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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 11

Momentum

BenficaCasa Pia
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa
Capacity
68,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
56,428

Teams

Coaches
José Mourinho · Alexandre Miguel Nunes Santana
Position
3 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1

Referee

Gustavo Mota Correia

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
17.3° (feels 16.6°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
57%

Where to watch · 15

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Benfica

DLWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 9.31–4.9 · xPts 8.47

  • L H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–1 xG 1.88–0.64 UEFA CL
  • W A Vitória Guimarães 3–0 xG 2.5–0.47 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 5–0 xG 4.49–0.4 PRT PL
  • L A Newcastle United 0–3 xG 0.31–2.34 UEFA CL
  • D A Porto 0–0 xG 0.13–1.04 PRT PL

Casa Pia

DLDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 14 · xG 5.52–8.31 · xPts 5.3

  • L H Estrela Amadora 3–5 xG 1.2–2.3 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 0–4 xG 0.18–2.04 PRT PL
  • D H Estoril 2–2 xG 1.46–0.75 PRT PL
  • L A Moreirense 1–2 xG 1.56–1.3 PRT PL
  • D H Famalicão 1–1 xG 1.13–1.93 PRT PL

All meetings · 9 matches since 2022

Benfica 53 draws1 Casa Pia

Goals 20–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Benfica 53 draws1 Casa Pia

Goals 20–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 56%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Benfica 22 draws1 Casa Pia

Goals 14–6 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Casa Pia 0–7 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 1–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Benfica 2–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Casa Pia 3–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 3–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 0–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Benfica 1–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 3–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 0–1 Benfica neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricBenfica all · 34Benfica at home · 17Casa Pia all · 34Casa Pia away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.352.290.880.88
W / D / L23 / 11 / 011 / 6 / 06 / 12 / 164 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match2.182.410.910.76
Goals against / match0.740.761.681.82
Clean sheets41%41%21%29%
Failed to score6%0%44%47%
Both teams scored59%59%47%35%
Over 2.571%71%44%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.212.430.940.91
xG against / match0.880.671.561.63
xG difference1.331.75-0.62-0.72
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.14
xPts / match2.122.331.000.94
Points vs xPts0.23-0.04-0.12-0.06
Game state
Scored first79%82%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.482.431.501.80
PPG when conceding first2.201.670.550.40
Came back from behind100%100%30%17%
Leads held77%73%46%67%
Minutes leading48%54%17%14%
Minutes level46%40%53%46%
Minutes trailing6%7%30%40%
First goal (min)33304244
First goal conceded (min)51433928
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%46%48%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%46%56%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.470.590.180.18
Late goals against0.240.240.320.29
Style
Possession58%59%41%41%
Shots17.018.18.99.4
On target6.06.92.93.0
Shot conversion13%13%10%8%
Shots inside box67%68%62%62%
Big chances created3.33.31.71.6
Corners7.27.54.04.5
xG from set plays32%35%38%34%
Goals from headers16%10%19%15%
Pressure index23.826.17.15.3
Dominant minutes67.773.835.629.6
Pass accuracy84%85%72%74%
Fouls11.011.215.915.0
Cards2.151.823.002.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Benfica

0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%2.382.240.792.20.9
4-4-23 9%2.331.670.332.180.94
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.02.430.22
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.00.02.510.78

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-2-3-11 3%1.00.00.00.451.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.16Home 81% P 81%7.5Draw 13% P 11%15.0Away 6% P 7%

Double Chance

1.03Benfica or Draw 47% P 47%1.1Benfica or Casa Pia 44% P 44%5.0Draw or Casa Pia 10% P 9%

Draw No Bet

1.051 91%11.02 9%

Both Teams To Score

2.62Yes 35% P 36%1.44No 65% P 64%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.65Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 80–82.5% · away 5–7.5% · 442 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home81%81%83%+1.6
Draw11%13%11%-1.8
Away7%6%6%+0.2

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 65%

Both teams to score · yes 35–37.5% · 141 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes36%36%38%+1.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Gustavo Mota Correia

No career statistics.

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 7 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.86 cards, 27.1 fouls per match.