Rating 7.15 · G+A 3 + 1 (36% of team goals) · 55% of minutes
Team 1.0 ppg with (7) · 1.4 without (5)
Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 1
Momentum
– Sturm GrazRennes –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Sturm Graz | at home | Stat | league | away | Rennes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.0 #65 | – | Ball possession | 49.4 | – | 62.0 #9 |
| 11.0 #43 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 23.0 #2 |
| 4.0 #39 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 5.0 #19 |
| 5.0 #31 | – | Corners | 5.1 | – | 4.0 #45 |
| 12.0 #44 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 6.0 #75 |
| 1.0 #43 | – | Offsides | 1.7 | – | 4.0 #2 |
| 23.0 #1 | – | Tackles | 11.6 | – | 16.0 #12 |
| 83.0 #57 | – | Attacks | 97.8 | – | 113.0 #22 |
| 53.0 #31 | – | Dangerous attacks | 51.6 | – | 48.0 #44 |
| 285.0 #39 | – | Passes | 381.8 | – | 464.0 #20 |
| 3.0 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | – |
| – #49 | – | Btts | 40.6 | – | – #49 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 30.2 | – | – #1 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 19.0 | – | – #1 |
| 0.8 #38 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.8 #12 |
| -0.8 #40 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | -1.8 #51 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 40.2 | – | – #1 |
| 0.0 #58 | 0.0 | Goals | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 #58 |
| 0.0 #65 | 0.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 #65 |
| 10.0 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.1 | – | 9.0 #20 |
| – #58 | – | Lost | 47.0 | – | – #58 |
| 6.9 #14 | – | Rating | 6.7 | – | 7.0 #8 |
| 3.0 #31 | – | Shots blocked | 3.3 | – | 7.0 #7 |
| 7.0 #25 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.5 | – | 17.0 #2 |
| 4.0 #56 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 11.0 #2 |
| 4.0 #26 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 6.0 #14 |
| – #42 | – | Win | 33.9 | – | – #42 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 76.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 80 of 80
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.74 · away 1.01)
- Home / draw / away
- 54% · 21% · 25%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 42% · 56%
- Cards / match
- 4.19 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Sturm Graz · Last 365 days
Rating 6.87 · G+A 1 + 2 (27% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Rating 7.15 · G+A 1 + 1 (18% of team goals) · 43% of minutes
Team 1.67 ppg with (6) · 0.67 without (6)
Rennes · Last 365 days
Rating 7.2 (84th pct) · G+A 22 + 5 (44% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Rating 7.27 (95th pct) · G+A 3 + 5 (13% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 6.94 (65th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (6% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Absences
Sturm Graz
- injury Emran Soglo #4 key player defender · Muscle Injury · 1 missed
- injury Seedy Jatta #10 key player attacker · Shoulder Injury · 1 missed
- suspension Axel Kayombo #15 key player attacker · No Eligibility · 3 missed · until 2027-01-31
- suspension Niklas Geyrhofer #17 key player defender · No Eligibility · 3 missed · until 2027-01-31
- suspension Szymon Wlodarczyk #9 key player attacker · No Eligibility · 3 missed · until 2027-01-31
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- League Stage
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Merkur Arena, Graz
- Capacity
- 16,764
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 13,109
Teams
- Coaches
- Fabio Ingolitsch · Franck Haise
- Position
- 10 · 8
- Formation
- 5-3-2 · 4-1-4-1
Referee
Manfredas Lukjančukas
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 16.3° (feels 16.4°)
- Wind
- 3.1
- Humidity
- 93%
Where to watch · 77
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union Saint-Gilloise |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvárosi |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Benfica |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  OFI |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Torreense |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  AFC Bournemouth |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Olympiacos F.C. |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Salzburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Omonia Nicosia |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  Sunderland |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Rennes |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  Sturm Graz |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia Białystok |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Anderlecht |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Lillestrøm |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  AZ Alkmaar |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  Celta de Vigo |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Celtic |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  AC Milan |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Celje |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  Olympique Marseille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Ararat-Armenia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Viktoria Plzeň |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Crystal Palace |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Beşiktaş |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 | OFI |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Olympiacos F.C. |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Omonia Nicosia |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Sunderland |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 10 | Sturm Graz |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11 | AFC Bournemouth |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12 | AZ Alkmaar |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 13 | Benfica |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 14 | Celje |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 16 | Dinamo Zagreb |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 17 | Ferencvárosi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Jagiellonia Białystok |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | Lech Poznań |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | Olympique Lyonnais |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 22 | Olympique Marseille |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 23 | Rennes |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 24 | Salzburg |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | Sparta Praha |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | TSG Hoffenheim |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 27 | Torreense |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 28 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 29 | Anderlecht |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Lillestrøm |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Real Sociedad |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Levski Sofia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 33 | Celtic |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 34 | AC Milan |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Ararat-Armenia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Viktoria Plzeň |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Praha |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Ferencvárosi |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Benfica |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 | AFC Bournemouth |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Olympique Lyonnais |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Torreense |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Salzburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 10 | Rennes |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11 | AC Milan |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 12 | Anderlecht |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 13 | Ararat-Armenia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15 | Beşiktaş |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16 | Celtic |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17 | Crystal Palace |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 19 | Juventus |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 20 | Levski Sofia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | Lillestrøm |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | OFI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Olympiacos F.C. |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24 | Omonia Nicosia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | Real Sociedad |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 26 | Sturm Graz |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27 | Sunderland |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 28 | Viktoria Plzeň |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 29 | Jagiellonia Białystok |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | AZ Alkmaar |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Celta de Vigo |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Celje |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 33 | TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Olympique Marseille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Lech Poznań |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 | NEC Nijmegen |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Sturm Graz
WWL 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 1 · xG 6.16–4.46 · xPts 5.13
- L
H
Fenerbahçe
0–1
xG 1.2–1.95
UEFA CL - W
A
Hearts
2–0
xG 2.37–1.09
UEFA CL - W
H
Hearts
4–0
xG 2.59–1.41
UEFA CL
WWL 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 1 · xG 6.16–4.46 · xPts 5.13
- L
H
Fenerbahçe
0–1
xG 1.2–1.95
UEFA CL
- W
A
Hearts
2–0
xG 2.37–1.09
UEFA CL
- W
H
Hearts
4–0
xG 2.59–1.41
UEFA CL
Rennes
DWWW 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 7.6–7.07 · xPts 5.8
- W
H
Olympique Marseille
1–0
xG 1.89–1.0
FRA L1
- W
A
Angers SCO
2–1
xG 1.72–2.01
FRA L1 - W
H
Le Mans
3–2
xG 3.04–2.51
FRA L1 - D
H
Paris Saint Germain
2–2
xG 0.95–1.55
FRA L1
DWWW 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 7.6–7.07 · xPts 5.8
- W
H
Olympique Marseille
1–0
xG 1.89–1.0
FRA L1
- W
A
Angers SCO
2–1
xG 1.72–2.01
FRA L1
- W
H
Le Mans
3–2
xG 3.04–2.51
FRA L1
- D
H
Paris Saint Germain
2–2
xG 0.95–1.55
FRA L1
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
35.9%Sturm Graz P 22%26.5%Draw P 24%37.6%Rennes P 54%
Over / under 2.5
49.7%Over 2.5 P 62%50.3%Under 2.5 P 38%
Both teams to score
54.4%Yes45.6%No
Expected
- Sturm Graz goals
- 1.31 (0–3)
- Rennes goals
- 1.35 (0–3)
- Corners
- 11.07 (6–16)
- Cards
- 4.25 (1–7)
Earlier: day before — 35.9% / 26.5% / 37.6%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
33.0%Sturm Graz23.9%Draw43.1%Rennes
Over / under 2.5
59.3%Over 2.540.7%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
58.8%Yes41.2%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | draw | 1.327 | 0.81 |
| btts | no | 0.785 | 0.592 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 0.687 | 0.494 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 0–0 · 0.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 0–0 · 0.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 0–0 · 0.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- D Sturm Graz 0–0 Rennes UEFA EL · League Stage
| Metric | Sturm Graz all · 1 | Sturm Graz at home · 1 | Rennes all · 1 | Rennes away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Sturm Graz · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.34
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.344
Game state
When ahead-0.252
When level+0.124
10 min after scoring-0.152
Situations
At home-0.143
4+ days rest-0.014
Opposition
As underdog+0.013
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.494
Conceded when ahead+0.152
Conceded late (76+)-0.053
Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level -0.49
Rennes · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093
Game state
When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.024
Situations
At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.105
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155
Ahead vs level -0.54
Sturm Graz
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | 1 100% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.81 |
Rennes
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 100% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.81 | 0.8 |
| Metric | Sturm Graz all · 10 | Sturm Graz at home · 10 | Rennes all · 10 | Rennes away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 5 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 5 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 0.90 | 1.10 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals against / match | 0.90 | 0.40 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 60% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 40% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 20% | 70% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 30% | 80% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.01 | 1.32 | 1.89 | 1.85 |
| xG against / match | 1.80 | 1.73 | 1.71 | 1.53 |
| xG difference | -0.78 | -0.41 | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.11 | -0.22 | -0.09 | 0.15 |
| xPts / match | 0.91 | 1.12 | 1.48 | 1.54 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.19 | 0.88 | 0.52 | 0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 50% | 70% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.29 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 33% | 33% | 20% |
| Leads held | 75% | 100% | 75% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 30% | 43% | 45% |
| Minutes level | 59% | 62% | 40% | 28% |
| Minutes trailing | 22% | 8% | 17% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 38 | 30 | 22 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 46 | 38 | 25 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 54% | 50% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 78% | 75% | 50% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 44% | 53% | 55% |
| Shots | 12.0 | 13.6 | 17.9 | 16.2 |
| On target | 3.4 | 4.6 | 5.7 | 5.6 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 8% | 10% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 56% | 60% | 70% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 5.4 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 36% | 26% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 18% | 11% | 5% |
| Pressure index | 8.0 | 7.7 | 16.2 | 15.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 33.2 | 36.9 | 55.3 | 55.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 75% | 83% | 84% |
| Fouls | 15.8 | 15.0 | 12.2 | 12.4 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.50 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Sturm Graz
0–15'21
16–30'01
31–45'10
46–60'31
61–75'25
76–90'11
Rennes
0–15'52
16–30'31
31–45'14
46–60'44
61–75'22
76–90'31
Sturm Graz
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-1-2 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 0.47 | 2.07 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 40% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.57 | 1.56 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.15 | 1.65 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.81 |
Rennes
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.78 | 1.65 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 2.33 | 1.67 | 1.92 | 1.66 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.15 | 1.93 |
| Metric | Sturm Graz all · 12 | Sturm Graz at home · 7 | Rennes all · 35 | Rennes away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 12 | 7 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.17 | 1.57 | 1.80 | 1.65 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 2 / 2 | 18 / 9 / 8 | 8 / 4 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.77 | 1.76 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 0.43 | 1.40 | 1.71 |
| Clean sheets | 42% | 57% | 31% | 41% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 57% | 17% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 14% | 60% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 29% | 71% | 76% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.01 | 1.15 | 1.64 | 1.51 |
| xG against / match | 1.73 | 1.90 | 1.49 | 1.63 |
| xG difference | -0.71 | -0.75 | 0.15 | -0.12 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.10 | -0.15 | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| xPts / match | 0.96 | 0.90 | 1.48 | 1.30 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.21 | 0.67 | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 42% | 43% | 60% | 71% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 38% | 17% |
| Leads held | 80% | 100% | 72% | 62% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 28% | 42% | 45% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 63% | 39% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 9% | 19% | 20% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 32 | 32 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 57 | 41 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 57% | 48% | 43% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 75% | 100% | 61% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 45% | 54% | 53% |
| Shots | 12.3 | 14.3 | 14.8 | 13.7 |
| On target | 3.8 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 7% | 12% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 61% | 64% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 5.6 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 35% | 28% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 14% | 16% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 7.1 | 8.9 | 15.2 | 13.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 32.3 | 39.6 | 54.5 | 52.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 74% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 16.2 | 16.3 | 12.4 | 11.9 |
| Cards | 1.92 | 2.00 | 1.71 | 1.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Sturm Graz
0–15'32
16–30'01
31–45'20
46–60'32
61–75'25
76–90'12
Rennes
0–15'107
16–30'162
31–45'610
46–60'1310
61–75'89
76–90'911
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Sturm Graz · 12 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.26) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.2612
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2012
Late push (76+, level)-0.083
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.436
Game state
When ahead-0.405
When level-0.1512
When behind-0.386
10 min after conceding-0.297
10 min after scoring-0.276
Situations
At home-0.287
Away-0.255
4+ days rest-0.2612
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.343
As favourite-0.372
As underdog-0.259
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4212
Conceded when ahead+0.265
Conceded late (76+)+0.2611
Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23
Rennes · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1935
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0535
Late push (76+, level)+0.1311
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.386
Game state
When ahead+0.1325
When level+0.1735
When behind+0.4013
10 min after conceding+0.1122
10 min after scoring+0.4829
Situations
Against ten men+0.145
At home+0.1318
Away+0.2617
4+ days rest+0.2134
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0512
v mid-tier opponents+0.219
v bottom-tier opponents+0.289
As favourite+0.3017
Evenly matched+0.249
As underdog-0.079
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0635
Conceded when ahead-0.0425
Conceded late (76+)-0.2627
Congested vs rested -0.53 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.23
Sturm Graz
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 4 33% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.57 | 1.56 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 4 33% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 0.47 | 2.07 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 17% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.01 | 1.38 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 8% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.81 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 1 8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.15 | 1.65 |
Rennes
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 15 43% | 1.53 | 1.6 | 1.67 | 1.41 | 1.55 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 17% | 2.17 | 1.83 | 0.83 | 1.74 | 1.31 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 17% | 2.0 | 2.33 | 1.83 | 2.0 | 1.29 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 5 14% | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.78 | 1.65 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.35 | 2.23 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +2.7 pts at 4.0d
4.39Home 22% ▼ -6.1 ptsopened 3.394.01Draw 24% · -0.1 ptsopened 3.931.79Away 54% ▲ +6.2 ptsopened 1.99
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.39 ▼ -6.1 | 4.01 · -0.1 | 1.79 ▲ +6.2 | 10m |
| bet365 | 4.5 ▼ -5.3 | 4.1 ▼ -3.2 | 1.7 ▲ +8.5 | 10m |
| Betfair | 4.33 ▼ -6.4 | 3.9 · -1.0 | 1.75 ▲ +7.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 4.1 ▼ -5.0 | 4.0 ▼ -2.1 | 1.73 ▲ +7.0 | 10m |
| Coral | 4.33 ▼ -6.2 | 4.0 ▼ -1.8 | 1.73 ▲ +8.1 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 4.33 ▼ -5.8 | 4.0 ▼ -1.8 | 1.73 ▲ +7.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 3.35 · +0.0 | 3.7 · +0.0 | 2.04 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 4.0 ▼ -4.2 | 3.8 ▼ -2.2 | 1.75 ▲ +6.4 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 21.0h
1.5Yes 62% ▲ +3.6 ptsopened 1.572.5No 38% ▼ -3.6 ptsopened 2.25
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.5 ▲ +3.6 | 2.5 ▼ -3.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▲ +4.4 | 2.63 ▼ -4.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.5 ▲ +1.5 | 2.4 ▼ -1.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.56 · +0.0 | 2.28 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.55 ▲ +2.6 | 2.45 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +2.0 pts at 14.0h · late move: over -1.3 pts inside the final hour
1.56Over 62% ▲ +4.4 ptsopened 1.662.52Under 38% ▼ -4.4 ptsopened 2.23
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.56 ▲ +4.4 | 2.52 ▼ -4.4 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.5 ▲ +6.6 | 2.62 ▼ -6.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.5 ▲ +4.6 | 2.5 ▼ -4.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.51 ▲ +4.5 | 2.34 ▼ -4.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.66 · +0.0 | 2.15 · +0.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.5Home 21% P 22%4.1Draw 23% P 24%1.7Away 56% P 54%
Double Chance
1.95SK Sturm Graz or Draw 24%1.22SK Sturm Graz or Rennes 38%1.22Draw or Rennes 38%
Draw No Bet
3.41 28%1.32 72%
Both Teams To Score
1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.5Over 64% P 62%2.62Under 36% P 38%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
4.52.0Over 46% P 47%1.72Under 54% P 53%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 52.5–55% · 365 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 22% | 21% | 23% | +1.8 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | -0.3 |
| Away | 54% | 54% | 52% | -1.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 61% | 63% | +1.5 |
Manfredas Lukjančukas
- Career
- 36 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.19 (4.83 yellow · 0.11 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.1 · 4.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.28
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Europa League (5-year window · 9 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.67 cards, 24.8 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 50' | 6 |
| 2026-08-06 | 7 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 18' | 6 |
| 2026-07-21 | – | – | 26 | – | – | 6 |
| 2026-02-19 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 45' | 14 |
| 2026-01-22 | 7 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 55' | 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 42' | 7 |
| 2025-10-23 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 45' | 9 |
| 2025-09-30 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 46' | 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 8' | 12 |