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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15

Momentum

CFEAMoreirense
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Capacity
9,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,614

Teams

Coaches
João Nuno · Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Position
14 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Luis Claudio Pereira dos Santos

Weather

Conditions
light intensity shower rain
Temperature
11.5° (feels 10.9°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estrela Amadora

WDLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 12 · xG 7.21–8.81 · xPts 6.44

  • L A Porto 1–3 xG 0.26–3.49 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 3–1 xG 2.32–0.85 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 0–4 xG 0.17–1.62 PRT PL
  • D H Nacional 1–1 xG 2.17–1.65 PRT PL
  • W A Casa Pia 5–3 xG 2.3–1.2 PRT PL

Moreirense

WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 11 · xG 5.48–7.05 · xPts 6.05

  • L H Benfica 0–4 xG 0.66–0.96 PRT PL
  • D A Estoril 3–3 xG 1.44–0.71 PRT PL
  • D H Famalicão 2–2 xG 1.25–2.07 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 1–2 xG 1.08–2.56 PRT PL
  • W A Arouca 2–0 xG 1.06–0.76 PRT PL

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

Estrela Amadora 13 draws2 Moreirense

Goals 7–8 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Estrela Amadora 13 draws2 Moreirense

Goals 7–8 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estrela Amadora 13 draws1 Moreirense

Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Moreirense 3–2 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estrela Amadora 0–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 1–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 2–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 2–2 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estrela Amadora 0–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricEstrela Amadora all · 34Estrela Amadora at home · 17Moreirense all · 34Moreirense away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.881.061.260.94
W / D / L6 / 12 / 164 / 6 / 712 / 7 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match1.121.241.091.00
Goals against / match1.651.411.441.65
Clean sheets24%29%26%24%
Failed to score44%41%32%35%
Both teams scored47%41%47%47%
Over 2.553%53%50%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.131.350.910.88
xG against / match1.631.531.541.74
xG difference-0.50-0.18-0.63-0.85
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.110.180.12
xPts / match1.071.261.020.93
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.200.250.01
Game state
Scored first26%29%44%41%
PPG when scoring first1.562.402.202.00
PPG when conceding first0.550.400.470.11
Came back from behind33%36%25%18%
Leads held50%67%71%57%
Minutes leading15%17%22%26%
Minutes level52%50%52%43%
Minutes trailing33%32%26%31%
First goal (min)40403526
First goal conceded (min)33324038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%48%60%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.180.12
Late goals against0.180.060.350.47
Style
Possession47%50%50%49%
Shots10.813.08.98.5
On target3.63.93.23.4
Shot conversion10%10%12%12%
Shots inside box55%54%59%60%
Big chances created2.02.51.72.1
Corners3.33.63.63.3
xG from set plays41%39%27%24%
Goals from headers13%14%24%18%
Pressure index8.911.010.611.0
Dominant minutes38.446.142.938.5
Pass accuracy79%81%83%82%
Fouls14.414.213.914.1
Cards2.852.882.712.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-310 29%1.51.61.61.281.78
4-2-3-110 29%0.71.22.31.072.09
4-3-34 12%0.751.01.01.40.89
5-3-23 9%0.330.671.671.551.6
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.781.49

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.04.00.660.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 34% P 34%2.9Draw 33% P 32%2.8Away 34% P 34%

Double Chance

1.44Estrela Amadora or Draw 33% P 33%1.4Estrela Amadora or Moreirense 34% P 34%1.4Draw or Moreirense 34% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 49%1.75No 53% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 39%1.5Under 62% P 61%

Total Corners

5.0Under 6 17%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%7.012 - 14 12%17.0Over 14 5%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%36%+2.3
Draw32%32%29%-3.3
Away34%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.539%39%39%+0.7

Luis Claudio Pereira dos Santos

Career
11 matches · 1 seasons
Cards / match
5.64 (5.55 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
30.2 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
52%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 16 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.815.66-1.0518
Fouls / match28.627.9+0.39
Fouls per card6.04.9+1.08 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.120.37-1.656
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
41' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-06 40 290 33'9
2025-11-29 20 301 29'11
2025-11-07 40 220 17'6
2025-11-01 101 330 25'9
2025-10-05 90 321 39'9
2025-09-28 90 340 16'12
2025-01-25 · Estrela Amadora 40 290 62'7
2024-12-27 10 320 82'4
2024-12-21 30 230 42'3