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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 25

Momentum

BenficaPorto
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa
Capacity
68,100
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
José Mourinho · Francesco Farioli
Position
3 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
11.9° (feels 11.2°)
Wind
7.7
Humidity
80%

Where to watch · 27

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Benfica

WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 9.89–3.89 · xPts 10.15

  • W A Gil Vicente 2–1 xG 1.67–0.88 PRT PL
  • L A Real Madrid 1–2 xG 2.08–1.25 UEFA CL
  • W H AVS 3–0 xG 3.36–0.11 PRT PL
  • L H Real Madrid 0–1 xG 0.7–1.34 UEFA CL
  • W A Santa Clara 2–1 xG 2.08–0.3 PRT PL

Porto

LDWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 9.06–3.56 · xPts 9.87

  • W H Arouca 3–1 xG 3.22–0.37 PRT PL
  • W H Rio Ave 1–0 xG 2.19–0.48 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 1–0 xG 0.69–0.77 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting CP 1–1 xG 0.85–1.47 PRT PL
  • L A Casa Pia 1–2 xG 2.11–0.47 PRT PL

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Benfica 1113 draws18 Porto

Goals 47–59 · 2.52 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Benfica 42 draws4 Porto

Goals 14–15 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Benfica 22 draws1 Porto

Goals 10–9 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Benfica 2–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Porto 0–0 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 1–4 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 4–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 5–0 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 1–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 0–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 3–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricBenfica all · 34Benfica at home · 17Porto all · 34Porto away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.352.292.592.53
W / D / L23 / 11 / 011 / 6 / 028 / 4 / 214 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match2.182.411.941.94
Goals against / match0.740.760.530.71
Clean sheets41%41%62%53%
Failed to score6%0%3%0%
Both teams scored59%59%38%47%
Over 2.571%71%56%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.212.431.861.87
xG against / match0.880.670.710.83
xG difference1.331.751.161.04
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.010.080.07
xPts / match2.122.332.072.03
Points vs xPts0.23-0.040.520.50
Game state
Scored first79%82%85%76%
PPG when scoring first2.482.432.792.85
PPG when conceding first2.201.671.501.50
Came back from behind100%100%50%50%
Leads held77%73%90%93%
Minutes leading48%54%51%48%
Minutes level46%40%43%40%
Minutes trailing6%7%6%12%
First goal (min)33303639
First goal conceded (min)51435651
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%46%56%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%46%78%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.470.590.350.24
Late goals against0.240.240.180.24
Style
Possession58%59%55%54%
Shots17.018.114.514.4
On target6.06.95.35.2
Shot conversion13%13%13%14%
Shots inside box67%68%66%65%
Big chances created3.33.32.92.8
Corners7.27.55.65.6
xG from set plays32%35%31%29%
Goals from headers16%10%14%22%
Pressure index23.826.119.919.0
Dominant minutes67.773.864.864.6
Pass accuracy84%85%84%84%
Fouls11.011.213.914.2
Cards2.151.822.532.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Benfica

0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168

Porto

0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%2.382.240.792.20.9
4-4-23 9%2.331.670.332.180.94
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.00.02.510.78
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.02.430.22

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-334 100%2.591.940.531.860.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 48%3.2Draw 30% P 30%4.33Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22Benfica or Draw 38% P 39%1.36Benfica or FC Porto 34% P 35%1.72Draw or FC Porto 27% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 44%1.66No 56% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 37%1.5Under 62% P 63%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 33%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

7.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 20–22.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%49%47%-2.2
Draw30%29%33%+3.5
Away22%22%20%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.537%36%41%+4.2

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Career
234 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.91 (4.7 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
27.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 91 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.45.66-0.3036
Fouls / match27.427.8-0.22
Fouls per card5.14.9+0.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.37-0.2139
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-25 71 311 14'14
2026-02-21 50 281 14'11
2026-02-18 20 160 13'12
2026-01-28 71 210 7'4
2026-01-24 40 350 18'6
2026-01-20 40 260 72'4
2026-01-17 91 230 5'9
2025-12-22 · Porto 20 200 63'3
2025-12-09 50 200 28'6
2025-11-25 20 120 60'3