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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16

Momentum

FamalicãoCFEA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
Capacity
5,307
Surface
grass
Attendance
3,989

Teams

Coaches
Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira · João Nuno
Position
6 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
6.8° (feels 4.6°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 10

  • Brazil Claro TV+ · Sky+ · Vivo Play
  • International Bet365
  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Switzerland Blue Sport
  • Ukraine Megogo
  • United States fuboTV

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Famalicão

LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.81–7.67 · xPts 6.05

  • L A Benfica 0–1 xG 0.19–1.21 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 4–0 xG 2.5–0.77 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 1–2 xG 1.73–2.95 PRT PL
  • D A Moreirense 2–2 xG 2.07–1.25 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–1 xG 0.32–1.48 PRT PL

Estrela Amadora

DLWLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 6.02–8.43 · xPts 5.96

  • D H Moreirense 0–0 xG 1.11–0.82 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 1–3 xG 0.26–3.49 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 3–1 xG 2.32–0.85 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 0–4 xG 0.17–1.62 PRT PL
  • D H Nacional 1–1 xG 2.17–1.65 PRT PL

All meetings · 7 matches since 2023

Famalicão 14 draws2 Estrela Amadora

Goals 7–6 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Famalicão 14 draws2 Estrela Amadora

Goals 7–6 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 43%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Famalicão 13 draws1 Estrela Amadora

Goals 7–5 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Estrela Amadora 2–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estrela Amadora 0–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 2–3 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 0–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 0–3 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 0–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estrela Amadora 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricFamalicão all · 34Famalicão at home · 17Estrela Amadora all · 34Estrela Amadora away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.651.820.880.71
W / D / L15 / 11 / 89 / 4 / 46 / 12 / 162 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match1.241.591.121.00
Goals against / match0.850.711.651.88
Clean sheets50%59%24%18%
Failed to score26%18%44%47%
Both teams scored35%35%47%53%
Over 2.538%47%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.421.601.130.92
xG against / match1.000.881.631.74
xG difference0.420.71-0.50-0.82
Finishing vs xG-0.18-0.01-0.020.08
xPts / match1.661.831.070.89
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.01-0.19-0.19
Game state
Scored first53%59%26%24%
PPG when scoring first2.442.401.560.50
PPG when conceding first0.671.000.550.70
Came back from behind43%43%33%31%
Leads held75%82%50%33%
Minutes leading24%27%15%13%
Minutes level60%54%52%53%
Minutes trailing16%19%33%34%
First goal (min)47434039
First goal conceded (min)39233333
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half64%59%50%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%33%55%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.410.180.18
Late goals against0.260.000.180.29
Style
Possession52%54%47%43%
Shots12.414.310.88.6
On target4.35.13.63.2
Shot conversion10%11%10%12%
Shots inside box67%67%55%56%
Big chances created2.52.72.01.5
Corners5.55.73.33.1
xG from set plays31%29%41%43%
Goals from headers26%22%13%12%
Pressure index13.816.28.96.7
Dominant minutes53.556.338.430.6
Pass accuracy82%82%79%78%
Fouls15.715.414.414.5
Cards2.682.712.852.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Famalicão

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'64
46–60'85
61–75'102
76–90'99

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.61.240.921.41.07
4-3-37 21%1.861.140.571.610.69
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.51.01.031.17

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-310 29%1.51.61.61.281.78
4-2-3-110 29%0.71.22.31.072.09
4-3-34 12%0.751.01.01.40.89
5-3-23 9%0.330.671.671.551.6
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.781.49

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.48Home 63% P 65%3.9Draw 24% P 22%7.5Away 13% P 13%

Double Chance

1.11Famalicao or Draw 42% P 44%1.25Famalicao or Estrela Amadora 38% P 39%2.37Draw or Estrela Amadora 20% P 17%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 44%1.8No 52% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 47%1.9Under 50% P 53%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home65%66%69%+3.3
Draw22%20%20%-0.7
Away13%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.895.66+0.3248
Fouls / match28.827.8+0.51
Fouls per card5.04.9-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.37+0.3764
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.39

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-07 30 190 39'7
2025-11-05 20 250 6'6
2025-10-25 · Estrela Amadora 90 360 10'8
2025-10-05 · Famalicão 61 340 61'10
2025-09-27 60 250 48'7
2025-09-24 40 260 42'10
2025-09-13 60 201 30'13
2025-08-10 · Famalicão 60 350 61'8
2025-08-07 10 80 72'12
2025-07-09 30 120 17'8