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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

AEK AthensLASK
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
OPAP Arena
Capacity
32,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,221

Teams

Coaches
Marko Nikolić · Dietmar Kühbauer
Position
34 · 31
Formation
4-4-2 · 3-1-4-2

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
24.4° (feels 24.2°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
51%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 1100 615 3 W
2 FC Bayern München 1100 505 3 W
3 FC Barcelona 1100 514 3 W
4 Manchester United 1100 404 3 W
5 Como 1100 413 3 W
6 Sporting CP 1100 312 3 W
7 VfB Stuttgart 1100 312 3 W
8 Manchester City 1100 202 3 W
9 Real Betis 1100 321 3 W
10 Lens 1100 321 3 W
11 Aston Villa 1100 321 3 W
12 Borussia Dortmund 1100 321 3 W
13 Real Madrid 1100 211 3 W
14 Liverpool 1100 211 3 W
15 Arsenal 1100 101 3 W
16 AEK Athens 1100 101 3 W
17 Roma 1010 110 1 D
18 Shakhtar Donetsk 1010 110 1 D
19 Fenerbahçe 1010 110 1 D
20 PSV 1010 110 1 D
21 Villarreal 1001 23-1 0 L
22 Slavia Praha 1001 23-1 0 L
23 Club Brugge 1001 23-1 0 L
24 LOSC Lille 1001 23-1 0 L
25 Atlético de Madrid 1001 12-1 0 L
26 Inter 1001 12-1 0 L
27 LASK 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Napoli 1001 01-1 0 L
29 Galatasaray 1001 13-2 0 L
30 Viking 1001 13-2 0 L
31 Porto 1001 02-2 0 L
32 RB Leipzig 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Feyenoord 1001 15-4 0 L
34 Sabah 1001 04-4 0 L
35 Slovan Bratislava 1001 16-5 0 L
36 Bodø / Glimt 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

AEK Athens

DW 1W 1D 0L · 4 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 0 · xG 3.85–1.65 · xPts 3.98

  • W H Levski Sofia 4–0 xG 2.75–0.58 UEFA CL
  • D A Levski Sofia 0–0 xG 1.1–1.07 UEFA CL

LASK

LW 1W 0D 1L · 3 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 6.24–1.61 · xPts 4.55

  • W H Celtic 5–1 aet xG 4.82–0.57 UEFA CL
  • L A Celtic 0–3 xG 1.42–1.04 UEFA CL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

AEK Athens 10 draws0 LASK

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 1 match

AEK Athens 10 draws0 LASK

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 1 match

AEK Athens 10 draws0 LASK

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W AEK Athens 1–0 LASK UEFA CL · League Stage
MetricAEK Athens all · 3AEK Athens at home · 2LASK all · 3LASK away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AEK Athens · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 4+ days rest +0.10

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.103
Early press (0-15, level)-0.033

Game state

When ahead+0.212
When level+0.013
10 min after scoring+1.102

Situations

At home+0.182
4+ days rest+0.103

Opposition

As favourite+0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.183
Conceded when ahead-0.232
Conceded late (76+)-0.442

Ahead vs level +0.19

LASK · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: when level +0.30

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.143
Early press (0-15, level)-0.143

Game state

When level+0.303
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.023

Situations

Away-0.092
4+ days rest+0.143

Opposition

As underdog-0.092

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.163
Conceded late (76+)-0.162

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level -0.37

AEK Athens

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-23 100%2.331.670.01.880.84

LASK

Current: winless 1 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-22 67%1.52.52.03.120.81
3-1-4-21 33%0.00.01.00.881.77

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.0 pts at 4.8h

1.7Home 57% ▲ +3.3 ptsopened 1.774.25Draw 23% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 3.974.77Away 20% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 4.24
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.7 ▲ +3.34.25 ▼ -1.24.77 ▼ -2.15m
bet3651.75 · -0.14.0 · -0.24.2 · +0.35m
Betfair1.7 · +0.64.0 · +0.34.75 · -0.95m
BetVictor1.67 ▲ +3.04.33 ▼ -2.04.5 ▼ -1.15m
Coral1.73 · +1.04.0 · -0.44.33 · -0.55m
Ladbrokes1.73 · +1.04.0 · -0.44.33 · -0.55m
Unibet1.71 · -0.54.0 · +0.54.6 · -0.15m
WilliamHill1.75 · -0.23.8 · -0.14.33 · +0.35m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 54% P 57%4.0Draw 24% P 23%4.2Away 22% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18AEK Athens or Draw 40%1.22AEK Athens or LASK Linz 38%2.1Draw or LASK Linz 22%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 66%2.62Under 36% P 34%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 46%1.72Under 54% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 298 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home57%56%60%+4.1
Draw23%23%21%-1.7
Away20%21%18%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.566%66%69%+3.2

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 4 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.5 cards, 20.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-05 50 231 40'10
2026-08-30 40 320 61'6
2026-08-13 80 250 5'6
2026-08-09 40 232 8'11
2026-08-06 60 200 3'15
2026-05-16 10 270 63'6
2026-05-11 30 270 22'9
2026-04-26 80 260 27'7
2026-04-12 40 280 30'9
2026-03-21 10 260 69'4