AVS v Estrela Amadora

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 24

AVSAVS

0–0

Estrela AmadoraCFEA

Momentum

– AVSCFEA –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

AVS	at home	Stat	league	away	Estrela Amadora
39.3 #18	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	46.8 #13
11.1 #11	–	Shots total	12.1	–	10.8 #12
3.1 #17	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	3.6 #12
3.7 #16	–	Corners	4.7	–	3.3 #18
13.8 #11	–	Fouls	13.7	–	14.3 #7
1.5 #7	–	Offsides	1.5	–	1.8 #4
17.1 #3	–	Tackles	15.6	–	15.8 #9
78.8 #14	–	Attacks	90.3	–	77.0 #17
35.0 #13	–	Dangerous attacks	42.1	–	29.6 #18
299.0 #18	–	Passes	405.0	–	354.8 #14
2.4 #11	–	Yellowcards	2.6	–	3.0 #4
0.1 #5	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.1 #2
0.6 #16	–	Assists	0.9	–	0.7 #12
– #13	–	Btts	48.0	–	– #8
– #17	–	Cleansheet	29.2	–	– #10
– #1	–	Draw	27.1	–	– #1
0.9 #18	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.1 #12
-0.1 #12	–	Expected goals difference	0.0	–	-0.0 #7
– #1	–	Failed to score	29.2	–	– #3
0.8 #17	0.9	Goals	1.3	1.0	1.1 #10
2.0 #1	1.6	Goals conceded	1.3	1.9	1.6 #6
0.2 #10	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.2 #10
9.2 #4	–	Interceptions	8.6	–	9.8 #1
– #1	–	Lost	36.4	–	– #4
0.1 #13	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.2 #5
6.6 #18	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.7 #11
3.7 #5	–	Shots blocked	3.2	–	2.7 #13
5.9 #15	–	Shots insidebox	7.4	–	5.9 #15
4.4 #13	–	Shots off target	4.8	–	4.6 #11
5.1 #7	–	Shots outsidebox	4.6	–	4.9 #8
– #18	–	Win	36.4	–	– #15

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 306 of 306
Goals / match: 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 27% · 32%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 54%
Cards / match: 5.01 (reds 0.13)

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 24

Venue

Stadium: Estádio do Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
Capacity: 8,560
Surface: grass

Teams

Coaches: João Oliveira Nunes Henriques · João Nuno
Position: 18 · 12
Formation: 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Hélder Carvalho

Weather

Conditions: overcast clouds
Temperature: 14.4° (feels 13.5°)
Wind: 1.3
Humidity: 60%

Where to watch · 4

International Bet365
Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	48	88	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	65	82	DDWWW
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	80	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	28	59	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42	29	13	56	DWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	9	50	LWDLL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	WLWLD
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42	WLDWW
9	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42	WWLLL
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39	LLDDL
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39	LWLDL
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36	DLDLD
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	DWDWL
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34	WWLLW
15	Estrela Amadora	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30	LLLDD
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30	LLLWD
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28	LDWWL
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	27	45	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	13	2	2	51	11	40	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	28	39	WWDDW
4	Famalicão	17	9	4	4	27	12	15	31	DWDDW
5	Sporting Braga	17	8	6	3	34	18	16	30	WLDDD
6	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	11	30	LWDLL
7	Vitória Guimarães	17	8	4	5	26	19	7	28	WWLLL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	WLWLD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	LWLDL
10	Arouca	17	7	4	6	27	30	-3	25	WLDWW
11	Estoril	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	LLDDL
12	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	DWDWL
13	Nacional	17	6	2	9	23	23	0	20	WWLLW
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LLLDD
15	Casa Pia	17	2	9	6	18	26	-8	15	LLLWD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DLDLD
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	LDWWL
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	21	43	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	12	5	0	38	13	25	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	12	5	0	33	12	21	41	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	12	29	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDW
6	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	18	28	-10	21	DLDLD
7	Gil Vicente	17	4	8	5	19	21	-2	20	LWDLL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	WLDWW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LLDDL
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WLWLD
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LLLWD
12	Tondela	17	4	3	10	14	34	-20	15	LDWWL
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	WWLLW
14	Vitória Guimarães	17	4	2	11	13	32	-19	14	WWLLL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWDWL
16	Alverca	17	3	4	10	17	29	-12	13	LWLDL
17	Estrela Amadora	17	2	6	9	17	32	-15	12	LLLDD
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDWWD

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

AVS

DLLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 13 · xG 5.96–9.27 · xPts 5.24

L A Benfica 0–3 xG 0.11–3.36 PRT PL
W H Estoril 3–0 xG 1.31–0.82 PRT PL
L A Famalicão 1–3 xG 0.38–1.84 PRT PL
L H Sporting Braga 0–4 xG 0.73–1.93 PRT PL
D A Casa Pia 3–3 xG 3.42–1.31 PRT PL

Estrela Amadora

LDWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 3.68–7.64 · xPts 4.26

L H Tondela 0–2 xG 0.91–1.42 PRT PL
L A Vitória Guimarães 1–2 xG 0.64–1.56 PRT PL
W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 1.01–1.65 PRT PL
D A Alverca 1–1 xG 1.0–0.87 PRT PL
L A Benfica 0–4 xG 0.12–2.13 PRT PL

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

AVS 12 draws1 Estrela Amadora

Goals 2–4 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

AVS 12 draws1 Estrela Amadora

Goals 2–4 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

AVS 12 draws1 Estrela Amadora

Goals 2–4 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

D AVS 0–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
L Estrela Amadora 3–0 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
W Estrela Amadora 0–1 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
D AVS 1–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	AVS all · 34	AVS at home · 17	Estrela Amadora all · 34	Estrela Amadora away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	0.62	0.71	0.88	0.71
W / D / L	3 / 12 / 19	2 / 6 / 9	6 / 12 / 16	2 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match	0.79	0.88	1.12	1.00
Goals against / match	1.97	1.59	1.65	1.88
Clean sheets	15%	12%	24%	18%
Failed to score	53%	47%	44%	47%
Both teams scored	44%	47%	47%	53%
Over 2.5	59%	47%	53%	53%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.91	0.91	1.13	0.92
xG against / match	1.85	1.82	1.63	1.74
xG difference	-0.94	-0.91	-0.50	-0.82
Finishing vs xG	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	0.08
xPts / match	0.82	0.83	1.07	0.89
Points vs xPts	-0.20	-0.12	-0.19	-0.19
Game state
Scored first	15%	24%	26%	24%
PPG when scoring first	1.40	1.75	1.56	0.50
PPG when conceding first	0.40	0.33	0.55	0.70
Came back from behind	30%	31%	33%	31%
Leads held	33%	40%	50%	33%
Minutes leading	9%	11%	15%	13%
Minutes level	50%	53%	52%	53%
Minutes trailing	42%	36%	33%	34%
First goal (min)	48	44	40	39
First goal conceded (min)	30	36	33	33
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	63%	60%	50%	53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	52%	59%	55%	53%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.21	0.18	0.18	0.18
Late goals against	0.26	0.24	0.18	0.29
Style
Possession	39%	40%	47%	43%
Shots	11.1	11.4	10.8	8.6
On target	3.1	3.6	3.6	3.2
Shot conversion	7%	8%	10%	12%
Shots inside box	54%	54%	55%	56%
Big chances created	1.4	1.5	2.0	1.5
Corners	3.7	3.5	3.3	3.1
xG from set plays	39%	40%	41%	43%
Goals from headers	11%	7%	13%	12%
Pressure index	5.3	5.7	8.9	6.7
Dominant minutes	29.1	33.2	38.4	30.6
Pass accuracy	73%	74%	79%	78%
Fouls	13.8	14.2	14.4	14.5
Cards	2.50	3.06	2.85	2.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AVS

0–15'111

16–30'410

31–45'511

46–60'414

61–75'612

76–90'79

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59

16–30'65

31–45'811

46–60'413

61–75'912

76–90'66

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AVS

No pressure profile yet.

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036

Early press (0-15, level)-0.496

Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135

When level-0.046

When behind+0.085

10 min after conceding-0.046

10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023

Away+0.083

4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102

v bottom-tier opponents-0.062

Evenly matched+0.233

As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016

Conceded when ahead-0.205

Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

AVS

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	13 38%	0.54	1.08	2.31	1.06	1.82
4-3-3	8 24%	0.88	0.75	1.25	0.94	1.88
4-1-4-1	6 18%	0.83	0.67	1.5	0.83	1.78
5-4-1	4 12%	0.0	0.0	3.5	0.53	2.14
5-3-2	1 3%	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.43	0.85

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	10 29%	0.7	1.2	2.3	1.07	2.09
3-4-3	10 29%	1.5	1.6	1.6	1.28	1.78
4-3-3	4 12%	0.75	1.0	1.0	1.4	0.89
5-3-2	3 9%	0.33	0.67	1.67	1.55	1.6
3-1-4-2	2 6%	0.5	1.0	1.5	0.91	0.76

Metric	AVS all · 10	AVS at home · 10	Estrela Amadora all · 10	Estrela Amadora away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	1.20	1.00	1.20	0.70
W / D / L	2 / 6 / 2	2 / 4 / 4	2 / 6 / 2	1 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match	0.90	1.00	1.90	1.40
Goals against / match	1.00	1.30	1.90	1.90
Clean sheets	30%	20%	10%	10%
Failed to score	50%	50%	10%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	40%	90%	70%
Over 2.5	40%	40%	90%	70%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.95	0.82	1.35	1.40
xG against / match	1.89	1.76	1.64	1.45
xG difference	-0.94	-0.94	-0.29	-0.06
Finishing vs xG	-0.05	0.18	0.55	0.00
xPts / match	0.82	0.81	1.20	1.32
Points vs xPts	0.38	0.20	0.00	-0.62
Game state
Scored first	10%	30%	40%	50%
PPG when scoring first	3.00	2.33	0.75	0.60
PPG when conceding first	1.00	0.33	1.60	0.75
Came back from behind	67%	33%	75%	38%
Leads held	67%	67%	29%	17%
Minutes leading	11%	14%	20%	21%
Minutes level	72%	58%	52%	50%
Minutes trailing	17%	28%	28%	30%
First goal (min)	34	41	43	30
First goal conceded (min)	32	38	26	34
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	56%	60%	68%	57%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	50%	62%	58%	68%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.10	0.20	0.40	0.20
Late goals against	0.20	0.20	0.40	0.30
Style
Possession	35%	36%	43%	49%
Shots	11.9	11.8	10.7	11.9
On target	3.3	3.4	4.1	4.2
Shot conversion	8%	8%	18%	12%
Shots inside box	47%	49%	71%	65%
Big chances created	1.5	1.4	2.1	2.3
Corners	3.7	4.2	3.1	3.7
xG from set plays	38%	38%	30%	38%
Goals from headers	33%	10%	21%	14%
Pressure index	6.1	6.7	9.5	11.3
Dominant minutes	31.2	31.0	39.2	46.5
Pass accuracy	72%	72%	79%	80%
Fouls	13.5	12.7	12.6	11.7
Cards	2.70	3.00	3.20	2.80

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AVS

0–15'02

16–30'32

31–45'11

46–60'12

61–75'31

76–90'12

Estrela Amadora

0–15'24

16–30'11

31–45'33

46–60'44

61–75'53

76–90'44

AVS

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	7 70%	1.0	0.86	1.29	0.98	1.96
4-2-3-1	1 10%	3.0	3.0	1.0	0.65	3.03
5-3-2	1 10%	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.43	0.85
4-1-4-1	1 10%	1.0	0.0	0.0	1.57	1.36

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	6 60%	1.0	2.0	2.17	1.56	1.68
4-3-3	2 20%	2.0	2.5	2.0	1.64	1.03
4-4-2	1 10%	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.29	2.07
3-4-3	1 10%	1.0	2.0	2.0	0.55	2.17

Metric	AVS all · 29	AVS at home · 15	Estrela Amadora all · 35	Estrela Amadora away · 18
Results
Matches	29	15	35	18
Points per game	0.69	0.80	1.06	0.83
W / D / L	3 / 11 / 15	2 / 6 / 7	8 / 13 / 14	3 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match	0.79	1.00	1.40	1.33
Goals against / match	1.93	1.60	1.77	2.11
Clean sheets	17%	13%	20%	11%
Failed to score	55%	40%	34%	39%
Both teams scored	41%	53%	57%	61%
Over 2.5	59%	53%	66%	67%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.92	0.89	1.19	1.14
xG against / match	1.90	1.91	1.63	1.72
xG difference	-0.98	-1.02	-0.44	-0.58
Finishing vs xG	-0.12	0.11	0.21	0.19
xPts / match	0.80	0.77	1.13	1.06
Points vs xPts	-0.11	0.03	-0.07	-0.22
Game state
Scored first	17%	27%	31%	33%
PPG when scoring first	1.40	1.75	1.45	0.67
PPG when conceding first	0.45	0.40	0.85	0.90
Came back from behind	32%	36%	44%	36%
Leads held	38%	40%	47%	33%
Minutes leading	8%	12%	18%	16%
Minutes level	52%	53%	49%	51%
Minutes trailing	40%	35%	33%	33%
First goal (min)	44	44	40	36
First goal conceded (min)	30	34	30	33
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	65%	60%	57%	58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	52%	58%	60%	58%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.17	0.20	0.23	0.22
Late goals against	0.28	0.27	0.20	0.33
Style
Possession	39%	38%	47%	46%
Shots	11.1	11.4	11.1	9.9
On target	3.1	3.7	3.9	3.7
Shot conversion	7%	9%	13%	13%
Shots inside box	54%	56%	59%	61%
Big chances created	1.3	1.5	2.0	1.8
Corners	3.7	3.5	3.4	3.1
xG from set plays	39%	35%	36%	40%
Goals from headers	13%	7%	16%	17%
Pressure index	5.6	6.0	9.7	8.4
Dominant minutes	28.4	32.3	39.9	36.1
Pass accuracy	73%	74%	80%	79%
Fouls	13.6	13.7	13.9	14.0
Cards	2.59	3.13	2.83	2.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AVS

0–15'19

16–30'38

31–45'410

46–60'411

61–75'610

76–90'58

Estrela Amadora

0–15'512

16–30'75

31–45'98

46–60'816

61–75'1214

76–90'87

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AVS · 29 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.23) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.2329

Early press (0-15, level)-0.1529

Late push (76+, level)-0.3412

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2612

Game state

When ahead-0.198

When level-0.2329

When behind-0.2322

10 min after conceding-0.3024

10 min after scoring-0.0213

Situations

With ten men+0.076

Against ten men-0.742

At home-0.2715

Away-0.1814

4+ days rest-0.2329

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.357

v mid-tier opponents-0.307

v bottom-tier opponents-0.2110

Evenly matched-0.206

As underdog-0.2423

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.4029

Conceded when ahead+0.348

Conceded late (76+)+0.0424

Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.00

Estrela Amadora · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: against ten men +0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1035

Early press (0-15, level)-0.1835

Late push (76+, level)-0.0715

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0813

Game state

When ahead+0.0017

When level-0.1935

When behind-0.0125

10 min after conceding-0.2828

10 min after scoring+0.2123

Situations

With ten men-0.204

Against ten men+0.424

At home-0.1017

Away-0.1018

4+ days rest-0.1035

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.299

v mid-tier opponents-0.257

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0411

As favourite+0.352

Evenly matched+0.1012

As underdog-0.2421

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2235

Conceded when ahead+0.1317

Conceded late (76+)+0.0330

Ahead vs level +0.19 · Behind vs level +0.18

AVS

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	8 28%	0.88	0.75	1.25	0.94	1.88
4-2-3-1	8 28%	0.75	1.25	2.38	1.18	1.99
4-1-4-1	6 21%	0.83	0.67	1.5	0.83	1.78
5-4-1	4 14%	0.0	0.0	3.5	0.53	2.14
3-4-3	1 3%	1.0	2.0	2.0	1.1	1.43

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	14 40%	0.93	1.5	2.21	1.16	1.92
3-4-3	10 29%	1.5	1.6	1.6	1.28	1.78
4-3-3	6 17%	1.17	1.5	1.33	1.48	0.94
4-1-4-1	2 6%	0.0	0.5	2.0	0.78	1.49
3-1-4-2	2 6%	0.5	1.0	1.5	0.91	0.76

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.7h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.87Home 33% P 34%3.2Draw 29% P 29%2.5Away 38% P 37%

Double Chance

1.4AVS or Draw 34% P 32%1.36AVS or Estrela Amadora 35% P 35%1.5Draw or Estrela Amadora 32% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 55%2.05No 45% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 49%1.8Under 53% P 51%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	34%	34%	34%	+0.6
Draw	29%	30%	27%	-2.5
Away	37%	36%	38%	+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	55%	54%	54%	-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	49%	49%	50%	+1.3

Hélder Carvalho

Career: 42 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match: 4.86 (4.48 yellow · 0.36 red)
Fouls / match: 28.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.41
Cards to home side: 53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.62	5.66	-1.29	12
Fouls / match	28.9	27.8	+0.56
Fouls per card	6.3	4.9	+1.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.45	0.37	+0.66	79
Time added	8.0	7.7	+0.48	73

First card: 32' on average
Card timing: 16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 53% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.31

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-02-21	4	0	30	1	14'	10
2026-01-24	6	2	23	0	64'	6
2026-01-03 · Estrela Amadora	3	0	22	1	11'	8
2025-12-14	2	0	34	0	28'	6
2025-10-25	4	0	31	3	43'	7
2025-09-22	2	0	34	2	45'	7
2025-08-23	5	0	30	0	20'	9
2025-08-16 · Estrela Amadora	6	0	37	1	25'	8
2025-04-12	4	0	28	0	26'	1
2025-04-05	3	0	27	0	33'	9

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

AVS

Estrela Amadora · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Absences

AVS

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 4

AVS

Estrela Amadora

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Last 10 · 4 matches

Last 5 · 4 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AVS

Estrela Amadora

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AVS

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

AVS

Estrela Amadora

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AVS

Estrela Amadora

AVS

Estrela Amadora

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AVS

Estrela Amadora

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AVS · 29 matches

Estrela Amadora · 35 matches

AVS

Estrela Amadora

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

Hélder Carvalho

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

Recent matches