Rating 7.04 (86th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (26% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 29
Momentum
– CFEASporting CP –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Estrela Amadora | at home | Stat | league | away | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.8 #13 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 61.9 #2 |
| 10.8 #12 | – | Shots total | 12.1 | – | 17.6 #1 |
| 3.6 #12 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 6.8 #1 |
| 3.3 #18 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 6.8 #2 |
| 14.3 #7 | – | Fouls | 13.7 | – | 12.2 #16 |
| 1.8 #4 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.4 #11 |
| 15.8 #9 | – | Tackles | 15.6 | – | 15.9 #7 |
| 77.0 #17 | – | Attacks | 90.3 | – | 111.6 #3 |
| 29.6 #18 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.1 | – | 59.0 #2 |
| 354.8 #14 | – | Passes | 405.0 | – | 544.3 #2 |
| 3.0 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 2.6 | – | 2.2 #17 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 0.7 #12 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 2.0 #1 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 48.0 | – | – #3 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 29.2 | – | – #3 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 27.1 | – | – #13 |
| 1.1 #12 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 2.1 #2 |
| -0.0 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | 0.5 #1 |
| – #3 | – | Failed to score | 29.2 | – | – #18 |
| 1.1 #10 | 1.2 | Goals | 1.3 | 2.2 | 2.6 #1 |
| 1.6 #6 | 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 #17 |
| 0.2 #10 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.4 #1 |
| 9.8 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.6 | – | 6.9 #18 |
| – #4 | – | Lost | 36.4 | – | – #16 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 6.7 #11 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #1 |
| 2.7 #13 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 4.3 #2 |
| 5.9 #15 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.4 | – | 11.9 #1 |
| 4.6 #11 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 6.4 #1 |
| 4.9 #8 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.6 | – | 5.7 #3 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 36.4 | – | – #2 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 5.01 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Estrela Amadora · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.73 (41th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (13% of team goals) · 55% of minutes
Team 0.8 ppg with (20) · 1.0 without (14)
Rating 7.1 (92th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 26% of minutes
Team 0.44 ppg with (9) · 1.04 without (25)
Sporting CP · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.52 (98th pct) · G+A 28 + 6 (38% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 7.23 (100th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (6% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 2.45 ppg with (29) · 2.2 without (5)
Rating 7.11 (93th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 2.4 ppg with (25) · 2.44 without (9)
Absences
Estrela Amadora
- injury Ni defender · Broken Arm · 7 missed · until 2026-01-02
Sporting CP
- injury Luís Guilherme #13 key player attacker · Ankle Sprain · 7 missed · until 2026-04-21
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 29
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
- Capacity
- 9,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 7,102
Teams
- Coaches
- João Nuno · Rui Borges
- Position
- 14 · 2
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
David Rafael Oliveira Silva
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 11.4° (feels 10.4°)
- Wind
- 10.3
- Humidity
- 72%
Where to watch · 1
- International Bet365
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP |
34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Benfica |
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | WLDDD |
| 5 |  Famalicão |
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente |
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LWDLL |
| 7 |  Moreirense |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Arouca |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Vitória Guimarães |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Estoril |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LLDDL |
| 11 |  Alverca |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LWLDL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave |
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Nacional |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WWLLW |
| 15 |  Estrela Amadora |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Tondela |
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 18 |  AVS |
34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 45 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Famalicão |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 31 | DWDDW |
| 5 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 30 | WLDDD |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 | LWDLL |
| 7 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Moreirense |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Alverca |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Arouca |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Estoril |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 23 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Santa Clara |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 | DWDWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 18 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | DLDLD |
| 17 | Tondela |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | LDWWL |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 43 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 25 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 5 | Famalicão |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 6 | Rio Ave |
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 | DLDLD |
| 7 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 8 | Arouca |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Estoril |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Casa Pia |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Tondela |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 14 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Santa Clara |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 | DWDWL |
| 16 | Alverca |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 9 | DDWWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Estrela Amadora
DDLWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.44–7.16 · xPts 6.69
- L
A
Nacional
0–2
xG 0.64–1.19
PRT PL
- W
H
Casa Pia
4–0
xG 3.17–0.42
PRT PL
- L
A
Rio Ave
1–2
xG 1.53–2.47
PRT PL
- D
H
Gil Vicente
2–2
xG 1.28–2.27
PRT PL
- D
A
AVS
0–0
xG 0.82–0.81
PRT PL
LDWLLDDLWL 2W 3D 5L · 9 pts (0.9 ppg) · GF 10 GA 15 · xG 11.12–14.8 · xPts 10.95
- L
A
Nacional
0–2
xG 0.64–1.19
PRT PL
- W
H
Casa Pia
4–0
xG 3.17–0.42
PRT PL
- L
A
Rio Ave
1–2
xG 1.53–2.47
PRT PL
- D
H
Gil Vicente
2–2
xG 1.28–2.27
PRT PL
- D
A
AVS
0–0
xG 0.82–0.81
PRT PL
- L
H
Tondela
0–2
xG 0.91–1.42
PRT PL
- L
A
Vitória Guimarães
1–2
xG 0.64–1.56
PRT PL
- W
H
Santa Clara
1–0
xG 1.01–1.65
PRT PL
- D
A
Alverca
1–1
xG 1.0–0.87
PRT PL
- L
A
Benfica
0–4
xG 0.12–2.13
PRT PL
Sporting CP
LWWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 13 GA 7 · xG 9.97–5.85 · xPts 9.04
- L
H
Arsenal
0–1
xG 1.06–1.17
UEFA CL - W
H
Santa Clara
4–2
xG 2.54–0.46
PRT PL
- W
A
Alverca
4–1
xG 1.97–0.96
PRT PL
- W
H
Bodø / Glimt
5–0 aet
xG 3.76–0.56
UEFA CL - L
A
Bodø / Glimt
0–3
xG 0.64–2.7
UEFA CL
DWWWDLWWWL 6W 2D 2L · 20 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 23 GA 10 · xG 19.0–9.29 · xPts 19.77
- L
H
Arsenal
0–1
xG 1.06–1.17
UEFA CL
- W
H
Santa Clara
4–2
xG 2.54–0.46
PRT PL
- W
A
Alverca
4–1
xG 1.97–0.96
PRT PL
- W
H
Bodø / Glimt
5–0 aet
xG 3.76–0.56
UEFA CL
- L
A
Bodø / Glimt
0–3
xG 0.64–2.7
UEFA CL
- D
A
Sporting Braga
2–2
xG 1.88–1.42
PRT PL
- W
H
Estoril
3–0
xG 2.03–0.55
PRT PL
- W
A
Moreirense
3–0
xG 1.69–0.4
PRT PL
- W
H
Famalicão
1–0
xG 1.95–0.23
PRT PL
- D
A
Porto
1–1
xG 1.47–0.85
PRT PL
All meetings · 15 matches since 2005
Goals 10–33 · 2.87 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 60%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 8–27 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–15 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- D Estrela Amadora 2–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estrela Amadora 0–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Sporting CP 4–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estrela Amadora 0–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Sporting CP 5–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estrela Amadora 1–2 Sporting CP neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Sporting CP 3–2 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Sporting CP 2–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estrela Amadora 1–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Sporting CP 2–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Estrela Amadora all · 34 | Estrela Amadora at home · 17 | Sporting CP all · 34 | Sporting CP away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.88 | 1.06 | 2.41 | 2.41 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 16 | 4 / 6 / 7 | 25 / 7 / 2 | 12 / 5 / 0 |
| Goals for / match | 1.12 | 1.24 | 2.62 | 2.24 |
| Goals against / match | 1.65 | 1.41 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 29% | 44% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 44% | 41% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 41% | 56% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 53% | 71% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.13 | 1.35 | 2.09 | 1.90 |
| xG against / match | 1.63 | 1.53 | 0.82 | 0.91 |
| xG difference | -0.50 | -0.18 | 1.27 | 0.99 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.02 | -0.11 | 0.53 | 0.34 |
| xPts / match | 1.07 | 1.26 | 2.12 | 1.98 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.19 | -0.20 | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 26% | 29% | 76% | 71% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.56 | 2.40 | 2.54 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.55 | 0.40 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 36% | 75% | 100% |
| Leads held | 50% | 67% | 81% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 15% | 17% | 45% | 41% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 50% | 48% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 32% | 7% | 8% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 40 | 39 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 32 | 50 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 48% | 57% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 58% | 67% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 50% | 62% | 63% |
| Shots | 10.8 | 13.0 | 17.6 | 16.1 |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 6.1 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 15% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 55% | 54% | 68% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 3.6 | 6.9 | 7.5 |
| xG from set plays | 41% | 39% | 24% | 23% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 14% | 16% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 8.9 | 11.0 | 24.6 | 22.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.4 | 46.1 | 69.6 | 68.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 81% | 88% | 88% |
| Fouls | 14.4 | 14.2 | 12.2 | 12.3 |
| Cards | 2.85 | 2.88 | 2.18 | 2.82 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Estrela Amadora
0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66
Sporting CP
0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Estrela Amadora · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195
Game state
When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416
Situations
At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296
Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12
Sporting CP · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Game state
When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187
Situations
At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196
Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.07 | 2.09 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.89 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.55 | 1.6 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.49 |
Sporting CP
Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 94% | 2.38 | 2.53 | 0.72 | 2.02 | 0.83 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 3.23 | 0.69 |
| Metric | Estrela Amadora all · 10 | Estrela Amadora at home · 10 | Sporting CP all · 10 | Sporting CP away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.30 | 2.60 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 6 / 2 | 3 / 4 / 3 | 8 / 2 / 0 | 4 / 5 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.90 | 1.40 | 3.00 | 1.90 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% | 0% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 50% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 60% | 80% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | 1.13 | 1.89 | 1.70 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.56 | 0.77 | 1.13 |
| xG difference | -0.29 | -0.43 | 1.13 | 0.56 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.55 | 0.27 | 1.11 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | 1.20 | 1.06 | 2.09 | 1.74 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.51 | -0.04 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 20% | 80% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.75 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 1.86 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.60 | 0.86 | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 57% | 100% | 50% |
| Leads held | 29% | 60% | 80% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 17% | 66% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 42% | 29% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 40% | 5% | 9% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 54 | 26 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 26 | 21 | 60 | 56 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 68% | 71% | 43% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 50% | 78% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 45% | 59% | 60% |
| Shots | 10.7 | 11.4 | 13.7 | 13.7 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.0 | 6.3 | 5.2 |
| Shot conversion | 18% | 12% | 22% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 60% | 67% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 5.3 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 31% | 28% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 21% | 8% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 9.5 | 9.4 | 15.8 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.2 | 41.8 | 59.1 | 55.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 89% | 89% |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 13.9 | 10.9 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 3.20 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Estrela Amadora
0–15'24
16–30'11
31–45'33
46–60'44
61–75'53
76–90'44
Sporting CP
0–15'52
16–30'50
31–45'70
46–60'60
61–75'43
76–90'34
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.17 | 1.56 | 1.68 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.03 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.55 | 2.17 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.29 | 2.07 |
Sporting CP
Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 1.89 | 0.77 |
| Metric | Estrela Amadora all · 35 | Estrela Amadora at home · 17 | Sporting CP all · 48 | Sporting CP away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 17 | 48 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.06 | 1.29 | 2.23 | 1.83 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 13 / 14 | 5 / 7 / 5 | 32 / 11 / 5 | 11 / 9 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.47 | 2.37 | 1.87 |
| Goals against / match | 1.77 | 1.41 | 0.88 | 1.09 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 29% | 38% | 26% |
| Failed to score | 34% | 29% | 6% | 9% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 53% | 58% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 65% | 71% | 61% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.19 | 1.24 | 1.87 | 1.54 |
| xG against / match | 1.63 | 1.52 | 0.91 | 1.06 |
| xG difference | -0.44 | -0.28 | 0.97 | 0.49 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| xPts / match | 1.13 | 1.20 | 1.93 | 1.69 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.07 | 0.09 | 0.30 | 0.14 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 31% | 29% | 75% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.45 | 2.40 | 2.42 | 1.94 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.85 | 0.80 | 1.73 | 1.67 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 54% | 58% | 57% |
| Leads held | 47% | 62% | 76% | 58% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 20% | 43% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 46% | 49% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 34% | 8% | 11% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 44 | 38 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 26 | 54 | 48 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 62% | 67% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.06 | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 48% | 58% | 59% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 12.3 | 15.5 | 12.9 |
| On target | 3.9 | 4.1 | 6.2 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 15% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 58% | 68% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 3.6 | 5.9 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 32% | 24% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 16% | 16% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 9.7 | 11.1 | 20.2 | 17.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.9 | 43.9 | 60.8 | 57.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 88% | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 13.8 | 12.0 | 11.8 |
| Cards | 2.83 | 2.71 | 2.10 | 2.61 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Estrela Amadora
0–15'512
16–30'75
31–45'98
46–60'816
61–75'1214
76–90'87
Sporting CP
0–15'126
16–30'133
31–45'245
46–60'182
61–75'227
76–90'2319
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Estrela Amadora · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: against ten men +0.42
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1035
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1835
Late push (76+, level)-0.0715
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0813
Game state
When ahead+0.0017
When level-0.1935
When behind-0.0125
10 min after conceding-0.2828
10 min after scoring+0.2123
Situations
With ten men-0.204
Against ten men+0.424
At home-0.1017
Away-0.1018
4+ days rest-0.1035
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.299
v mid-tier opponents-0.257
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0411
As favourite+0.352
Evenly matched+0.1012
As underdog-0.2421
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2235
Conceded when ahead+0.1317
Conceded late (76+)+0.0330
Ahead vs level +0.19 · Behind vs level +0.18
Sporting CP · 48 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.41) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4148
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4048
Late push (76+, level)+0.4322
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.325
Game state
When ahead+0.4142
When level+0.4748
When behind-0.0112
10 min after conceding-0.2228
10 min after scoring+0.6944
Situations
With ten men+0.663
Against ten men-0.135
At home+0.3725
Away+0.4423
4+ days rest+0.4147
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0614
v mid-tier opponents+0.6911
v bottom-tier opponents+0.5912
As favourite+0.5438
Evenly matched+0.434
As underdog-0.356
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1148
Conceded when ahead-0.1742
Conceded late (76+)-0.1639
Congested vs rested +0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.06 · Behind vs level -0.48
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 40% | 0.93 | 1.5 | 2.21 | 1.16 | 1.92 |
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 17% | 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.33 | 1.48 | 0.94 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.91 | 0.76 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.49 |
Sporting CP
Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 44 92% | 2.23 | 2.34 | 0.84 | 1.87 | 0.87 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 3.23 | 0.69 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.75 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.33 | 2.21 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
11.0Home 9% P 8%6.0Draw 16% P 13%1.25Away 76% P 79%
Double Chance
4.0Estrela Amadora or Draw 12%1.12Estrela Amadora or Sporting 43%1.05Draw or Sporting 45%
Draw No Bet
10.01 10%1.062 90%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.47Over 64% P 66%2.6Under 36% P 34%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 5–10% · away 75–80% · 344 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8% | 8% | 7% | -1.0 |
| Draw | 13% | 15% | 12% | -3.0 |
| Away | 79% | 77% | 81% | +4.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 64%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 66% | 69% | +3.2 |
David Rafael Oliveira Silva
- Career
- 50 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 6.72 (6.38 yellow · 0.22 red)
- Fouls / match
- 29.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 6.23 | 5.66 | +0.75 | 82 |
| Fouls / match | 29.9 | 27.9 | +1.04 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.8 | 4.9 | -0.36 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.19 | 0.37 | -1.22 | 9 |
| Time added | 8.1 | 7.7 | +0.60 | 76 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 10% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.19
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | 5 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 6' | 10 |
| 2026-02-22 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 90' | 7 |
| 2026-02-15 · Sporting CP | 5 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 45' | 13 |
| 2026-02-07 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 37' | 9 |
| 2026-01-25 · Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 15' | 6 |
| 2026-01-16 · Sporting CP | 2 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 12' | 8 |
| 2025-12-19 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 41' | 6 |
| 2025-12-14 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 22' | 9 |
| 2025-11-29 | 9 | 1 | 39 | 0 | 19' | 8 |
| 2025-10-04 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 24' | 13 |