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Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

JuventusNEC Nijmegen
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Juventus Stadium, Torino
Capacity
45,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
41,407

Teams

Coaches
Luciano Spalletti · Dick Schreuder
Position
23 · 16
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Oleksiy Derevinskyi

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
20.2° (feels 20.2°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 80

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Juventus

DWWDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 8.08–2.86 · xPts 10.6

  • L A Sassuolo 2–3 xG 1.12–0.92 ITA SA
  • D H AC Milan 1–1 xG 1.24–0.11 ITA SA
  • W H Parma 2–0 xG 1.64–0.27 ITA SA
  • W A Frosinone 1–0 xG 1.77–0.55 ITA SA
  • D A Torino 2–2 xG 2.3–1.01 ITA SA

NEC Nijmegen

LWLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 5.4–10.74 · xPts 4.11

  • L A SC Cambuur 0–3 xG 0.7–3.03 NLD E
  • D H Excelsior 2–2 xG 1.21–1.84 NLD E
  • L H Feyenoord 1–3 xG 1.19–1.35 NLD E
  • W A PEC Zwolle 3–1 xG 2.09–2.04 NLD E
  • L A Bodø / Glimt 0–3 xG 0.2–2.48 UEFA CL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

69.4%Juventus P 80%18.2%Draw P 13%12.4%NEC Nijmegen P 7%

Over / under 2.5

61.2%Over 2.5 P 68%38.8%Under 2.5 P 32%

Both teams to score

52.2%Yes47.8%No

Expected

Juventus goals
2.3 (0–4)
NEC Nijmegen goals
0.86 (0–2)
Corners
9.58 (5–14)
Cards
4.53 (2–8)

Earlier: day before — 69.6% / 18.1% / 12.3%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

63.9%Juventus20.0%Draw16.1%NEC Nijmegen

Over / under 2.5

54.1%Over 2.545.9%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

48.3%Yes51.7%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home0.3650.142
bttsno0.7380.545
ou_2_5over0.4910.301

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Juventus 10 draws0 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 5–0 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Juventus 10 draws0 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 5–0 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Juventus 10 draws0 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 5–0 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Juventus 5–0 NEC Nijmegen UEFA EL · League Stage
MetricJuventus all · 1Juventus at home · 1NEC Nijmegen all · 1NEC Nijmegen away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.163
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

NEC Nijmegen · 10 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1110
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1410
Late push (76+, level)+0.172
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.245

Game state

When ahead+0.093
When level-0.1810
When behind+0.398
10 min after conceding+0.029
10 min after scoring+0.537

Situations

At home+0.195
Away+0.015
3 days rest or fewer+0.022
4+ days rest+0.148

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.054
v bottom-tier opponents+0.284
As favourite+0.185
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.0510
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.427

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.57

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-11 100%3.05.00.03.230.77

NEC Nijmegen

Current: winless 4 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-11 100%0.00.05.00.773.23

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -3.3 pts at 10m · late move: home -3.2 pts inside the final hour

1.2Home 80% ▲ +3.8 ptsopened 1.257.39Draw 13% ▼ -2.7 ptsopened 6.0812.94Away 7% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 11.04
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Home Draw Away consensus of 6 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.2 ▲ +3.87.39 ▼ -2.712.94 ▼ -1.210m
bet3651.22 ▲ +4.47.0 ▼ -3.112.0 ▼ -1.310m
Betfair1.17 ▲ +4.97.5 ▼ -2.814.0 ▼ -2.110m
BetVictor1.18 ▲ +4.57.0 ▼ -2.513.0 ▼ -1.910m
Unibet1.19 ▲ +1.77.0 · -0.514.0 ▼ -1.210m
WilliamHill1.17 ▲ +6.47.5 ▼ -3.415.0 ▼ -3.010m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.22Home 78% P 80%7.0Draw 14% P 13%12.0Away 8% P 7%

Double Chance

1.03Juventus or Draw 46%1.1Juventus or NEC 43%4.5Draw or NEC 11%

Draw No Bet

1.031 94%15.02 6%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45%1.7No 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 68% P 68%3.0Under 32% P 32%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49% P 49%1.8Under 51% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 5–7.5% · 360 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home80%79%82%+3.0
Draw13%14%13%-1.5
Away7%7%5%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 63%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Oleksiy Derevinskyi

Career
14 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.86 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
22.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 2 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.5 cards, 22.5 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-27 30 221 43'4
2026-01-22 50 170 27'5
2025-12-11 20 190 87'7
2025-10-02 70 260 18'6