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Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

BeşiktaşOM
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Beşiktaş Stadium, İstanbul
Capacity
42,590
Surface
grass
Attendance
39,831

Teams

Coaches
Vincenzo Italiano · Bruno Génésio
Position
17 · 18
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Andrea Colombo

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
19.7° (feels 20.2°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
97%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Beşiktaş

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 1 · xG 8.31–2.62 · xPts 8.78

  • L A Kauno Žalgiris 0–1 xG 0.77–0.6 UEFA EL
  • W H Kauno Žalgiris 3–0 xG 2.74–0.13 UEFA EL
  • W H Hradec Králové 1–0 xG 2.31–0.85 UEFA EL
  • W A Hradec Králové 1–0 xG 2.5–1.04 UEFA EL
  • W A FC Midtjylland 2–0 UEFA EL

Olympique Marseille

WLLL 1W 0D 3L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 6.79–5.9 · xPts 6.18

  • L A Rennes 0–1 xG 1.0–1.89 FRA L1
  • L H Paris 2–3 xG 1.65–2.58 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 0–2 xG 1.87–1.14 FRA L1
  • W H Strasbourg 4–0 xG 2.27–0.29 FRA L1

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

48.1%Beşiktaş P 57%24.9%Draw P 23%27.0%Olympique Marseille P 21%

Over / under 2.5

53.4%Over 2.5 P 64%46.6%Under 2.5 P 36%

Both teams to score

55.9%Yes44.1%No

Expected

Beşiktaş goals
1.64 (0–3)
Olympique Marseille goals
1.17 (0–3)
Corners
8.34 (4–13)
Cards
4.83 (2–8)

Earlier: day before — 48.3% / 24.8% / 26.9%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

57.5%Beşiktaş20.6%Draw21.9%Olympique Marseille

Over / under 2.5

63.5%Over 2.536.5%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

57.4%Yes42.6%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home0.7310.404
ou_2_5over0.6280.435
bttsyes0.5820.39

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 3 matches since 2007

Beşiktaş 20 draws1 Olympique Marseille

Goals 6–4 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Beşiktaş 20 draws1 Olympique Marseille

Goals 6–4 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Beşiktaş 20 draws1 Olympique Marseille

Goals 6–4 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Recent meetings

  • W Beşiktaş 4–1 Olympique Marseille UEFA EL · League Stage
  • W Beşiktaş 2–1 Olympique Marseille neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • L Olympique Marseille 2–0 Beşiktaş UEFA CL · Group Stage
MetricBeşiktaş all · 7Beşiktaş at home · 4Olympique Marseille all · 1Olympique Marseille away · 1
Results
Matches7
Points per game2.57
W / D / L6 / 0 / 1
Goals for / match1.71
Goals against / match0.29
Clean sheets71%
Failed to score14%
Both teams scored14%
Over 2.529%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.03
xG against / match0.72
xG difference1.31
Finishing vs xG-0.23
xPts / match2.15
Points vs xPts0.25
Game state
Scored first86%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first0.00
Came back from behind0%
Leads held100%
Minutes leading44%
Minutes level52%
Minutes trailing4%
First goal (min)40
First goal conceded (min)46
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.43
Late goals against0.00
Style
Possession62%
Shots19.9
On target5.9
Shot conversion9%
Shots inside box67%
Big chances created1.8
Corners5.1
xG from set plays20%
Goals from headers38%
Pressure index20.6
Dominant minutes66.6
Pass accuracy87%
Fouls9.7
Cards1.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Beşiktaş

0–15'30
16–30'11
31–45'10
46–60'30
61–75'11
76–90'30

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Beşiktaş · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as favourite +0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.187

Game state

When ahead+0.296
When level+0.407
10 min after conceding+0.522
10 min after scoring+0.286

Situations

Against ten men-0.182
At home+0.344
Away+0.353
4+ days rest+0.357

Opposition

As favourite+0.486

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.247
Conceded when ahead-0.196
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.12

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Beşiktaş

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-16 86%3.02.00.172.350.75
4-3-31 14%0.00.01.00.770.6

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-11 100%0.01.04.00.981.84

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away -2.2 pts at 3.9d · late move: home +1.0 pts inside the final hour

1.7Home 57% ▲ +6.1 ptsopened 1.884.28Draw 23% · -0.7 ptsopened 4.094.67Away 21% ▼ -5.4 ptsopened 3.65
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.7 ▲ +6.14.28 · -0.74.67 ▼ -5.410m
bet3651.66 ▲ +6.44.33 ▼ -3.44.33 ▼ -3.010m
Betfair1.67 ▲ +4.83.9 · +0.14.33 ▼ -4.910m
BetVictor1.67 ▲ +6.04.2 ▼ -2.14.33 ▼ -3.810m
Coral1.73 ▲ +5.74.2 ▼ -1.54.33 ▼ -4.210m
Ladbrokes1.73 ▲ +5.04.0 ▼ -1.34.2 ▼ -3.810m
Unibet1.7 ▲ +3.34.1 ▼ -1.44.5 ▼ -1.910m
WilliamHill1.7 ▲ +4.13.9 · -0.74.0 ▼ -3.410m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.66Home 57% P 57%4.33Draw 22% P 23%4.33Away 22% P 21%

Double Chance

1.22Besiktas or Draw 38%1.22Besiktas or Marseille 38%2.0Draw or Marseille 23%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 64%2.62Under 36% P 36%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 50%1.8Under 51% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 298 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home57%56%60%+4.1
Draw23%23%21%-1.7
Away21%21%18%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Andrea Colombo

Career
72 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.17 (4.96 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
24.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 3 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 2.67 cards, 25.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-05 11 190 40'6
2026-08-27 11 170 55'8
2026-08-13 20 231 26'5
2026-05-09 20 250 80'6
2026-04-12 20 340 36'6
2026-03-22 60 280 42'11
2026-03-08 40 281 12'8
2026-02-28 70 220 45'7
2026-02-15 20 281 26'6
2026-02-07 70 290 31'7