Rating 6.79 (63th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (6% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 1.0 ppg with (25) · 0.56 without (9)
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 28
Momentum
– Casa PiaBenfica –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Casa Pia | at home | Stat | league | away | Benfica |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.2 #17 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 57.8 #3 |
| 8.8 #18 | – | Shots total | 12.1 | – | 17.0 #2 |
| 2.9 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 6.0 #2 |
| 4.0 #13 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 7.2 #1 |
| 15.9 #1 | – | Fouls | 13.7 | – | 11.0 #18 |
| 1.5 #7 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.5 #6 |
| 14.9 #12 | – | Tackles | 15.6 | – | 16.5 #4 |
| 75.7 #18 | – | Attacks | 90.3 | – | 113.5 #2 |
| 33.3 #15 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.1 | – | 63.3 #1 |
| 301.3 #17 | – | Passes | 405.0 | – | 480.1 #3 |
| 3.1 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 2.6 | – | 2.0 #18 |
| 0.1 #5 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 0.6 #15 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.4 #2 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 48.0 | – | – #1 |
| – #12 | – | Cleansheet | 29.2 | – | – #4 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 27.1 | – | – #5 |
| 0.9 #16 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 2.2 #1 |
| -0.0 #9 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.0 #10 |
| – #3 | – | Failed to score | 29.2 | – | – #16 |
| 0.9 #16 | 1.1 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.2 #2 |
| 1.7 #3 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 #16 |
| 0.1 #15 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.4 #1 |
| 8.5 #10 | – | Interceptions | 8.6 | – | 8.3 #13 |
| – #4 | – | Lost | 36.4 | – | – #18 |
| 0.1 #13 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.4 #2 |
| 6.7 #17 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #2 |
| 2.2 #18 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 4.7 #1 |
| 5.5 #17 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.4 | – | 11.4 #2 |
| 3.8 #16 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 6.3 #2 |
| 3.4 #18 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.6 | – | 5.6 #4 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 36.4 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 5.01 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Casa Pia · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.67 (29th pct) · G+A 6 + 0 (19% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 0.87 ppg with (23) · 0.91 without (11)
Rating 6.72 (40th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (6% of team goals) · 47% of minutes
Team 0.88 ppg with (17) · 0.88 without (17)
Benfica · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.22 (95th pct) · G+A 24 + 4 (38% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 7.27 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (9% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 2.31 ppg with (26) · 2.5 without (8)
Rating 7.04 (88th pct) · G+A 7 + 6 (18% of team goals) · 57% of minutes
Team 2.4 ppg with (20) · 2.29 without (14)
Absences
Benfica
- injury Bruma attacker · Unknown Injury · 9 missed · until 2026-04-22
- injury Fredrik Aursnes #2 key player midfielder · Rest · 4 missed · until 2026-04-10
- injury João Veloso midfielder · Shoulder Injury · 22 missed · until 2026-05-05
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 28
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa
- Capacity
- 7,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 6,113
Teams
- Coaches
- Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco · José Mourinho
- Position
- 16 · 3
- Formation
- 3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Hélder Carvalho
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 15.6° (feels 15.6°)
- Wind
- 6.7
- Humidity
- 91%
Where to watch · 1
- International Bet365
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP |
34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Benfica |
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | WLDDD |
| 5 |  Famalicão |
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente |
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LWDLL |
| 7 |  Moreirense |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Arouca |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Vitória Guimarães |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Estoril |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LLDDL |
| 11 |  Alverca |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LWLDL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave |
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Nacional |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WWLLW |
| 15 |  Estrela Amadora |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Tondela |
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 18 |  AVS |
34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 45 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Famalicão |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 31 | DWDDW |
| 5 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 30 | WLDDD |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 | LWDLL |
| 7 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Moreirense |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Alverca |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Arouca |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Estoril |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 23 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Santa Clara |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 | DWDWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 18 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | DLDLD |
| 17 | Tondela |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | LDWWL |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 43 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 25 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 5 | Famalicão |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 6 | Rio Ave |
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 | DLDLD |
| 7 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 8 | Arouca |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Estoril |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Casa Pia |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Tondela |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 14 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Santa Clara |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 | DWDWL |
| 16 | Alverca |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 9 | DDWWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Casa Pia
WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 5.59–8.48 · xPts 5.77
- L
A
Estrela Amadora
0–4
xG 0.42–3.17
PRT PL
- D
A
Estoril
0–0
xG 1.4–0.48
PRT PL
- D
H
Moreirense
1–1
xG 1.3–1.7
PRT PL
- L
A
Famalicão
0–2
xG 0.6–2.16
PRT PL
- W
H
Arouca
3–2
xG 1.87–0.96
PRT PL
LLDWDWLDDL 2W 4D 4L · 10 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 19 · xG 9.71–18.5 · xPts 9.16
- L
A
Estrela Amadora
0–4
xG 0.42–3.17
PRT PL
- D
A
Estoril
0–0
xG 1.4–0.48
PRT PL
- D
H
Moreirense
1–1
xG 1.3–1.7
PRT PL
- L
A
Famalicão
0–2
xG 0.6–2.16
PRT PL
- W
H
Arouca
3–2
xG 1.87–0.96
PRT PL
- D
A
Nacional
0–0
xG 0.77–1.04
PRT PL
- W
H
Porto
2–1
xG 0.47–2.11
PRT PL
- D
H
AVS
3–3
xG 1.31–3.42
PRT PL
- L
A
Sporting CP
0–3
xG 0.34–1.6
PRT PL
- L
A
Rio Ave
1–3
xG 1.22–1.84
PRT PL
Benfica
LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 9.45–7.6 · xPts 8.26
- W
H
Vitória Guimarães
3–0
xG 1.6–0.76
PRT PL
- W
A
Arouca
2–1
xG 2.34–2.55
PRT PL
- D
H
Porto
2–2
xG 1.76–2.16
PRT PL
- W
A
Gil Vicente
2–1
xG 1.67–0.88
PRT PL
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–2
xG 2.08–1.25
UEFA CL
DWWLWLWDWW 6W 2D 2L · 20 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 17 GA 9 · xG 21.12–10.84 · xPts 19.6
- W
H
Vitória Guimarães
3–0
xG 1.6–0.76
PRT PL
- W
A
Arouca
2–1
xG 2.34–2.55
PRT PL
- D
H
Porto
2–2
xG 1.76–2.16
PRT PL
- W
A
Gil Vicente
2–1
xG 1.67–0.88
PRT PL
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–2
xG 2.08–1.25
UEFA CL
- W
H
AVS
3–0
xG 3.36–0.11
PRT PL
- L
H
Real Madrid
0–1
xG 0.7–1.34
UEFA CL
- W
A
Santa Clara
2–1
xG 2.08–0.3
PRT PL
- W
H
Alverca
2–1
xG 2.67–0.9
PRT PL
- D
A
Tondela
0–0
xG 2.87–0.58
PRT PL
All meetings · 9 matches since 2022
Goals 7–20 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 56%
Last 10 · 9 matches
Goals 7–20 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 56%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–14 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L Casa Pia 0–7 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Casa Pia 1–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Benfica 2–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Casa Pia 3–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Benfica 3–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Casa Pia 0–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Benfica 1–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Benfica 3–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Casa Pia 0–1 Benfica neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Casa Pia all · 34 | Casa Pia at home · 17 | Benfica all · 34 | Benfica away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.88 | 0.88 | 2.35 | 2.41 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 16 | 2 / 9 / 6 | 23 / 11 / 0 | 12 / 5 / 0 |
| Goals for / match | 0.91 | 1.06 | 2.18 | 1.94 |
| Goals against / match | 1.68 | 1.53 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 12% | 41% | 41% |
| Failed to score | 44% | 41% | 6% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 59% | 59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 29% | 71% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.94 | 0.98 | 2.21 | 1.99 |
| xG against / match | 1.56 | 1.49 | 0.88 | 1.09 |
| xG difference | -0.62 | -0.51 | 1.33 | 0.91 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | 0.08 | -0.03 | -0.05 |
| xPts / match | 1.00 | 1.07 | 2.12 | 1.91 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.12 | -0.19 | 0.23 | 0.50 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 29% | 79% | 76% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.50 | 1.20 | 2.48 | 2.54 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.55 | 0.70 | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| Came back from behind | 30% | 46% | 100% | 100% |
| Leads held | 46% | 29% | 77% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 17% | 20% | 48% | 42% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 60% | 46% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 20% | 6% | 5% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 39 | 33 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 47 | 51 | 60 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 39% | 49% | 52% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 62% | 60% | 75% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| Late goals against | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | 41% | 58% | 57% |
| Shots | 8.9 | 8.3 | 17.0 | 15.9 |
| On target | 2.9 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 5.1 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 61% | 67% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 3.6 | 7.2 | 6.9 |
| xG from set plays | 38% | 42% | 32% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 22% | 16% | 24% |
| Pressure index | 7.1 | 8.9 | 23.8 | 21.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.6 | 41.5 | 67.7 | 61.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 72% | 71% | 84% | 83% |
| Fouls | 15.9 | 16.9 | 11.0 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 3.00 | 3.24 | 2.15 | 2.47 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Casa Pia
0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611
Benfica
0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Casa Pia · 6 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654
Game state
When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075
Situations
At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265
Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37
Benfica · 13 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122
Game state
When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513
Situations
At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05
Casa Pia
Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 23 68% | 1.04 | 1.09 | 1.61 | 1.02 | 1.49 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 12% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.0 | 0.69 | 1.55 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 2.33 | 0.7 | 2.23 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.85 | 1.51 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.45 | 1.34 |
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 85% | 2.38 | 2.24 | 0.79 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 9% | 2.33 | 1.67 | 0.33 | 2.18 | 0.94 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.43 | 0.22 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.51 | 0.78 |
| Metric | Casa Pia all · 10 | Casa Pia at home · 10 | Benfica all · 10 | Benfica away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.70 | 2.60 | 2.30 |
| W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 7 | 1 / 4 / 5 | 8 / 2 / 0 | 7 / 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 0.40 | 0.70 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 30% | 80% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.93 | 1.18 | 2.39 | 2.01 |
| xG against / match | 1.62 | 1.34 | 0.60 | 1.04 |
| xG difference | -0.69 | -0.16 | 1.79 | 0.97 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.53 | -0.48 | 0.61 | 0.99 |
| xPts / match | 0.95 | 1.31 | 2.33 | 1.97 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.45 | -0.61 | 0.27 | 0.59 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 30% | 80% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.33 | 0.67 | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.67 | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 29% | 100% | 50% |
| Leads held | 33% | 25% | 89% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 3% | 11% | 62% | 62% |
| Minutes level | 60% | 58% | 36% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 31% | 3% | 2% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 43 | 25 | 26 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 41 | 53 | 67 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 25% | 14% | 60% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | 63% | 71% | 88% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 38% | 62% | 55% |
| Shots | 10.3 | 9.9 | 20.0 | 15.3 |
| On target | 3.1 | 2.7 | 7.7 | 6.0 |
| Shot conversion | 4% | 7% | 15% | 18% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 64% | 74% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 4.1 | 7.5 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 47% | 43% | 31% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 17% | 4% | 4% |
| Pressure index | 11.9 | 11.4 | 22.9 | 16.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.1 | 46.3 | 71.4 | 55.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 69% | 88% | 85% |
| Fouls | 14.2 | 16.6 | 12.2 | 12.0 |
| Cards | 3.10 | 3.50 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Casa Pia
0–15'02
16–30'02
31–45'33
46–60'06
61–75'05
76–90'11
Benfica
0–15'51
16–30'30
31–45'41
46–60'102
61–75'41
76–90'42
Casa Pia
Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 3.0 | 0.76 | 2.04 |
| 3-4-3 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.23 | 1.28 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.65 | 1.44 |
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.63 | 2.16 | 0.63 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.32 | 0.51 |
| Metric | Casa Pia all · 35 | Casa Pia at home · 18 | Benfica all · 52 | Benfica away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 52 | 27 |
| Points per game | 0.71 | 0.83 | 2.13 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 13 / 18 | 2 / 9 / 7 | 33 / 12 / 7 | 16 / 6 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 0.80 | 1.06 | 2.27 | 2.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.83 | 1.89 | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 11% | 36% | 41% |
| Failed to score | 49% | 39% | 14% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 61% | 54% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 39% | 69% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.93 | 1.02 | 2.18 | 1.82 |
| xG against / match | 1.61 | 1.52 | 0.87 | 0.99 |
| xG difference | -0.68 | -0.50 | 1.31 | 0.83 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.22 |
| xPts / match | 0.97 | 1.08 | 2.09 | 1.88 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.25 | -0.25 | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 26% | 33% | 69% | 67% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.53 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.52 | 0.70 | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 28% | 42% | 59% | 44% |
| Leads held | 33% | 25% | 80% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 19% | 47% | 40% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 24% | 10% | 11% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 40 | 29 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 44 | 47 | 50 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 37% | 52% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 61% | 68% | 62% | 70% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 42% | 41% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 9.1 | 8.7 | 17.3 | 15.5 |
| On target | 2.8 | 2.7 | 6.2 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 62% | 68% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 3.8 | 7.0 | 6.6 |
| xG from set plays | 40% | 44% | 32% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 22% | 15% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 8.2 | 9.8 | 20.4 | 18.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.0 | 43.4 | 63.1 | 56.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 72% | 71% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 15.3 | 16.6 | 10.6 | 10.3 |
| Cards | 2.80 | 3.28 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Casa Pia
0–15'49
16–30'33
31–45'813
46–60'314
61–75'413
76–90'612
Benfica
0–15'185
16–30'205
31–45'187
46–60'259
61–75'138
76–90'2411
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Casa Pia · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.16) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.38
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1635
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1535
Late push (76+, level)-0.2415
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0618
Game state
When ahead-0.3112
When level-0.1635
When behind-0.1125
10 min after conceding-0.2929
10 min after scoring-0.1718
Situations
With ten men-0.232
Against ten men-0.652
At home-0.1318
Away-0.2017
4+ days rest-0.1635
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.388
v mid-tier opponents-0.2310
v bottom-tier opponents-0.059
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched-0.0510
As underdog-0.2422
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2935
Conceded when ahead+0.3012
Conceded late (76+)+0.0332
Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level +0.05
Benfica · 52 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.96
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4852
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3152
Late push (76+, level)+0.7719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0311
Game state
When ahead+0.3841
When level+0.6252
When behind+0.2217
10 min after conceding+0.1132
10 min after scoring+0.7145
Situations
With ten men-0.164
Against ten men+0.295
At home+0.4925
Away+0.4627
3 days rest or fewer+0.356
4+ days rest+0.4946
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0615
v mid-tier opponents+0.388
v bottom-tier opponents+0.9613
As favourite+0.6641
Evenly matched-0.044
As underdog-0.187
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1952
Conceded when ahead-0.1641
Conceded late (76+)-0.3842
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.41
Casa Pia
Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 20 57% | 0.9 | 1.05 | 1.75 | 1.02 | 1.56 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 14% | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 0.83 | 1.43 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.81 | 1.89 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.85 | 1.51 |
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 46 88% | 2.2 | 2.35 | 0.83 | 2.18 | 0.87 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.82 | 0.5 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.32 | 0.51 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.31 | 2.34 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.51 | 0.78 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
13.0Home 7% P 7%6.5Draw 14% P 14%1.2Away 78% P 78%
Double Chance
4.33Casa Pia or Draw 11%1.11Casa Pia or Benfica 43%1.04Draw or Benfica 46%
Draw No Bet
11.01 9%1.052 91%
Both Teams To Score
2.05Yes 45%1.7No 55%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.47Over 64% P 63%2.6Under 36% P 37%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 5–10% · away 75–80% · 344 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7% | 8% | 7% | -1.0 |
| Draw | 14% | 15% | 12% | -3.0 |
| Away | 78% | 77% | 81% | +4.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 64%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Hélder Carvalho
- Career
- 42 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.86 (4.48 yellow · 0.36 red)
- Fouls / match
- 28.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.41
- Cards to home side
- 53%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.62 | 5.66 | -1.29 | 12 |
| Fouls / match | 28.9 | 27.8 | +0.56 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.3 | 4.9 | +1.47 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.45 | 0.37 | +0.66 | 79 |
| Time added | 8.0 | 7.7 | +0.48 | 73 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 53% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.31
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 45' | 7 |
| 2026-02-28 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 54' | 7 |
| 2026-02-21 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 14' | 10 |
| 2026-01-24 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 64' | 6 |
| 2026-01-03 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 11' | 8 |
| 2025-12-14 · Benfica | 2 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 28' | 6 |
| 2025-10-25 · Benfica | 4 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 43' | 7 |
| 2025-09-22 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 45' | 7 |
| 2025-08-23 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 20' | 9 |
| 2025-08-16 · Benfica | 6 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 25' | 8 |