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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 22

Momentum

VSCCFEA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Capacity
30,029
Surface
grass
Attendance
13,645

Teams

Coaches
Luís Correia Pinto · João Nuno
Position
9 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
9.0° (feels 9.0°)
Wind
1.1
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Vitória Guimarães

WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 7.4–7.44 · xPts 7.0

  • L A Arouca 2–3 xG 1.27–1.08 PRT PL
  • W H Moreirense 1–0 xG 1.68–0.62 PRT PL
  • L A Estoril 2–4 xG 1.95–1.97 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–1 xG 1.52–2.46 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 2–1 xG 0.98–1.32 PRT PL

Estrela Amadora

DLLDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 13 · xG 3.44–10.27 · xPts 3.13

  • W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 1.01–1.65 PRT PL
  • D A Alverca 1–1 xG 1.0–0.87 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 0–4 xG 0.12–2.13 PRT PL
  • L H Estoril 0–5 xG 0.17–2.24 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting Braga 3–3 xG 1.15–3.38 PRT PL

All meetings · 12 matches since 2006

Vitória Guimarães 62 draws4 Estrela Amadora

Goals 17–11 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Vitória Guimarães 62 draws2 Estrela Amadora

Goals 17–8 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Vitória Guimarães 41 draws0 Estrela Amadora

Goals 11–3 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 0–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 2–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estrela Amadora 2–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 3–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 0–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estrela Amadora 1–0 Vitória Guimarães neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Vitória Guimarães 0–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 4–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estrela Amadora 4–1 Vitória Guimarães neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricVitória Guimarães all · 34Vitória Guimarães at home · 17Estrela Amadora all · 34Estrela Amadora away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.241.650.880.71
W / D / L12 / 6 / 168 / 4 / 56 / 12 / 162 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match1.151.531.121.00
Goals against / match1.501.121.651.88
Clean sheets29%29%24%18%
Failed to score35%24%44%47%
Both teams scored41%53%47%53%
Over 2.544%53%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.331.130.92
xG against / match1.291.211.631.74
xG difference-0.020.13-0.50-0.82
Finishing vs xG-0.120.20-0.020.08
xPts / match1.381.481.070.89
Points vs xPts-0.150.17-0.19-0.19
Game state
Scored first41%41%26%24%
PPG when scoring first2.142.431.560.50
PPG when conceding first0.561.110.550.70
Came back from behind20%44%33%31%
Leads held71%80%50%33%
Minutes leading16%20%15%13%
Minutes level55%60%52%53%
Minutes trailing29%20%33%34%
First goal (min)45454039
First goal conceded (min)37443333
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%65%50%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%55%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.180.18
Late goals against0.290.290.180.29
Style
Possession51%50%47%43%
Shots13.313.510.88.6
On target3.94.13.63.2
Shot conversion9%11%10%12%
Shots inside box56%58%55%56%
Big chances created1.61.62.01.5
Corners4.44.43.33.1
xG from set plays35%43%41%43%
Goals from headers16%15%13%12%
Pressure index12.914.08.96.7
Dominant minutes53.853.938.430.6
Pass accuracy82%82%79%78%
Fouls14.515.514.414.5
Cards2.412.762.852.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27
16–30'87
31–45'79
46–60'68
61–75'1010
76–90'610

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.160.961.481.191.32
4-4-23 9%2.02.01.331.451.41
4-3-32 6%2.03.00.52.440.4
3-4-32 6%1.51.52.01.141.39
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.03.00.531.83

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-310 29%1.51.61.61.281.78
4-2-3-110 29%0.71.22.31.072.09
4-3-34 12%0.751.01.01.40.89
5-3-23 9%0.330.671.671.551.6
3-1-4-22 6%0.51.01.50.910.76

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.8h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 60% P 60%3.75Draw 25% P 25%6.5Away 15% P 15%

Double Chance

1.14Guimaraes or Draw 42% P 43%1.28Guimaraes or Estrela Amadora 37% P 38%2.2Draw or Estrela Amadora 22% P 20%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 46%1.7No 55% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.7Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 12.5–15% · 241 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%61%62%+0.4
Draw25%24%24%-0.3
Away15%14%14%-0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Career
43 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.3 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
27.9 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.45.66-1.576
Fouls / match27.927.9+0.04
Fouls per card6.54.9+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.37+0.1548
Time added6.37.7-1.516
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-02 10 90 23'4
2026-01-25 10 290 51'3
2025-12-28 20 190 36'4
2025-12-14 40 290 18'3
2025-10-26 40 321 42'3
2025-09-21 40 291 55'4
2025-08-31 · Estrela Amadora 40 240 34'9
2025-05-10 40 320 38'6
2025-04-27 40 230 33'3
2025-04-01 41 341 59'6