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Championship · Matchweek 32
Leicester CityLEI
3–4
FT
SouthamptonSouthampton

Momentum

– LEISouthampton –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
King Power Stadium, Leicester
Capacity
32,312
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,827

Teams

Coaches
Andy King · Tonda Eckert
Position
21 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ben Toner

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
8.6° (feels 7.2°)
Wind
2.5
Humidity
96%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Leicester City

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 5.48–8.32 · xPts 5.06

  • L A Birmingham City 1–2 xG 0.54–2.04 UK CHAMP
  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–2 xG 2.05–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • L H Oxford United 1–2 xG 0.75–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wrexham 1–1 xG 0.85–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–2 xG 1.28–2.5 UK CHAMP

Southampton

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 7.43–5.95 · xPts 7.41

  • W H Watford 1–0 xG 0.61–1.15 UK CHAMP
  • W A Stoke City 2–0 xG 1.69–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 1–1 xG 0.86–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 1.24–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 1–2 xG 3.02–0.77 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 41 matches since 2000

Leicester City 169 draws16 Southampton

Goals 65–54 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Leicester City 50 draws5 Southampton

Goals 23–16 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Leicester City 20 draws3 Southampton

Goals 9–11 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Southampton 2–1 Leicester City aet UK FA Cup · Round 4
  • L Leicester City 3–4 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 2–0 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 2–3 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 5–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 1–4 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 1–0 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 1–2 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 4–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
MetricLeicester City all · 46Leicester City at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.131.221.751.54
W / D / L12 / 16 / 187 / 7 / 923 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.261.351.751.83
Goals against / match1.481.481.191.54
Clean sheets13%13%25%8%
Failed to score20%22%12%8%
Both teams scored72%70%71%88%
Over 2.554%52%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.281.341.711.64
xG against / match1.471.271.331.57
xG difference-0.190.070.380.06
Finishing vs xG-0.020.010.040.20
xPts / match1.261.391.591.41
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.170.160.13
Game state
Scored first48%61%52%54%
PPG when scoring first1.731.642.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.550.501.261.20
Came back from behind33%25%54%46%
Leads held46%44%72%62%
Minutes leading26%34%34%31%
Minutes level43%41%49%49%
Minutes trailing31%25%18%20%
First goal (min)40304040
First goal conceded (min)39444446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%56%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.300.380.50
Late goals against0.280.300.270.38
Style
Possession52%54%56%54%
Shots12.913.814.413.1
On target4.24.05.35.1
Shot conversion10%10%12%14%
Shots inside box59%54%68%71%
Big chances created1.72.02.92.8
Corners5.36.15.85.0
xG from set plays34%30%28%32%
Goals from headers12%13%22%19%
Pressure index12.615.317.914.7
Dominant minutes47.152.459.054.2
Pass accuracy80%82%83%82%
Fouls10.810.710.711.5
Cards1.961.741.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.60

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 33% P 33%3.3Draw 28% P 27%2.45Away 38% P 40%

Double Chance

1.66Leicester or Draw 29% P 30%1.3Leicester or Southampton 37% P 36%1.36Draw or Southampton 35% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 58%2.2No 42% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%31%-2.8
Draw27%28%28%-0.1
Away40%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Ben Toner

Career
64 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
3.77 (3.66 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.05+0.5971
Fouls / match24.721.8+2.49
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.17+1.1690
Time added7.97.2+0.7874
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-31 40 300 56'5
2026-01-21 20 210 51'9
2025-12-26 62 300 29'10
2025-12-20 60 220 30'8
2025-12-09 11 180 39'8
2025-11-29 · Southampton 30 171 36'8
2025-11-22 60 280 15'7
2025-11-01 20 310 70'11
2025-10-21 30 200 10'8
2025-10-01 70 240 2'8