Rating 7.07 (85th pct) · G+A 14 + 5 (31% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.53 ppg with (32) · 0.22 without (9)
Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 1
Momentum
– RSOBOU –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Real Sociedad | at home | Stat | league | away | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62.0 #9 | – | Ball possession | 49.4 | – | 38.0 #65 |
| 16.0 #17 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 11.0 #43 |
| 5.0 #19 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 3.0 #48 |
| 10.0 #6 | – | Corners | 5.1 | – | 3.0 #55 |
| 14.0 #19 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 13.0 #29 |
| 1.0 #43 | – | Offsides | 1.7 | – | 4.0 #2 |
| 18.0 #5 | – | Tackles | 11.6 | – | 17.0 #7 |
| 126.0 #7 | – | Attacks | 97.8 | – | 87.0 #52 |
| 56.0 #27 | – | Dangerous attacks | 51.6 | – | 41.0 #54 |
| 584.0 #5 | – | Passes | 381.8 | – | 368.0 #30 |
| 3.0 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 3.0 #7 |
| 1.0 #22 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 2.0 #6 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 40.6 | – | – #1 |
| – #39 | – | Cleansheet | 30.2 | – | – #39 |
| – #33 | – | Draw | 19.0 | – | – #33 |
| 1.1 #27 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 0.9 #36 |
| -0.1 #32 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 1.1 #11 |
| – #47 | – | Failed to score | 40.2 | – | – #47 |
| 1.0 #34 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 #11 |
| 2.0 #18 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 #42 |
| 7.0 #32 | – | Interceptions | 8.1 | – | 7.0 #32 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 47.0 | – | – #58 |
| 6.7 #32 | – | Rating | 6.7 | – | 6.8 #20 |
| 5.0 #17 | – | Shots blocked | 3.3 | – | 2.0 #49 |
| 6.0 #30 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.5 | – | 8.0 #21 |
| 6.0 #29 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 6.0 #29 |
| 10.0 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 3.0 #33 |
| – #42 | – | Win | 33.9 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 76.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 80 of 80
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.74 · away 1.01)
- Home / draw / away
- 54% · 21% · 25%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 42% · 56%
- Cards / match
- 4.19 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Real Sociedad · Last 365 days
Rating 6.98 (92th pct) · G+A 1 + 6 (11% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Team 1.29 ppg with (35) · 1.0 without (6)
Rating 6.99 (86th pct) · G+A 4 + 4 (13% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Team 1.33 ppg with (30) · 1.0 without (11)
AFC Bournemouth · Last 365 days
Rating 7.08 (87th pct) · G+A 10 + 4 (22% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.31 ppg with (32) · 1.62 without (8)
Rating 7.04 (83th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (10% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 6.88 (61th pct) · G+A 1 + 7 (13% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Absences
Real Sociedad
- injury Álvaro Odriozola #17 key player defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 29 missed · until 2026-11-30
AFC Bournemouth
- injury Junior Kroupi #5 key player attacker · Foot Injury · 9 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- League Stage
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastián
- Capacity
- 40,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 30,020
Teams
- Coaches
- Pellegrino Matarazzo · Marco Rose
- Position
- 25 · 22
- Formation
- 5-4-1 · 4-4-2
Referee
Paweł Raczkowski
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 18.1° (feels 18.0°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 79%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union Saint-Gilloise |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvárosi |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Benfica |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  OFI |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Torreense |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  AFC Bournemouth |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Olympiacos F.C. |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Salzburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Omonia Nicosia |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  Sunderland |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Rennes |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  Sturm Graz |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia Białystok |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Anderlecht |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Lillestrøm |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  AZ Alkmaar |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  Celta de Vigo |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Celtic |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  AC Milan |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Celje |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  Olympique Marseille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Ararat-Armenia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Viktoria Plzeň |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Crystal Palace |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Beşiktaş |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 | OFI |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Olympiacos F.C. |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Omonia Nicosia |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Sunderland |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 10 | Sturm Graz |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11 | AFC Bournemouth |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12 | AZ Alkmaar |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 13 | Benfica |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 14 | Celje |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 16 | Dinamo Zagreb |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 17 | Ferencvárosi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Jagiellonia Białystok |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | Lech Poznań |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | Olympique Lyonnais |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 22 | Olympique Marseille |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 23 | Rennes |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 24 | Salzburg |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | Sparta Praha |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | TSG Hoffenheim |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 27 | Torreense |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 28 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 29 | Anderlecht |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Lillestrøm |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Real Sociedad |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Levski Sofia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 33 | Celtic |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 34 | AC Milan |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Ararat-Armenia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Viktoria Plzeň |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Praha |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Ferencvárosi |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Benfica |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 | AFC Bournemouth |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Olympique Lyonnais |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Torreense |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Salzburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 10 | Rennes |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11 | AC Milan |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 12 | Anderlecht |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 13 | Ararat-Armenia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15 | Beşiktaş |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16 | Celtic |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17 | Crystal Palace |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 19 | Juventus |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 20 | Levski Sofia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | Lillestrøm |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | OFI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Olympiacos F.C. |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24 | Omonia Nicosia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | Real Sociedad |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 26 | Sturm Graz |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27 | Sunderland |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 28 | Viktoria Plzeň |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 29 | Jagiellonia Białystok |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | AZ Alkmaar |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Celta de Vigo |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Celje |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 33 | TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Olympique Marseille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Lech Poznań |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 | NEC Nijmegen |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Real Sociedad
LWDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 4.74–8.46 · xPts 4.91
- L
H
Atlético de Madrid
0–3
xG 0.39–1.9
ESP PL - W
A
Elche
3–2
xG 0.69–2.54
ESP PL - D
H
Celta de Vigo
0–0
xG 0.94–0.61
ESP PL
- W
H
Espanyol
2–1
xG 2.11–0.86
ESP PL - L
A
Real Madrid
1–4
xG 0.63–2.55
ESP PL
DLLWDWL 2W 2D 3L · 8 pts (1.14 ppg) · GF 7 GA 12 · xG 6.87–11.96 · xPts 6.76
- L
H
Atlético de Madrid
0–3
xG 0.39–1.9
ESP PL
- W
A
Elche
3–2
xG 0.69–2.54
ESP PL
- D
H
Celta de Vigo
0–0
xG 0.94–0.61
ESP PL
- W
H
Espanyol
2–1
xG 2.11–0.86
ESP PL
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–4
xG 0.63–2.55
ESP PL
- L
A
Real Betis
0–1
xG 0.99–1.71
ESP PL - D
A
Espanyol
1–1
xG 1.14–1.79
ESP PL
AFC Bournemouth
DLDDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 7.85–6.48 · xPts 7.81
- D
H
Brentford
2–2
xG 2.09–0.52
UK PL - D
A
Newcastle United
2–2
xG 1.36–0.76
UK PL - D
H
Everton
1–1
xG 2.66–1.14
UK PL - L
A
Manchester City
1–2
xG 0.57–2.13
UK PL - D
A
Nottingham Forest
1–1
xG 1.17–1.94
UK PL
DLDDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 7.85–6.48 · xPts 7.81
- D
H
Brentford
2–2
xG 2.09–0.52
UK PL
- D
A
Newcastle United
2–2
xG 1.36–0.76
UK PL
- D
H
Everton
1–1
xG 2.66–1.14
UK PL
- L
A
Manchester City
1–2
xG 0.57–2.13
UK PL
- D
A
Nottingham Forest
1–1
xG 1.17–1.94
UK PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
28.6%Real Sociedad P 27%24.0%Draw P 26%47.4%AFC Bournemouth P 47%
Over / under 2.5
58.4%Over 2.5 P 59%41.6%Under 2.5 P 41%
Both teams to score
60.1%Yes39.9%No
Expected
- Real Sociedad goals
- 1.3 (0–3)
- AFC Bournemouth goals
- 1.73 (0–3)
- Corners
- 11.1 (7–16)
- Cards
- 5.32 (2–9)
Earlier: day before — 28.7% / 23.9% / 47.3%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
38.3%Real Sociedad27.9%Draw33.9%AFC Bournemouth
Over / under 2.5
48.1%Over 2.551.9%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
50.1%Yes49.9%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 0.746 | 0.416 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.537 | 0.346 |
| btts | yes | 0.509 | 0.318 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 1–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 1–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 1–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L Real Sociedad 1–2 AFC Bournemouth UEFA EL · League Stage
| Metric | Real Sociedad all · 1 | Real Sociedad at home · 1 | AFC Bournemouth all · 1 | AFC Bournemouth away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Real Sociedad · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.077
Early press (0-15, level)-0.207
Late push (76+, level)-0.523
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.244
Game state
When ahead+0.242
When level-0.107
When behind-0.324
10 min after conceding-0.316
10 min after scoring+0.104
Situations
With ten men+0.012
At home-0.064
Away-0.093
4+ days rest-0.116
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.243
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As favourite+0.123
As underdog-0.234
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.322
Conceded late (76+)+0.147
Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level +0.34 · Behind vs level -0.22
AFC Bournemouth · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.23
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.005
Early press (0-15, level)+0.215
Late push (76+, level)-0.044
Game state
When ahead+0.025
When level+0.015
When behind-0.682
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.225
Situations
At home+0.042
Away-0.033
4+ days rest-0.005
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.143
As favourite+0.112
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.145
Conceded late (76+)-0.205
Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.69
Real Sociedad
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 1 100% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.07 | 0.88 |
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 1 100% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| Metric | Real Sociedad all · 10 | Real Sociedad at home · 10 | AFC Bournemouth all · 10 | AFC Bournemouth away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.90 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 6 / 1 | 5 / 4 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | 0% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 70% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.91 | 1.59 | 1.58 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 1.67 | 0.94 | 1.31 | 2.07 |
| xG difference | -0.76 | 0.64 | 0.26 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.29 | 0.01 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| xPts / match | 0.95 | 1.76 | 1.54 | 1.03 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.05 | -0.56 | -0.04 | 0.87 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 40% | 80% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.63 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 33% | 67% | 67% |
| Leads held | 40% | 60% | 33% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 29% | 50% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 44% | 47% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 28% | 3% | 4% |
| First goal (min) | 25 | 30 | 34 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 37 | 62 | 51 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 42% | 56% | 38% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 68% | 47% | 75% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 57% | 48% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.2 | 13.6 | 14.0 | 12.3 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 55% | 60% | 54% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 6.7 | 7.3 | 5.2 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 39% | 33% | 14% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 19% | 12% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 9.9 | 14.5 | 12.9 | 9.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.8 | 56.8 | 51.7 | 41.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 81% | 79% |
| Fouls | 13.7 | 13.6 | 12.1 | 12.9 |
| Cards | 3.10 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Sociedad
0–15'32
16–30'22
31–45'22
46–60'21
61–75'26
76–90'16
AFC Bournemouth
0–15'30
16–30'20
31–45'53
46–60'42
61–75'01
76–90'26
Real Sociedad
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.33 | 0.83 | 2.17 | 0.69 | 1.78 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.73 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.07 | 0.88 |
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.22 | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| Metric | Real Sociedad all · 41 | Real Sociedad at home · 21 | AFC Bournemouth all · 40 | AFC Bournemouth away · 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 41 | 21 | 40 | 21 |
| Points per game | 1.24 | 1.52 | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| W / D / L | 13 / 12 / 16 | 9 / 5 / 7 | 11 / 22 / 7 | 6 / 10 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.51 | 1.76 | 1.58 | 1.62 |
| Goals against / match | 1.66 | 1.57 | 1.50 | 1.81 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 14% | 22% | 19% |
| Failed to score | 17% | 19% | 18% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 76% | 71% | 72% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 71% | 60% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.30 | 1.52 | 1.68 | 1.60 |
| xG against / match | 1.46 | 1.06 | 1.64 | 2.20 |
| xG difference | -0.15 | 0.46 | 0.03 | -0.60 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.24 | -0.10 | 0.02 |
| xPts / match | 1.33 | 1.68 | 1.45 | 1.10 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.09 | -0.15 | -0.08 | 0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 49% | 52% | 50% | 57% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.05 | 2.45 | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.45 | 0.44 | 1.13 | 0.86 |
| Came back from behind | 30% | 36% | 65% | 54% |
| Leads held | 56% | 69% | 42% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 34% | 28% | 33% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 48% | 55% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 19% | 16% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 36 | 38 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 47 | 45 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 60% | 52% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 61% | 59% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.43 | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| Late goals against | 0.49 | 0.62 | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 52% | 50% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 12.6 | 14.0 | 13.0 |
| On target | 4.6 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 11% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 35% | 31% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 14% | 11% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 11.1 | 13.2 | 12.8 | 9.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.7 | 50.3 | 48.1 | 40.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82% | 79% | 78% |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 14.0 | 12.2 | 13.1 |
| Cards | 2.49 | 2.33 | 2.48 | 2.67 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Sociedad
0–15'68
16–30'119
31–45'1210
46–60'1111
61–75'710
76–90'1520
AFC Bournemouth
0–15'85
16–30'97
31–45'1312
46–60'78
61–75'109
76–90'1518
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Real Sociedad · 41 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0141
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1941
Late push (76+, level)-0.3321
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2619
Game state
When ahead+0.0423
When level+0.0041
When behind-0.1123
10 min after conceding-0.2637
10 min after scoring+0.1734
Situations
With ten men-0.206
Against ten men-0.264
At home+0.0121
Away-0.0420
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.0239
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.268
v mid-tier opponents+0.0317
v bottom-tier opponents+0.086
As favourite+0.0514
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog-0.2514
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1541
Conceded when ahead+0.0623
Conceded late (76+)+0.0540
Congested vs rested +0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.11
AFC Bournemouth · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.44
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0840
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1140
Late push (76+, level)-0.1625
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4412
Game state
When ahead-0.0526
When level+0.0940
When behind+0.3020
10 min after conceding-0.1231
10 min after scoring+0.4133
Situations
With ten men-0.382
Against ten men-0.432
At home+0.1919
Away-0.0221
3 days rest or fewer+0.035
4+ days rest+0.0935
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0325
v mid-tier opponents+0.047
v bottom-tier opponents+0.562
As favourite+0.4112
Evenly matched-0.0215
As underdog-0.1113
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0540
Conceded when ahead+0.2026
Conceded late (76+)+0.0539
Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level +0.21
Real Sociedad
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 37% | 0.87 | 1.27 | 1.93 | 1.19 | 1.39 |
| 4-4-2 | 14 34% | 1.86 | 2.07 | 1.57 | 1.36 | 1.68 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 9 22% | 0.89 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 1.29 | 1.5 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.48 | 0.55 |
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 39 98% | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.51 | 1.7 | 1.66 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +4.2 pts at 50m · late move: away +6.6 pts inside the final hour
3.59Home 27% ▼ -7.4 ptsopened 2.773.68Draw 26% · -0.5 ptsopened 3.562.07Away 47% ▲ +7.9 ptsopened 2.45
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.59 ▼ -7.4 | 3.68 · -0.5 | 2.07 ▲ +7.9 | 10m |
| bet365 | 3.4 ▼ -7.0 | 3.6 · -0.6 | 2.05 ▲ +7.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 3.5 ▼ -9.0 | 3.5 · -0.1 | 2.0 ▲ +9.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 3.5 ▼ -8.2 | 3.5 · -0.3 | 2.0 ▲ +8.5 | 10m |
| Coral | 3.25 ▼ -6.2 | 3.7 · -0.9 | 2.05 ▲ +7.1 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 3.25 ▼ -6.2 | 3.7 · -0.9 | 2.05 ▲ +7.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 3.4 ▼ -3.8 | 3.6 · -0.4 | 2.07 ▲ +4.2 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.9 ▼ -2.0 | 3.3 · -0.2 | 2.3 ▲ +2.2 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 3.0h
1.5Yes 62% ▲ +4.8 ptsopened 1.612.5No 38% ▼ -4.8 ptsopened 2.2
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.5 ▲ +4.8 | 2.5 ▼ -4.8 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.53 ▲ +1.4 | 2.3 ▼ -1.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.5 ▲ +2.3 | 2.4 ▼ -2.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.5 ▲ +3.8 | 2.5 ▼ -3.8 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.5 pts at 33.0h
1.6Over 59% ▲ +3.9 ptsopened 1.722.31Under 41% ▼ -3.9 ptsopened 2.12
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.6 ▲ +3.9 | 2.31 ▼ -3.9 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +3.8 | 2.3 ▼ -3.8 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.57 ▲ +5.3 | 2.25 ▼ -5.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.62 ▲ +2.4 | 2.12 ▼ -2.4 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.4Home 28% P 27%3.6Draw 26% P 26%2.05Away 46% P 47%
Double Chance
1.57Real Sociedad or Draw 30%1.28Real Sociedad or Bournemouth 37%1.4Draw or Bournemouth 33%
Draw No Bet
2.11 44%1.662 56%
Both Teams To Score
1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56% P 67%2.1Under 44% P 33%
4.51.83Over 50% P 53%1.83Under 50% P 47%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 27% | 26% | 26% | -0.3 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 28% | +0.2 |
| Away | 47% | 46% | 46% | +0.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Paweł Raczkowski
- Career
- 54 matches · 14 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.17 (4.98 yellow · 0.07 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.2 · 4.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.46
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Europa League (5-year window · 6 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.33 cards, 27.5 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 60' | 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 12' | 6 |
| 2026-03-18 | – | – | 22 | – | – | 11 |
| 2025-11-27 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 45' | 7 |
| 2025-10-02 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 85' | 7 |