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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 10

Momentum

VSCBenfica
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Capacity
30,029
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,127

Teams

Coaches
Luís Correia Pinto · José Mourinho
Position
11 · 3
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
14.1° (feels 14.0°)
Wind
1.4
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 21

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Vitória Guimarães

WDLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 6.43–6.45 · xPts 6.89

  • L A Famalicão 0–2 xG 0.53–1.62 PRT PL
  • W H Santa Clara 2–1 xG 1.71–1.42 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 0–2 xG 1.37–1.47 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting Braga 1–1 xG 1.33–1.46 PRT PL
  • W A Estrela Amadora 2–0 xG 1.49–0.49 PRT PL

Benfica

WLDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 7.63–6.12 · xPts 6.69

  • W H Arouca 5–0 xG 4.49–0.4 PRT PL
  • L A Newcastle United 0–3 xG 0.31–2.34 UEFA CL
  • D A Porto 0–0 xG 0.13–1.04 PRT PL
  • L A Chelsea 0–1 xG 1.2–0.77 UEFA CL
  • W H Gil Vicente 2–1 xG 1.5–1.57 PRT PL

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Vitória Guimarães 45 draws31 Benfica

Goals 19–80 · 2.48 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Vitória Guimarães 02 draws8 Benfica

Goals 4–27 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Vitória Guimarães 01 draws4 Benfica

Goals 2–12 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Benfica 3–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 0–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 0–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 1–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Vitória Guimarães 2–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 4–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 5–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Vitória Guimarães 0–0 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 3–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 1–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricVitória Guimarães all · 34Vitória Guimarães at home · 17Benfica all · 34Benfica away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.241.652.352.41
W / D / L12 / 6 / 168 / 4 / 523 / 11 / 012 / 5 / 0
Goals for / match1.151.532.181.94
Goals against / match1.501.120.740.71
Clean sheets29%29%41%41%
Failed to score35%24%6%12%
Both teams scored41%53%59%59%
Over 2.544%53%71%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.332.211.99
xG against / match1.291.210.881.09
xG difference-0.020.131.330.91
Finishing vs xG-0.120.20-0.03-0.05
xPts / match1.381.482.121.91
Points vs xPts-0.150.170.230.50
Game state
Scored first41%41%79%76%
PPG when scoring first2.142.432.482.54
PPG when conceding first0.561.112.203.00
Came back from behind20%44%100%100%
Leads held71%80%77%80%
Minutes leading16%20%48%42%
Minutes level55%60%46%53%
Minutes trailing29%20%6%5%
First goal (min)45453336
First goal conceded (min)37445160
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%65%49%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%60%75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.470.35
Late goals against0.290.290.240.24
Style
Possession51%50%58%57%
Shots13.313.517.015.9
On target3.94.16.05.1
Shot conversion9%11%13%12%
Shots inside box56%58%67%66%
Big chances created1.61.63.33.2
Corners4.44.47.26.9
xG from set plays35%43%32%28%
Goals from headers16%15%16%24%
Pressure index12.914.023.821.4
Dominant minutes53.853.967.761.7
Pass accuracy82%82%84%83%
Fouls14.515.511.010.9
Cards2.412.762.152.47

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27
16–30'87
31–45'79
46–60'68
61–75'1010
76–90'610

Benfica

0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.160.961.481.191.32
4-4-23 9%2.02.01.331.451.41
4-3-32 6%2.03.00.52.440.4
3-4-32 6%1.51.52.01.141.39
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.03.00.531.83

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%2.382.240.792.20.9
4-4-23 9%2.331.670.332.180.94
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.00.02.510.78
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.02.430.22

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.5Home 14% P 12%4.75Draw 20% P 21%1.42Away 66% P 67%

Double Chance

3.0Guimaraes or Draw 16% P 16%1.18Guimaraes or Benfica 41% P 40%1.1Draw or Benfica 44% P 44%

Draw No Bet

6.01 16%1.122 84%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 44%1.61No 58% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–15% · away 65–70% · 653 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home12%13%13%+0.8
Draw21%20%18%-1.7
Away67%67%68%+1.0

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Career
234 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.91 (4.7 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
27.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 91 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.45.66-0.3036
Fouls / match27.427.8-0.22
Fouls per card5.14.9+0.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.37-0.2139
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-24 71 301 5'7
2025-09-12 · Benfica 21 190 21'9
2025-08-30 50 350 51'7
2025-08-23 · Vitória Guimarães 70 340 17'10
2025-08-19 30 280 69'7
2025-08-13 50 240 53'7
2025-08-05 30 230 49'4
2025-05-10 · Benfica 71 380 15'8
2025-05-08 20 250 17'3
2025-04-19 10 260 49'5