Rating 7.46 (98th pct) · G+A 5 + 9 (16% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 1
Momentum
– B04Celje –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | at home | Stat | league | away | Celje |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.0 #22 | – | Ball possession | 49.4 | – | 44.0 #50 |
| 17.0 #13 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 5.0 #71 |
| 8.0 #3 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 3.0 #48 |
| 6.0 #20 | – | Corners | 5.1 | – | 2.0 #65 |
| 16.0 #11 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 10.0 #58 |
| 2.0 #16 | – | Offsides | 1.7 | – | 1.0 #43 |
| 16.0 #12 | – | Tackles | 11.6 | – | 14.0 #20 |
| 134.0 #4 | – | Attacks | 97.8 | – | 67.0 #70 |
| 63.0 #21 | – | Dangerous attacks | 51.6 | – | 29.0 #65 |
| 621.0 #2 | – | Passes | 381.8 | – | 499.0 #15 |
| 1.0 #22 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | – |
| – #49 | – | Btts | 40.6 | – | – #49 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 30.2 | – | – #39 |
| – #33 | – | Draw | 19.0 | – | – #33 |
| 1.6 #15 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 0.6 #42 |
| 0.4 #20 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | -0.6 #38 |
| – #47 | – | Failed to score | 40.2 | – | – #1 |
| 2.0 #11 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 #58 |
| 0.0 #65 | 0.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 #18 |
| 8.0 #27 | – | Interceptions | 8.1 | – | 17.0 #2 |
| – #58 | – | Lost | 47.0 | – | – #1 |
| 7.1 #5 | – | Rating | 6.7 | – | 6.7 #31 |
| 4.0 #23 | – | Shots blocked | 3.3 | – | 1.0 #65 |
| 11.0 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.5 | – | 4.0 #41 |
| 5.0 #39 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 1.0 #73 |
| 6.0 #14 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 1.0 #52 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 33.9 | – | – #42 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 76.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 80 of 80
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.74 · away 1.01)
- Home / draw / away
- 54% · 21% · 25%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 42% · 56%
- Cards / match
- 4.19 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Last 365 days
Rating 7.11 (86th pct) · G+A 4 + 7 (13% of team goals) · 67% of minutes
Team 1.71 ppg with (31) · 1.62 without (16)
Rating 7.09 (88th pct) · G+A 20 + 5 (29% of team goals) · 60% of minutes
Team 1.66 ppg with (29) · 1.72 without (18)
Celje · Last 365 days
Rating 6.91 · G+A 5 + 2 (28% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Rating 6.88 · G+A 3 + 2 (20% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 1.5 ppg with (10) · 1.67 without (6)
Rating 6.69 · G+A 2 + 2 (16% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 1.44 ppg with (9) · 1.71 without (7)
Absences
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- injury Ibrahim Maza #2 key player midfielder · Ill
- injury Kennet Eichhorn midfielder · Ill · 8 missed
- injury Montrell Culbreath #19 key player attacker · Foot Injury · 6 missed
- injury Nathan Tella #10 key player attacker · Back Injury · 3 missed
- suspension Jonas Hofmann #11 key player midfielder · No Eligibility · 3 missed · until 2027-01-29
- suspension Tim Oermann defender · No Eligibility · 3 missed · until 2027-01-29
Celje
- injury Jost Pisek midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 25 missed · until 2026-11-01
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- League Stage
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- BayArena, Leverkusen
- Capacity
- 30,210
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 27,945
Teams
- Coaches
- Carles Martínez Novell · Zoran Željkovič
- Position
- 17 · 15
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Jasper Vergoote
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 13.7° (feels 13.3°)
- Wind
- 1.9
- Humidity
- 85%
Where to watch · 242
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union Saint-Gilloise |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvárosi |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Benfica |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  OFI |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Torreense |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  AFC Bournemouth |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Olympiacos F.C. |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Salzburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Omonia Nicosia |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  Sunderland |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Rennes |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  Sturm Graz |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia Białystok |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Anderlecht |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Lillestrøm |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  AZ Alkmaar |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  Celta de Vigo |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Celtic |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  AC Milan |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Celje |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  Olympique Marseille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Ararat-Armenia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Viktoria Plzeň |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Crystal Palace |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Beşiktaş |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 | OFI |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Olympiacos F.C. |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Omonia Nicosia |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Sunderland |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 10 | Sturm Graz |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11 | AFC Bournemouth |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12 | AZ Alkmaar |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 13 | Benfica |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 14 | Celje |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 16 | Dinamo Zagreb |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 17 | Ferencvárosi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Jagiellonia Białystok |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | Lech Poznań |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | Olympique Lyonnais |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 22 | Olympique Marseille |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 23 | Rennes |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 24 | Salzburg |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | Sparta Praha |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | TSG Hoffenheim |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 27 | Torreense |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 28 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 29 | Anderlecht |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Lillestrøm |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Real Sociedad |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Levski Sofia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 33 | Celtic |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 34 | AC Milan |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Ararat-Armenia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Viktoria Plzeň |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Praha |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Ferencvárosi |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Benfica |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 | AFC Bournemouth |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Olympique Lyonnais |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Torreense |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Salzburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 10 | Rennes |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11 | AC Milan |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 12 | Anderlecht |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 13 | Ararat-Armenia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15 | Beşiktaş |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16 | Celtic |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17 | Crystal Palace |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 19 | Juventus |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 20 | Levski Sofia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | Lillestrøm |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | OFI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Olympiacos F.C. |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24 | Omonia Nicosia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | Real Sociedad |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 26 | Sturm Graz |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27 | Sunderland |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 28 | Viktoria Plzeň |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 29 | Jagiellonia Białystok |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | AZ Alkmaar |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Celta de Vigo |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Celje |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 33 | TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Olympique Marseille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Lech Poznań |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 | NEC Nijmegen |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
LWD 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 8.22–2.61 · xPts 7.07
- D
A
FC Augsburg
2–2
xG 2.8–0.88
GER BI - W
H
FC Union Berlin
4–0
xG 3.47–0.46
GER BI - L
A
Elversberg
2–3
xG 1.94–1.27
GER BI
LWD 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 8.22–2.61 · xPts 7.07
- D
A
FC Augsburg
2–2
xG 2.8–0.88
GER BI
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
4–0
xG 3.47–0.46
GER BI
- L
A
Elversberg
2–3
xG 1.94–1.27
GER BI
Celje
DDWDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 4.06–2.73 · xPts 3.09
- L
H
Slovan Bratislava
1–2 aet
xG 3.64–1.12
UEFA CL - D
A
Slovan Bratislava
1–1
xG 0.42–1.61
UEFA CL
- W
H
Ararat-Armenia
2–0
UEFA CL
- D
H
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
2–2 won on pens None–None
UEFA CL - D
A
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3–3
UEFA CL
DDWDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 4.06–2.73 · xPts 3.09
- L
H
Slovan Bratislava
1–2 aet
xG 3.64–1.12
UEFA CL
- D
A
Slovan Bratislava
1–1
xG 0.42–1.61
UEFA CL
- W
H
Ararat-Armenia
2–0
UEFA CL
- D
H
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
2–2 won on pens None–None
UEFA CL
- D
A
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3–3
UEFA CL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
70.3%Bayer 04 Leverkusen P 91%16.6%Draw P 6%13.1%Celje P 2%
Over / under 2.5
70.9%Over 2.5 P 83%29.1%Under 2.5 P 17%
Both teams to score
60.8%Yes39.2%No
Expected
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen goals
- 2.61 (1–5)
- Celje goals
- 1.06 (0–2)
- Corners
- 13.75 (8–19)
- Cards
- 5.06 (2–9)
Earlier: day before — 70.3% / 16.6% / 13.1%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
54.7%Bayer 04 Leverkusen22.8%Draw22.5%Celje
Over / under 2.5
53.8%Over 2.546.2%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
51.4%Yes48.6%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.353 | 0.133 |
| btts | no | 0.936 | 0.739 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 1.236 | 1.006 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 2–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 2–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 2–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 Celje UEFA EL · League Stage
| Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 1 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 1 | Celje all · 1 | Celje away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872
Game state
When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784
Situations
At home+0.392
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.594
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.762
As favourite+0.594
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593
Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12
Celje · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.056
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late push (76+, level)-0.335
Game state
When ahead-0.552
When level-0.156
When behind+0.245
10 min after conceding+0.145
10 min after scoring-0.015
Situations
At home+0.083
Away-0.173
4+ days rest-0.056
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents-0.072
As favourite+0.043
As underdog-0.292
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.036
Conceded when ahead-0.152
Conceded late (76+)-0.016
Ahead vs level -0.40 · Behind vs level +0.39
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 100% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.57 | 0.56 |
Celje
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 100% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.56 | 1.57 |
| Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 10 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 10 | Celje all · 10 | Celje away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 3 | 4 / 5 / 1 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 5 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 2.00 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.80 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.43 | 2.71 | 1.64 | 1.57 |
| xG against / match | 1.53 | 1.20 | 1.71 | 1.64 |
| xG difference | 0.90 | 1.51 | -0.07 | -0.07 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.43 | -0.61 | -0.21 | 0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.81 | 2.10 | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.11 | -0.40 | 0.10 | 0.34 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 1.83 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 1.67 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 40% | 75% | 50% | 40% |
| Leads held | 62% | 57% | 67% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 40% | 40% | 25% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 52% | 46% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 8% | 29% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 31 | 33 | 36 | 28 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 57 | 20 | 26 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 57% | 31% | 32% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 60% | 44% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 59% | 58% | 54% | 54% |
| Shots | 19.9 | 19.8 | 9.6 | 9.8 |
| On target | 6.6 | 7.2 | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 18% | 19% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 72% | 66% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 3.9 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 7.6 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 24% | 34% | 36% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 20% | 10% | 9% |
| Pressure index | 18.3 | 16.2 | 9.2 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.2 | 60.5 | 43.4 | 43.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 9.0 | 13.5 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.50 | 2.70 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–15'44
16–30'30
31–45'31
46–60'24
61–75'21
76–90'63
Celje
0–15'14
16–30'33
31–45'72
46–60'14
61–75'12
76–90'31
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 2.42 | 2.02 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 2.5 | 1.25 | 2.45 | 0.79 |
Celje
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 5 50% | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.36 | 2.07 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 30% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.54 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.77 | 1.47 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 47 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 23 | Celje all · 16 | Celje away · 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 47 | 23 | 16 | 8 |
| Points per game | 1.68 | 1.78 | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| W / D / L | 22 / 13 / 12 | 11 / 8 / 4 | 7 / 4 / 5 | 3 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.85 | 2.13 | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.34 | 1.17 | 1.56 | 1.63 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 44% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 4% | 25% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 56% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 48% | 62% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.81 | 2.24 | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| xG against / match | 1.37 | 1.12 | 1.64 | 1.59 |
| xG difference | 0.44 | 1.12 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | -0.11 | -0.25 | -0.02 |
| xPts / match | 1.61 | 1.98 | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.07 | -0.20 | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 62% | 70% | 31% | 38% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.31 | 2.19 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.65 | 0.83 | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 43% | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| Leads held | 69% | 65% | 78% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 42% | 23% | 29% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 44% | 46% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 14% | 31% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 37 | 38 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 51 | 21 | 26 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 53% | 38% | 25% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | 52% | 44% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.13 |
| Late goals against | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 59% | 57% | 55% |
| Shots | 14.9 | 17.3 | 11.5 | 8.9 |
| On target | 5.0 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 14% | 17% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 68% | 62% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 3.4 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.5 | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 25% | 30% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 21% | 6% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 16.5 | 20.4 | 14.2 | 10.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.9 | 61.1 | 51.1 | 43.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 89% | 86% | 85% |
| Fouls | 8.9 | 8.7 | 12.7 | 11.6 |
| Cards | 1.83 | 1.65 | 2.44 | 1.63 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–15'1211
16–30'145
31–45'1818
46–60'149
61–75'1210
76–90'1710
Celje
0–15'16
16–30'44
31–45'103
46–60'25
61–75'23
76–90'52
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 47 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2347
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1747
Late push (76+, level)-0.0813
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4414
Game state
When ahead+0.1732
When level+0.1847
When behind+0.4321
10 min after conceding+0.1231
10 min after scoring+0.3939
Situations
Against ten men-0.213
At home+0.2723
Away+0.2024
3 days rest or fewer+0.1913
4+ days rest+0.2534
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1216
v mid-tier opponents+0.4711
v bottom-tier opponents+0.497
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.2312
As underdog-0.1810
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0947
Conceded when ahead-0.0632
Conceded late (76+)-0.1640
Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.25
Celje · 16 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.28) · stands out: evenly matched +0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2816
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4216
Late push (76+, level)-0.188
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.083
Game state
When ahead-0.068
When level+0.4016
When behind+0.3510
10 min after conceding-0.0812
10 min after scoring+0.2012
Situations
At home+0.388
Away+0.188
4+ days rest+0.2816
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents-0.072
As favourite+0.297
Evenly matched+0.473
As underdog+0.146
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0416
Conceded when ahead+0.148
Conceded late (76+)-0.1315
Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 40 85% | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.81 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 11% | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.28 | 0.95 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.69 | 2.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.58 | 1.86 |
Celje
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 38% | 2.17 | 1.83 | 1.5 | 1.28 | 2.04 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 25% | 0.25 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.52 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 12% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.33 | 1.16 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 12% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.55 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 6% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.77 | 1.47 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.0 pts at 11.0h
1.05Home 91% ▲ +11.4 ptsopened 1.1915.5Draw 6% ▼ -6.4 ptsopened 7.5439.26Away 2% ▼ -5.0 ptsopened 12.73
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.05 ▲ +11.4 | 15.5 ▼ -6.4 | 39.26 ▼ -5.0 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.05 ▲ +10.1 | 13.0 ▼ -6.2 | 29.0 ▼ -4.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.06 ▲ +8.7 | 17.0 ▼ -6.8 | 20.0 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.04 ▲ +9.1 | 13.0 ▼ -5.1 | 31.0 ▼ -4.1 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.07 ▲ +10.1 | 15.0 ▼ -6.3 | 23.0 ▼ -3.8 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.07 ▲ +10.7 | 15.0 ▼ -6.2 | 23.0 ▼ -4.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.19 · +0.0 | 7.5 · +0.0 | 13.0 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.05 ▲ +12.5 | 13.0 ▼ -7.1 | 41.0 ▼ -5.5 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no +4.4 pts at 5.0h
2.25Yes 41% ▼ -12.2 ptsopened 1.751.57No 59% ▲ +12.2 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.25 ▼ -12.2 | 1.57 ▲ +12.2 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.38 ▼ -15.7 | 1.53 ▲ +15.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.3 ▼ -14.1 | 1.53 ▲ +14.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.68 · +0.0 | 2.08 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.25 ▼ -14.4 | 1.62 ▲ +14.4 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -2.0 pts at 2.0h
1.14Over 83% ▲ +8.4 ptsopened 1.255.58Under 17% ▼ -8.4 ptsopened 3.68
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.14 ▲ +8.4 | 5.58 ▼ -8.4 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.16 ▲ +6.6 | 5.0 ▼ -6.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.14 ▲ +8.6 | 5.5 ▼ -8.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.13 ▲ +7.5 | 5.25 ▼ -7.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.26 · +0.0 | 3.75 · +0.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.05Home 90% P 91%13.0Draw 7% P 6%29.0Away 3% P 2%
Double Chance
1.04Bayer Leverkusen or NK Celje11.0Draw or NK Celje
Draw No Bet
1.011 96%23.02 4%
Both Teams To Score
2.25Yes 41%1.57No 59%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.16Over 81% P 83%5.0Under 19% P 17%
Total Corners
15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%
Number of Cards
2.51.57Over 59% P 59%2.25Under 41% P 41%
3.52.0Over 46% P 38%1.72Under 54% P 62%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 90–95% · away 0–5% · 123 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 91% | 92% | 97% | +5.1 |
| Draw | 6% | 6% | 3% | -2.6 |
| Away | 2% | 3% | 0% | -2.5 |
In those fixtures: 4.3 goals a game · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 82%
Jasper Vergoote
- Career
- 13 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.31 (3.15 yellow · 0.15 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.1 · 7.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.61
- Cards to home side
- 37%
Style in Europa League (5-year window · 1 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 1.0 cards, 28.0 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 13' | 7 |
| 2026-08-11 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 41' | 6 |
| 2026-01-29 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 50' | 6 |
| 2025-12-11 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 10' | 9 |
| 2025-10-23 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 35' | 11 |