Rating 7.01 (86th pct) · G+A 16 + 1 (23% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 1.42 ppg with (33) · 1.27 without (22)
Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 1
Momentum
– CRYLech Poznań –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Crystal Palace | at home | Stat | league | away | Lech Poznań |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.0 #29 | – | Ball possession | 49.4 | – | 56.8 #21 |
| 16.0 #17 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 18.0 #10 |
| 6.0 #10 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 7.4 #5 |
| 6.0 #20 | – | Corners | 5.1 | – | 5.4 #28 |
| 11.0 #50 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 9.4 #67 |
| 3.0 #6 | – | Offsides | 1.7 | – | 0.8 #60 |
| 20.0 #4 | – | Tackles | 11.6 | – | 5.6 #48 |
| 108.0 #25 | – | Attacks | 97.8 | – | 101.4 #36 |
| 48.0 #44 | – | Dangerous attacks | 51.6 | – | 59.2 #25 |
| 544.0 #11 | – | Passes | 381.8 | – | 278.8 #41 |
| – | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 1.6 #43 |
| 2.0 #6 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 2.8 #4 |
| – #49 | – | Btts | 40.6 | – | – #46 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 30.2 | – | – #15 |
| – #33 | – | Draw | 19.0 | – | – #27 |
| 2.1 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.0 #29 |
| 1.9 #2 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 2.0 #1 |
| – #47 | – | Failed to score | 40.2 | – | – #44 |
| 4.0 #2 | 4.0 | Goals | 1.2 | 2.3 | 3.0 #4 |
| 0.0 #65 | 0.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 #41 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.4 | – | 0.2 #21 |
| 21.0 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.1 | – | 3.6 #53 |
| – #58 | – | Lost | 47.0 | – | – #52 |
| 1.0 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.4 | – | – |
| 7.2 #2 | – | Rating | 6.7 | – | 6.8 #26 |
| 3.0 #31 | – | Shots blocked | 3.3 | – | 2.6 #39 |
| 11.0 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.5 | – | 7.4 #24 |
| 7.0 #20 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 8.0 #16 |
| 5.0 #18 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 2.6 #35 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 33.9 | – | – #18 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 76.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 80 of 80
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.74 · away 1.01)
- Home / draw / away
- 54% · 21% · 25%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 42% · 56%
- Cards / match
- 4.19 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Crystal Palace · Last 365 days
Rating 6.9 (52th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (14% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Team 1.4 ppg with (48) · 1.14 without (7)
Rating 6.99 (73th pct) · G+A 1 + 7 (11% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.44 ppg with (43) · 1.08 without (12)
Lech Poznań · 2026/2027 · Europa League
Rating 7.25 · G+A 4 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Rating 6.99 · G+A 2 + 3 (33% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Rating 6.91 · G+A 1 + 2 (20% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Absences
Crystal Palace
- injury Chadi Riad #18 key player defender · Knee Injury · 5 missed
- injury Jean-Philippe Mateta #7 key player attacker · Hamstring Injury · 4 missed
Lech Poznań
- injury Alex Douglas defender · Rib Fracture · 12 missed · until 2026-12-31
- injury Ali Gholizadeh attacker · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 20 missed · until 2026-12-31
- injury Antoni Kozubal #5 key player midfielder · Thigh Muscle Strain · 3 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- League Stage
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Selhurst Park, London
- Capacity
- 25,456
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 18,117
Teams
- Coaches
- Pierre Sage · Niels Frederiksen
- Position
- 15 · 14
- Formation
- 3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Michal Očenáš
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 15.1° (feels 14.4°)
- Wind
- 3.6
- Humidity
- 68%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union Saint-Gilloise |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvárosi |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Benfica |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  OFI |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Torreense |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  AFC Bournemouth |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Olympiacos F.C. |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Salzburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Omonia Nicosia |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  Sunderland |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Rennes |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  Sturm Graz |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia Białystok |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Anderlecht |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Lillestrøm |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  AZ Alkmaar |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  Celta de Vigo |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Celtic |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  AC Milan |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Celje |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  Olympique Marseille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Ararat-Armenia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Viktoria Plzeň |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Crystal Palace |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Beşiktaş |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 | OFI |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Olympiacos F.C. |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Omonia Nicosia |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Sunderland |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 10 | Sturm Graz |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11 | AFC Bournemouth |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12 | AZ Alkmaar |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 13 | Benfica |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 14 | Celje |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 16 | Dinamo Zagreb |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 17 | Ferencvárosi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Jagiellonia Białystok |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | Lech Poznań |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | Olympique Lyonnais |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 22 | Olympique Marseille |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 23 | Rennes |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 24 | Salzburg |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | Sparta Praha |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | TSG Hoffenheim |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 27 | Torreense |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 28 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 29 | Anderlecht |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Lillestrøm |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Real Sociedad |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Levski Sofia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 33 | Celtic |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 34 | AC Milan |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Ararat-Armenia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Viktoria Plzeň |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Praha |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Ferencvárosi |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Benfica |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 | AFC Bournemouth |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Olympique Lyonnais |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Torreense |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Salzburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 10 | Rennes |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11 | AC Milan |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 12 | Anderlecht |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 13 | Ararat-Armenia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15 | Beşiktaş |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16 | Celtic |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17 | Crystal Palace |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 19 | Juventus |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 20 | Levski Sofia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | Lillestrøm |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | OFI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Olympiacos F.C. |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24 | Omonia Nicosia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | Real Sociedad |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 26 | Sturm Graz |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27 | Sunderland |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 28 | Viktoria Plzeň |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 29 | Jagiellonia Białystok |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | AZ Alkmaar |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Celta de Vigo |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Celje |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 33 | TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Olympique Marseille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Lech Poznań |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 | NEC Nijmegen |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Crystal Palace
WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 11 · xG 6.25–9.91 · xPts 5.29
- L
H
Ipswich Town
2–3
xG 0.92–1.83
UK PL - W
A
Fulham
3–2
xG 1.04–3.89
UK PL - L
H
Manchester City
1–4
xG 0.62–1.99
UK PL - L
A
Everton
0–2
xG 1.79–1.45
UK PL - W
H
Rayo Vallecano
1–0
xG 1.87–0.75
UEFA ECL
LWLLWL 2W 0D 4L · 6 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 13 · xG 7.18–12.32 · xPts 5.84
- L
H
Ipswich Town
2–3
xG 0.92–1.83
UK PL
- W
A
Fulham
3–2
xG 1.04–3.89
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
1–4
xG 0.62–1.99
UK PL
- L
A
Everton
0–2
xG 1.79–1.45
UK PL
- W
H
Rayo Vallecano
1–0
xG 1.87–0.75
UEFA ECL
- L
H
Arsenal
1–2
xG 0.93–2.42
UK PL
Lech Poznań
LWWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 16 GA 6 · xG 6.12–3.71 · xPts 5.75
- D
A
Thun
2–2
xG 1.51–0.87
UEFA EL - W
H
Thun
7–0
xG 2.1–0.5
UEFA EL
- W
A
KÍ
5–0
UEFA EL - W
H
KÍ
1–0
UEFA EL
- L
H
AGF
1–4 lost on pens None–None
xG 2.51–2.34
UEFA CL
WLWWWD 4W 1D 1L · 13 pts (2.17 ppg) · GF 20 GA 7 · xG 7.49–4.64 · xPts 7.43
- D
A
Thun
2–2
xG 1.51–0.87
UEFA EL
- W
H
Thun
7–0
xG 2.1–0.5
UEFA EL
- W
A
KÍ
5–0
UEFA EL
- W
H
KÍ
1–0
UEFA EL
- L
H
AGF
1–4 lost on pens None–None
xG 2.51–2.34
UEFA CL
- W
A
AGF
4–1
xG 1.37–0.94
UEFA CL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
44.0%Crystal Palace P 66%23.3%Draw P 19%32.7%Lech Poznań P 15%
Over / under 2.5
63.9%Over 2.5 P 67%36.1%Under 2.5 P 33%
Both teams to score
65.0%Yes35.0%No
Expected
- Crystal Palace goals
- 1.78 (0–4)
- Lech Poznań goals
- 1.51 (0–3)
- Corners
- 8.07 (4–12)
- Cards
- 3.97 (1–7)
Earlier: day before — 44.2% / 23.2% / 32.6%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
34.2%Crystal Palace24.1%Draw41.8%Lech Poznań
Over / under 2.5
55.8%Over 2.544.2%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
56.4%Yes43.6%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.82 | 0.474 |
| btts | no | 1.049 | 0.844 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.448 | 0.261 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 4–0 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 4–0 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 4–0 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- W Crystal Palace 4–0 Lech Poznań UEFA EL · League Stage
| Metric | Crystal Palace all · 1 | Crystal Palace at home · 1 | Lech Poznań all · 5 | Lech Poznań away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 5 | – |
| Points per game | – | – | 2.00 | – |
| W / D / L | – | – | 3 / 1 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 3.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.20 | – |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 60% | – |
| Failed to score | – | – | 20% | – |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 20% | – |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 80% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.66 | – |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.15 | – |
| xG difference | – | – | 0.51 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | 1.34 | – |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.74 | – |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | -0.40 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 80% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 2.50 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | – | – | 75% | – |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 36% | – |
| Minutes level | – | – | 40% | – |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 23% | – |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 32 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 16 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 53% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 17% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.80 | – |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.20 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 57% | – |
| Shots | – | – | 17.8 | – |
| On target | – | – | 7.4 | – |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 17% | – |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 69% | – |
| Big chances created | – | – | 3.0 | – |
| Corners | – | – | 5.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 13% | – |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | – | – | 13.6 | – |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 59.0 | – |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 86% | – |
| Fouls | – | – | 9.4 | – |
| Cards | – | – | 2.20 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lech Poznań
0–15'11
16–30'42
31–45'22
46–60'20
61–75'20
76–90'41
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Crystal Palace · 5 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.59
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.215
Early press (0-15, level)-0.055
Late push (76+, level)+1.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.593
Game state
When ahead-0.023
When level-0.065
When behind-0.404
10 min after conceding-0.434
10 min after scoring+0.124
Situations
At home-0.143
Away-0.292
4+ days rest-0.215
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.333
As favourite+0.032
As underdog-0.402
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.145
Conceded when ahead+0.133
Conceded late (76+)-0.224
Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.34
Lech Poznań · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.26) · stands out: at home +0.44
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.267
Early press (0-15, level)+0.007
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Game state
When ahead+0.155
When level+0.317
When behind+0.283
10 min after conceding-0.094
10 min after scoring+0.395
Situations
At home+0.443
Away+0.124
4+ days rest+0.267
Opposition
As favourite+0.244
Evenly matched+0.242
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.287
Conceded when ahead-0.515
Conceded late (76+)-0.432
Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.03
Crystal Palace
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 1 100% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.07 | 1.36 |
Lech Poznań
Current: winless 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 100% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 1.66 | 1.15 |
| Metric | Crystal Palace all · 10 | Crystal Palace at home · 10 | Lech Poznań all · 10 | Lech Poznań away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.70 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 5 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 6 / 1 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.80 | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.47 | 1.74 | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| xG against / match | 1.87 | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.29 |
| xG difference | -0.40 | 0.34 | 0.55 | 0.46 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.06 | 0.45 | 0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.20 | 1.55 | 1.75 | 1.68 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.10 | 0.15 | -0.12 | 0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 50% | 70% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.75 | 2.40 | 2.71 | 2.29 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 40% | 25% | 40% |
| Leads held | 60% | 83% | 86% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 27% | 35% | 50% |
| Minutes level | 38% | 46% | 38% | 31% |
| Minutes trailing | 39% | 27% | 27% | 18% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 43 | 44 | 28 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 27 | 28 | 37 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 56% | 52% | 41% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 46% | 50% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 45% | 54% | 51% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 12.4 | 16.4 | 15.2 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.2 | 6.8 | 6.0 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 15% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 74% | 72% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 3.6 | 5.4 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 34% | 20% | 41% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 25% | 6% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 8.6 | 11.3 | 14.8 | 12.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.5 | 47.8 | 60.8 | 51.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82% | 84% | 82% |
| Fouls | 8.9 | 10.9 | 9.9 | 8.9 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 0.90 | 2.10 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Crystal Palace
0–15'32
16–30'12
31–45'37
46–60'45
61–75'10
76–90'44
Lech Poznań
0–15'21
16–30'52
31–45'44
46–60'23
61–75'62
76–90'42
Crystal Palace
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 70% | 0.71 | 1.57 | 2.43 | 1.41 | 2.16 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.97 | 1.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.92 | 1.52 |
Lech Poznań
Current: winless 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.78 | 2.56 | 1.67 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.46 | 0.88 |
| Metric | Crystal Palace all · 55 | Crystal Palace at home · 28 | Lech Poznań all · 17 | Lech Poznań away · 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 55 | 28 | 17 | 9 |
| Points per game | 1.36 | 1.39 | 1.88 | 1.78 |
| W / D / L | 21 / 12 / 22 | 10 / 9 / 9 | 10 / 2 / 5 | 5 / 1 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.35 | 1.36 | 2.24 | 2.22 |
| Goals against / match | 1.36 | 1.21 | 1.35 | 1.56 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 39% | 35% | 22% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 29% | 6% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 50% | 59% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 57% | 71% | 89% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.68 | 1.84 | 1.99 | 1.82 |
| xG against / match | 1.34 | 1.23 | 1.28 | 1.27 |
| xG difference | 0.35 | 0.61 | 0.71 | 0.55 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.34 | -0.48 | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.59 | 1.75 | 1.81 | 1.74 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.23 | -0.35 | -0.08 | -0.11 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 54% | 50% | 71% | 78% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.93 | 2.07 | 2.58 | 2.29 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 0.56 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 24% | 31% | 29% | 25% |
| Leads held | 64% | 67% | 83% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 25% | 41% | 52% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 51% | 40% | 29% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 24% | 20% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 41 | 41 | 26 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 42 | 44 | 47 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 53% | 43% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 56% | 59% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.27 | 0.21 | 0.41 | 0.56 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 49% | 54% | 53% |
| Shots | 12.8 | 13.7 | 16.1 | 16.0 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 6.4 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 14% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 73% | 73% | 68% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 38% | 34% | 41% |
| Goals from headers | 24% | 31% | 6% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 13.2 | 14.9 | 13.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.0 | 49.3 | 57.5 | 55.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 79% | 83% | 83% |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 10.9 | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| Cards | 1.93 | 1.71 | 1.82 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Crystal Palace
0–15'95
16–30'103
31–45'2026
46–60'919
61–75'87
76–90'1715
Lech Poznań
0–15'51
16–30'63
31–45'105
46–60'24
61–75'73
76–90'76
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Crystal Palace · 55 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.29
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0255
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0255
Late push (76+, level)-0.0121
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1526
Game state
When ahead+0.0233
When level+0.0355
When behind-0.1529
10 min after conceding-0.2939
10 min after scoring+0.2542
Situations
With ten men-0.074
Against ten men-0.016
At home-0.0328
Away+0.0027
3 days rest or fewer-0.1819
4+ days rest+0.0736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2329
v mid-tier opponents+0.1410
v bottom-tier opponents+0.242
As favourite+0.2025
Evenly matched-0.1315
As underdog-0.2615
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1255
Conceded when ahead+0.1233
Conceded late (76+)+0.0353
Congested vs rested -0.25 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.18
Lech Poznań · 17 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: against ten men +0.44
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1817
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0717
Late push (76+, level)+0.235
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.542
Game state
When ahead+0.0612
When level+0.2617
When behind+0.246
10 min after conceding-0.2711
10 min after scoring+0.3215
Situations
Against ten men+0.444
At home+0.158
Away+0.209
4+ days rest+0.1817
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.092
v mid-tier opponents-0.153
As favourite+0.398
Evenly matched+0.047
As underdog-0.222
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0317
Conceded when ahead-0.0812
Conceded late (76+)-0.0612
Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.02
Crystal Palace
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 38 69% | 1.05 | 1.16 | 1.55 | 1.54 | 1.45 |
| 3-4-3 | 16 29% | 2.19 | 1.88 | 0.81 | 2.08 | 1.05 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.92 | 1.52 |
Lech Poznań
Current: winless 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 82% | 1.64 | 2.36 | 1.57 | 1.85 | 1.37 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 12% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 0.57 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 6% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.23 | 1.6 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -3.9 pts at 10m · late move: home -5.9 pts inside the final hour
1.46Home 66% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 1.415.09Draw 19% · -0.4 ptsopened 4.96.46Away 15% ▲ +1.4 ptsopened 7.01
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.46 ▼ -1.1 | 5.09 · -0.4 | 6.46 ▲ +1.4 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.45 · +0.7 | 5.0 ▼ -2.6 | 6.0 ▲ +1.9 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.4 ▼ -1.2 | 4.75 · +0.2 | 7.0 ▲ +1.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.4 · -0.5 | 5.0 ▼ -1.6 | 6.5 ▲ +2.2 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.44 ▼ -1.0 | 5.25 ▼ -1.4 | 6.0 ▲ +2.4 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.44 ▼ -1.6 | 5.0 · -0.7 | 6.0 ▲ +2.3 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.38 ▲ +1.1 | 5.1 ▼ -1.1 | 7.5 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.33 ▲ +2.0 | 4.8 ▼ -1.7 | 7.0 · -0.3 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 2.0d
1.8Yes 52% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 1.91.95No 48% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 1.9
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +2.0 | 1.95 ▼ -2.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.53 ▲ +11.3 | 2.38 ▼ -11.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.57 ▲ +8.6 | 2.25 ▼ -8.6 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 ▲ +2.5 | 2.0 ▼ -2.5 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -2.2 pts at 10m · late move: over +3.2 pts inside the final hour
1.43Over 67% ▲ +10.0 ptsopened 1.682.87Under 33% ▼ -10.0 ptsopened 2.2
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.43 ▲ +10.0 | 2.87 ▼ -10.0 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.5 ▲ +6.6 | 2.62 ▼ -6.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▲ +8.1 | 2.8 ▼ -8.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.41 ▲ +8.6 | 2.59 ▼ -8.6 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.45Home 65% P 66%5.0Draw 19% P 19%6.0Away 16% P 15%
Double Chance
1.08Crystal Palace or Draw 44%1.14Crystal Palace or Lech Poznan 42%3.25Draw or Lech Poznan 15%
Draw No Bet
1.111 85%6.52 15%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.5Over 64% P 67%2.62Under 36% P 33%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
3.51.8Over 51% P 49%1.9Under 49% P 51%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 66% | 66% | 69% | +3.3 |
| Draw | 19% | 20% | 20% | -0.7 |
| Away | 15% | 14% | 11% | -2.7 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 66% | 69% | +3.2 |
Michal Očenáš
- Career
- 21 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.43 (4.24 yellow · 0.05 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.4 · 4.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.19
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Europa League (5-year window · 1 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.0 cards, 18.0 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 31' | 8 |
| 2026-08-13 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 43' | 4 |
| 2025-11-27 | 6 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 15' | 8 |
| 2025-10-02 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 70' | 8 |