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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 27

Momentum

BenficaVSC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa
Capacity
68,100
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
José Mourinho · Gil Moreira Lameiras
Position
3 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
15.1° (feels 14.9°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Benfica

WLWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 11.21–6.95 · xPts 9.19

  • W A Arouca 2–1 xG 2.34–2.55 PRT PL
  • D H Porto 2–2 xG 1.76–2.16 PRT PL
  • W A Gil Vicente 2–1 xG 1.67–0.88 PRT PL
  • L A Real Madrid 1–2 xG 2.08–1.25 UEFA CL
  • W H AVS 3–0 xG 3.36–0.11 PRT PL

Vitória Guimarães

WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 5.81–7.05 · xPts 6.1

  • L H Famalicão 1–2 xG 0.51–1.26 PRT PL
  • L A Santa Clara 0–2 xG 1.05–0.96 PRT PL
  • D H Alverca 1–1 xG 1.71–1.94 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 2–3 xG 0.98–2.25 PRT PL
  • W H Estrela Amadora 2–1 xG 1.56–0.64 PRT PL

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Benfica 315 draws4 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 80–19 · 2.48 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Benfica 82 draws0 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 27–4 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Benfica 41 draws0 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 12–2 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Benfica 3–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 0–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 0–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 1–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Vitória Guimarães 2–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 4–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 5–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Vitória Guimarães 0–0 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 3–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 1–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricBenfica all · 34Benfica at home · 17Vitória Guimarães all · 34Vitória Guimarães away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.352.291.240.82
W / D / L23 / 11 / 011 / 6 / 012 / 6 / 164 / 2 / 11
Goals for / match2.182.411.150.76
Goals against / match0.740.761.501.88
Clean sheets41%41%29%29%
Failed to score6%0%35%47%
Both teams scored59%59%41%29%
Over 2.571%71%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.212.431.271.20
xG against / match0.880.671.291.37
xG difference1.331.75-0.02-0.16
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.01-0.12-0.44
xPts / match2.122.331.381.29
Points vs xPts0.23-0.04-0.15-0.46
Game state
Scored first79%82%41%41%
PPG when scoring first2.482.432.141.86
PPG when conceding first2.201.670.560.00
Came back from behind100%100%20%0%
Leads held77%73%71%57%
Minutes leading48%54%16%13%
Minutes level46%40%55%50%
Minutes trailing6%7%29%38%
First goal (min)33304545
First goal conceded (min)51433730
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%46%56%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%46%55%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.470.590.180.18
Late goals against0.240.240.290.29
Style
Possession58%59%51%52%
Shots17.018.113.313.2
On target6.06.93.93.8
Shot conversion13%13%9%6%
Shots inside box67%68%56%53%
Big chances created3.33.31.61.6
Corners7.27.54.44.5
xG from set plays32%35%35%28%
Goals from headers16%10%16%17%
Pressure index23.826.112.911.7
Dominant minutes67.773.853.853.6
Pass accuracy84%85%82%82%
Fouls11.011.214.513.5
Cards2.151.822.412.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Benfica

0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27
16–30'87
31–45'79
46–60'68
61–75'1010
76–90'610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%2.382.240.792.20.9
4-4-23 9%2.331.670.332.180.94
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.00.02.510.78
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.02.430.22

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.160.961.481.191.32
4-4-23 9%2.02.01.331.451.41
4-3-32 6%2.03.00.52.440.4
3-4-32 6%1.51.52.01.141.39
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.03.00.531.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.9h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.2Home 78% P 81%6.5Draw 14% P 12%12.0Away 8% P 7%

Double Chance

1.05Benfica or Draw 45% P 46%1.11Benfica or Guimaraes 43% P 44%4.0Draw or Guimaraes 12% P 10%

Draw No Bet

1.061 90%10.02 10%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 49%1.8No 52% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 65% P 68%2.7Under 35% P 32%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 80–82.5% · away 5–7.5% · 442 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home81%81%83%+1.6
Draw12%13%11%-1.8
Away7%6%6%+0.2

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 65%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.895.66+0.3248
Fouls / match28.827.8+0.51
Fouls per card5.04.9-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.37+0.3764
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.39

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-12 40 240 30'7
2026-03-08 30 321 45'10
2026-02-26 60 220 12'9
2026-02-15 40 190 34'9
2026-02-09 80 251 45'15
2026-02-01 · Benfica 50 240 36'9
2026-01-22 90 280 44'8
2026-01-17 40 221 57'6
2025-12-27 80 340 18'13
2025-12-07 30 190 39'7