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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 9

Momentum

BenficaArouca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa
Capacity
68,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
60,322

Teams

Coaches
José Mourinho · Vasco Freire De Seabra
Position
4 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Hélder Carvalho

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
22.9° (feels 22.9°)
Wind
4.8
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 21

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Benfica

DWLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 5.58–5.95 · xPts 6.47

  • L A Newcastle United 0–3 xG 0.31–2.34 UEFA CL
  • D A Porto 0–0 xG 0.13–1.04 PRT PL
  • L A Chelsea 0–1 xG 1.2–0.77 UEFA CL
  • W H Gil Vicente 2–1 xG 1.5–1.57 PRT PL
  • D H Rio Ave 1–1 xG 2.43–0.22 PRT PL

Arouca

DLWLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 3.65–8.65 · xPts 3.82

  • D H Famalicão 1–1 xG 0.59–1.83 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–4 xG 0.9–2.33 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 2–1 xG 0.86–2.83 PRT PL
  • L H Casa Pia 0–2 xG 0.8–1.12 PRT PL
  • D A Vitória Guimarães 1–1 xG 0.51–0.54 PRT PL

All meetings · 18 matches since 2013

Benfica 152 draws1 Arouca

Goals 49–9 · 3.22 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 72%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Benfica 91 draws0 Arouca

Goals 30–3 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Benfica 41 draws0 Arouca

Goals 16–3 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Arouca 1–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 5–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Benfica 2–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 5–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 4–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 2–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricBenfica all · 34Benfica at home · 17Arouca all · 34Arouca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.352.291.241.00
W / D / L23 / 11 / 011 / 6 / 012 / 6 / 165 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match2.182.411.381.18
Goals against / match0.740.761.882.00
Clean sheets41%41%21%24%
Failed to score6%0%26%29%
Both teams scored59%59%56%53%
Over 2.571%71%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.212.431.040.87
xG against / match0.880.671.511.54
xG difference1.331.75-0.48-0.66
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.010.340.30
xPts / match2.122.331.141.08
Points vs xPts0.23-0.040.09-0.08
Game state
Scored first79%82%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.482.431.821.71
PPG when conceding first2.201.670.630.44
Came back from behind100%100%24%17%
Leads held77%73%60%62%
Minutes leading48%54%20%11%
Minutes level46%40%50%54%
Minutes trailing6%7%30%34%
First goal (min)33303744
First goal conceded (min)51433532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%46%62%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%46%50%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.470.590.180.12
Late goals against0.240.240.410.41
Style
Possession58%59%50%51%
Shots17.018.110.710.6
On target6.06.93.62.9
Shot conversion13%13%13%11%
Shots inside box67%68%58%52%
Big chances created3.33.32.11.4
Corners7.27.53.73.4
xG from set plays32%35%24%30%
Goals from headers16%10%34%40%
Pressure index23.826.110.711.0
Dominant minutes67.773.843.444.0
Pass accuracy84%85%82%82%
Fouls11.011.213.913.3
Cards2.151.823.322.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Benfica

0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%2.382.240.792.20.9
4-4-23 9%2.331.670.332.180.94
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.00.02.510.78
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.02.430.22

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.14Home 82% P 81%8.5Draw 11% P 12%13.0Away 7% P 7%

Double Chance

1.04Benfica or Draw 46% P 46%1.1Benfica or FC Arouca 43% P 44%4.5Draw or FC Arouca 11% P 10%

Draw No Bet

1.051 91%11.02 9%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 46%1.66No 56% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 67% P 67%2.87Under 33% P 33%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 80–82.5% · away 5–7.5% · 442 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home81%81%83%+1.6
Draw12%13%11%-1.8
Away7%6%6%+0.2

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 65%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.567%66%69%+3.2

Hélder Carvalho

Career
42 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.86 (4.48 yellow · 0.36 red)
Fouls / match
28.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.625.66-1.2912
Fouls / match28.927.9+0.55
Fouls per card6.34.9+1.46 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.450.37+0.6579
Time added8.07.7+0.4873
First card
32' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.31

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-22 20 342 45'7
2025-08-23 · Arouca 50 300 20'9
2025-08-16 · Benfica 60 371 25'8
2025-04-12 40 280 26'1
2025-04-05 30 270 33'9
2025-04-02 · Benfica 20 260 74'5
2025-03-03 21 201 33'7
2025-02-09 30 370 20'2
2025-01-19 60 262 19'12