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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20

Momentum

TondelaBenfica
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
Capacity
5,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,568

Teams

Coaches
António Rocha Simão · José Mourinho
Position
17 · 3
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
12.1° (feels 11.8°)
Wind
5.9
Humidity
95%

Where to watch · 16

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Tondela

LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 4.46–5.3 · xPts 5.78

  • L A Famalicão 0–3 xG 0.08–0.84 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 1.63–1.64 PRT PL
  • L A Moreirense 0–1 xG 0.51–0.55 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 3–1 xG 0.59–0.65 PRT PL
  • L H Casa Pia 1–2 xG 1.64–1.62 PRT PL

Benfica

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 13 GA 5 · xG 11.4–3.72 · xPts 11.59

  • W H Real Madrid 4–2 xG 2.87–1.33 UEFA CL
  • W H Estrela Amadora 4–0 xG 2.13–0.12 PRT PL
  • L A Juventus 0–2 xG 1.52–1.13 UEFA CL
  • W A Rio Ave 2–0 xG 1.94–0.29 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 3–1 xG 2.94–0.85 PRT PL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2015

Tondela 12 draws13 Benfica

Goals 8–38 · 2.88 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Tondela 02 draws8 Benfica

Goals 3–17 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Tondela 01 draws4 Benfica

Goals 2–10 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Tondela 0–0 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 3–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 1–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 2–1 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 0–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 2–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Benfica 0–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 0–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 1–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 1–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricTondela all · 34Tondela at home · 17Benfica all · 34Benfica away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.820.762.352.41
W / D / L6 / 10 / 182 / 7 / 823 / 11 / 012 / 5 / 0
Goals for / match0.790.762.181.94
Goals against / match1.621.240.740.71
Clean sheets21%24%41%41%
Failed to score53%59%6%12%
Both teams scored35%35%59%59%
Over 2.550%35%71%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.352.211.99
xG against / match1.561.530.881.09
xG difference-0.30-0.181.330.91
Finishing vs xG-0.47-0.59-0.03-0.05
xPts / match1.231.302.121.91
Points vs xPts-0.40-0.540.230.50
Game state
Scored first32%24%79%76%
PPG when scoring first1.731.252.482.54
PPG when conceding first0.300.502.203.00
Came back from behind25%33%100%100%
Leads held46%33%77%80%
Minutes leading14%12%48%42%
Minutes level56%65%46%53%
Minutes trailing29%23%6%5%
First goal (min)41383336
First goal conceded (min)42445160
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%62%49%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%62%60%75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.180.470.35
Late goals against0.440.350.240.24
Style
Possession44%45%58%57%
Shots10.612.117.015.9
On target3.43.56.05.1
Shot conversion8%6%13%12%
Shots inside box60%63%67%66%
Big chances created2.02.03.33.2
Corners4.03.97.26.9
xG from set plays46%36%32%28%
Goals from headers12%17%16%24%
Pressure index8.38.923.821.4
Dominant minutes38.141.167.761.7
Pass accuracy78%77%84%83%
Fouls14.413.911.010.9
Cards2.712.412.152.47

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Benfica

0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%2.382.240.792.20.9
4-4-23 9%2.331.670.332.180.94
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.00.02.510.78
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.02.430.22

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

9.0Home 10% P 8%5.0Draw 19% P 17%1.3Away 71% P 75%

Double Chance

3.25Tondela or Draw 15% P 13%1.16Tondela or Benfica 41% P 42%1.08Draw or Benfica 44% P 45%

Draw No Bet

7.01 14%1.12 86%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 41%1.61No 58% P 59%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 7.5–10% · away 75–77.5% · 163 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home8%9%7%-1.3
Draw17%15%11%-4.1
Away75%76%82%+5.4

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 63%

Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes41%41%41%-0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.895.66+0.3248
Fouls / match28.827.8+0.51
Fouls per card5.04.9-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.37+0.3764
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.39

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-22 90 280 44'8
2026-01-17 40 221 57'6
2025-12-27 80 340 18'13
2025-12-07 · Tondela 30 190 39'7
2025-11-05 20 250 6'6
2025-10-25 90 360 10'8
2025-10-05 61 340 61'10
2025-09-27 60 250 48'7
2025-09-24 40 260 42'10
2025-09-13 60 201 30'13