Rating 7.04 (86th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (26% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 11
Momentum
– CFEANacional –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Estrela Amadora | at home | Stat | league | away | Nacional |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.8 #13 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 46.1 #14 |
| 10.8 #12 | – | Shots total | 12.1 | – | 12.6 #6 |
| 3.6 #12 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 4.2 #7 |
| 3.3 #18 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 4.4 #9 |
| 14.3 #7 | – | Fouls | 13.7 | – | 14.8 #4 |
| 1.8 #4 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.4 #13 |
| 15.8 #9 | – | Tackles | 15.6 | – | 16.2 #5 |
| 77.0 #17 | – | Attacks | 90.3 | – | 90.6 #7 |
| 29.6 #18 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.1 | – | 37.9 #11 |
| 354.8 #14 | – | Passes | 405.0 | – | 332.8 #16 |
| 3.0 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 2.6 | – | 3.2 #2 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #10 |
| 0.7 #12 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.7 #14 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 48.0 | – | – #8 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 29.2 | – | – #10 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 27.1 | – | – #13 |
| 1.1 #12 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.2 #9 |
| -0.0 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #15 |
| – #3 | – | Failed to score | 29.2 | – | – #8 |
| 1.1 #10 | 1.2 | Goals | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 #11 |
| 1.6 #6 | 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 #11 |
| 0.2 #10 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #3 |
| 9.8 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.6 | – | 9.2 #6 |
| – #4 | – | Lost | 36.4 | – | – #2 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 6.7 #11 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #7 |
| 2.7 #13 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 3.1 #9 |
| 5.9 #15 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.4 | – | 7.4 #9 |
| 4.6 #11 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 5.3 #6 |
| 4.9 #8 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.6 | – | 5.2 #5 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 36.4 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 5.01 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Estrela Amadora · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.73 (41th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (13% of team goals) · 55% of minutes
Team 0.8 ppg with (20) · 1.0 without (14)
Rating 7.1 (92th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 26% of minutes
Team 0.44 ppg with (9) · 1.04 without (25)
Nacional · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.0 (87th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 6.85 (69th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (14% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Rating 7.04 (89th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (11% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 0.86 without (7)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 11
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
- Capacity
- 9,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 2,658
Teams
- Coaches
- João Nuno · Tiago Carvalho Margarido
- Position
- 14 · 12
- Formation
- 3-4-3 · 5-4-1
Referee
Fabio Verssimo
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 16.5° (feels 15.6°)
- Wind
- 3.0
- Humidity
- 55%
Where to watch · 2
- International Bet365
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP |
34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Benfica |
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | WLDDD |
| 5 |  Famalicão |
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente |
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LWDLL |
| 7 |  Moreirense |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Arouca |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Vitória Guimarães |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Estoril |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LLDDL |
| 11 |  Alverca |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LWLDL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave |
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Nacional |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WWLLW |
| 15 |  Estrela Amadora |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Tondela |
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 18 |  AVS |
34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 45 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Famalicão |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 31 | DWDDW |
| 5 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 30 | WLDDD |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 | LWDLL |
| 7 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Moreirense |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Alverca |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Arouca |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Estoril |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 23 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Santa Clara |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 | DWDWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 18 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | DLDLD |
| 17 | Tondela |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | LDWWL |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 43 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 25 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 5 | Famalicão |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 6 | Rio Ave |
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 | DLDLD |
| 7 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 8 | Arouca |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Estoril |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Casa Pia |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Tondela |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 14 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Santa Clara |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 | DWDWL |
| 16 | Alverca |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 9 | DDWWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Estrela Amadora
DWLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 7.12–7.0 · xPts 7.14
- W
A
Casa Pia
5–3
xG 2.3–1.2
PRT PL
- L
H
Rio Ave
1–2
xG 0.83–0.66
PRT PL
- L
A
Gil Vicente
0–2
xG 0.89–2.59
PRT PL
- W
H
AVS
3–0
xG 2.0–0.7
PRT PL
- D
A
Tondela
0–0
xG 1.1–1.86
PRT PL
DLDDLDWLLW 2W 4D 4L · 10 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 13 · xG 12.9–13.7 · xPts 12.92
- W
A
Casa Pia
5–3
xG 2.3–1.2
PRT PL
- L
H
Rio Ave
1–2
xG 0.83–0.66
PRT PL
- L
A
Gil Vicente
0–2
xG 0.89–2.59
PRT PL
- W
H
AVS
3–0
xG 2.0–0.7
PRT PL
- D
A
Tondela
0–0
xG 1.1–1.86
PRT PL
- L
H
Vitória Guimarães
0–2
xG 0.49–1.49
PRT PL
- D
A
Santa Clara
0–0
xG 0.11–0.95
PRT PL
- D
H
Alverca
2–2
xG 2.81–0.89
PRT PL
- L
H
Benfica
0–1
xG 1.34–2.43
PRT PL
- D
A
Estoril
1–1
xG 1.04–0.95
PRT PL
Nacional
LWWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 8.69–6.53 · xPts 8.08
- L
H
Famalicão
0–1
xG 0.37–1.76
PRT PL
- D
A
Estoril
1–1
xG 1.37–1.61
PRT PL
- W
H
Moreirense
3–2
xG 2.53–1.71
PRT PL
- W
A
Sporting Braga
1–0
xG 1.59–0.59
PRT PL
- L
H
Arouca
1–2
xG 2.83–0.86
PRT PL
LDLWLLWWDL 3W 2D 5L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 10 GA 14 · xG 12.86–14.91 · xPts 12.66
- L
H
Famalicão
0–1
xG 0.37–1.76
PRT PL
- D
A
Estoril
1–1
xG 1.37–1.61
PRT PL
- W
H
Moreirense
3–2
xG 2.53–1.71
PRT PL
- W
A
Sporting Braga
1–0
xG 1.59–0.59
PRT PL
- L
H
Arouca
1–2
xG 2.83–0.86
PRT PL
- L
A
Porto
0–1
xG 0.12–1.98
PRT PL
- W
A
Casa Pia
2–0
xG 0.88–0.66
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting CP
1–4
xG 0.73–2.89
PRT PL
- D
A
Rio Ave
1–1
xG 1.23–2.04
PRT PL
- L
H
Gil Vicente
0–2
xG 1.2–0.81
PRT PL
All meetings · 13 matches since 2005
Goals 14–11 · 1.92 per match · BTTS 31% · over 2.5 23%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 10–8 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 20%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–5 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%
Recent meetings
- W Nacional 2–3 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 2–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estrela Amadora 1–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 0–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Estrela Amadora 2–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Estrela Amadora 1–0 Nacional neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 1–2 Estrela Amadora neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estrela Amadora 0–1 Nacional neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Nacional 0–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 1–0 Estrela Amadora neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Estrela Amadora all · 34 | Estrela Amadora at home · 17 | Nacional all · 34 | Nacional away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.88 | 1.06 | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 16 | 4 / 6 / 7 | 9 / 7 / 18 | 3 / 5 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.12 | 1.24 | 1.09 | 0.82 |
| Goals against / match | 1.65 | 1.41 | 1.32 | 1.29 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 29% | 24% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 44% | 41% | 32% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 41% | 47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 53% | 41% | 29% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.13 | 1.35 | 1.22 | 1.13 |
| xG against / match | 1.63 | 1.53 | 1.63 | 1.64 |
| xG difference | -0.50 | -0.18 | -0.41 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.02 | -0.11 | -0.13 | -0.30 |
| xPts / match | 1.07 | 1.26 | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.19 | -0.20 | -0.18 | -0.29 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 26% | 29% | 38% | 29% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.56 | 2.40 | 1.77 | 2.20 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.55 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 36% | 25% | 25% |
| Leads held | 50% | 67% | 56% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 15% | 17% | 19% | 17% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 50% | 53% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 32% | 27% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 40 | 44 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 32 | 42 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 48% | 60% | 43% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 58% | 60% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 50% | 46% | 44% |
| Shots | 10.8 | 13.0 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 55% | 54% | 58% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 41% | 39% | 41% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 14% | 19% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 8.9 | 11.0 | 8.3 | 6.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.4 | 46.1 | 36.7 | 32.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 81% | 76% | 75% |
| Fouls | 14.4 | 14.2 | 14.9 | 15.5 |
| Cards | 2.85 | 2.88 | 3.35 | 2.94 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Estrela Amadora
0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66
Nacional
0–15'48
16–30'43
31–45'77
46–60'67
61–75'88
76–90'812
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Estrela Amadora · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195
Game state
When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416
Situations
At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296
Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12
Nacional · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.246
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.284
Game state
When ahead-0.492
When level-0.226
When behind-0.185
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.334
Situations
At home-0.193
Away-0.283
4+ days rest-0.246
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.162
v bottom-tier opponents-0.262
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.283
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.126
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.136
Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level +0.03
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.07 | 2.09 |
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.89 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.55 | 1.6 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.49 |
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 18 53% | 1.0 | 0.83 | 1.11 | 1.0 | 1.73 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 26% | 0.89 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 1.32 | 1.58 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.22 | 1.28 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.81 | 2.04 |
| Metric | Estrela Amadora all · 10 | Estrela Amadora at home · 10 | Nacional all · 10 | Nacional away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.30 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 6 / 2 | 3 / 4 / 3 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.90 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% | 30% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 50% | 40% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 60% | 40% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | 1.13 | 1.24 | 0.91 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.56 | 1.78 | 2.09 |
| xG difference | -0.29 | -0.43 | -0.53 | -1.18 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.55 | 0.27 | -0.04 | -0.31 |
| xPts / match | 1.20 | 1.06 | 1.10 | 0.78 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.00 | 0.24 | -0.10 | -0.28 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 20% | 50% | 10% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.75 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.60 | 0.86 | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 57% | 14% | 22% |
| Leads held | 29% | 60% | 60% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 17% | 19% | 8% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 42% | 45% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 40% | 36% | 46% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 54 | 40 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 26 | 21 | 26 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 68% | 71% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 50% | 33% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 45% | 50% | 45% |
| Shots | 10.7 | 11.4 | 12.2 | 10.5 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 18% | 12% | 10% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 60% | 57% | 57% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 31% | 30% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 21% | 33% | 33% |
| Pressure index | 9.5 | 9.4 | 9.1 | 6.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.2 | 41.8 | 42.0 | 34.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 79% | 78% |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 13.9 | 11.3 | 13.1 |
| Cards | 3.20 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 2.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Estrela Amadora
0–15'24
16–30'11
31–45'33
46–60'44
61–75'53
76–90'44
Nacional
0–15'21
16–30'14
31–45'35
46–60'01
61–75'32
76–90'32
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.17 | 1.56 | 1.68 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.03 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.55 | 2.17 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.29 | 2.07 |
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.13 | 1.35 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Metric | Estrela Amadora all · 35 | Estrela Amadora at home · 17 | Nacional all · 35 | Nacional away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 17 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.06 | 1.29 | 0.97 | 0.65 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 13 / 14 | 5 / 7 / 5 | 9 / 7 / 19 | 2 / 5 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.47 | 1.14 | 0.76 |
| Goals against / match | 1.77 | 1.41 | 1.37 | 1.47 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 29% | 23% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 34% | 29% | 31% | 41% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 53% | 49% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 65% | 46% | 35% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.19 | 1.24 | 1.26 | 1.11 |
| xG against / match | 1.63 | 1.52 | 1.67 | 1.78 |
| xG difference | -0.44 | -0.28 | -0.41 | -0.67 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.23 | -0.12 | -0.35 |
| xPts / match | 1.13 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.07 | 0.09 | -0.22 | -0.41 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 31% | 29% | 37% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.45 | 2.40 | 1.77 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.85 | 0.80 | 0.48 | 0.23 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 54% | 24% | 23% |
| Leads held | 47% | 62% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 20% | 18% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 46% | 55% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 34% | 28% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 44 | 44 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 26 | 40 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 56% | 62% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 62% | 54% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.06 | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 48% | 48% | 45% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 12.3 | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| On target | 3.9 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 9% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 58% | 58% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 32% | 39% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 16% | 18% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 9.7 | 11.1 | 9.0 | 7.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.9 | 43.9 | 39.7 | 34.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 13.8 | 13.4 | 13.8 |
| Cards | 2.83 | 2.71 | 2.89 | 2.41 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Estrela Amadora
0–15'512
16–30'75
31–45'98
46–60'816
61–75'1214
76–90'87
Nacional
0–15'48
16–30'45
31–45'79
46–60'67
61–75'109
76–90'910
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Estrela Amadora · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: against ten men +0.42
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1035
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1835
Late push (76+, level)-0.0715
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0813
Game state
When ahead+0.0017
When level-0.1935
When behind-0.0125
10 min after conceding-0.2828
10 min after scoring+0.2123
Situations
With ten men-0.204
Against ten men+0.424
At home-0.1017
Away-0.1018
4+ days rest-0.1035
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.299
v mid-tier opponents-0.257
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0411
As favourite+0.352
Evenly matched+0.1012
As underdog-0.2421
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2235
Conceded when ahead+0.1317
Conceded late (76+)+0.0330
Ahead vs level +0.19 · Behind vs level +0.18
Nacional · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0035
Late push (76+, level)-0.1215
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1718
Game state
When ahead-0.3716
When level-0.1035
When behind-0.1225
10 min after conceding-0.1827
10 min after scoring+0.0424
Situations
With ten men-0.105
Against ten men-0.073
At home-0.1318
Away-0.1817
4+ days rest-0.1535
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.437
v mid-tier opponents-0.209
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0411
As favourite-0.056
Evenly matched-0.0515
As underdog-0.3114
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2735
Conceded when ahead+0.4616
Conceded late (76+)+0.0533
Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.01
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 40% | 0.93 | 1.5 | 2.21 | 1.16 | 1.92 |
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 17% | 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.33 | 1.48 | 0.94 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.49 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.91 | 0.76 |
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 13 37% | 1.08 | 0.85 | 0.92 | 1.07 | 1.75 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.41 | 1.57 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.24 | 1.15 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.25Home 42% P 42%3.2Draw 29% P 30%3.25Away 29% P 28%
Double Chance
1.36Estrela Amadora or Draw 35% P 36%1.36Estrela Amadora or Nacional 35% P 35%1.57Draw or Nacional 30% P 29%
Draw No Bet
1.661 56%2.12 44%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48% P 49%1.8No 52% P 51%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.25Over 42% P 42%1.61Under 58% P 58%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 42% | 41% | 42% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 27% | -2.4 |
| Away | 28% | 29% | 31% | +1.9 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%
Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49% | 49% | 49% | +0.0 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 41% | 41% | -0.4 |
Fabio Verssimo
- Career
- 18 matches · 2 seasons
- Cards / match
- 6.17 (6.11 yellow · 0.0 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.9 · 4.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.5
- Cards to home side
- 53%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 20 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.7 | 5.66 | +0.08 | 42 |
| Fouls / match | 25.6 | 27.9 | -1.16 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.5 | 4.9 | -0.71 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.4 | 0.37 | +0.29 | 58 |
| Time added | 6.5 | 7.7 | -1.27 | 9 |
- First card
- 24' on average
- Card timing
- 22% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 19' | 6 |
| 2025-09-29 | 8 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 3' | 6 |
| 2024-12-09 · Estrela Amadora | 6 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 6' | 9 |