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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

LOSC LilleReal Betis
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Capacity
50,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
38,587

Teams

Coaches
Davide Ancelotti · Manuel Pellegrini Ripamonti
Position
22 · 23
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Georgi Kabakov

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
13.6° (feels 13.2°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
85%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 1100 615 3 W
2 FC Bayern München 1100 505 3 W
3 FC Barcelona 1100 514 3 W
4 Manchester United 1100 404 3 W
5 Como 1100 413 3 W
6 Sporting CP 1100 312 3 W
7 VfB Stuttgart 1100 312 3 W
8 Manchester City 1100 202 3 W
9 Real Betis 1100 321 3 W
10 Lens 1100 321 3 W
11 Aston Villa 1100 321 3 W
12 Borussia Dortmund 1100 321 3 W
13 Real Madrid 1100 211 3 W
14 Liverpool 1100 211 3 W
15 Arsenal 1100 101 3 W
16 AEK Athens 1100 101 3 W
17 Roma 1010 110 1 D
18 Shakhtar Donetsk 1010 110 1 D
19 Fenerbahçe 1010 110 1 D
20 PSV 1010 110 1 D
21 Villarreal 1001 23-1 0 L
22 Slavia Praha 1001 23-1 0 L
23 Club Brugge 1001 23-1 0 L
24 LOSC Lille 1001 23-1 0 L
25 Atlético de Madrid 1001 12-1 0 L
26 Inter 1001 12-1 0 L
27 LASK 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Napoli 1001 01-1 0 L
29 Galatasaray 1001 13-2 0 L
30 Viking 1001 13-2 0 L
31 Porto 1001 02-2 0 L
32 RB Leipzig 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Feyenoord 1001 15-4 0 L
34 Sabah 1001 04-4 0 L
35 Slovan Bratislava 1001 16-5 0 L
36 Bodø / Glimt 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

LOSC Lille

LWDW 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 4.8–7.01 · xPts 4.51

  • W A Toulouse 1–0 xG 1.17–2.94 FRA L1
  • D H Paris Saint Germain 2–2 xG 0.99–1.41 FRA L1
  • W A Angers SCO 2–0 xG 0.96–2.28 FRA L1
  • L H Auxerre 0–2 xG 1.68–0.38 FRA L1

Real Betis

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.37–9.51 · xPts 5.27

  • W H Real Madrid 1–0 xG 0.77–2.91 ESP PL
  • L A Levante 2–5 xG 1.82–2.63 ESP PL
  • W A Valencia 1–0 xG 0.82–1.09 ESP PL
  • W H Real Sociedad 1–0 xG 1.71–0.99 ESP PL
  • W H Levante 2–1 xG 1.24–1.89 ESP PL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

LOSC Lille 00 draws1 Real Betis

Goals 2–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

LOSC Lille 00 draws1 Real Betis

Goals 2–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

LOSC Lille 00 draws1 Real Betis

Goals 2–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L LOSC Lille 2–3 Real Betis UEFA CL · League Stage
MetricLOSC Lille all · 1LOSC Lille at home · 1Real Betis all · 1Real Betis away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Real Betis · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.26) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.27

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.267
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)+0.282

Game state

When ahead+0.296
When level+0.237
When behind+0.303
10 min after conceding+0.653
10 min after scoring+1.277

Situations

Against ten men-0.162
At home+0.033
Away+0.434
4+ days rest+0.236

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.032
v mid-tier opponents+0.272
v bottom-tier opponents+0.452
As favourite+0.262
Evenly matched+0.473
As underdog-0.042

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.357

Congested vs rested +0.23 · Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level +0.07

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-11 100%0.02.03.00.961.75

Real Betis

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 4 · scoring 17 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-11 100%3.03.02.01.750.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off

2.27Home 43% · -0.4 ptsopened 2.23.54Draw 27% · +0.3 ptsopened 3.53.28Away 30% · +0.2 ptsopened 3.23
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.27 · -0.43.54 · +0.33.28 · +0.210m
bet3652.1 ▲ +1.63.5 ▲ +1.83.4 ▼ -3.310m
Betfair2.2 · +0.93.4 ▲ +1.43.3 ▼ -2.210m
BetVictor2.2 · -0.33.4 ▲ +1.23.25 · -0.910m
Coral2.1 ▲ +2.93.5 · -0.13.4 ▼ -2.810m
Ladbrokes2.1 ▲ +1.63.4 · +0.53.3 ▼ -2.110m
Unibet2.23 ▲ +1.23.45 · +0.33.2 ▼ -1.510m
WilliamHill2.2 · +0.43.3 · +0.33.2 · -0.710m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 43%3.5Draw 27% P 27%3.4Away 28% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Lille or Draw 35%1.28Lille or Real Betis 37%1.66Draw or Real Betis 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 50%2.0Under 46% P 50%
5.52.1Over 44% P 36%1.66Under 56% P 64%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away30%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Georgi Kabakov

Career
60 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
5.13 (4.93 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.25 cards, 20.8 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-20 30 220 50'5
2026-08-13 61 210 24'12
2026-03-12 60 261 32'8
2026-01-22 20 262 49'6
2025-11-27 30 230 48'9
2025-10-23 40 240 41'5