | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 9% | – | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 66% | – | – | – |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | – | – | – |
| Corners | 5.5 | – | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 39% | – | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 14% | – | – | – |
| Pressure index | 14.4 | – | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 55.8 | – | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | – | – | – |
| Fouls | 14.2 | – | – | – |
| Cards | 2.83 | – | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fenerbahçe
0–15'10
16–30'20
31–45'13
46–60'20
61–75'11
76–90'00
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Fenerbahçe · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)+0.486
Late push (76+, level)-0.293
Game state
When ahead+0.144
When level+0.176
When behind-0.422
10 min after conceding-0.374
10 min after scoring+0.626
Situations
At home+0.293
Away+0.003
4+ days rest+0.156
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.023
As favourite+0.224
As underdog+0.012
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.076
Conceded when ahead-0.214
Conceded late (76+)-0.286
Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.60
Roma · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042
Game state
When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545
Situations
At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563
Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11
Fenerbahçe
Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 83% | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.91 | 0.87 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.18 | 0.45 |
Roma
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 100% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.45 | 1.18 |
| Metric | Fenerbahçe all · 10 | Fenerbahçe at home · 10 | Roma all · 10 | Roma away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 | 2.80 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 4 / 2 | 4 / 4 / 2 | 9 / 1 / 0 | 5 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | 1.20 | 2.60 | 1.90 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | 70% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 30% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 30% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.55 | 1.14 | 2.22 | 1.52 |
| xG against / match | 1.09 | 1.04 | 0.69 | 1.23 |
| xG difference | 0.47 | 0.10 | 1.53 | 0.29 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.55 | 0.06 | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| xPts / match | 1.67 | 1.44 | 2.24 | 1.53 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.07 | 0.16 | 0.56 | 0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 30% | 90% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 3.00 | 2.78 | 2.29 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 67% | 100% | 40% |
| Leads held | 67% | 100% | 90% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 33% | 27% | 53% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 56% | 42% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 17% | 5% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 40 | 34 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 38 | 47 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 40% | 50% | 50% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 40% | 30% | 100% | 85% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 55% | 58% | 53% |
| Shots | 12.6 | 14.0 | 16.4 | 10.6 |
| On target | 5.3 | 5.8 | 6.4 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 9% | 16% | 18% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 48% | 74% | 76% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 4.4 | 5.9 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 25% | 23% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 9% | 19% | 10% |
| Pressure index | 13.9 | 14.5 | 19.1 | 12.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.0 | 54.4 | 59.1 | 46.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 84% | 86% | 82% |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 12.7 | 13.2 | 14.4 |
| Cards | 2.90 | 3.50 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fenerbahçe
0–15'10
16–30'42
31–45'14
46–60'31
61–75'13
76–90'00
Roma
0–15'30
16–30'50
31–45'50
46–60'43
61–75'20
76–90'71
Fenerbahçe
Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 70% | 1.57 | 0.86 | 1.0 | 1.54 | 1.14 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.39 | 1.03 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.92 | 0.78 |
Roma
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 9 90% | 2.78 | 2.67 | 0.33 | 2.1 | 0.67 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.31 | 0.88 |
| Metric | Fenerbahçe all · 16 | Fenerbahçe at home · 8 | Roma all · 50 | Roma away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 16 | 8 | 50 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.69 | 1.50 | 1.94 | 1.77 |
| W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 2 | 30 / 7 / 13 | 14 / 4 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.19 | 0.88 | 1.74 | 1.58 |
| Goals against / match | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.86 | 0.96 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 25% | 44% | 38% |
| Failed to score | 19% | 25% | 14% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 50% | 42% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 25% | 44% | 42% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.51 | 1.15 | 1.62 | 1.44 |
| xG against / match | 1.09 | 1.07 | 1.02 | 1.23 |
| xG difference | 0.42 | 0.08 | 0.60 | 0.22 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.32 | -0.27 | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.62 | 1.45 | 1.74 | 1.53 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 56% | 38% | 64% | 62% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.56 | 3.00 | 2.72 | 2.56 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 60% | 35% | 33% |
| Leads held | 78% | 100% | 88% | 82% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 27% | 41% | 42% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 52% | 41% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 21% | 18% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 40 | 37 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 38 | 46 | 48 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 32% | 43% | 53% | 44% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 47% | 25% | 64% | 72% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| Late goals against | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 57% | 55% | 53% |
| Shots | 13.6 | 14.0 | 13.9 | 11.4 |
| On target | 5.4 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 6% | 12% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 55% | 48% | 74% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 27% | 29% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 0% | 21% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 17.9 | 16.3 | 18.4 | 15.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.1 | 56.0 | 61.0 | 54.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 83% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 11.6 | 14.3 | 15.3 |
| Cards | 3.31 | 3.75 | 1.94 | 2.31 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fenerbahçe
0–15'30
16–30'63
31–45'45
46–60'32
61–75'34
76–90'01
Roma
0–15'126
16–30'123
31–45'176
46–60'1312
61–75'163
76–90'1712
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Fenerbahçe · 16 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1816
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1316
Late push (76+, level)+0.236
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.642
Game state
When ahead+0.239
When level+0.2116
When behind-0.076
10 min after conceding-0.2911
10 min after scoring+0.5313
Situations
At home+0.178
Away+0.208
4+ days rest+0.1816
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.157
As favourite+0.429
Evenly matched-0.244
As underdog+0.013
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0616
Conceded when ahead-0.169
Conceded late (76+)-0.2714
Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.28
Roma · 50 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3850
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3250
Late push (76+, level)+0.3014
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2815
Game state
When ahead+0.3734
When level+0.4650
When behind+0.2020
10 min after conceding-0.0628
10 min after scoring+0.6843
Situations
With ten men-0.094
Against ten men-0.154
At home+0.4824
Away+0.2826
3 days rest or fewer+0.2910
4+ days rest+0.4040
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.2914
v mid-tier opponents+0.2412
v bottom-tier opponents+0.546
As favourite+0.4633
Evenly matched+0.3113
As underdog-0.094
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2050
Conceded when ahead-0.2634
Conceded late (76+)-0.3044
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26
Fenerbahçe
Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 56% | 1.67 | 1.11 | 0.78 | 1.63 | 1.04 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 25% | 2.0 | 1.25 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.15 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 6% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.27 | 0.95 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 6% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.92 | 0.78 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 6% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.21 | 1.69 |
Roma
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 40 80% | 1.98 | 1.85 | 0.88 | 1.55 | 1.0 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 6 12% | 2.17 | 1.33 | 0.5 | 2.07 | 0.81 |
| 3-5-2 | 4 8% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.66 | 1.57 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: away +3.0 pts at 4.8d
3.69Home 26% ▼ -8.6 ptsopened 2.733.67Draw 26% · -1.0 ptsopened 3.472.06Away 47% ▲ +9.5 ptsopened 2.53
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.69 ▼ -8.6 | 3.67 · -1.0 | 2.06 ▲ +9.5 | 5m |
| bet365 | 3.8 ▼ -10.6 | 3.7 ▼ -2.6 | 1.9 ▲ +13.2 | 5m |
| Betfair | 3.6 ▼ -10.9 | 3.6 · -0.2 | 2.05 ▲ +11.1 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 3.5 ▼ -8.2 | 3.6 · -1.0 | 2.05 ▲ +9.2 | 5m |
| Coral | 3.7 ▼ -9.8 | 3.75 ▼ -2.9 | 1.91 ▲ +12.7 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 3.7 ▼ -10.0 | 3.75 ▼ -2.2 | 1.91 ▲ +12.2 | 5m |
| Unibet | 3.55 ▼ -7.7 | 3.55 · -0.7 | 2.05 ▲ +8.4 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 3.2 ▼ -5.2 | 3.7 ▼ -3.3 | 2.05 ▲ +8.5 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: no -3.0 pts at 8.8h
1.53Yes 61% ▲ +4.9 ptsopened 1.662.37No 39% ▼ -4.9 ptsopened 2.1
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.53 ▲ +4.9 | 2.37 ▼ -4.9 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▲ +8.3 | 2.63 ▼ -8.3 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.45 ▲ +7.7 | 2.55 ▼ -7.8 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.5 ▲ +5.7 | 2.55 ▼ -5.7 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.55 ▲ +4.5 | 2.4 ▼ -4.5 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under -2.3 pts at 10.8h
1.62Over 60% ▲ +8.1 ptsopened 1.862.4Under 40% ▼ -8.1 ptsopened 1.98
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.62 ▲ +8.1 | 2.4 ▼ -8.1 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +8.8 | 2.3 ▼ -8.8 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.6 ▲ +9.8 | 2.38 ▼ -9.8 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.55 ▲ +8.5 | 2.25 ▼ -8.5 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.58 ▲ +7.9 | 2.33 ▼ -7.9 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.8Home 25% P 26%3.7Draw 26% P 26%1.9Away 50% P 47%
Double Chance
1.72Fenerbahce or Draw 27%1.28Fenerbahce or Roma 37%1.3Draw or Roma 36%
Draw No Bet
2.51 38%1.52 62%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
4.51.66Over 56% P 54%2.1Under 44% P 46%
5.52.1Over 44% P 38%1.66Under 56% P 62%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 26% | 26% | 26% | -0.3 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 28% | +0.2 |
| Away | 47% | 46% | 46% | +0.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Jesús Gil Manzano
- Career
- 182 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.09 (4.8 yellow · 0.16 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.3 · 5.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.34
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Champions League (5-year window · 12 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.67 | 4.4 | +0.62 | 68 |
| Fouls / match | 20.8 | 22.7 | -1.10 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.8 | 5.2 | -0.75 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.42 | 0.32 | +0.63 | 71 |
| Time added | 6.8 | 6.5 | +0.51 | 68 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 42% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 81' | 8 |
| 2026-08-27 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 28' | 5 |
| 2026-08-22 | 5 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 38' | 8 |
| 2026-05-23 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 54' | 8 |
| 2026-05-03 | 7 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 22' | 8 |
| 2026-04-25 | – | – | 20 | – | – | 7 |
| 2026-04-16 | 8 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 40' | 9 |
| 2026-04-12 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 23' | 7 |
| 2026-03-21 | 5 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 38' | 11 |
| 2026-03-14 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 55' | 12 |