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Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

OLYJAG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Piraeus
Capacity
33,334
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,540

Teams

Coaches
Imanol Alguacil Barrenetxea · Adrian Siemieniec
Position
5 · 34
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Harm Osmers

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
22.6° (feels 22.4°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
59%

Where to watch · 96

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Olympiacos F.C.

L 0W 0D 1L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 2 · xG 0.94–1.91 · xPts 0.75

  • L A NEC Nijmegen 1–2 aet xG 0.94–1.91 UEFA CL

Jagiellonia Białystok

WDWW 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 1.62–1.9 · xPts 1.22

  • W A FC Iberia 1999 2–1 xG 1.62–1.9 UEFA EL
  • W H FC Iberia 1999 4–0 UEFA EL
  • D A Rangers 1–1 UEFA EL
  • W H Rangers 2–1 UEFA EL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

48.0%Olympiacos F.C. P 75%27.0%Draw P 17%25.0%Jagiellonia Białystok P 8%

Over / under 2.5

43.6%Over 2.5 P 59%56.4%Under 2.5 P 41%

Both teams to score

47.8%Yes52.2%No

Expected

Olympiacos F.C. goals
1.45 (0–3)
Jagiellonia Białystok goals
0.97 (0–2)
Corners
9.24 (5–14)
Cards
4.59 (2–8)

Earlier: day before — 48.0% / 27.0% / 25.0%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

58.1%Olympiacos F.C.21.5%Draw20.4%Jagiellonia Białystok

Over / under 2.5

54.2%Over 2.545.8%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

51.1%Yes48.9%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home0.7350.407
ou_2_5over0.8290.635
bttsyes0.7370.544

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Olympiacos F.C. 10 draws0 Jagiellonia Białystok

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Olympiacos F.C. 10 draws0 Jagiellonia Białystok

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Olympiacos F.C. 10 draws0 Jagiellonia Białystok

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Olympiacos F.C. 2–1 Jagiellonia Białystok UEFA EL · League Stage
MetricOlympiacos F.C. all · 1Olympiacos F.C. at home · 1Jagiellonia Białystok all · 5Jagiellonia Białystok away · 3
Results
Matches5
Points per game2.00
W / D / L3 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match2.00
Goals against / match1.00
Clean sheets20%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored80%
Over 2.580%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.03
xG against / match2.52
xG difference-1.50
Finishing vs xG0.47
xPts / match0.69
Points vs xPts0.81
Game state
Scored first60%
PPG when scoring first2.00
PPG when conceding first2.00
Came back from behind67%
Leads held75%
Minutes leading38%
Minutes level48%
Minutes trailing14%
First goal (min)33
First goal conceded (min)25
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half40%
Goals conceded in 2nd half20%
Late goals for (76'+)0.20
Late goals against0.20
Style
Possession44%
Shots10.2
On target5.2
Shot conversion20%
Shots inside box55%
Big chances created2.0
Corners2.2
xG from set plays46%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index6.2
Dominant minutes35.2
Pass accuracy78%
Fouls15.0
Cards1.60

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Jagiellonia Białystok

0–15'11
16–30'21
31–45'32
46–60'00
61–75'30
76–90'11

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympiacos F.C. · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.152
Early press (0-15, level)-0.242
Late push (76+, level)-0.142

Game state

When ahead+0.252
When level+0.152
10 min after conceding-0.452
10 min after scoring+0.882

Situations

4+ days rest+0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.092
Conceded when ahead+0.052
Conceded late (76+)-0.412

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level -0.18

Jagiellonia Białystok · 5 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.26) · stands out: when ahead -0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.265
Early press (0-15, level)-0.305
Late push (76+, level)-0.452

Game state

When ahead-0.324
When level-0.225
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.304
10 min after scoring-0.155

Situations

At home-0.242
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.265

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.252
As underdog-0.362

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.145
Conceded when ahead+0.104
Conceded late (76+)+0.124

Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.01

Olympiacos F.C.

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-11 100%3.02.01.03.150.44

Jagiellonia Białystok

Current: winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-35 100%2.02.01.01.032.52

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +3.1 pts at 10.0h

1.28Home 75% ▲ +6.4 ptsopened 1.375.84Draw 17% ▼ -3.0 ptsopened 4.8511.95Away 8% ▼ -3.5 ptsopened 8.17
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.28 ▲ +6.45.84 ▼ -3.011.95 ▼ -3.510m
bet3651.3 ▲ +5.15.0 ▼ -2.310.0 ▼ -2.810m
Betfair1.25 ▲ +4.35.5 ▼ -1.811.0 ▼ -2.510m
BetVictor1.22 ▲ +8.06.0 ▼ -3.612.0 ▼ -4.410m
Coral1.33 ▲ +2.65.25 · -0.69.0 ▼ -1.910m
Ladbrokes1.33 ▲ +2.65.25 · -0.69.0 ▼ -1.910m
Unibet1.36 · +0.04.9 · +0.08.5 · +0.010m
WilliamHill1.25 ▲ +4.55.0 ▼ -2.010.0 ▼ -2.510m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.3Home 72% P 75%5.0Draw 19% P 17%10.0Away 9% P 8%

Double Chance

1.05Olympiacos or Draw 46%1.16Olympiacos or Jagiellonia Bialystok 41%3.75Draw or Jagiellonia Bialystok 13%

Draw No Bet

1.071 89%9.02 11%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 52%2.0Under 46% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–77.5% · away 7.5–10% · 515 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home75%76%77%+0.9
Draw17%15%15%-0.5
Away8%9%8%-0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 66%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Harm Osmers

Career
165 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.11 (3.93 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 18 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.54.72+0.6979
Fouls / match23.824.1-0.11
Fouls per card4.35.1-0.92 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.33-0.5830
Time added6.96.6+0.2164
First card
22' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-12 20 180 39'5
2026-04-25 30 240 7'5
2026-04-04 50 160 7'7
2026-03-14 51 140 38'11
2026-02-21 70 220 3'12
2026-01-31 100 281 23'15
2026-01-22 61 200 29'13
2026-01-17 40 201 16'7
2026-01-11 10 251 54'6
2025-12-13 30 140 5'5