Rating 7.56 (100th pct) · G+A 11 + 8 (25% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Team 1.86 ppg with (35) · 3.0 without (5)
Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 1
Momentum
– ComoRB Leipzig –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Como | at home | Stat | league | away | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.0 #38 | – | Ball possession | 49.8 | – | 50.0 #38 |
| 14.0 #26 | – | Shots total | 12.6 | – | 14.0 #26 |
| 6.0 #19 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.0 #50 |
| 1.0 #78 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 5.0 #31 |
| 9.0 #68 | – | Fouls | 11.9 | – | 10.0 #60 |
| 5.0 #3 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 1.0 #47 |
| 19.0 #12 | – | Tackles | 15.0 | – | 13.0 #36 |
| 102.0 #34 | – | Attacks | 100.6 | – | 83.0 #63 |
| 36.0 #72 | – | Dangerous attacks | 54.7 | – | 56.0 #37 |
| 515.0 #15 | – | Passes | 429.0 | – | 497.0 #17 |
| 2.0 #31 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 3.0 #9 |
| 4.0 #2 | – | Assists | 1.4 | – | 1.0 #30 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 63.9 | – | – #1 |
| – #32 | – | Cleansheet | 17.7 | – | – #32 |
| – #32 | – | Draw | 17.7 | – | – #32 |
| 1.9 #14 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.2 #34 |
| 2.1 #3 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | -0.2 #41 |
| – #37 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #37 |
| 4.0 #4 | 4.0 | Goals | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 #49 |
| 1.0 #55 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.7 | 4.0 | 4.0 #2 |
| 6.0 #35 | – | Interceptions | 7.7 | – | 7.0 #27 |
| – #61 | – | Lost | 43.8 | – | – #1 |
| 7.1 #5 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.4 #55 |
| 2.0 #50 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 2.0 #50 |
| 10.0 #17 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 8.0 #28 |
| 6.0 #21 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 8.0 #13 |
| 4.0 #30 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 6.0 #14 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 38.5 | – | – #52 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 81.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 108 of 234
- Goals / match
- 3.08 (home 1.92 · away 1.17)
- Home / draw / away
- 54% · 20% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 58%
- Cards / match
- 4.31 (reds 0.18)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Como · Last 365 days
Rating 7.14 (83th pct) · G+A 6 + 5 (15% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 2.16 ppg with (32) · 1.38 without (8)
Rating 7.27 (91th pct) · G+A 9 + 5 (19% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 1.86 ppg with (22) · 2.17 without (18)
RB Leipzig · Last 365 days
Rating 7.4 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 6 (12% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 1.93 ppg with (30) · 1.4 without (5)
Rating 7.15 (86th pct) · G+A 12 + 9 (29% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.97 ppg with (30) · 1.2 without (5)
Rating 7.18 (98th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Absences
Como
- suspension Adrian Lahdo midfielder · No Eligibility · 2 missed · until 2027-01-28
- suspension Edoardo Goldaniga defender · No Eligibility · 2 missed · until 2027-01-28
- suspension Mauro Vigorito goalkeeper · No Eligibility · 2 missed · until 2027-01-28
- suspension Maxence Caqueret #13 key player midfielder · No Eligibility · 2 missed · until 2027-01-28
- suspension Willy Kambwala defender · No Eligibility · 2 missed · until 2027-01-28
RB Leipzig
- injury Christoph Baumgartner #2 key player midfielder · Hamstring Injury · 9 missed · until 2026-10-31
- injury Viggo Gebel midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 31 missed
- suspension Abdoul Koné defender · No Eligibility · 2 missed · until 2027-01-28
- suspension Leopold Zingerle goalkeeper · No Eligibility · 2 missed · until 2027-01-28
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- League Stage
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
- Capacity
- 12,064
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 10,198
Teams
- Coaches
- Cesc Fàbregas · Martín Demichelis
- Position
- 17 · 20
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Referee
Serdar Gozubuyuk
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 18.9° (feels 19.1°)
- Wind
- 0.8
- Humidity
- 88%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  FC Barcelona |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Manchester United |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Manchester City |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  Real Betis |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Lens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Aston Villa |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Real Madrid |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Liverpool |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Arsenal |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  AEK Athens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Roma |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Shakhtar Donetsk |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  PSV |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Villarreal |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Slavia Praha |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Club Brugge |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  LOSC Lille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Atlético de Madrid |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  Inter |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  LASK |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Napoli |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  Galatasaray |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  Viking |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Porto |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Feyenoord |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Sabah |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  Bodø / Glimt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 3 | FC Barcelona |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Manchester United |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Sporting CP |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Liverpool |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10 | Real Madrid |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 | AEK Athens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 | Fenerbahçe |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 13 | PSV |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 14 | Arsenal |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15 | Aston Villa |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16 | Atlético de Madrid |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17 | Bodø / Glimt |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18 | Feyenoord |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | Galatasaray |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20 | Inter |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | LASK |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | Lens |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Manchester City |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24 | RB Leipzig |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25 | Real Betis |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | Roma |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27 | Sabah |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Viking |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Villarreal |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Club Brugge |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 33 | LOSC Lille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Slavia Praha |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Napoli |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Porto |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Aston Villa |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Lens |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Real Betis |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Arsenal |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Roma |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 7 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 8 | AEK Athens |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 9 | Borussia Dortmund |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 10 | Club Brugge |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 11 | Como |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12 | FC Barcelona |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 13 | FC Bayern München |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 14 | Fenerbahçe |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 15 | LOSC Lille |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 16 | Liverpool |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 17 | Manchester United |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Napoli |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | PSV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 20 | Paris Saint Germain |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 21 | Porto |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | Real Madrid |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Slavia Praha |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24 | Sporting CP |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | VfB Stuttgart |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | Villarreal |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 | Atlético de Madrid |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 | Inter |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 | LASK |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Galatasaray |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Viking |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 | Feyenoord |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Sabah |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Bodø / Glimt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Como
WWDWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 4 · xG 9.64–5.83 · xPts 9.28
- W
A
Genoa
4–1
xG 1.98–1.03
ITA SA - W
A
Napoli
2–1
xG 1.15–1.88
ITA SA
- D
A
Udinese
1–1
xG 1.86–1.59
ITA SA - W
A
Cremonese
4–1
xG 2.34–1.15
ITA SA - W
H
Parma
1–0
xG 2.31–0.17
ITA SA
WWDWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 4 · xG 9.64–5.83 · xPts 9.28
- W
A
Genoa
4–1
xG 1.98–1.03
ITA SA
- W
A
Napoli
2–1
xG 1.15–1.88
ITA SA
- D
A
Udinese
1–1
xG 1.86–1.59
ITA SA
- W
A
Cremonese
4–1
xG 2.34–1.15
ITA SA
- W
H
Parma
1–0
xG 2.31–0.17
ITA SA
RB Leipzig
LWL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 7.03–3.28 · xPts 6.08
- L
A
Werder Bremen
1–3
xG 1.61–0.7
GER BI - W
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–0
xG 3.87–1.06
GER BI - L
A
SC Freiburg
1–4
xG 1.55–1.52
GER BI
LWL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 7.03–3.28 · xPts 6.08
- L
A
Werder Bremen
1–3
xG 1.61–0.7
GER BI
- W
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–0
xG 3.87–1.06
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
1–4
xG 1.55–1.52
GER BI
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
56.8%Como P 57%21.1%Draw P 23%22.1%RB Leipzig P 21%
Over / under 2.5
65.5%Over 2.5 P 68%34.5%Under 2.5 P 32%
Both teams to score
63.1%Yes36.9%No
Expected
- Como goals
- 2.11 (0–4)
- RB Leipzig goals
- 1.26 (0–3)
- Corners
- 9.1 (5–14)
- Cards
- 3.61 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 56.8% / 21.1% / 22.1%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
44.0%Como23.4%Draw32.6%RB Leipzig
Over / under 2.5
58.4%Over 2.541.6%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
56.7%Yes43.3%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.565 | 0.28 |
| btts | yes | 0.46 | 0.272 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.423 | 0.238 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 4–1 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 4–1 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 4–1 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- W Como 4–1 RB Leipzig UEFA CL · League Stage
| Metric | Como all · 1 | Como at home · 1 | RB Leipzig all · 1 | RB Leipzig away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Como · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.34) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.345
Early press (0-15, level)+0.415
Game state
When ahead+0.224
When level+0.565
When behind+0.302
10 min after conceding+0.075
10 min after scoring+0.695
Situations
At home+0.342
Away+0.353
4+ days rest+0.345
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.012
As favourite+0.394
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.145
Conceded when ahead-0.004
Conceded late (76+)-0.135
Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.26
RB Leipzig · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252
Game state
When ahead+0.222
When level-0.504
When behind+0.572
10 min after conceding+0.082
10 min after scoring+0.394
Situations
At home-0.002
Away+0.452
4+ days rest+0.383
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents-0.002
As favourite+0.303
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.214
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.672
Congested vs rested -0.56 · Ahead vs level +0.72 · Behind vs level +1.07
Como
Current: unbeaten 10 · wins 4 · scoring 8 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 100% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.94 | 1.19 |
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 1 100% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| Metric | Como all · 10 | Como at home · 10 | RB Leipzig all · 10 | RB Leipzig away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 0 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 6 / 0 / 4 | 4 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.10 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 0.60 | 1.00 | 1.80 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | 30% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 70% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% | 90% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.73 | 2.28 | 2.17 | 1.75 |
| xG against / match | 1.10 | 0.81 | 1.32 | 1.46 |
| xG difference | 0.63 | 1.47 | 0.85 | 0.29 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.37 | -0.18 | -0.07 | -0.35 |
| xPts / match | 1.76 | 2.21 | 1.85 | 1.53 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.84 | -0.21 | -0.05 | -0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 100% | 50% | 0% | 17% |
| Leads held | 100% | 86% | 100% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 51% | 37% | 32% | 25% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 46% | 36% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 3% | 17% | 32% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 37 | 48 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | 40 | 38 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 52% | 62% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 60% | 56% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 65% | 57% | 53% |
| Shots | 17.6 | 19.7 | 18.1 | 14.0 |
| On target | 5.8 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 4.8 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 11% | 12% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 74% | 70% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 3.2 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 6.5 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 31% | 20% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 5% | 14% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 16.6 | 22.4 | 18.0 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 59.8 | 72.4 | 60.2 | 51.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 89% | 87% | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 10.9 | 8.5 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 1.30 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Como
0–15'20
16–30'43
31–45'40
46–60'42
61–75'30
76–90'41
RB Leipzig
0–15'02
16–30'63
31–45'23
46–60'32
61–75'52
76–90'56
Como
Current: unbeaten 10 · wins 4 · scoring 8 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.73 | 1.1 |
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 1.88 | 2.13 | 1.63 | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| Metric | Como all · 40 | Como at home · 19 | RB Leipzig all · 35 | RB Leipzig away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 19 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.86 | 1.41 |
| W / D / L | 23 / 11 / 6 | 11 / 5 / 3 | 20 / 5 / 10 | 7 / 3 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.88 | 2.00 | 2.09 | 1.59 |
| Goals against / match | 0.80 | 0.84 | 1.37 | 1.65 |
| Clean sheets | 45% | 47% | 31% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 16% | 6% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 53% | 66% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 53% | 77% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.64 | 1.96 | 2.12 | 1.74 |
| xG against / match | 0.95 | 0.85 | 1.39 | 1.37 |
| xG difference | 0.69 | 1.12 | 0.73 | 0.36 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.23 | 0.04 | -0.03 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.78 | 2.02 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.22 | -0.02 | 0.06 | -0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 63% | 71% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.57 | 2.33 | 2.28 | 2.22 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.36 | 1.75 | 0.78 | 0.43 |
| Came back from behind | 54% | 50% | 23% | 12% |
| Leads held | 85% | 79% | 74% | 70% |
| Minutes leading | 40% | 45% | 37% | 29% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 42% | 44% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 13% | 19% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 31 | 30 | 39 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 43 | 45 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 53% | 53% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 62% | 65% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.45 | 0.53 | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 61% | 64% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 15.2 | 17.3 | 16.1 | 14.4 |
| On target | 5.4 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 70% | 72% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 30% | 23% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 20.9 | 25.5 | 16.7 | 13.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.6 | 72.3 | 56.2 | 52.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 11.9 | 9.2 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 2.00 | 2.05 | 1.54 | 1.82 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Como
0–15'115
16–30'115
31–45'125
46–60'1010
61–75'133
76–90'184
RB Leipzig
0–15'72
16–30'147
31–45'138
46–60'1410
61–75'145
76–90'1116
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Como · 40 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.42) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4240
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3940
Late push (76+, level)+0.2914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.417
Game state
When ahead+0.3627
When level+0.4440
When behind+0.5413
10 min after conceding+0.2922
10 min after scoring+0.7732
Situations
With ten men+0.292
Against ten men+0.317
At home+0.5319
Away+0.3321
3 days rest or fewer+0.383
4+ days rest+0.4337
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1412
v mid-tier opponents+0.498
v bottom-tier opponents+0.554
As favourite+0.5227
Evenly matched+0.377
As underdog+0.066
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2540
Conceded when ahead-0.2227
Conceded late (76+)-0.3536
Congested vs rested -0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level +0.10
RB Leipzig · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1735
Late push (76+, level)+0.066
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1911
Game state
When ahead+0.1727
When level+0.2835
When behind+0.3013
10 min after conceding-0.0924
10 min after scoring+0.3533
Situations
At home+0.2618
Away+0.2417
3 days rest or fewer+0.263
4+ days rest+0.2532
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1310
v mid-tier opponents+0.1712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.278
As favourite+0.3424
Evenly matched+0.168
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1335
Conceded when ahead-0.2327
Conceded late (76+)-0.3628
Congested vs rested +0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level +0.02
Como
Current: unbeaten 10 · wins 4 · scoring 8 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 36 90% | 1.94 | 1.89 | 0.83 | 1.61 | 0.99 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 5% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 0.83 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.23 | 0.19 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.35 |
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 31 89% | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.29 | 2.1 | 1.35 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.49 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.8 pts at 9.0h
1.71Home 57% ▲ +7.3 ptsopened 1.934.22Draw 23% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 3.84.71Away 21% ▼ -5.2 ptsopened 3.69
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.71 ▲ +7.3 | 4.22 ▼ -2.1 | 4.71 ▼ -5.2 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +9.3 | 4.33 ▼ -3.0 | 4.5 ▼ -6.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.7 ▲ +11.4 | 4.1 ▼ -2.8 | 4.6 ▼ -8.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 ▲ +8.2 | 4.2 ▼ -2.1 | 4.6 ▼ -6.2 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.67 ▲ +8.2 | 4.2 ▼ -2.3 | 4.5 ▼ -5.9 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.67 ▲ +8.1 | 4.2 ▼ -2.7 | 4.4 ▼ -5.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.71 ▲ +11.4 | 4.1 ▼ -2.8 | 4.5 ▼ -8.6 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.73 ▲ +5.7 | 3.9 ▼ -1.6 | 4.2 ▼ -4.1 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 6.0h
1.44Yes 65% ▲ +5.6 ptsopened 1.572.62No 35% ▼ -5.6 ptsopened 2.25
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.44 ▲ +5.6 | 2.62 ▼ -5.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.4 ▲ +6.4 | 2.8 ▼ -6.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.36 ▲ +6.4 | 2.88 ▼ -6.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.42 ▲ +5.5 | 2.75 ▼ -5.5 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.44 ▲ +4.0 | 2.7 ▼ -4.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.4 pts at 13.0h
1.42Over 68% ▲ +8.7 ptsopened 1.613.0Under 32% ▼ -8.7 ptsopened 2.33
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.42 ▲ +8.7 | 3.0 ▼ -8.7 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.4 ▲ +9.4 | 3.0 ▼ -9.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.4 ▲ +10.3 | 3.0 ▼ -10.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.39 ▲ +7.4 | 2.68 ▼ -7.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.41 ▲ +10.0 | 2.9 ▼ -10.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.66Home 57% P 57%4.33Draw 22% P 23%4.5Away 21% P 21%
Double Chance
1.22Como or Draw 38%1.22Como or RB Leipzig 38%2.0Draw or RB Leipzig 23%
Draw No Bet
1.31 72%3.42 28%
Both Teams To Score
1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.4Over 68% P 68%3.0Under 32% P 32%
Total Corners
6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58% P 56%2.2Under 42% P 44%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 299 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 57% | 56% | 60% | +4.2 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 21% | -1.7 |
| Away | 21% | 21% | 18% | -2.5 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Serdar Gozubuyuk
- Career
- 18 matches · 3 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.28 (3.17 yellow · 0.11 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.2 · 6.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.11
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Champions League (5-year window · 3 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.67 cards, 24.0 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20' | 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 5' | 6 |
| 2026-08-18 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 65' | 7 |
| 2026-08-15 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 16' | 6 |
| 2026-05-10 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 27' | 5 |
| 2026-05-03 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 6' | 9 |
| 2026-04-25 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 78' | 6 |
| 2026-04-12 | 7 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 40' | 10 |
| 2026-04-04 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 71' | 9 |
| 2026-03-15 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 27' | 6 |