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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 8

Momentum

PortoBenfica
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Capacity
50,033
Surface
grass
Attendance
49,520

Teams

Coaches
Francesco Farioli · José Mourinho
Position
1 · 3
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
23.2° (feels 22.9°)
Wind
3.3
Humidity
48%

Where to watch · 21

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Porto

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 1 · xG 10.64–3.32 · xPts 11.38

  • W H Crvena Zvezda 2–1 xG 2.38–0.78 UEFA EL
  • W A Arouca 4–0 xG 2.33–0.9 PRT PL
  • W A Salzburg 1–0 xG 1.26–1.2 UEFA EL
  • W A Rio Ave 3–0 xG 2.69–0.32 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 1–0 xG 1.98–0.12 PRT PL

Benfica

LWDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 8.84–4.91 · xPts 9.26

  • L A Chelsea 0–1 xG 1.2–0.77 UEFA CL
  • W H Gil Vicente 2–1 xG 1.5–1.57 PRT PL
  • D H Rio Ave 1–1 xG 2.43–0.22 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 3–0 xG 2.51–0.78 PRT PL
  • L H Qarabağ 2–3 xG 1.19–1.57 UEFA CL

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Porto 1813 draws11 Benfica

Goals 59–47 · 2.52 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Porto 42 draws4 Benfica

Goals 15–14 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Porto 12 draws2 Benfica

Goals 9–10 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Benfica 2–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Porto 0–0 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 1–4 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 4–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 5–0 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 1–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 0–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 3–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricPorto all · 34Porto at home · 17Benfica all · 34Benfica away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.592.652.352.41
W / D / L28 / 4 / 214 / 3 / 023 / 11 / 012 / 5 / 0
Goals for / match1.941.942.181.94
Goals against / match0.530.350.740.71
Clean sheets62%71%41%41%
Failed to score3%6%6%12%
Both teams scored38%29%59%59%
Over 2.556%47%71%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.861.852.211.99
xG against / match0.710.580.881.09
xG difference1.161.271.330.91
Finishing vs xG0.080.09-0.03-0.05
xPts / match2.072.122.121.91
Points vs xPts0.520.530.230.50
Game state
Scored first85%94%79%76%
PPG when scoring first2.792.752.482.54
PPG when conceding first1.502.203.00
Came back from behind50%100%100%
Leads held90%88%77%80%
Minutes leading51%54%48%42%
Minutes level43%46%46%53%
Minutes trailing6%0%6%5%
First goal (min)36333336
First goal conceded (min)56655160
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%52%49%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half78%100%60%75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.470.35
Late goals against0.180.120.240.24
Style
Possession55%56%58%57%
Shots14.514.617.015.9
On target5.35.46.05.1
Shot conversion13%13%13%12%
Shots inside box66%68%67%66%
Big chances created2.92.93.33.2
Corners5.65.67.26.9
xG from set plays31%33%32%28%
Goals from headers14%6%16%24%
Pressure index19.920.823.821.4
Dominant minutes64.864.967.761.7
Pass accuracy84%85%84%83%
Fouls13.913.611.010.9
Cards2.532.122.152.47

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126

Benfica

0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-334 100%2.591.940.531.860.71

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%2.382.240.792.20.9
4-4-23 9%2.331.670.332.180.94
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.00.02.510.78
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.02.430.22

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 48% P 48%3.5Draw 27% P 29%3.75Away 25% P 24%

Double Chance

1.25FC Porto or Draw 37% P 38%1.28FC Porto or Benfica 37% P 36%1.8Draw or Benfica 26% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 55%1.95No 48% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 48%1.85Under 51% P 52%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 809 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%49%47%-1.9
Draw29%28%29%+1.6
Away24%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Career
86 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.77 (4.48 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.825.66-1.0421
Fouls / match26.227.8-0.83
Fouls per card5.54.9+0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.37-0.1542
Time added7.47.7-0.2230
First card
35' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-27 90 382 27'8
2025-09-14 20 210 71'12
2025-09-06 50 271 37'9
2025-08-17 30 211 24'7
2025-08-07 20 210 65'8
2025-07-29 31 320 5'9
2025-05-17 · Benfica 61 231 33'10
2025-04-27 70 280 43'5
2025-04-18 · Porto 51 300 25'6
2025-03-28 · Benfica 60 251 19'7