Rating 6.96 (59th pct) · G+A 12 + 6 (41% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 11
Momentum
– HEAPEC Zwolle –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Heracles Almelo | at home | Stat | league | away | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.7 #18 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 45.0 #15 |
| 11.1 #16 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 9.7 #18 |
| 3.6 #17 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 3.5 #18 |
| 4.5 #14 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 3.6 #18 |
| 13.5 #1 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 11.4 #5 |
| 1.2 #12 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.6 #4 |
| 15.8 #14 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 17.4 #3 |
| 85.3 #16 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 84.8 #17 |
| 36.8 #16 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 35.1 #18 |
| 346.1 #18 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 379.5 #14 |
| 2.0 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #9 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 0.8 #17 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.1 #12 |
| – #16 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #18 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #10 |
| – #17 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #6 |
| 1.3 #16 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.1 #18 |
| -0.2 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.2 #4 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #10 |
| 1.0 #16 | 1.4 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 #13 |
| 2.5 #1 | 2.1 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.1 #2 |
| 0.2 #16 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #10 |
| 8.2 #13 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 10.7 #2 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #6 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | – |
| 6.7 #18 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #17 |
| 2.2 #18 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 2.5 #17 |
| 7.3 #16 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 6.2 #18 |
| 5.2 #9 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 3.6 #17 |
| 3.7 #16 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 3.5 #17 |
| – #18 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #13 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Heracles Almelo
No ranked players yet.
PEC Zwolle · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.28 (88th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (14% of team goals) · 35% of minutes
Team 1.17 ppg with (12) · 1.05 without (22)
Rating 6.84 (40th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (20% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Absences
Heracles Almelo
- injury Jeff Reine-Adélaïde midfielder · Knee Surgery · 32 missed · until 2026-04-25
- injury Sava-Arangel Cestic defender · Broken Ankle · 15 missed · until 2025-12-08
- injury Tristan van Gilst midfielder · Rest · 73 missed
PEC Zwolle
- injury Damian van der Haar defender · Unknown Injury · 16 missed · until 2026-03-31
- injury Jasper Schendelaar #15 key player goalkeeper · Knee Injury · 8 missed · until 2025-09-26
- injury Odysseus Velanas #8 key player midfielder · Ankle Injury · 23 missed · until 2026-01-25
- injury Tristan Gooijer defender · Knee Injury · 18 missed · until 2025-09-20
- suspension Braydon Manu attacker · Suspended · 39 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 11
Venue
- Stadium
- Asito Stadion, Almelo
- Capacity
- 13,500
- Surface
- artificial turf
- Attendance
- 11,433
Teams
- Coaches
- Hendrie Krüzen · Henry van der Vegt
- Position
- 18 · 16
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Referee
Ingmar Oostrom
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Heracles Almelo
LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 14 · xG 4.19–9.3 · xPts 3.72
- L
A
FC Volendam
0–3
xG 1.06–1.72
NLD E
- L
H
Feyenoord
0–7
xG 0.24–2.34
NLD E
- L
A
FC Twente
1–2
xG 0.69–1.66
NLD E
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
3–0
xG 1.11–1.45
NLD E
- L
A
NAC Breda
1–2
xG 1.09–2.13
NLD E
LLLLLLWLLL 1W 0D 9L · 3 pts (0.3 ppg) · GF 7 GA 30 · xG 8.71–22.59 · xPts 6.11
- L
A
FC Volendam
0–3
xG 1.06–1.72
NLD E
- L
H
Feyenoord
0–7
xG 0.24–2.34
NLD E
- L
A
FC Twente
1–2
xG 0.69–1.66
NLD E
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
3–0
xG 1.11–1.45
NLD E
- L
A
NAC Breda
1–2
xG 1.09–2.13
NLD E
- L
H
AZ Alkmaar
1–2
xG 1.21–2.89
NLD E
- L
A
FC Groningen
0–4
xG 0.48–1.85
NLD E
- L
A
Ajax
0–2
xG 0.3–3.03
NLD E
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1–4
xG 1.57–3.44
NLD E
- L
A
FC Utrecht
0–4
xG 0.96–2.07
NLD E
PEC Zwolle
DLLDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 12 · xG 4.74–10.58 · xPts 3.67
- D
H
NEC Nijmegen
2–2
xG 0.96–0.81
NLD E
- D
A
NAC Breda
2–2
xG 1.23–2.85
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
0–4
xG 0.19–1.96
NLD E
- L
A
FC Volendam
1–2
xG 1.17–1.96
NLD E
- D
A
AZ Alkmaar
2–2
xG 1.18–3.0
NLD E
WWLLLDLLDD 2W 3D 5L · 9 pts (0.9 ppg) · GF 11 GA 19 · xG 8.97–18.15 · xPts 8.32
- D
H
NEC Nijmegen
2–2
xG 0.96–0.81
NLD E
- D
A
NAC Breda
2–2
xG 1.23–2.85
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
0–4
xG 0.19–1.96
NLD E
- L
A
FC Volendam
1–2
xG 1.17–1.96
NLD E
- D
A
AZ Alkmaar
2–2
xG 1.18–3.0
NLD E
- L
H
Go Ahead Eagles
0–2
xG 0.54–1.94
NLD E
- L
A
Ajax
1–3
xG 0.56–2.01
NLD E
- L
H
FC Utrecht
0–2
xG 0.65–1.15
NLD E
- W
A
Telstar
2–0
xG 1.63–0.81
NLD E
- W
H
FC Twente
1–0
xG 0.87–1.66
NLD E
All meetings · 25 matches since 2012
Goals 47–33 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 21–16 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 13–11 · 4.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L PEC Zwolle 1–0 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- W Heracles Almelo 8–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
- W Heracles Almelo 4–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
- L PEC Zwolle 3–0 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- L PEC Zwolle 3–1 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- W Heracles Almelo 2–1 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
- W Heracles Almelo 2–0 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
- L PEC Zwolle 1–0 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- W Heracles Almelo 2–1 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
- D PEC Zwolle 2–2 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Heracles Almelo all · 34 | Heracles Almelo at home · 17 | PEC Zwolle all · 34 | PEC Zwolle away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.56 | 0.88 | 1.09 | 0.53 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 25 | 4 / 3 / 10 | 9 / 10 / 15 | 1 / 6 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.03 | 1.35 | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Goals against / match | 2.50 | 2.12 | 2.09 | 2.94 |
| Clean sheets | 6% | 12% | 18% | 6% |
| Failed to score | 47% | 41% | 18% | 6% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 53% | 68% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 65% | 62% | 76% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.27 | 1.49 | 1.08 | 1.02 |
| xG against / match | 1.98 | 1.76 | 1.94 | 2.24 |
| xG difference | -0.71 | -0.27 | -0.86 | -1.22 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.14 | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| xPts / match | 0.99 | 1.22 | 0.91 | 0.74 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.43 | -0.33 | 0.18 | -0.22 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 24% | 29% | 50% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.25 | 2.00 | 1.82 | 0.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 23% | 25% | 29% |
| Leads held | 50% | 67% | 53% | 17% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 19% | 27% | 15% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 46% | 44% | 40% |
| Minutes trailing | 46% | 34% | 28% | 45% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 34 | 38 | 47 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 31 | 34 | 39 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 48% | 48% | 61% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 53% | 54% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.56 | 0.41 | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 46% | 45% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 13.5 | 9.6 | 9.4 |
| On target | 3.6 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 10% | 13% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 66% | 64% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 41% | 24% | 16% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 13% | 20% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 8.2 | 10.9 | 7.3 | 6.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.6 | 44.3 | 31.1 | 29.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 78% | 79% |
| Fouls | 13.5 | 12.6 | 11.4 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 2.24 | 1.47 | 1.82 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Heracles Almelo
0–15'310
16–30'911
31–45'617
46–60'715
61–75'413
76–90'619
PEC Zwolle
0–15'107
16–30'610
31–45'716
46–60'710
61–75'79
76–90'719
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Heracles Almelo
No pressure profile yet.
PEC Zwolle · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.216
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.462
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.494
Game state
When ahead+0.003
When level-0.246
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.485
10 min after scoring+0.074
Situations
At home-0.213
Away-0.213
4+ days rest-0.216
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.453
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
As underdog-0.216
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.476
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.085
Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.02
Heracles Almelo
Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 17 50% | 0.12 | 0.53 | 2.94 | 1.03 | 2.29 |
| 4-4-2 | 9 26% | 1.44 | 2.22 | 1.89 | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.63 | 1.41 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.96 | 1.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.15 | 2.51 |
PEC Zwolle
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 16 47% | 1.06 | 1.25 | 1.81 | 1.09 | 1.76 |
| 4-3-3 | 14 41% | 1.43 | 1.5 | 1.64 | 1.12 | 2.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.25 | 1.83 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.19 | 1.96 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 0.81 | 4.01 |
| Metric | Heracles Almelo all · 10 | Heracles Almelo at home · 10 | PEC Zwolle all · 10 | PEC Zwolle away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 2 / 8 | 1 / 2 / 7 | 2 / 1 / 7 | 1 / 3 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 0.40 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.80 | 2.70 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 60% | 30% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 60% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.03 | 1.17 | 0.87 | 1.10 |
| xG against / match | 2.10 | 1.77 | 2.24 | 2.01 |
| xG difference | -1.07 | -0.59 | -1.37 | -0.91 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.63 | -0.67 | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | 0.85 | 1.05 | 0.67 | 0.87 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.65 | -0.55 | 0.03 | -0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 20% | 40% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 0.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 12% | 33% |
| Leads held | 0% | 50% | 50% | 20% |
| Minutes leading | 5% | 10% | 15% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 52% | 44% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 51% | 38% | 41% | 42% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 36 | 40 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 38 | 34 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 25% | 20% | 60% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 56% | 68% | 63% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 47% | 42% | 45% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 12.1 | 9.5 | 12.0 |
| On target | 2.9 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 4% | 4% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 65% | 56% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 40% | 35% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | 20% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 9.6 | 10.3 | 6.3 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.5 | 44.0 | 29.8 | 33.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 77% | 76% | 79% |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 13.3 | 11.2 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Heracles Almelo
0–15'04
16–30'33
31–45'04
46–60'06
61–75'04
76–90'12
PEC Zwolle
0–15'02
16–30'35
31–45'12
46–60'24
61–75'27
76–90'28
Heracles Almelo
Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.11 | 0.33 | 2.44 | 0.99 | 2.21 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.43 | 1.15 |
PEC Zwolle
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.78 | 1.11 | 2.89 | 0.91 | 2.27 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.49 | 1.97 |
| Metric | Heracles Almelo all · 29 | Heracles Almelo at home · 15 | PEC Zwolle all · 36 | PEC Zwolle away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 29 | 15 | 36 | 18 |
| Points per game | 0.66 | 1.00 | 0.97 | 0.56 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 20 | 4 / 3 / 8 | 8 / 11 / 17 | 1 / 7 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.14 | 1.40 | 1.28 | 1.39 |
| Goals against / match | 2.38 | 2.00 | 2.31 | 2.89 |
| Clean sheets | 7% | 13% | 14% | 6% |
| Failed to score | 45% | 47% | 19% | 6% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 47% | 69% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 60% | 67% | 78% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.09 | 1.03 |
| xG against / match | 1.87 | 1.57 | 2.08 | 2.34 |
| xG difference | -0.53 | -0.07 | -0.99 | -1.31 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.20 | -0.10 | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| xPts / match | 1.08 | 1.31 | 0.86 | 0.71 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.42 | -0.31 | 0.11 | -0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 24% | 27% | 50% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.43 | 2.50 | 1.61 | 0.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 27% | 26% | 33% |
| Leads held | 56% | 80% | 44% | 12% |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 19% | 22% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 46% | 48% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 44% | 35% | 29% | 40% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 39 | 38 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 35 | 38 | 31 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 52% | 48% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 50% | 57% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.21 | 0.27 | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.27 | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 47% | 44% | 45% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 13.2 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| On target | 3.8 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 69% | 63% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 4.9 | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 44% | 28% | 17% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 10% | 22% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 9.0 | 11.8 | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.4 | 46.1 | 30.4 | 29.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 77% | 78% |
| Fouls | 13.7 | 12.9 | 11.4 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 2.31 | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Heracles Almelo
0–15'28
16–30'810
31–45'613
46–60'715
61–75'410
76–90'613
PEC Zwolle
0–15'88
16–30'813
31–45'815
46–60'712
61–75'713
76–90'822
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Heracles Almelo · 29 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.46
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1429
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2229
Late push (76+, level)-0.429
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.4615
Game state
When ahead+0.209
When level-0.1729
When behind-0.2025
10 min after conceding-0.2727
10 min after scoring+0.1516
Situations
With ten men+0.822
Against ten men+0.074
At home-0.1315
Away-0.1614
4+ days rest-0.1429
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.448
v mid-tier opponents+0.147
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0910
Evenly matched-0.039
As underdog-0.2020
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.3429
Conceded when ahead-0.069
Conceded late (76+)+0.3421
Ahead vs level +0.37 · Behind vs level -0.03
PEC Zwolle · 36 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.16) · stands out: with ten men -0.31
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1636
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1336
Late push (76+, level)-0.2717
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2614
Game state
When ahead-0.1518
When level-0.2036
When behind-0.0923
10 min after conceding-0.2731
10 min after scoring+0.1728
Situations
With ten men-0.316
Against ten men-0.612
At home-0.2118
Away-0.1118
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.1834
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2811
v mid-tier opponents-0.1910
v bottom-tier opponents-0.049
As favourite-0.362
Evenly matched-0.1210
As underdog-0.1624
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4436
Conceded when ahead+0.6318
Conceded late (76+)+0.4030
Congested vs rested +0.24 · Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level +0.11
Heracles Almelo
Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 45% | 0.15 | 0.62 | 2.77 | 1.09 | 2.2 |
| 4-4-2 | 9 31% | 1.44 | 2.22 | 1.89 | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.63 | 1.41 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.96 | 1.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.09 | 2.13 |
PEC Zwolle
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 18 50% | 0.83 | 1.28 | 2.33 | 1.12 | 2.07 |
| 4-3-3 | 13 36% | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.16 | 2.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.25 | 1.83 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.65 | 2.99 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.19 | 1.96 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.4Home 39% P 36%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.75Away 34% P 36%
Double Chance
1.5Heracles or Draw 32% P 32%1.28Heracles or PEC Zwolle 37% P 36%1.5Draw or PEC Zwolle 32% P 32%
Draw No Bet
1.831 50%1.832 50%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61% P 63%2.37No 39% P 37%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 56% P 58%2.15Under 44% P 42%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 36% | 36% | 35% | -0.6 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 28% | +0.2 |
| Away | 36% | 36% | 36% | +0.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%
Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63% | 64% | 64% | +0.4 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Ingmar Oostrom
- Career
- 56 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.34 (3.21 yellow · 0.11 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.8 · 6.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.21
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 48 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.38 | 3.32 | +0.03 | 46 |
| Fouls / match | 22.7 | 20.3 | +1.14 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.0 | 6.2 | +0.94 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.23 | 0.24 | -0.04 | 46 |
| Time added | 6.8 | 6.4 | +0.62 | 82 |
- First card
- 38' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 42% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.09
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 40' | 8 |
| 2025-09-28 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 23' | 5 |
| 2025-08-30 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 21' | 10 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 40' | 7 |
| 2025-04-23 · Heracles Almelo | 5 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 64' | 8 |
| 2025-03-29 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 15' | 7 |
| 2025-02-16 · PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 66' | 5 |
| 2025-01-19 · Heracles Almelo | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 18' | 5 |
| 2024-11-30 · PEC Zwolle | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 5' | 7 |
| 2024-11-02 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 32' | 5 |