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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 25

Momentum

CFEAGil Vicente
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Capacity
9,000
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
João Nuno · César Peixoto
Position
12 · 5
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
13.7° (feels 13.0°)
Wind
8.8
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 7

  • France beIN SPORTS CONNECT · Free
  • International Bet365 · OneFootball
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estrela Amadora

DWLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 4.38–6.31 · xPts 5.41

  • D A AVS 0–0 xG 0.82–0.81 PRT PL
  • L H Tondela 0–2 xG 0.91–1.42 PRT PL
  • L A Vitória Guimarães 1–2 xG 0.64–1.56 PRT PL
  • W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 1.01–1.65 PRT PL
  • D A Alverca 1–1 xG 1.0–0.87 PRT PL

Gil Vicente

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 9.72–4.48 · xPts 9.85

  • L H Benfica 1–2 xG 0.88–1.67 PRT PL
  • L A Estoril 1–3 xG 2.53–1.73 PRT PL
  • W H Sporting Braga 2–1 xG 1.13–0.79 PRT PL
  • W A Moreirense 2–1 xG 2.53–0.16 PRT PL
  • W H Famalicão 5–0 xG 2.66–0.12 PRT PL

All meetings · 8 matches since 2005

Estrela Amadora 24 draws2 Gil Vicente

Goals 7–10 · 2.13 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Estrela Amadora 24 draws2 Gil Vicente

Goals 7–10 · 2.13 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estrela Amadora 12 draws2 Gil Vicente

Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Estrela Amadora 2–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Gil Vicente 2–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estrela Amadora 1–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Gil Vicente 3–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 1–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Estrela Amadora neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 1–0 Gil Vicente neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricEstrela Amadora all · 34Estrela Amadora at home · 17Gil Vicente all · 34Gil Vicente away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.881.061.471.18
W / D / L6 / 12 / 164 / 6 / 713 / 11 / 104 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match1.121.241.381.12
Goals against / match1.651.411.121.24
Clean sheets24%29%35%35%
Failed to score44%41%26%35%
Both teams scored47%41%47%47%
Over 2.553%53%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.131.351.431.43
xG against / match1.631.531.151.30
xG difference-0.50-0.180.280.13
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.11-0.04-0.32
xPts / match1.071.261.541.46
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.20-0.07-0.28
Game state
Scored first26%29%56%53%
PPG when scoring first1.562.402.161.67
PPG when conceding first0.550.400.500.40
Came back from behind33%36%38%38%
Leads held50%67%62%40%
Minutes leading15%17%28%24%
Minutes level52%50%53%59%
Minutes trailing33%32%19%17%
First goal (min)40403325
First goal conceded (min)33324142
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%48%49%32%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%55%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.320.12
Late goals against0.180.060.240.35
Style
Possession47%50%50%50%
Shots10.813.013.812.9
On target3.63.94.54.0
Shot conversion10%10%10%9%
Shots inside box55%54%57%57%
Big chances created2.02.52.11.8
Corners3.33.65.65.7
xG from set plays41%39%45%47%
Goals from headers13%14%17%17%
Pressure index8.911.014.814.2
Dominant minutes38.446.154.152.2
Pass accuracy79%81%80%79%
Fouls14.414.213.613.8
Cards2.852.882.502.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66

Gil Vicente

0–15'84
16–30'26
31–45'147
46–60'64
61–75'69
76–90'118

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Gil Vicente · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192

Game state

When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-310 29%1.51.61.61.281.78
4-2-3-110 29%0.71.22.31.072.09
4-3-34 12%0.751.01.01.40.89
5-3-23 9%0.330.671.671.551.6
3-1-4-22 6%0.51.01.50.910.76

Gil Vicente

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 79%1.441.371.191.421.16
4-1-4-14 12%1.751.750.751.751.04
4-4-22 6%0.51.01.51.271.39
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.00.580.8

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.1Home 23% P 23%3.2Draw 29% P 29%1.95Away 48% P 49%

Double Chance

1.9Estrela Amadora or Draw 25% P 26%1.36Estrela Amadora or Gil Vicente 35% P 36%1.18Draw or Gil Vicente 40% P 39%

Draw No Bet

3.41 28%1.32 72%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 48%1.75No 53% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.15Over 44% P 43%1.66Under 56% P 57%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 47.5–50% · 385 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home23%24%22%-2.1
Draw29%27%28%+1.0
Away49%49%50%+1.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 50%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.895.66+0.3248
Fouls / match28.827.8+0.51
Fouls per card5.04.9-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.37+0.3764
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.39

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-26 60 220 12'9
2026-02-15 40 190 34'9
2026-02-09 80 251 45'15
2026-02-01 50 240 36'9
2026-01-22 90 280 44'8
2026-01-17 40 221 57'6
2025-12-27 · Estrela Amadora 80 340 18'13
2025-12-07 30 190 39'7
2025-11-05 20 250 6'6
2025-10-25 · Estrela Amadora 90 360 10'8