KickoffDNA
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Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

SunderlandAZ Alkmaar
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Capacity
48,707
Surface
grass
Attendance
45,555

Teams

Coaches
Régis Le Bris · Leeroy Echteld
Position
16 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Jérémie Pignard

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
13.4° (feels 12.9°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 102

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Sunderland

WLWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 8.06–6.29 · xPts 8.03

  • L H Arsenal 0–2 xG 1.79–2.14 UK PL
  • D A Brentford 1–1 xG 2.4–1.26 UK PL
  • W H Fulham 1–0 xG 1.14–0.7 UK PL
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.91–1.39 UK PL
  • W H Chelsea 2–1 xG 1.81–0.81 UK PL

AZ Alkmaar

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 15 GA 6 · xG 13.94–5.27 · xPts 10.99

  • D H Willem II 1–1 xG 2.5–1.12 NLD E
  • W A SC Heerenveen 3–2 xG 1.49–1.38 NLD E
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 5–2 xG 2.8–1.54 NLD E
  • W A Fortuna Sittard 2–0 xG 4.65–0.28 NLD E
  • W A FC Utrecht 4–1 xG 2.5–0.95 NLD E

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

43.8%Sunderland P 64%26.8%Draw P 22%29.4%AZ Alkmaar P 14%

Over / under 2.5

46.9%Over 2.5 P 53%53.1%Under 2.5 P 47%

Both teams to score

51.6%Yes48.4%No

Expected

Sunderland goals
1.43 (0–3)
AZ Alkmaar goals
1.12 (0–3)
Corners
8.36 (4–13)
Cards
5.23 (2–9)

Earlier: day before — 43.8% / 26.8% / 29.4%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

31.1%Sunderland23.0%Draw45.9%AZ Alkmaar

Over / under 2.5

56.9%Over 2.543.1%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

54.8%Yes45.2%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home0.8260.474
bttsno0.7250.532
ou_2_5under0.6340.441

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Sunderland 10 draws0 AZ Alkmaar

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 1 match

Sunderland 10 draws0 AZ Alkmaar

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 1 match

Sunderland 10 draws0 AZ Alkmaar

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W Sunderland 1–0 AZ Alkmaar UEFA EL · League Stage
MetricSunderland all · 1Sunderland at home · 1AZ Alkmaar all · 1AZ Alkmaar away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sunderland · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.005
Early press (0-15, level)-0.235
Late push (76+, level)+0.062
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.223

Game state

When ahead-0.022
When level+0.075
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.434

Situations

At home+0.133
Away-0.182
4+ days rest+0.005

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.074
Evenly matched-0.102
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.125
Conceded when ahead-0.152
Conceded late (76+)-0.135

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.32

AZ Alkmaar · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.377
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)+0.702

Game state

When ahead+0.366
When level+0.327
When behind+0.632
10 min after conceding+0.305
10 min after scoring+0.396

Situations

At home+0.573
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.377

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.223
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.465

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.177
Conceded when ahead-0.286
Conceded late (76+)-0.316

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31

Sunderland

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-11 100%3.01.00.02.931.53

AZ Alkmaar

Current: winless 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-11 100%0.00.01.01.532.93

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +3.2 pts at 4.0d · late move: home -1.7 pts inside the final hour

1.5Home 64% ▲ +9.1 ptsopened 1.724.48Draw 22% ▼ -2.3 ptsopened 3.986.76Away 14% ▼ -6.8 ptsopened 4.51
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.5 ▲ +9.14.48 ▼ -2.36.76 ▼ -6.810m
bet3651.5 ▲ +7.84.33 ▼ -1.76.25 ▼ -6.110m
Betfair1.47 ▲ +7.74.33 ▼ -1.86.5 ▼ -5.910m
BetVictor1.45 ▲ +9.24.33 ▼ -2.76.5 ▼ -6.510m
Coral1.5 ▲ +7.34.33 ▼ -2.46.0 ▼ -4.810m
Unibet1.68 · +0.04.0 · +0.04.7 · +0.010m
WilliamHill1.44 ▲ +8.04.4 ▼ -3.06.0 ▼ -5.010m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 64%4.33Draw 22% P 22%6.25Away 15% P 14%

Double Chance

1.12Sunderland or Draw 42%1.2Sunderland or AZ 39%2.5Draw or AZ 19%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 53%2.1Under 45% P 47%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 58%2.2Under 42% P 42%
4.52.0Over 46% P 40%1.72Under 54% P 60%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home64%64%63%-0.9
Draw22%22%24%+2.1
Away14%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Jérémie Pignard

Career
139 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.65 (4.34 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 1 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.0 cards, 27.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-05 40 150 58'5
2026-08-27 61 221 27'5
2026-08-23 50 250 20'8
2026-08-12 30 281 57'4
2026-05-17 30 260 35'6
2026-05-02 40 230 17'6
2026-04-17 21 240 17'9
2026-03-14 30 170 36'5
2026-03-07 30 210 11'9
2026-02-22 70 301 14'8