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Championship · Matchweek 31
Birmingham CityBRC
2–1
FT
Leicester CityLEI

Momentum

– BRCLEI –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Capacity
29,409
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,886

Teams

Coaches
Chris Davies · Andy King
Position
14 · 20
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

John Busby

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
8.8° (feels 5.8°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
95%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Birmingham City

WDWDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 9.15–4.79 · xPts 9.38

  • W A Oxford United 2–0 xG 1.28–0.68 UK CHAMP
  • D H Stoke City 1–1 xG 2.5–0.39 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 2.88–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 1–1 xG 1.59–1.85 UK CHAMP
  • W A Cambridge United 3–2 xG 0.9–1.24 UK FA Cup

Leicester City

WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 6.04–6.88 · xPts 6.37

  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–2 xG 2.05–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • L H Oxford United 1–2 xG 0.75–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wrexham 1–1 xG 0.85–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–2 xG 1.28–2.5 UK CHAMP
  • W A Cheltenham Town 2–0 xG 1.11–0.6 UK FA Cup

All meetings · 16 matches since 2003

Birmingham City 43 draws9 Leicester City

Goals 19–26 · 2.81 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Birmingham City 12 draws7 Leicester City

Goals 11–20 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Birmingham City 10 draws4 Leicester City

Goals 5–11 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Birmingham City 2–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 2–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 2–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 3–0 Birmingham City UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • L Birmingham City 2–3 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 1–0 Birmingham City UK FA Cup · 5th Round
  • L Birmingham City 1–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 3–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Leicester City 2–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 1–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBirmingham City all · 46Birmingham City at home · 23Leicester City all · 46Leicester City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.911.131.04
W / D / L17 / 13 / 1612 / 8 / 312 / 16 / 185 / 9 / 9
Goals for / match1.241.701.261.17
Goals against / match1.220.961.481.48
Clean sheets22%30%13%13%
Failed to score24%9%20%17%
Both teams scored56%65%72%74%
Over 2.546%48%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.491.911.281.22
xG against / match1.141.001.471.67
xG difference0.350.91-0.19-0.45
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.21-0.02-0.05
xPts / match1.571.921.261.12
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.01-0.13-0.08
Game state
Scored first50%78%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.352.331.731.88
PPG when conceding first0.410.250.550.57
Came back from behind33%40%33%40%
Leads held71%67%46%50%
Minutes leading28%44%26%19%
Minutes level42%46%43%45%
Minutes trailing31%10%31%36%
First goal (min)39304051
First goal conceded (min)35463934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%44%48%59%
Goals conceded in 2nd half39%50%50%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.170.370.43
Late goals against0.150.170.280.26
Style
Possession54%55%52%50%
Shots13.617.312.912.0
On target4.15.74.24.3
Shot conversion9%10%10%10%
Shots inside box64%63%59%66%
Big chances created2.43.01.71.5
Corners5.86.65.34.4
xG from set plays30%29%34%38%
Goals from headers21%24%12%11%
Pressure index14.418.312.69.9
Dominant minutes54.364.047.141.7
Pass accuracy77%77%80%79%
Fouls11.711.010.810.9
Cards2.112.001.962.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.66Home 56% P 56%3.9Draw 24% P 25%4.75Away 20% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18Birmingham or Draw 40% P 40%1.25Birmingham or Leicester 38% P 38%2.15Draw or Leicester 22% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 52%1.9No 49% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 54%1.83Under 50% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%53%-2.8
Draw25%25%26%+1.0
Away19%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

John Busby

Career
130 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.82 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 113 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.874.05-0.3337
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.87
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3829
Time added7.87.2+0.6769
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-31 30 211 33'8
2026-01-17 20 250 31'7
2026-01-10 50 200 36'9
2026-01-04 20 200 66'8
2025-12-29 11 130 76'10
2025-11-08 70 180 30'14
2025-11-01 30 260 34'8
2025-10-22 51 170 29'7
2025-09-30 60 251 45'11
2025-09-20 · Birmingham City 90 240 12'14