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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20

Momentum

AlvercaCFEA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Capacity
7,705
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,845

Teams

Coaches
Custodio · João Nuno
Position
10 · 13
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-1-4-2

Referee

José Armando Torres Bessa

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
13.5° (feels 13.2°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
89%

Where to watch · 3

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Alverca

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 13 · xG 6.39–8.04 · xPts 5.99

  • L A Sporting Braga 0–5 xG 0.39–2.93 PRT PL
  • W H Moreirense 2–1 xG 2.47–1.45 PRT PL
  • W H Famalicão 1–0 xG 2.13–1.26 PRT PL
  • L A Estoril 1–4 xG 0.73–1.15 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–3 xG 0.68–1.25 PRT PL

Estrela Amadora

DWDLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 14 · xG 3.24–11.26 · xPts 2.68

  • L A Benfica 0–4 xG 0.12–2.13 PRT PL
  • L H Estoril 0–5 xG 0.17–2.24 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting Braga 3–3 xG 1.15–3.38 PRT PL
  • W A Famalicão 3–2 xG 0.7–2.69 PRT PL
  • D H Moreirense 0–0 xG 1.11–0.82 PRT PL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Alverca 03 draws0 Estrela Amadora

Goals 5–5 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Alverca 03 draws0 Estrela Amadora

Goals 5–5 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Alverca 03 draws0 Estrela Amadora

Goals 5–5 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Recent meetings

  • D Alverca 2–2 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Alverca 1–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estrela Amadora 2–2 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricAlverca all · 34Alverca at home · 17Estrela Amadora all · 34Estrela Amadora away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.530.880.71
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 56 / 12 / 162 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match1.031.061.121.00
Goals against / match1.531.351.651.88
Clean sheets18%29%24%18%
Failed to score29%24%44%47%
Both teams scored56%53%47%53%
Over 2.550%47%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.161.391.130.92
xG against / match1.341.191.631.74
xG difference-0.180.20-0.50-0.82
Finishing vs xG-0.13-0.33-0.020.08
xPts / match1.291.511.070.89
Points vs xPts-0.140.02-0.19-0.19
Game state
Scored first35%47%26%24%
PPG when scoring first2.332.501.560.50
PPG when conceding first0.480.630.550.70
Came back from behind29%38%33%31%
Leads held71%78%50%33%
Minutes leading18%20%15%13%
Minutes level53%48%52%53%
Minutes trailing29%31%33%34%
First goal (min)49564039
First goal conceded (min)40353333
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%72%50%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%52%55%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.180.18
Late goals against0.260.180.180.29
Style
Possession45%47%47%43%
Shots9.610.610.88.6
On target3.53.63.63.2
Shot conversion11%10%10%12%
Shots inside box64%65%55%56%
Big chances created2.12.52.01.5
Corners4.44.63.33.1
xG from set plays42%48%41%43%
Goals from headers26%28%13%12%
Pressure index8.49.38.96.7
Dominant minutes39.144.438.430.6
Pass accuracy80%81%79%78%
Fouls12.513.014.414.5
Cards2.381.882.852.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'57
16–30'37
31–45'610
46–60'410
61–75'59
76–90'129

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-325 74%1.241.081.361.231.27
3-4-2-17 21%1.141.02.01.061.42
5-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.641.93

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 29%0.71.22.31.072.09
3-4-310 29%1.51.61.61.281.78
4-3-34 12%0.751.01.01.40.89
5-3-23 9%0.330.671.671.551.6
3-1-4-22 6%0.51.01.50.910.76

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 50% P 50%3.25Draw 29% P 30%4.5Away 21% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18Alverca or Draw 40% P 40%1.33Alverca or Estrela Amadora 35% P 35%1.9Draw or Estrela Amadora 25% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

2.25Yes 41% P 45%1.57No 59% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.7Over 35% P 38%1.44Under 65% P 62%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 17.5–20% · 120 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%52%49%-2.4
Draw30%29%33%+4.1
Away20%19%18%-1.8

In those fixtures: 2.0 goals a game · BTTS 41% · over 2.5 38%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.538%39%39%+0.7

José Armando Torres Bessa

Career
32 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
6.13 (5.78 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
26.8 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 32 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.225.66+0.7476
Fouls / match26.827.9-0.55
Fouls per card4.34.9-0.95 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.37-0.3336
Time added7.97.7+0.3667
First card
24' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-28 70 180 40'8
2025-12-06 121 321 7'8
2025-11-09 70 370 22'7
2025-10-26 40 240 20'5
2025-09-27 100 280 35'10
2025-09-14 50 190 18'10
2025-08-31 · Alverca 101 300 18'7
2025-08-16 70 351 43'16
2025-05-17 81 262 13'5
2025-05-10 92 370 26'9