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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12

Momentum

Sporting CPCFEA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
Capacity
52,095
Surface
grass
Attendance
43,722

Teams

Coaches
Rui Borges · João Nuno
Position
2 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Anzhony Francisco Gonçalves Rodrigues

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
11.8° (feels 10.9°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
69%

Where to watch · 17

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting CP

WWDWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 2 · xG 9.86–3.55 · xPts 10.32

  • W H Club Brugge 3–0 xG 2.14–0.62 UEFA CL
  • W A Santa Clara 2–1 xG 1.6–0.53 PRT PL
  • D A Juventus 1–1 xG 0.2–1.45 UEFA CL
  • W H Alverca 2–0 xG 2.85–0.31 PRT PL
  • W A Tondela 3–0 xG 3.07–0.63 PRT PL

Estrela Amadora

WLLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 8.18–6.79 · xPts 7.94

  • D H Nacional 1–1 xG 2.17–1.65 PRT PL
  • W A Casa Pia 5–3 xG 2.3–1.2 PRT PL
  • L H Rio Ave 1–2 xG 0.83–0.66 PRT PL
  • L A Gil Vicente 0–2 xG 0.89–2.59 PRT PL
  • W H AVS 3–0 xG 2.0–0.7 PRT PL

All meetings · 15 matches since 2005

Sporting CP 122 draws1 Estrela Amadora

Goals 33–10 · 2.87 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting CP 91 draws0 Estrela Amadora

Goals 27–8 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting CP 41 draws0 Estrela Amadora

Goals 15–3 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Estrela Amadora 2–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 0–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 4–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 0–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 5–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 1–2 Sporting CP neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 3–2 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 2–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 1–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 2–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting CP all · 34Sporting CP at home · 17Estrela Amadora all · 34Estrela Amadora away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.412.410.880.71
W / D / L25 / 7 / 213 / 2 / 26 / 12 / 162 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match2.623.001.121.00
Goals against / match0.710.651.651.88
Clean sheets44%59%24%18%
Failed to score0%0%44%47%
Both teams scored56%41%47%53%
Over 2.571%82%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.092.291.130.92
xG against / match0.820.741.631.74
xG difference1.271.55-0.50-0.82
Finishing vs xG0.530.71-0.020.08
xPts / match2.122.251.070.89
Points vs xPts0.300.16-0.19-0.19
Game state
Scored first76%82%26%24%
PPG when scoring first2.542.711.560.50
PPG when conceding first2.001.000.550.70
Came back from behind75%33%33%31%
Leads held81%87%50%33%
Minutes leading45%50%15%13%
Minutes level48%44%52%53%
Minutes trailing7%6%33%34%
First goal (min)39424039
First goal conceded (min)50623333
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%50%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%55%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.650.710.180.18
Late goals against0.320.410.180.29
Style
Possession62%61%47%43%
Shots17.619.110.88.6
On target6.87.53.63.2
Shot conversion15%16%10%12%
Shots inside box68%70%55%56%
Big chances created3.63.82.01.5
Corners6.96.23.33.1
xG from set plays24%24%41%43%
Goals from headers16%16%13%12%
Pressure index24.626.78.96.7
Dominant minutes69.670.538.430.6
Pass accuracy88%88%79%78%
Fouls12.212.114.414.5
Cards2.181.532.852.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-310 29%1.51.61.61.281.78
4-2-3-110 29%0.71.22.31.072.09
4-3-34 12%0.751.01.01.40.89
5-3-23 9%0.330.671.671.551.6
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.781.49

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.14Home 81% P 85%7.5Draw 12% P 10%15.0Away 6% P 5%

Double Chance

1.03Sporting or Draw 47% P 47%1.1Sporting or Estrela Amadora 44% P 45%5.5Draw or Estrela Amadora 9% P 8%

Draw No Bet

1.041 93%13.02 7%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 39%1.61No 58% P 61%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 65% P 66%2.7Under 35% P 34%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 85–87.5% · away 2.5–5% · 296 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home85%86%88%+1.6
Draw10%10%9%-0.8
Away5%4%3%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 72%

Both teams to score · yes 37.5–40% · 337 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes39%39%41%+2.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.566%66%69%+3.2

Anzhony Francisco Gonçalves Rodrigues

Career
23 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.22 (4.09 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
26.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.48
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.095.66-1.963
Fouls / match26.627.9-0.67
Fouls per card6.54.9+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.50.37+0.9985
Time added6.97.7-0.8018
First card
37' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-19 30 290 25'6
2025-08-30 61 340 44'6
2025-08-23 40 220 25'7
2025-08-11 · Estrela Amadora 50 290 25'11
2025-03-16 10 281 35'8
2025-02-17 40 300 47'5
2025-01-27 40 270 36'4
2025-01-05 · Estrela Amadora 30 380 48'7
2024-12-20 50 210 18'6