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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21

Momentum

CFEASanta Clara
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Capacity
9,000
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
João Nuno · Vasco Matos
Position
12 · 16
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Fabio Verssimo

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
12.6° (feels 12.0°)
Wind
10.8
Humidity
80%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estrela Amadora

WDLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 15 · xG 3.13–11.31 · xPts 2.54

  • D A Alverca 1–1 xG 1.0–0.87 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 0–4 xG 0.12–2.13 PRT PL
  • L H Estoril 0–5 xG 0.17–2.24 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting Braga 3–3 xG 1.15–3.38 PRT PL
  • W A Famalicão 3–2 xG 0.7–2.69 PRT PL

Santa Clara

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 5.01–6.49 · xPts 5.58

  • L H Estoril 2–4 xG 1.41–2.31 PRT PL
  • L A Moreirense 0–1 xG 0.29–0.15 PRT PL
  • L H Famalicão 0–1 xG 0.96–1.43 PRT PL
  • D A Nacional 3–3 xG 2.04–1.81 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–1 xG 0.3–0.78 PRT PL

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Estrela Amadora 12 draws1 Santa Clara

Goals 1–1 · 0.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Estrela Amadora 12 draws1 Santa Clara

Goals 1–1 · 0.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Estrela Amadora 12 draws1 Santa Clara

Goals 1–1 · 0.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W Estrela Amadora 1–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Santa Clara 0–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estrela Amadora 0–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 1–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricEstrela Amadora all · 34Estrela Amadora at home · 17Santa Clara all · 34Santa Clara away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.881.061.060.76
W / D / L6 / 12 / 164 / 6 / 79 / 9 / 162 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.121.240.940.88
Goals against / match1.651.411.211.41
Clean sheets24%29%29%18%
Failed to score44%41%38%41%
Both teams scored47%41%41%47%
Over 2.553%53%35%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.131.351.061.02
xG against / match1.631.531.071.22
xG difference-0.50-0.18-0.01-0.20
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.11-0.12-0.13
xPts / match1.071.261.351.22
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.20-0.29-0.46
Game state
Scored first26%29%35%29%
PPG when scoring first1.562.402.081.40
PPG when conceding first0.550.400.420.45
Came back from behind33%36%30%43%
Leads held50%67%69%40%
Minutes leading15%17%15%12%
Minutes level52%50%55%54%
Minutes trailing33%32%29%35%
First goal (min)40404036
First goal conceded (min)33323635
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%48%59%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%49%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.350.35
Late goals against0.180.060.180.24
Style
Possession47%50%48%48%
Shots10.813.011.711.8
On target3.63.93.23.2
Shot conversion10%10%8%8%
Shots inside box55%54%56%59%
Big chances created2.02.51.91.8
Corners3.33.64.64.7
xG from set plays41%39%39%35%
Goals from headers13%14%19%7%
Pressure index8.911.010.19.4
Dominant minutes38.446.146.142.9
Pass accuracy79%81%79%81%
Fouls14.414.214.913.2
Cards2.852.883.032.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66

Santa Clara

0–15'116
16–30'17
31–45'18
46–60'38
61–75'46
76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-310 29%1.51.61.61.281.78
4-2-3-110 29%0.71.22.31.072.09
4-3-34 12%0.751.01.01.40.89
5-3-23 9%0.330.671.671.551.6
3-1-4-22 6%0.51.01.50.910.76

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 26%1.330.890.670.971.01
3-4-37 21%1.290.861.141.251.06
4-2-3-16 18%1.331.00.831.080.96
5-4-13 9%0.00.331.330.391.04
3-4-2-13 9%0.01.02.331.261.82

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.5Home 21% P 21%3.1Draw 31% P 30%1.95Away 48% P 49%

Double Chance

1.72Estrela Amadora or Draw 27% P 26%1.36Estrela Amadora or Santa Clara 34% P 35%1.22Draw or Santa Clara 38% P 40%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

2.37Yes 39% P 41%1.53No 61% P 59%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.87Over 33% P 33%1.4Under 67% P 67%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–25% · away 45–50% · 672 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home21%24%21%-2.5
Draw30%28%29%+0.4
Away49%48%50%+2.2

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes41%41%41%-0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 32.5–35% · 400 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.533%34%31%-3.0

Fabio Verssimo

Career
18 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
6.17 (6.11 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.75.66+0.0842
Fouls / match25.627.9-1.16
Fouls per card4.54.9-0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.37+0.2958
Time added6.57.7-1.279
First card
24' on average
Card timing
22% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 50 280 22'4
2026-01-11 · Santa Clara 80 251 6'6
2025-12-27 50 230 49'3
2025-11-09 · Estrela Amadora 70 271 22'12
2025-11-02 60 280 19'6
2025-09-29 81 210 3'6