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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 17

Momentum

BenficaEstoril
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa
Capacity
68,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,865

Teams

Coaches
José Mourinho · Ian Cathro
Position
3 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Anzhony Francisco Gonçalves Rodrigues

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
13.2° (feels 13.0°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
92%

Where to watch · 13

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Benfica

DWWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 3 · xG 6.75–3.81 · xPts 9.12

  • D A Sporting Braga 2–2 xG 1.24–1.75 PRT PL
  • W H Famalicão 1–0 xG 1.21–0.19 PRT PL
  • W A Moreirense 4–0 xG 0.96–0.66 PRT PL
  • W H Napoli 2–0 xG 1.76–0.81 UEFA CL
  • D H Sporting CP 1–1 xG 1.57–0.41 PRT PL

Estoril

LDLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 4.8–8.3 · xPts 4.73

  • W H Alverca 4–1 xG 1.15–0.73 PRT PL
  • W H Sporting Braga 1–0 xG 1.45–2.26 PRT PL
  • L A Famalicão 0–4 xG 0.77–2.5 PRT PL
  • D H Moreirense 3–3 xG 0.71–1.44 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–1 xG 0.72–1.37 PRT PL

All meetings · 23 matches since 2013

Benfica 212 draws0 Estoril

Goals 57–17 · 3.22 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 74%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Benfica 100 draws0 Estoril

Goals 25–7 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Benfica 50 draws0 Estoril

Goals 13–4 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Benfica 2–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 1–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 3–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 1–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 3–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 3–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 0–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 1–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 1–5 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 2–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricBenfica all · 34Benfica at home · 17Estoril all · 34Estoril away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.352.291.150.94
W / D / L23 / 11 / 011 / 6 / 010 / 9 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match2.182.411.591.47
Goals against / match0.740.761.681.82
Clean sheets41%41%15%18%
Failed to score6%0%29%35%
Both teams scored59%59%59%47%
Over 2.571%71%62%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.212.431.201.18
xG against / match0.880.671.591.52
xG difference1.331.75-0.39-0.34
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.010.390.29
xPts / match2.122.331.131.15
Points vs xPts0.23-0.040.02-0.21
Game state
Scored first79%82%38%47%
PPG when scoring first2.482.431.851.75
PPG when conceding first2.201.670.700.22
Came back from behind100%100%40%31%
Leads held77%73%59%50%
Minutes leading48%54%23%23%
Minutes level46%40%40%31%
Minutes trailing6%7%37%45%
First goal (min)33303430
First goal conceded (min)51433027
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%46%52%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%46%46%48%
Late goals for (76'+)0.470.590.260.24
Late goals against0.240.240.240.35
Style
Possession58%59%53%52%
Shots17.018.111.711.3
On target6.06.94.13.6
Shot conversion13%13%14%13%
Shots inside box67%68%64%66%
Big chances created3.33.32.22.2
Corners7.27.54.44.1
xG from set plays32%35%32%39%
Goals from headers16%10%13%8%
Pressure index23.826.111.210.3
Dominant minutes67.773.846.844.4
Pass accuracy84%85%81%81%
Fouls11.011.213.013.5
Cards2.151.822.532.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Benfica

0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168

Estoril

0–15'615
16–30'87
31–45'129
46–60'118
61–75'810
76–90'98

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%2.382.240.792.20.9
4-4-23 9%2.331.670.332.180.94
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.02.430.22
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.00.02.510.78

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-37 21%1.142.142.141.161.44
4-3-36 18%1.331.331.171.221.36
3-4-2-15 15%0.80.81.20.841.46
4-3-1-25 15%0.61.42.61.122.41
4-4-24 12%1.752.751.51.671.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.2Home 79% P 79%7.0Draw 13% P 13%12.0Away 8% P 8%

Double Chance

1.05Benfica or Draw 46% P 46%1.1Benfica or Estoril 43% P 43%4.33Draw or Estoril 11% P 11%

Draw No Bet

1.071 89%9.02 11%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 49%1.8No 52% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 65% P 65%2.7Under 35% P 35%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 7.5–10% · 182 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home79%78%79%+0.7
Draw13%13%14%+0.2
Away8%8%7%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 73%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%66%69%+3.2

Anzhony Francisco Gonçalves Rodrigues

Career
23 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.22 (4.09 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
26.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.48
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.095.66-1.963
Fouls / match26.627.9-0.67
Fouls per card6.54.9+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.50.37+0.9985
Time added6.97.7-0.8018
First card
37' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-08 90 320 29'8
2025-11-30 10 240 27'7
2025-09-19 30 290 25'6
2025-08-30 61 340 44'6
2025-08-23 · Benfica 40 220 25'7
2025-08-11 · Estoril 50 290 25'11
2025-03-16 · Estoril 10 281 35'8
2025-02-17 40 300 47'5
2025-01-27 40 270 36'4
2025-01-05 · Estoril 30 380 48'7