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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 32

Momentum

NantesOM
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
Capacity
37,473
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,308

Teams

Coaches
Vahid Halilhodžić · Habib Beye
Position
17 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Jérémie Pignard

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
19.5° (feels 19.6°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nantes

DDDLL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 6 · xG 6.15–6.59 · xPts 6.81

  • L A Rennes 1–2 xG 2.08–1.5 FRA L1
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–3 xG 1.2–2.09 FRA L1
  • D H Brest 1–1 xG 0.95–0.32 FRA L1
  • D A Auxerre 0–0 xG 1.16–0.66 FRA L1
  • D A Metz 0–0 xG 0.77–2.01 FRA L1

Olympique Marseille

LLWLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 9.0–5.12 · xPts 9.25

  • D H Nice 1–1 xG 1.81–1.38 FRA L1
  • L A Lorient 0–2 xG 2.04–1.24 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 3–1 xG 2.39–0.33 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 1–2 xG 1.92–0.93 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 1–2 xG 0.84–1.24 FRA L1

All meetings · 32 matches since 2005

Nantes 98 draws15 Olympique Marseille

Goals 34–43 · 2.41 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 41%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nantes 21 draws7 Olympique Marseille

Goals 10–15 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nantes 20 draws3 Olympique Marseille

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Nantes 3–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 0–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 2–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 1–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 2–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 1–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 0–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 2–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 3–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 0–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNantes all · 33Nantes at home · 16Olympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille away · 17
Results
Matches33163417
Points per game0.700.751.741.29
W / D / L5 / 8 / 203 / 3 / 1018 / 5 / 117 / 1 / 9
Goals for / match0.881.131.851.29
Goals against / match1.581.691.321.47
Clean sheets21%19%26%24%
Failed to score42%31%24%41%
Both teams scored46%50%50%35%
Over 2.546%44%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.101.221.701.61
xG against / match1.491.401.201.35
xG difference-0.38-0.190.490.25
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.090.16-0.31
xPts / match1.131.271.691.55
Points vs xPts-0.44-0.520.04-0.26
Game state
Scored first27%31%59%47%
PPG when scoring first2.002.002.402.38
PPG when conceding first0.100.180.790.33
Came back from behind9%17%31%10%
Leads held56%60%72%78%
Minutes leading19%25%38%28%
Minutes level50%40%41%43%
Minutes trailing30%36%21%29%
First goal (min)37353638
First goal conceded (min)43394647
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%50%59%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%69%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.190.500.29
Late goals against0.580.630.440.29
Style
Possession42%44%57%56%
Shots11.312.115.114.4
On target3.33.55.75.1
Shot conversion8%9%12%9%
Shots inside box65%63%64%64%
Big chances created1.82.13.02.6
Corners3.74.05.24.8
xG from set plays36%34%26%26%
Goals from headers14%11%10%4%
Pressure index8.28.317.615.8
Dominant minutes36.237.358.355.6
Pass accuracy78%78%87%87%
Fouls12.712.512.712.5
Cards2.122.062.532.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
5-4-11 3%0.00.05.00.843.03
3-5-1-11 3%1.01.01.01.811.38

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.5Home 21% P 26%4.0Draw 24% P 25%1.72Away 55% P 49%

Double Chance

2.0Nantes or Draw 23%1.22Nantes or Marseille 38%1.22Draw or Marseille 38%

Draw No Bet

3.41 28%1.32 72%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
5.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%24%-2.2
Draw25%25%27%+1.9
Away49%49%49%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Jérémie Pignard

Career
139 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.65 (4.34 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.734.06+1.3192
Fouls / match23.224.3-0.51
Fouls per card4.96.0-1.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.510.36+1.3796
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
31' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-17 21 240 17'9
2026-03-14 30 170 36'5
2026-03-07 30 210 11'9
2026-02-22 · Nantes 70 301 14'8
2026-02-07 61 300 32'8
2026-01-31 · Olympique Marseille 50 272 43'8
2026-01-18 50 241 25'6
2025-12-14 74 311 17'9
2025-12-11 50 170 7'6
2025-11-21 · Olympique Marseille 40 190 14'6