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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

FCBBodø / Glimt
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Arena, Munich
Capacity
75,024
Surface
grass
Attendance
75,000

Teams

Coaches
Vincent Kompany · Kjetil Knutsen
Position
22 · 24
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Rade Obrenović

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
13.6° (feels 13.1°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
81%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 1100 615 3 W
2 FC Bayern München 1100 505 3 W
3 FC Barcelona 1100 514 3 W
4 Manchester United 1100 404 3 W
5 Como 1100 413 3 W
6 Sporting CP 1100 312 3 W
7 VfB Stuttgart 1100 312 3 W
8 Manchester City 1100 202 3 W
9 Real Betis 1100 321 3 W
10 Lens 1100 321 3 W
11 Aston Villa 1100 321 3 W
12 Borussia Dortmund 1100 321 3 W
13 Real Madrid 1100 211 3 W
14 Liverpool 1100 211 3 W
15 Arsenal 1100 101 3 W
16 AEK Athens 1100 101 3 W
17 Roma 1010 110 1 D
18 Shakhtar Donetsk 1010 110 1 D
19 Fenerbahçe 1010 110 1 D
20 PSV 1010 110 1 D
21 Villarreal 1001 23-1 0 L
22 Slavia Praha 1001 23-1 0 L
23 Club Brugge 1001 23-1 0 L
24 LOSC Lille 1001 23-1 0 L
25 Atlético de Madrid 1001 12-1 0 L
26 Inter 1001 12-1 0 L
27 LASK 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Napoli 1001 01-1 0 L
29 Galatasaray 1001 13-2 0 L
30 Viking 1001 13-2 0 L
31 Porto 1001 02-2 0 L
32 RB Leipzig 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Feyenoord 1001 15-4 0 L
34 Sabah 1001 04-4 0 L
35 Slovan Bratislava 1001 16-5 0 L
36 Bodø / Glimt 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

FC Bayern München

WWD 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 10 GA 2 · xG 7.37–2.15 · xPts 7.24

  • D A Schalke 04 0–0 xG 1.92–0.39 GER BI
  • W H VfB Stuttgart 5–1 xG 2.47–1.11 GER BI
  • W H FC Köln 5–1 xG 2.98–0.65 GER BI

Bodø / Glimt

WWW 3W 0D 0L · 9 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 7.97–5.13 · xPts 5.73

  • W H NEC Nijmegen 3–0 xG 2.48–0.2 UEFA CL
  • W A NEC Nijmegen 3–1 xG 1.65–2.26 UEFA CL
  • W H Union Saint-Gilloise 3–2 aet xG 3.85–2.67 UEFA CL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

71.0%FC Bayern München P 90%15.0%Draw P 7%14.0%Bodø / Glimt P 3%

Over / under 2.5

80.8%Over 2.519.2%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

70.2%Yes29.8%No

Expected

FC Bayern München goals
3.01 (1–5)
Bodø / Glimt goals
1.34 (0–3)
Corners
11.35 (6–17)
Cards
3.48 (1–6)

Earlier: day before — 71.0% / 15.0% / 14.0%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

57.3%FC Bayern München22.4%Draw20.2%Bodø / Glimt

Over / under 2.5

60.5%Over 2.539.5%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

54.8%Yes45.2%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home0.3420.126
bttsno1.2110.986
ou_2_5over0.2130.074

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

FC Bayern München 10 draws0 Bodø / Glimt

Goals 5–0 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

FC Bayern München 10 draws0 Bodø / Glimt

Goals 5–0 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

FC Bayern München 10 draws0 Bodø / Glimt

Goals 5–0 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Bayern München 5–0 Bodø / Glimt UEFA CL · League Stage
MetricFC Bayern München all · 1FC Bayern München at home · 1Bodø / Glimt all · 4Bodø / Glimt away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Bayern München · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.86) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.32

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.865
Early press (0-15, level)+0.905

Game state

When ahead+0.894
When level+0.855
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.324

Situations

At home+0.693
Away+1.052
4+ days rest+0.784

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.612
v bottom-tier opponents+0.972
As favourite+0.865

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.445
Conceded when ahead-0.474
Conceded late (76+)-0.774

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level +0.04

Bodø / Glimt · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)+0.204

Game state

When ahead-0.123
When level+0.104
10 min after conceding-0.363
10 min after scoring-0.053

Situations

At home+0.242
Away-0.272
4+ days rest+0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.202
As favourite+0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.274
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)+0.263

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.29

FC Bayern München

Current: unbeaten 9 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-11 100%3.05.00.02.460.41

Bodø / Glimt

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 100%2.252.252.02.091.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: draw -1.3 pts at 3.3d

1.07Home 90% ▲ +5.4 ptsopened 1.1114.46Draw 7% ▼ -2.7 ptsopened 10.0728.0Away 3% ▼ -2.7 ptsopened 15.21
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.07 ▲ +5.414.46 ▼ -2.728.0 ▼ -2.710m
bet3651.06 ▲ +6.913.0 ▼ -4.623.0 ▼ -2.210m
Betfair1.07 ▲ +5.514.0 ▼ -3.029.0 ▼ -2.510m
BetVictor1.05 ▲ +5.315.0 ▼ -3.029.0 ▼ -2.210m
Coral1.1 ▲ +3.813.0 ▼ -2.215.0 ▼ -1.610m
Ladbrokes1.1 ▲ +3.813.0 ▼ -2.215.0 ▼ -1.610m
Unibet1.07 ▲ +4.513.0 ▼ -2.725.0 ▼ -1.810m
WilliamHill1.07 ▲ +5.512.0 ▼ -3.323.0 ▼ -2.210m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.06Home 89% P 90%13.0Draw 7% P 7%23.0Away 4% P 3%

Double Chance

1.01Bayern Munich or Draw 48%1.05Bayern Munich or Bodo/Glimt 47%10.0Draw or Bodo/Glimt 5%

Draw No Bet

1.011 95%21.02 5%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.11Over 85%6.5Under 15%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%6.5Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

2.51.9Over 49% P 48%1.8Under 51% P 52%
3.52.2Over 42% P 31%1.61Under 58% P 69%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 87.5–90% · away 2.5–5% · 198 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home90%89%90%+1.8
Draw7%8%8%-0.3
Away3%4%2%-1.5

In those fixtures: 4.2 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 78%

Rade Obrenović

Career
43 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.63 (4.42 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
20.3 · 4.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.54.4+1.89100
Fouls / match20.522.7-1.27
Fouls per card3.75.2-1.97 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.32-0.0455
Time added6.06.5-0.4732
First card
30' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.75

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-27 42 241 13'3
2026-04-09 40 260 31'5
2026-03-12 10 220 33'9
2026-02-19 20 340 14'13
2026-01-21 · FC Bayern München 41 172 18'6
2025-12-10 10 170 45'6
2025-10-22 61 270 2'8
2025-10-02 60 270 13'6
2025-09-16 70 270 30'5