Rating 7.0 (87th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12
Momentum
– NacionalBenfica –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Nacional | at home | Stat | league | away | Benfica |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.1 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 57.8 #3 |
| 12.6 #6 | – | Shots total | 12.1 | – | 17.0 #2 |
| 4.2 #7 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 6.0 #2 |
| 4.4 #9 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 7.2 #1 |
| 14.8 #4 | – | Fouls | 13.7 | – | 11.0 #18 |
| 1.4 #13 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.5 #6 |
| 16.2 #5 | – | Tackles | 15.6 | – | 16.5 #4 |
| 90.6 #7 | – | Attacks | 90.3 | – | 113.5 #2 |
| 37.9 #11 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.1 | – | 63.3 #1 |
| 332.8 #16 | – | Passes | 405.0 | – | 480.1 #3 |
| 3.2 #2 | – | Yellowcards | 2.6 | – | 2.0 #18 |
| 0.1 #10 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 0.7 #14 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.4 #2 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 48.0 | – | – #1 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 29.2 | – | – #4 |
| – #13 | – | Draw | 27.1 | – | – #5 |
| 1.2 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 2.2 #1 |
| -0.1 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.0 #10 |
| – #8 | – | Failed to score | 29.2 | – | – #16 |
| 1.1 #11 | 1.4 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.2 #2 |
| 1.3 #11 | 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 #16 |
| 0.3 #3 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.4 #1 |
| 9.2 #6 | – | Interceptions | 8.6 | – | 8.3 #13 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 36.4 | – | – #18 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.4 #2 |
| 6.8 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #2 |
| 3.1 #9 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 4.7 #1 |
| 7.4 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.4 | – | 11.4 #2 |
| 5.3 #6 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 6.3 #2 |
| 5.2 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.6 | – | 5.6 #4 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 36.4 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 5.01 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Nacional · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.85 (69th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (14% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Rating 7.04 (89th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (11% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 0.86 without (7)
Benfica · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.22 (95th pct) · G+A 24 + 4 (38% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 7.27 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (9% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 2.31 ppg with (26) · 2.5 without (8)
Rating 7.04 (88th pct) · G+A 7 + 6 (18% of team goals) · 57% of minutes
Team 2.4 ppg with (20) · 2.29 without (14)
Absences
Nacional
- injury Filipe Soares #8 key player midfielder · Unknown Injury · 18 missed · until 2026-03-16
Benfica
- injury Alexander Bah #15 key player defender · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 33 missed · until 2026-02-14
- injury Dodi Lukébakio #10 key player attacker · Broken Ankle · 17 missed · until 2026-02-09
- injury Henrique Araújo attacker · Muscle Injury · 16 missed · until 2026-02-10
- injury Richard Ríos midfielder · Unknown Injury · 152 missed
- suspension Bruma attacker · Red Card Suspension
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 12
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
- Capacity
- 5,132
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 4,826
Teams
- Coaches
- Tiago Carvalho Margarido · José Mourinho
- Position
- 10 · 3
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Iancu Ioan Vasilica
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 14.1° (feels 13.8°)
- Wind
- 5.1
- Humidity
- 86%
Where to watch · 22
Austria
Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Brazil
Claro TV+ · Disney+ Premium Brazil · Sky+ · Vivo Play · Zapping
Cyprus
Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision Sports 7
France
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · Free
Germany
Sportdigital FUSSBALL- International Bet365
Italy
DAZN Italia
Liechtenstein
Blue Sport
North Macedonia
MaxTV Go
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
Switzerland
Blue Sport · Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Ukraine
Megogo · MEGOGO Football 2
United States
fuboTV
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP |
34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Benfica |
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | WLDDD |
| 5 |  Famalicão |
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente |
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LWDLL |
| 7 |  Moreirense |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Arouca |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Vitória Guimarães |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Estoril |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LLDDL |
| 11 |  Alverca |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LWLDL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave |
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Nacional |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WWLLW |
| 15 |  Estrela Amadora |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Tondela |
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 18 |  AVS |
34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 45 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Famalicão |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 31 | DWDDW |
| 5 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 30 | WLDDD |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 | LWDLL |
| 7 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Moreirense |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Alverca |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Arouca |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Estoril |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 23 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Santa Clara |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 | DWDWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 18 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | DLDLD |
| 17 | Tondela |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | LDWWL |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 43 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 25 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 5 | Famalicão |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 6 | Rio Ave |
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 | DLDLD |
| 7 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 8 | Arouca |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Estoril |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Casa Pia |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Tondela |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 14 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Santa Clara |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 | DWDWL |
| 16 | Alverca |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 9 | DDWWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Nacional
WWDLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 7.51–7.84 · xPts 6.7
- D
A
Estrela Amadora
1–1
xG 1.65–2.17
PRT PL
- L
H
Famalicão
0–1
xG 0.37–1.76
PRT PL
- D
A
Estoril
1–1
xG 1.37–1.61
PRT PL
- W
H
Moreirense
3–2
xG 2.53–1.71
PRT PL
- W
A
Sporting Braga
1–0
xG 1.59–0.59
PRT PL
DLWLLWWDLD 3W 3D 4L · 12 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 13 · xG 13.3–16.26 · xPts 12.1
- D
A
Estrela Amadora
1–1
xG 1.65–2.17
PRT PL
- L
H
Famalicão
0–1
xG 0.37–1.76
PRT PL
- D
A
Estoril
1–1
xG 1.37–1.61
PRT PL
- W
H
Moreirense
3–2
xG 2.53–1.71
PRT PL
- W
A
Sporting Braga
1–0
xG 1.59–0.59
PRT PL
- L
H
Arouca
1–2
xG 2.83–0.86
PRT PL
- L
A
Porto
0–1
xG 0.12–1.98
PRT PL
- W
A
Casa Pia
2–0
xG 0.88–0.66
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting CP
1–4
xG 0.73–2.89
PRT PL
- D
A
Rio Ave
1–1
xG 1.23–2.04
PRT PL
Benfica
WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 11.97–3.55 · xPts 11.14
- W
A
Ajax
2–0
xG 0.92–0.76
UEFA CL - D
H
Casa Pia
2–2
xG 2.17–1.27
PRT PL
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–1
xG 1.88–0.64
UEFA CL - W
A
Vitória Guimarães
3–0
xG 2.5–0.47
PRT PL
- W
H
Arouca
5–0
xG 4.49–0.4
PRT PL
DWLDLWWLDW 4W 3D 3L · 15 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 15 GA 9 · xG 17.55–9.49 · xPts 17.61
- W
A
Ajax
2–0
xG 0.92–0.76
UEFA CL
- D
H
Casa Pia
2–2
xG 2.17–1.27
PRT PL
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–1
xG 1.88–0.64
UEFA CL
- W
A
Vitória Guimarães
3–0
xG 2.5–0.47
PRT PL
- W
H
Arouca
5–0
xG 4.49–0.4
PRT PL
- L
A
Newcastle United
0–3
xG 0.31–2.34
UEFA CL - D
A
Porto
0–0
xG 0.13–1.04
PRT PL
- L
A
Chelsea
0–1
xG 1.2–0.77
UEFA CL - W
H
Gil Vicente
2–1
xG 1.5–1.57
PRT PL
- D
H
Rio Ave
1–1
xG 2.43–0.22
PRT PL
All meetings · 32 matches since 2005
Goals 22–84 · 3.31 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 62%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 4–33 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 2–12 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Benfica 2–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 1–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Benfica 3–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 0–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 1–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Benfica 1–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Benfica 10–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 0–4 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Benfica 3–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 1–3 Benfica neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Nacional all · 34 | Nacional at home · 17 | Benfica all · 34 | Benfica away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.18 | 2.35 | 2.41 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 18 | 6 / 2 / 9 | 23 / 11 / 0 | 12 / 5 / 0 |
| Goals for / match | 1.09 | 1.35 | 2.18 | 1.94 |
| Goals against / match | 1.32 | 1.35 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 29% | 41% | 41% |
| Failed to score | 32% | 29% | 6% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 47% | 59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 53% | 71% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.22 | 1.31 | 2.21 | 1.99 |
| xG against / match | 1.63 | 1.63 | 0.88 | 1.09 |
| xG difference | -0.41 | -0.32 | 1.33 | 0.91 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | 0.04 | -0.03 | -0.05 |
| xPts / match | 1.18 | 1.24 | 2.12 | 1.91 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.18 | -0.07 | 0.23 | 0.50 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 38% | 47% | 79% | 76% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.77 | 1.50 | 2.48 | 2.54 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.88 | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 25% | 100% | 100% |
| Leads held | 56% | 54% | 77% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 22% | 48% | 42% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 53% | 46% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 24% | 6% | 5% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 40 | 33 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 38 | 51 | 60 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 70% | 49% | 52% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 61% | 60% | 75% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| Late goals against | 0.35 | 0.47 | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 58% | 57% |
| Shots | 12.6 | 12.5 | 17.0 | 15.9 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 5.1 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 11% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 59% | 67% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 4.8 | 7.2 | 6.9 |
| xG from set plays | 41% | 54% | 32% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 17% | 16% | 24% |
| Pressure index | 8.3 | 9.8 | 23.8 | 21.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 36.7 | 41.1 | 67.7 | 61.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 84% | 83% |
| Fouls | 14.9 | 14.2 | 11.0 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 3.35 | 3.76 | 2.15 | 2.47 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nacional
0–15'48
16–30'43
31–45'77
46–60'67
61–75'88
76–90'812
Benfica
0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nacional · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.246
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.284
Game state
When ahead-0.492
When level-0.226
When behind-0.185
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.334
Situations
At home-0.193
Away-0.283
4+ days rest-0.246
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.162
v bottom-tier opponents-0.262
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.283
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.126
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.136
Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level +0.03
Benfica · 13 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122
Game state
When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513
Situations
At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 18 53% | 1.0 | 0.83 | 1.11 | 1.0 | 1.73 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 26% | 0.89 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 1.32 | 1.58 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.22 | 1.28 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.81 | 2.04 |
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 85% | 2.38 | 2.24 | 0.79 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 9% | 2.33 | 1.67 | 0.33 | 2.18 | 0.94 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.51 | 0.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.43 | 0.22 |
| Metric | Nacional all · 10 | Nacional at home · 10 | Benfica all · 10 | Benfica away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 | 2.60 | 2.30 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 6 | 4 / 0 / 6 | 8 / 2 / 0 | 7 / 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.20 | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 80% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.27 | 2.39 | 2.01 |
| xG against / match | 1.78 | 1.37 | 0.60 | 1.04 |
| xG difference | -0.53 | -0.10 | 1.79 | 0.97 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.04 | -0.07 | 0.61 | 0.99 |
| xPts / match | 1.10 | 1.35 | 2.33 | 1.97 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.10 | -0.16 | 0.27 | 0.59 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 60% | 80% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.80 | 2.00 | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 14% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Leads held | 60% | 67% | 89% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 24% | 62% | 62% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 48% | 36% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 36% | 28% | 3% | 2% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 44 | 25 | 26 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 26 | 30 | 53 | 67 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 75% | 60% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | 42% | 71% | 88% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 51% | 62% | 55% |
| Shots | 12.2 | 13.8 | 20.0 | 15.3 |
| On target | 3.3 | 4.1 | 7.7 | 6.0 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 9% | 15% | 18% |
| Shots inside box | 57% | 59% | 74% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 27% | 31% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 17% | 4% | 4% |
| Pressure index | 9.1 | 10.2 | 22.9 | 16.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.0 | 44.6 | 71.4 | 55.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 78% | 88% | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 13.0 | 12.2 | 12.0 |
| Cards | 2.10 | 3.10 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nacional
0–15'21
16–30'14
31–45'35
46–60'01
61–75'32
76–90'32
Benfica
0–15'51
16–30'30
31–45'41
46–60'102
61–75'41
76–90'42
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.13 | 1.35 |
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.63 | 2.16 | 0.63 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.32 | 0.51 |
| Metric | Nacional all · 35 | Nacional at home · 18 | Benfica all · 52 | Benfica away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 52 | 27 |
| Points per game | 0.97 | 1.28 | 2.13 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 19 | 7 / 2 / 9 | 33 / 12 / 7 | 16 / 6 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.14 | 1.50 | 2.27 | 2.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.37 | 1.28 | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Clean sheets | 23% | 33% | 36% | 41% |
| Failed to score | 31% | 22% | 14% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 50% | 54% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 56% | 69% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.26 | 1.41 | 2.18 | 1.82 |
| xG against / match | 1.67 | 1.57 | 0.87 | 0.99 |
| xG difference | -0.41 | -0.16 | 1.31 | 0.83 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.12 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 0.22 |
| xPts / match | 1.19 | 1.32 | 2.09 | 1.88 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.22 | -0.04 | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 37% | 50% | 69% | 67% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.77 | 1.67 | 2.53 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.48 | 0.88 | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 24% | 25% | 59% | 44% |
| Leads held | 56% | 58% | 80% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 22% | 47% | 40% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 55% | 43% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 23% | 10% | 11% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 44 | 29 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 37 | 47 | 50 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 74% | 52% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 52% | 62% | 70% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.39 | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 50% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 13.3 | 17.3 | 15.5 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 57% | 68% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 4.3 | 7.0 | 6.6 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 44% | 32% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 18% | 15% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 9.0 | 10.7 | 20.4 | 18.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.7 | 44.4 | 63.1 | 56.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 78% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 13.4 | 13.1 | 10.6 | 10.3 |
| Cards | 2.89 | 3.33 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nacional
0–15'48
16–30'45
31–45'79
46–60'67
61–75'109
76–90'910
Benfica
0–15'185
16–30'205
31–45'187
46–60'259
61–75'138
76–90'2411
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nacional · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0035
Late push (76+, level)-0.1215
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1718
Game state
When ahead-0.3716
When level-0.1035
When behind-0.1225
10 min after conceding-0.1827
10 min after scoring+0.0424
Situations
With ten men-0.105
Against ten men-0.073
At home-0.1318
Away-0.1817
4+ days rest-0.1535
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.437
v mid-tier opponents-0.209
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0411
As favourite-0.056
Evenly matched-0.0515
As underdog-0.3114
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2735
Conceded when ahead+0.4616
Conceded late (76+)+0.0533
Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.01
Benfica · 52 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.96
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4852
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3152
Late push (76+, level)+0.7719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0311
Game state
When ahead+0.3841
When level+0.6252
When behind+0.2217
10 min after conceding+0.1132
10 min after scoring+0.7145
Situations
With ten men-0.164
Against ten men+0.295
At home+0.4925
Away+0.4627
3 days rest or fewer+0.356
4+ days rest+0.4946
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0615
v mid-tier opponents+0.388
v bottom-tier opponents+0.9613
As favourite+0.6641
Evenly matched-0.044
As underdog-0.187
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1952
Conceded when ahead-0.1641
Conceded late (76+)-0.3842
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.41
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 13 37% | 1.08 | 0.85 | 0.92 | 1.07 | 1.75 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.41 | 1.57 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.24 | 1.15 |
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 46 88% | 2.2 | 2.35 | 0.83 | 2.18 | 0.87 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.32 | 0.51 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.82 | 0.5 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.51 | 0.78 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.31 | 2.34 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
8.0Home 12% P 12%5.0Draw 19% P 18%1.36Away 69% P 70%
Double Chance
2.62Nacional or Draw 18% P 15%1.18Nacional or Benfica 40% P 41%1.11Draw or Benfica 42% P 44%
Draw No Bet
5.51 17%1.142 83%
Both Teams To Score
2.0Yes 47% P 44%1.75No 53% P 56%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.85Over 51% P 53%1.95Under 49% P 47%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 10–12.5% · away 70–72.5% · 229 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12% | 11% | 9% | -1.9 |
| Draw | 18% | 18% | 15% | -2.9 |
| Away | 70% | 71% | 76% | +4.8 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%
Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44% | 44% | 48% | +4.3 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 54% | 55% | +0.8 |
Iancu Ioan Vasilica
- Career
- 60 matches · 6 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.48 (4.25 yellow · 0.13 red)
- Fouls / match
- 29.6 · 6.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.27
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 39 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.08 | 5.66 | -1.98 | 0 |
| Fouls / match | 27.6 | 27.8 | -0.13 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.9 | 4.9 | +2.31 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.2 | 0.37 | -1.09 | 12 |
| Time added | 8.2 | 7.7 | +0.71 | 79 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.23
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-04 | 8 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 17' | 11 |
| 2025-04-19 · Nacional | 3 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 25' | 6 |
| 2025-04-07 | 6 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 20' | 13 |
| 2025-03-15 | 4 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 18' | 6 |
| 2025-02-10 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 57' | 8 |
| 2025-02-01 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 2 | 12' | 9 |
| 2025-01-25 · Nacional | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 18' | 8 |
| 2025-01-19 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 79' | 6 |
| 2024-12-23 | 7 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 51' | 8 |
| 2024-11-30 · Nacional | 3 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 11' | 6 |