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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18

Momentum

CFEAEstoril
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Capacity
9,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,826

Teams

Coaches
João Nuno · Ian Cathro
Position
12 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
9.5° (feels 7.8°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 4

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estrela Amadora

WLDWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 9 · xG 5.53–11.24 · xPts 4.67

  • D H Sporting Braga 3–3 xG 1.15–3.38 PRT PL
  • W A Famalicão 3–2 xG 0.7–2.69 PRT PL
  • D H Moreirense 0–0 xG 1.11–0.82 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 1–3 xG 0.26–3.49 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 3–1 xG 2.32–0.85 PRT PL

Estoril

DLWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 11 · xG 4.93–9.88 · xPts 4.22

  • L A Benfica 1–3 xG 0.85–2.94 PRT PL
  • W H Alverca 4–1 xG 1.15–0.73 PRT PL
  • W H Sporting Braga 1–0 xG 1.45–2.26 PRT PL
  • L A Famalicão 0–4 xG 0.77–2.5 PRT PL
  • D H Moreirense 3–3 xG 0.71–1.44 PRT PL

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

Estrela Amadora 11 draws4 Estoril

Goals 5–16 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Estrela Amadora 11 draws4 Estoril

Goals 5–16 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estrela Amadora 01 draws4 Estoril

Goals 3–15 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Estrela Amadora 0–5 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estoril 1–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 4–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estrela Amadora 2–4 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 1–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 2–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricEstrela Amadora all · 34Estrela Amadora at home · 17Estoril all · 34Estoril away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.881.061.150.94
W / D / L6 / 12 / 164 / 6 / 710 / 9 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match1.121.241.591.47
Goals against / match1.651.411.681.82
Clean sheets24%29%15%18%
Failed to score44%41%29%35%
Both teams scored47%41%59%47%
Over 2.553%53%62%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.131.351.201.18
xG against / match1.631.531.591.52
xG difference-0.50-0.18-0.39-0.34
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.110.390.29
xPts / match1.071.261.131.15
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.200.02-0.21
Game state
Scored first26%29%38%47%
PPG when scoring first1.562.401.851.75
PPG when conceding first0.550.400.700.22
Came back from behind33%36%40%31%
Leads held50%67%59%50%
Minutes leading15%17%23%23%
Minutes level52%50%40%31%
Minutes trailing33%32%37%45%
First goal (min)40403430
First goal conceded (min)33323027
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%48%52%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%46%48%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.260.24
Late goals against0.180.060.240.35
Style
Possession47%50%53%52%
Shots10.813.011.711.3
On target3.63.94.13.6
Shot conversion10%10%14%13%
Shots inside box55%54%64%66%
Big chances created2.02.52.22.2
Corners3.33.64.44.1
xG from set plays41%39%32%39%
Goals from headers13%14%13%8%
Pressure index8.911.011.210.3
Dominant minutes38.446.146.844.4
Pass accuracy79%81%81%81%
Fouls14.414.213.013.5
Cards2.852.882.532.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66

Estoril

0–15'615
16–30'87
31–45'129
46–60'118
61–75'810
76–90'98

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-310 29%1.51.61.61.281.78
4-2-3-110 29%0.71.22.31.072.09
4-3-34 12%0.751.01.01.40.89
5-3-23 9%0.330.671.671.551.6
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.781.49

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-37 21%1.142.142.141.161.44
4-3-36 18%1.331.331.171.221.36
4-3-1-25 15%0.61.42.61.122.41
3-4-2-15 15%0.80.81.20.841.46
4-4-24 12%1.752.751.51.671.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 33% P 33%3.4Draw 28% P 30%2.4Away 39% P 37%

Double Chance

1.53Estrela Amadora or Draw 31% P 32%1.3Estrela Amadora or Estoril 36% P 35%1.4Draw or Estoril 33% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 61%2.2No 42% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%34%+0.6
Draw30%30%27%-2.5
Away37%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Career
19 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
6.63 (6.21 yellow · 0.32 red)
Fouls / match
28.1 · 4.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.47
Cards to home side
54%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.415.66+0.9888
Fouls / match28.327.8+0.22
Fouls per card4.44.9-0.82 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.530.37+1.2088
Time added9.47.7+2.11100
First card
29' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
54% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-13 81 300 18'6
2025-11-09 60 312 33'11
2025-11-02 50 220 32'6
2025-08-24 40 350 49'8
2025-08-15 90 401 16'14
2025-05-05 · Estrela Amadora 100 331 17'8
2025-04-19 90 250 16'10
2025-02-01 71 341 24'9