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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16

Momentum

SCBBenfica
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Capacity
30,286
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,314

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Vicens · José Mourinho
Position
5 · 3
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
11.3° (feels 10.4°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
73%

Where to watch · 18

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting Braga

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 2 · xG 9.48–4.99 · xPts 9.42

  • L A Estoril 0–1 xG 2.26–1.45 PRT PL
  • W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 0.75–0.34 PRT PL
  • W A Nice 1–0 xG 0.87–1.37 UEFA EL
  • W A Famalicão 2–1 xG 2.95–1.73 PRT PL
  • W A Arouca 4–0 xG 2.65–0.11 PRT PL

Benfica

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 2 · xG 8.04–2.5 · xPts 10.68

  • W H Famalicão 1–0 xG 1.21–0.19 PRT PL
  • W A Moreirense 4–0 xG 0.96–0.66 PRT PL
  • W H Napoli 2–0 xG 1.76–0.81 UEFA CL
  • D H Sporting CP 1–1 xG 1.57–0.41 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 2–1 xG 2.53–0.44 PRT PL

All meetings · 44 matches since 2005

Sporting Braga 118 draws25 Benfica

Goals 47–80 · 2.89 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting Braga 33 draws4 Benfica

Goals 15–19 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting Braga 13 draws1 Benfica

Goals 8–9 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Benfica 2–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting Braga 2–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting Braga 1–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 1–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 3–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 0–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 1–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 3–0 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 3–2 Benfica neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 6–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga at home · 17Benfica all · 34Benfica away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.741.762.352.41
W / D / L16 / 11 / 78 / 6 / 323 / 11 / 012 / 5 / 0
Goals for / match1.882.002.181.94
Goals against / match1.061.060.740.71
Clean sheets35%35%41%41%
Failed to score9%12%6%12%
Both teams scored56%53%59%59%
Over 2.568%71%71%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.671.642.211.99
xG against / match1.060.810.881.09
xG difference0.610.831.330.91
Finishing vs xG0.210.36-0.03-0.05
xPts / match1.751.892.121.91
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.120.230.50
Game state
Scored first71%71%79%76%
PPG when scoring first2.212.252.482.54
PPG when conceding first0.600.602.203.00
Came back from behind53%62%100%100%
Leads held59%57%77%80%
Minutes leading39%42%48%42%
Minutes level44%39%46%53%
Minutes trailing17%19%6%5%
First goal (min)29253336
First goal conceded (min)40385160
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%41%49%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%44%60%75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.410.470.35
Late goals against0.240.240.240.24
Style
Possession63%62%58%57%
Shots11.711.017.015.9
On target4.74.36.05.1
Shot conversion16%18%13%12%
Shots inside box67%66%67%66%
Big chances created2.72.73.33.2
Corners5.35.37.26.9
xG from set plays46%50%32%28%
Goals from headers14%15%16%24%
Pressure index21.319.823.821.4
Dominant minutes64.964.567.761.7
Pass accuracy87%87%84%83%
Fouls11.711.611.010.9
Cards2.442.242.152.47

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Benfica

0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-2-3-11 3%1.02.02.02.211.24

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%2.382.240.792.20.9
4-4-23 9%2.331.670.332.180.94
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.00.02.510.78
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.02.430.22

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.75Home 25% P 26%3.1Draw 30% P 29%2.1Away 45% P 46%

Double Chance

1.7Braga or Draw 28% P 27%1.36Braga or Benfica 35% P 36%1.25Draw or Benfica 38% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 50%1.9No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.15Over 44% P 44%1.66Under 56% P 56%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%26%-0.3
Draw29%28%28%+0.2
Away46%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Career
75 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.87 (5.36 yellow · 0.23 red)
Fouls / match
26.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.935.66+0.3755
Fouls / match27.027.9-0.44
Fouls per card4.64.9-0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.37+0.2252
Time added8.77.7+1.3094
First card
26' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.15

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-21 11 210 57'10
2025-12-07 62 260 28'12
2025-11-08 133 230 1'8
2025-10-27 50 281 43'15
2025-10-04 90 280 13'10
2025-09-26 · Benfica 71 341 51'14
2025-09-20 42 282 5'12
2025-08-30 80 230 17'9
2025-08-24 · Sporting Braga 50 211 37'11
2025-07-17 82 211 7'6